COMPARATIVE STUDIES AMONGST

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1970 1980 1990 2000 0.0 0.4 0.8 Scaled abundance COMPARATIVE STUDIES AMONGST SUB-ARCTIC SEAS Ken Drinkwater ([email protected]) Institute of Marine Research and Bjerknes Center of Climate Research, Bergen, Norway ESSAS ESSAS is an IMBER regional program whose aim is to compare, quantify and predict the impact of climate variability on the productivity and sustainability of Sub-Arctic marine ecosystems. An ESSAS comparative study between different Sub-Arctic Ecosystems is testing the hypothesis that gadoids control invertebrate abundance through predation. N Investigating Invertebrate-Gadoid Interactions C. Morel West Greenland: Wieland et al. Japanese Waters: Yamamura and Sakurai 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Catch ('000t) 0 50 100 150 Atlantic cod 1 offshore inshore / coastal Northern shrimp 2 offshore inshore (Disko Bay) cod 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 Pink shrimp catch (t) Cod Annual Catch (t) Cod Pink shrimp Cod (kg/mile) Shrimp (tousand tonnes) Eastern Bering Sea: Mueter Northern Iceland: Astthorsson 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Cod stock size Shrimp stock size Shrimp Cod Barents Sea: Hvingel COMPARATIVE STUDIES AMONGST SUB-ARCTIC SEAS NORCAN (NORway-CANada Comparison of Marine Ecosystems) Surface Chlorophyll Concentrations from SeaWiffs Drinkwater et al., PiO, accepted This project has been comparing different ecosystem components between the Labrador Sea and the Norwegian/Barents seas. ESSAS undertakes comparative studies between different sub-arctic seas: to gain scientific insights to determine what processes are fundamental to sub-Arctic seas and which are unique to particular seas to share methodologies. + warm, salty Change from out of phase to in phase CIs between the two regions in the late 1990s caused by shifts in atmospheric pressure systems (weakening of NAO). Harrison et al., PiO, accepted MENU (Comparison of Marine Ecosystems of Norway and the United States) King crab / shrimp 2 4 6 8 10 200 300 400 500 Annual mean SST (°C) Annual primary production (gC m -2 ) BS (P = 0.093) NS (n.s.) EBS (P = 0.039) GOM/GB (P < 0.001) GOA (n.s.) 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 0 10 20 30 40 Total annual PP (gC m-2) Nitrate concentration of deep source water (μM) Eastern Bering Sea (EBS) Gulf of Alaska (GOA) Alaska Russia (NOR/BAR) Greenland Norwegian Sea Barents Sea Canada USA GB GOM Gulf of Maine / Georges Bank (GOM/GB) Variations in primary production depends on deep water nitrate concentrations. Primary production increased with warming from 1998-2006 in 3 of 5 ecosystems. Drinkwater et al., PiO, 2009; Mueter et al., PiO, 2009 Analyses indicate no consistent relationship between shrimp abundances with gadoids, nor with physical variables in the different regions. Further studies are ongoing. CPUE (kg/trap) ln(recruits # millions) ln(recruits index) CPUE (kg/trap) Temperature °C Analyses of snow crab show no relationship with gadoid abundance but do show a negative relationship with temperature for all regions investigated. Temperature °C Marcello et al. Timing of the spring bloom and peak seasonal productivity are occurring progressively earlier in the year, particularly at high latitudes. ESSAS is continuing to undertake further comparative studies using both observations and models. This poster is based on the work of many ESSAS scientists whom I gratefully acknowledge and thank. Normalized Climate Indices (CIs) - cold, fresher

Transcript of COMPARATIVE STUDIES AMONGST

1970 1980 1990 2000

0.0

0.4

0.8

Scale

d a

bundance

COMPARATIVE STUDIES AMONGST SUB-ARCTIC SEAS

Ken Drinkwater ([email protected])

Institute of Marine Research and Bjerknes Center of Climate Research, Bergen, Norway

ESSAS

ESSAS is an IMBER regional program whose aim is to compare, quantify and predict the impact of climate variability on the productivity and sustainability of Sub-Arctic marine ecosystems.

An ESSAS comparative study between different Sub-Arctic Ecosystems is testing the hypothesis that gadoids control invertebrate abundance through predation.

N

Investigating Invertebrate-Gadoid InteractionsC. Morel

West Greenland: Wieland et al. Japanese Waters: Yamamura and Sakurai

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Ca

tch

('0

00

t)

0

50

100

150

Atlantic cod 1

offshore

inshore / coastal

Northern shrimp 2

offshore

inshore (Disko Bay)

cod

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

19

81

19

83

19

85

19

87

19

89

19

91

19

93

19

95

19

97

19

99

20

01

20

03

20

05

20

07

Pin

k s

hri

mp

ca

tch

(t)

Co

d A

nn

ua

l C

atc

h (

t)

Cod

Pink shrimp

Co

d (

kg

/m

ile

)

Sh

rim

p (

tou

sa

nd

to

nn

es)

Eastern Bering Sea: Mueter Northern Iceland: Astthorsson

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Cod

sto

ck

siz

e

Sh

rim

p s

tock

siz

e

Shrimp Cod

Barents Sea: Hvingel

COMPARATIVE STUDIES AMONGST SUB-ARCTIC SEAS

NORCAN (NORway-CANada Comparison of Marine Ecosystems)

Surface Chlorophyll Concentrations from SeaWiffs

Drinkwater et al., PiO, accepted

This project has been comparing different ecosystem components

between the Labrador Sea and the Norwegian/Barents seas.

ESSAS undertakes comparative

studies between different sub-arctic

seas:

•to gain scientific insights

•to determine what processes are

fundamental to sub-Arctic seas and

which are unique to particular seas

•to share methodologies.

+ warm, salty

Change from out of

phase to in phase CIs

between the two

regions in the late

1990s caused by

shifts in atmospheric

pressure systems

(weakening of NAO).

Harrison et al., PiO, accepted

MENU (Comparison of Marine Ecosystems of Norway and the United States)

King crab / shrimp

2 4 6 8 10

200

300

400

500

Annual mean SST (°C)

An

nu

al

pri

ma

ry p

rod

ucti

on

(g

C m

-2)

BS

(P = 0.093)

NS

(n.s.)

EBS

(P = 0.039)

GOM/GB

(P < 0.001)

GOA(n.s.)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

0 10 20 30 40

To

tal

an

nu

al

PP

(g

Cm

-2)

Nitrate concentration of deep source water (µM)

Eastern Bering Sea

(EBS)

Gulf of Alaska (GOA)

Alaska

Russia

(NOR/BAR)

Greenland

Norwegian Sea

Barents Sea

Canada

USAGB

GOM

Gulf of Maine / Georges Bank (GOM/GB)

Variations in primary

production depends on deep

water nitrate concentrations.

Primary production increased

with warming from 1998-2006

in 3 of 5 ecosystems.Drinkwater et al., PiO, 2009; Mueter et al., PiO, 2009

Analyses indicate no consistent

relationship between shrimp

abundances with gadoids, nor

with physical variables in the

different regions. Further studies

are ongoing.

CP

UE

(kg/tra

p)

ln(r

ecru

its #

mill

ions)

ln(r

ecru

its index)

CP

UE

(kg/tra

p)

Temperature °C

Analyses of snow

crab show no

relationship with

gadoid abundance

but do show a

negative

relationship with

temperature for

all regions

investigated.

Temperature °C

Marcello et al.

Timing of the

spring bloom and

peak seasonal

productivity are

occurring

progressively

earlier in the year,

particularly at high

latitudes.

ESSAS is continuing to undertake further comparative studies using both

observations and models. This poster is based on the work of many ESSAS

scientists whom I gratefully acknowledge and thank.

Normalized Climate Indices (CIs)

- cold, fresher