Concurrent Plan Updates?

Plan Update Requirements• Cost-Affordable Transportation Plan - 2040 Horizon Year Due

December 2014• Hillsborough County Comprehensive Plan Evaluation/ Appraisal

Due 2015• City of Tampa Comprehensive Plan Evaluation/ Appraisal

Due 2016• Temple Terrace Comprehensive Plan Evaluation/ Appraisal

Due 2016• Plant City Comprehensive Plan Evaluation/ Appraisal

Due 2016

Benefits of Concurrent UpdatesCommon horizon year is simpler for general public Can use same data for all plans, saving costsCan partner on public outreach & input effortsCan address issues in a more comprehensive manner –

• Greater coordination between land use and transportation

• Countywide approach to some major issuesDon’t have to reinvent the wheel for approaches to:

• Streamlining the Comprehensive Plans• Addressing changes in state law

Policy Questions & Uncertainties• Urban Service Area

• Expansion needed by 2040? If so, where?

• Transportation Funding• Declining real value of gas tax, declining federal & state support• Local options?

• Economic Vitality• How to support key sectors: Land use policies? Transportation

investments?

• External Factors• Demographic shifts – aging; minority-majority; domestic migration…• Technological shifts – virtual interactions; alternative fuels…• Environmental shifts – climate; water supply; emergency preparedness…• Financial shifts – access to capital markets; international consortia for

infrastructure design/build/operate/maintain/finance ….

Scenario Planning Process (Typical)

Identify scope, timeline, partners, stakeholders Identify baseline trends Community values, future goals & aspirations Create baseline and alternative scenarios Assess scenario impacts, influences, & effects Craft a vision Identify strategic actions & performance measures

One Bay Scenarios

Potential for Value-Added

• How do the One Bay Vision’s broad goals play out on the ground in Hillsborough County?• What additional local government policies are

appropriate (if any)?• What transportation investments are needed,

and how do we pay for them?• How has the world changed since the creation of

the One Bay Vision?

Mid-Coast Maine: Identifying Issues• Brainstorming &

grouping types of uncertainties to create scenarios for exploration

Gwinnett County, GA: Three “Stories” about Land Use & Transportation

• “Regional Slowdown” Scenario

• “Middle of the Pack” Scenario (most likely future without intervention)

• “International Gateway” Scenario

Maricopa County, AZ – Transportation Investment Scenarios

Timing• 2012

• Identify process, scope, timeline, partners• Issues identification for scenarios

• 2013 • Craft scenarios• Assess effects of each• Public participation & outreach on scenarios

• 2014• Review comprehensive plan policies and maps• Detail transportation investment strategies• Public participation & outreach on proposed

comprehensive plan polices and cost-affordable transportation plan

Next Steps

• What are you looking for in the Plan Updates?

• Designate a Coordinator for each jurisdiction

• Regular Meetings?