Company website presentation january 2014
-
Upload
anteroresources -
Category
Business
-
view
886 -
download
0
description
Transcript of Company website presentation january 2014
Company OverviewJanuary 2014
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, included in this presentation that address activities, events or developments that Antero Resources Corporation and its subsidiaries (collectively, the “Company” or “Antero”) expects, believes or anticipates will or may occur in the future are forward-looking statements. The words “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “plan,” “intend,” “estimate,” “project,” “foresee,” “should,” “would,” “could,” or other similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. However, the absence of these words does not mean that the statements are not forward-looking. Without limiting the generality of the foregoing, forward-looking statements contained in this presentation specifically include estimates of the Company’s reserves, expectations of plans, strategies, objectives and anticipated financial and operating results of the Company, including as to the Company’s drilling program, production, hedging activities, capital expenditure levels and other guidance included in this presentation. These statements are based on certain assumptions made by the Company based on management’s experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions, anticipated future developments and other factors believed to be appropriate. Such statements are subject to a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the control of the Company, which may cause actual results to differ materially from those implied or expressed by the forward-looking statements. These include the factors discussed or referenced in the Company’s Registration Statement on Form S-1 (File No. 333 – 189284) (the “Registration Statement”) with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) and in the Company’s subsequent filings with the SEC.
The Company cautions you that these forward-looking statements are subject to all of the risks and uncertainties, most of which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond our control, incident to the exploration for and development, production, gathering and sale of natural gas and oil. These risks include, but are not limited to, commodity price volatility, inflation, lack of availability of drilling and production equipment and services, environmental risks, drilling and other operating risks, regulatory changes, the uncertainty inherent in estimating natural gas and oil reserves and in projecting future rates of production, cash flow and access to capital, the timing of development expenditures, and the other risks described under the heading “Risk Factors” in the Registration Statement and in the Company’s subsequent filings with the SEC.
Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made and the Company undertakes no obligation to correct or update any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable law.
1
ANTERO: A “PURE PLAY” ON THE MARCELLUS / UTICA● Marcellus is the largest gas field in the U.S., 2nd largest in the world –
Industry production approximately 14 Bcf/d today● Antero has 28 Tcfe of 3P reserves in Marcellus and Utica Shales● 566 MMcfe/d of average net production in 3Q 2013 including 7,900 Bbl/d of
liquids
Critical Mass In Two World Class Shale Plays
● 182% Appalachian production CAGR since 2010● Most active driller in Marcellus Shale – 15 rigs running● 3rd most active driller in the Utica Shale – 5 rigs running
Market Leading Growth
● Low development cost leader: $1.03/Mcfe(1)
● Industry leading growth-adjusted recycle ratio: 6.1x(1)
● Top quartile return on productive capital: 27% for 2013E
Industry Leading Capital Efficiency and Recycle Ratio
● 1.3 Bcf/d of processing capacity by year-end 2014 and 1.5 Bcf/d of gas takeaway by 2015
● Liquids expected to grow from 8% of third quarter 2013 production due to focus on liquids-rich development
Significant Emphasis on Takeaway and
Liquids Processing
● ~$1.8 billion pro forma available liquidity with current $1.5 billion bank commitment(2)
● 1.3 Tcfe hedged through 2019 at an average index price of $4.64 / MMBtuand $96.54/Bbl
Liquidity and Hedge Position Support High
Growth Story
● Over 30 years as a team (over 20 years in unconventional)● “Shale Pioneers” – early mover and driller of over 500 horizontal shale
wells in the Barnett, Woodford, Marcellus and Utica Shales
Outstanding Management Team
21. Three year average through 2012; pro forma for Arkoma and Piceance divestitures.2. See page 21 for the derivation of 9/30/2013 liquidity.
UPPER DEVONIAN SHALE
Net Proved Reserves(1) 44 BcfeNet 3P Reserves (1) 3.8 TcfePre-Tax 3P PV-10(1) $220 MM% Liquids – Net 3P 6%3Q 2013 Net Production 3 MMcfe/dUndrilled 3P Locations 915
C
PREMIER UNCONVENTIONAL RESOURCE PLATFORM
1. Proved, probable, and possible reserves as of June 30, 2013, assuming ethane rejection using SEC methodology and strip pricing. Evaluations prepared by our internal reserve engineers and audited by DeGolyer & MacNaughton (D&M). Pre-Tax 3P PV-10 is a non-GAAP financial measure.
2. Represents the average net daily production for the period July 1, 2013 through September 30, 2013. 3. All net acres allocated to the Dry Gas Utica and Upper Devonian Shale are included among the net acres allocated to the Marcellus Shale as they are stacked pay formations attributable to the same leases.4. RigData as of 12/27/2013.
TOTAL – 6/30/13 RESERVES(1)
Assumes Ethane RejectionNet Proved Reserves(1) 6.3 TcfeNet 3P Reserves(1) 27.7 TcfePre-Tax 3P PV-10(1) $19,100 MM
Net 3P Liquids 667 MMBbls% Liquids – Net 3P 14%3Q 2013 Net Production(2) 566 MMcfe/d- 3Q 2013 Net Liquids(2) 7,900 Bbl/dNet Acres(3) 450,000Undrilled 3P Locations 4,576
MARCELLUS SHALE
Net Proved Reserves(1) 6.0 TcfeNet 3P Reserves (1) 18.7 TcfePre-Tax 3P PV-10(1) $13,656 MM% Liquids – Net 3P 15%3Q 2013 Net Production 519 MMcfe/dUndrilled 3P Locations 2,941
• 100% operated
• Stable acreage base− Marcellus Shale: 49% HBP, with additional 30%
not expiring for 5+ years− Utica Shale: 20% HBP, with additional 79% not
expiring for 5+ years
• Portfolio flexibility across dry gas to liquids-rich and condensate windows
• Significant investment in midstream infrastructure and secured takeaway capacity
• Financial flexibility to pursue planned 2013 and 2014 development drilling activities
• Full scale development underway− 20 rigs currently operating
A
UTICA SHALE – LIQUIDS RICH
Net Proved Reserves(1) 279 BcfeNet 3P Reserves (1) 5.3 TcfePre-Tax 3P PV-10(1) $5,223 MM % Liquids – Net 3P 19%3Q 2013 Net Production 44 MMcfe/dUndrilled 3P Locations 720
B
3
AC
B Appalachia Rig Count vs. Peers(4)
“Pure-Play” Appalachian-Focused Shale Company
UTICA SHALE – DRY GAS
Net Acres(3) 116,000Net Resource 5.0 TcfeUndrilled Locations 950
D
D
15 9 9 74
5
05
10152025
Antero EQT RRC COG CNXR
igs
Marcellus Shale Utica Shale
20
458
522
44
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2010 2011 2012 1Q 2013 2Q 2013 3Q 2013 4Q 2013
Marcellus Utica
30
124
239
383
566
675
(4)
4
458
522
675
44
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1Q2013
2Q2013
3Q2013
4Q2013
Woodford Piceance Marcellus Utica
631
87 105 133
244
334383
566
(4)
AVERAGE NET DAILY PRODUCTION (MMcfe/d) APPALACHIAN PRODUCTION (MMcfe/d)
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 6/30/2013
Woodford Piceance Marcellus Utica(3)
87 235680 1,141
3,231
5,017 4,929
6,282
NET PROVED SEC RESERVES (Bcfe)(2)
197
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E
Woodford Piceance Marcellus Utica
8596
126
18
66
91
119
157
1. CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate.2. Proved reserves for 2006, 2007, and 2008 represent previously effective SEC methodology. 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012 and mid-year 2013 proved reserves based on current SEC reserve methodology and SEC pricing and are audited by
independent third-party engineers; excludes Arkoma Basin reserves which were sold on June 20, 2012 and Piceance Basin reserves which were sold on December 21, 2012.3. Includes 44 Bcfe of Upper Devonian Shale proved reserves.4. Per Company guidance released on November 6, 2013.
FinancialCrisis
STRONG TRACK RECORD OF GROWTH
OPERATED GROSS WELLS SPUD
Sold Woodford and Piceance
$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.29$0.62
$1.35
$2.47 $2.50 $2.94 $3.02 $3.26 $3.27 $3.34
$3.65 $3.66 $3.70 $3.75 $3.81 $4.13 $4.25
$5.05 $5.37 $5.49
$6.75
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$7.00
`
505
777673
986
93%
58%
38% 29%0
200
400
600
800
1000
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Highly-RichGas/
Condensate
Highly-RichGas
Rich Gas Dry Gas
Gro
ss L
ocat
ions
RO
R
Locations ROR
MULTI-YEAR DRILLING INVENTORY SUPPORTS LOW RISK, HIGH-RETURN GROWTH PROFILE
Large Inventory of Low Breakeven Projects(2)
1. Well economics based on 6/30/2013 3P reserves.2. Source: Credit Suisse report dated 06/18/2013 – Break even price for 15% after tax rate-of-return; assumes $90.00/Bbl WTI.3. 3-year NYMEX STRIP as of 1/2/2014.
3 Yr Strip - $4.15/MMBtu(3)
505Locations
1,450Locations208
Locations
986Locations
$ / M
MB
tu N
YMEX
(Gas
)
335Locations
5
MARCELLUS WELL ECONOMICS(1) UTICA WELL ECONOMICS(1)
208198
137177220%
194%
114%
40% 0
50
100
150
200
250
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
Highly-RichGas/
Condensate
Highly-RichGas
Rich Gas Dry Gas
Gro
ss L
ocat
ions
RO
R
Locations ROR
1,000
66% of Marcellus locations are processable (1100-plus Btu) 75% of Utica locations are processable (1100-plus Btu)
0.0x
2.0x
4.0x
6.0x
8.0x6.1x
3.5x 3.1x 2.7x
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$1.03 $1.14 $1.41 $1.57 $1.71
LOW DEVELOPMENT COST DRIVES BEST-IN-CLASS RECYCLE RATIOS
6
Source: Proved developed F&D research prepared by JP Morgan Research report dated 07/22/2013. Defined as total drilling and completion capital expenditures for the period divided by PDP and PDNP volumes added after adding back production for the period. Includes all drilling and completion costs but excludes land and acquisition costs for all companies. 1. Antero internal estimate using JP Morgan development cost methodology; excludes Arkoma and Piceance operations.2. Antero estimate based on public information; includes Arkoma and Piceance operations.
3-Year All-in Development Costs ($/Mcfe) through 2012
Antero Appalachia-Focused Peers
Source: Wall Street research. Defined as 2010-2012 average (Cash Operating Netback / PD F&D costs) x (1 + 2012-2014 production CAGR). PD F&D Costs defined as total drilling and completion capital expenditures for the period divided by PDP and PDNP volumes added after adding back production for the period per JP Morgan analysis. Includes all drilling and completion costs but excludes land and acquisition costs for all companies.1. Antero data pro forma for Woodford and Piceance divestitures; Antero production growth based on first half of 2013 only.
Antero Appalachia-Focused Peers
3-Year Average Growth – Adjusted Recycle Ratio through 2012
$/Mcfe
INTEGRATED MIDSTREAM INFRASTRUCTURE
Infrastructure and commitments in place to handle strong natural gas, NGL and oil production growth
– Portfolio of firm transportation and sales and West Virginia location minimizes basis risk
Producers located at the southern end of the Marcellus have seen much less basis widening and volatility than Pennsylvania producersAntero has sold ~76% of its year-to-date production
through August 2013 at TCO index at NYMEX less $0.07/MMbtu
71. 80,000 MMBtu/d and 70,000 MMbtu/d also utilize firm transportation in 2014 and 2015, respectively.2. Basis data from Wells Fargo daily indications and various private quotes.
“Infrastructure-Ready” for Rapid, Large Scale Marcellus And Utica Development Programs
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
(MM
cf/d
)
Sherwood I Sherwood II Sherwood III Sherwood IV Sherwood V
Cadiz I Seneca I Seneca II Seneca III
Total Capacity 1,300
MarcellusUtica
Sherwood I
Sherwood II
Sherwood IIICadiz I
Seneca I
Seneca II
Seneca III
TCOBasis to NYMEXCurrent 2015-$0.18 -$0.47
Dom SouthBasis to NYMEXCurrent 2015-$0.92 -$1.02
LeidyBasis to NYMEXCurrent 2015-$1.18 -$1.62
Antero Transport and Processing 2014 2015Firm Transport (FT) (MMBtu/d) 1,227,000 1,227,000Firm Sales (MMBtu/d)(1) 330,000 320,000
Firm Processing Capacity (Mcf/d) 1,300,000 1,300,000Ethane FT (Bbl/d) 20,000 20,000
Growing Processing Capacity
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
-$1.80-$1.60-$1.40-$1.20-$1.00-$0.80-$0.60-$0.40-$0.20$0.00
Appalachian Basis to NYMEX(2)
TETCO M2
Leidy
TCODom South
YTD % of Production Sold
TCO 76%Dom South 18%
NYMEX 5%
CGTLABasis to NYMEXCurrent 2015-$0.06 -$0.10
ChicagoBasis to NYMEXCurrent 2015+$0.26 -$0.09
Sherwood V
Sherwood IV
0200,000400,000600,000800,000
1,000,0001,200,0001,400,000
Antero CHK EQT TLM STO SWN RRC CNX WPX RDS COG APC NFG
Mcf
/d
(2)
LONG HAUL PIPELINE AND TRANSPORTATION NETWORK
8
Antero has the most firm transportation capacity of any Appalachian operator and is well-positioned in the southern portion of the Marcellus and Utica Shale from a gas takeaway perspective
Note: Antero firm transportation and firm sales positions listed by pipeline in colored-coded boxes. 1. Firm transport as of year-end 2014. See Page 25 for timing of firm transportation graph.2. Antero firm transportation as of 1/2/2014; excludes 250 MMcf/d of firm sales.
Source: Tudor Pickering & Holt research report dated 9/3/2013.
(1)
TCOBasis to NYMEXCurrent 2015-$0.18 -$0.47
Dom SouthBasis to NYMEXCurrent 2015-$0.92 -$1.02
LeidyBasis to NYMEXCurrent 2015-$1.18 -$1.62
CGTLABasis to NYMEXCurrent 2015-$0.06 -$0.10
ChicagoBasis to NYMEXCurrent 2015+$0.26 -$0.09
Appalachian Firm Transportation Capacity by Operator
628 550 633 750 650 288
$5.29 $5.37 $5.14$4.42
$4.65 $4.51
$4.20 $4.14 $4.09 $4.11 $4.16 $4.22
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$7.00
0
200
400
600
800
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
BBtu/d
14%
21%
19%
44%
2%
NYMEX
CGTLA
Dom South
TCOChicago
SIGNIFICANT LONG-TERM COMMODITY HEDGE POSITION
9
% HEDGE VOLUMES BY INDEX – 9/30/2013
Hedged NYMEX-Equivalent Price(1)Hedged Volume NYMEX Strip (1/2/2014)
NATURAL GAS HEDGES – CURRENT
1. In order to compare hedges across basins and commodities, hedged basin prices are converted by Antero to NYMEX-equivalent prices using current basis differentials in the over-the-counter futures market and 6:1 gas to oil ratio. Antero has hedged ~3,000 Bbl/d for 2013 and 2014, WTI hedges comprise ~1% of overall hedge book.
~$960 million mark-to-market unrealized gain as of January 2, 2014. 1.3 Tcfe hedged from January 1, 2014 through year-end 2019.
ASSET OVERVIEW
10
PREMIER POSITION IN THE CORE OF THE MARCELLUS AND UTICA LIQUIDS-RICH FAIRWAYS
Source: Company presentations and press releases.
Utica Shale Core Area
Marcellus Shale
Southwestern & Northeastern
Core Areas
Upper Devonian Shale Resource
Overlies Marcellus Acreage
11
ANTERO LIQUIDS-RICH UTICA SHALE
105,000 Net Acres12 Horizontals Completed5 Rigs Currently Running
ANTERO MARCELLUS SHALE SW PA
25,000 Net Acres2 Horizontals Completed
Strong Results
ANTERO MARCELLUS SHALE NW WV
320,000 Net Acres(Primarily Liquids-Rich Fairway)
215 Horizontals Completed15 Rigs Currently Running
Utica ShaleLiquids-Rich
Fairway
Utica Shale Dry Gas
Resource Underlies Marcellus Acreage
Marcellus Shale Liquids-Rich
Fairway
WORLD CLASS MARCELLUS SHALE DEVELOPMENT PROJECTAntero Has Delineated And De-Risked Its Large Scale Acreage Position
100% operated 345,000 net acres in
Southwestern Core– 49% HBP with additional
30% not expiring for 5+ years 217 horizontal wells completed
and online– Laterals average 7,000’– 100% drilling success rate
Net production of 522 MMcfe/d in 3Q 2013 including 6,100 Bbl/d of liquids
2,941 future drilling locations (66% are processable)
Operating 15 drilling rigs including 4 shallow rigs
18.7 Tcfe of net 3P (15% liquids), includes 6.0 Tcfe of proved reserves
12
Highly-Rich Gas96,000 Net Acres
777 Gross Locations
Rich Gas82,000 Net Acres
673 Gross Locations
Dry Gas104,000 Net Acres
986 Gross Locations
Highly-Rich/Condensate54,000 Net Acres
505 Gross Locations
MOORE UNIT1H: 9.9 MMcfe/d 2H: 10.0 MMcfe/d
30-day rates(17% liquids)
MHR WEESE UNIT4-well average9.3 MMcfe/d 30-day rate
(31% liquids)
CHK HADLEY UNIT9.1 MMcfe/d IP(32% liquids)
EQT PENN 15 UNIT5-well average9.3 MMcfe/d 30-day rate
(29% liquids)
CONSTABLE UNIT1H: 15.2 MMcfe/d
30-day rate(30% liquids)
142 Horizontals Completed10.3 Bcfe average EUR
8.1 MMcfe/d average 30-day rate6,915’ average lateral length
PRUNTY UNIT1H: 11.0 MMcfe/d
30-day rate(29% liquids)
HINTERER UNIT1H: 12.9 MMcfe/d
30-day rate(20% liquids)
RUTH UNIT1H: 19.3 MMcfe/d
30-day rate(14% liquids)
SherwoodProcessing
Plant
EQT12 Recent Wells
9.2 MMcfe/d 30-day rate
(20% Liquids)
Source: Company presentations and press releases. Antero acreage position reflects tax districts in which greater than 3,000 net acres are owned. Note: Rates assume ethane rejection.
BLANCHE UNIT2H: 10.0 MMcfe/d
30-day rate(29% liquids)
DOTSON UNIT1H: 12.4 MMcfe/d2H: 11.8 MMcfe/d
30-day rates(27% liquids)
MARCELLUS – SIMPLE STRUCTURE
13
Several regional anticlines in core area− Predictable “layer cake” geology− No faults at Marcellus level
• Over 1.5 million feet (285 miles) drilled horizontally without crossing a fault
− 3-D seismic not required to guide horizontal wells
Regional East-West seismic line shows gentle structure at Marcellus level
Allegheny Front and complex structure located many miles east of core area
Favorable geology allows for longer laterals
Average Marcellus Lateral Lengths
7,000
4,800 4,500 4,100
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
Antero EQT RRC COG
Feet
Source: Company presentations.
Wolf SummitArches ForkBig Moses
MarcellusOnondaga
BensonRhinestreet
Profile along regional seismic line (time)W E
Regional Seismic Line
No Data
Tully
100’ Contours Top Marcellus
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Cum
ulat
ive
Bcf
MM
cf/d
Production Year
Type Curve (7,000' Lateral) Actual Production (Normalized to 7,000' Lateral) Type Curve Cumulative Production (7,000' Lateral)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
MM
cf/d
1st Production from All Wells 2009 - 2013
Antero has four years of production data, from 217 operated horizontal wells, to support its 1.5 Bcf / 1,000’ of lateral type curve– DeGolyer & MacNaughton (D&M), Antero’s third-party reserve auditor, fully supports this type curve
Average 24-hour wellhead peak rate (IP) of 14.1 MMcf/d; 14.9 MMcfe/d processed assuming ethane rejection Lack of faulting and contiguous acreage position allows for drilling of long laterals− Drives down costs per 1,000’ of lateral resulting in best-in-class development costs
ANTERO’S MARCELLUS SHALE TYPE CURVE SUPPORT
1. All 217 Antero Marcellus wells normalized to time zero, production for each well normalized to 7,000’ lateral length.
Marcellus Type Curve Support(1)
14
24-Hour Peak Rate
30-Day Avg. Rate
90-Day Avg. Rate
180-Day Avg. Rate
One-Year Avg. Rate
Two-Year Avg. Rate
Three-YearAvg. Rate
Wellhead (MMcf/d) 14.1 8.0 6.3 5.4 4.2 3.0 2.3# of wells 217 209 180 158 109 56 18
EURs Increase With Lateral Length Well Cost / 1,000’ Decreases with Lateral Length Wellhead 24-hour Peak Rates (IPs) - 217 Wells
Average IP – 14.1 MMcf/d
$0.6
$0.8
$1.0
$1.2
$1.4
$1.6
$1.8
2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000
$MM
/ 1,
000'
Lateral length, ft
0
4
8
12
16
20
2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000
EUR
, BC
F
Lateral Length, ft
MARCELLUS SINGLE WELL ECONOMICS – ASSUMES ETHANE REJECTION
15
DRY GAS LOCATIONS RICH GAS LOCATIONS
HIGHLY RICH GAS
LOCATIONS
Assumptions 6/30/2013 Strip Pricing & SEC Reserves
NYMEX($/MMBtu)
WTI($/Bbl)
NGL(2)
($/Bbl)
2013 $3.64 $95 $46.10
2014 $3.91 $90 $44.89
2015 $4.14 $86 $43.86
2016 $4.28 $83 $43.34
2017+ $4.46 $81 $43.34
Marcellus Well Economics and Locations(1)
ClassificationHighly-Rich/Condensate
Highly-Rich Gas Rich Gas Dry Gas
BTU Range 1275-1350 1200-1275 1100-1200 <1100Modeled BTU 1313 1250 1150 1050EUR (Bcfe): 14.3 12.8 11.5 10.5EUR (MMBoe): 2.4 2.1 1.9 1.8% Liquids: 34% 24% 11% 0%Lateral Length (ft): 7,000 7,000 7,000 7,000Stage Length (ft): 350 350 350 350Well Cost ($MM): $7.6 $7.6 $7.6 $7.6Bcf/1,000’: 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5Bcfe/1,000’: 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.5
Pre-Tax NPV10 ($MM): $17.0 $12.0 $7.1 $5.3Pre-Tax ROR: 93% 60% 38% 29%Net F&D ($/Mcfe): $0.62 $0.69 $0.77 $0.85Payout (Years): 1.2 1.6 2.4 3.0
Gross 3P Locations: 505 777 673 9861. Well economics are based on 6/30/13 3P reserves. Includes gathering, compression and processing fees. 2. Pricing for a 1225 BTU y-grade barrel.
505
777673
986
93%
60%
38%29%
0
200
400
600
800
1000
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Highly-Rich Gas/Condensate
Highly-Rich Gas Rich Gas Dry GasR
OR
Locations ROR
1,000
Gro
ss L
ocat
ions
1,000
10,000
0 30 60 90 120 150 180
Gas
Pro
duct
ion
(Mcf
/d)
Days From Peak Gas
Unconstrained SSL Average 1.5 Bcf/1,000' Type Curve
28.4
22.9 22.2
19.5 19.5 19.1 17.9 17.4 17.2 16.9 16.3 16.0 15.6
13.4
9.1
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
MM
cf/d
Enhancing Recoveries Since June 2013 Antero has
implemented shorter stage lengths (SSL) in the Marcellus Shale– 24 SSL wells completed– 150’ to 250’ vs. 350’ stages
previously The 24-hour peak rate for Antero’s
first 15 unconstrained SSL wells has averaged 18.1 MMcf/d or 31% higher than the average Antero non-SSL IP of 13.8 MMcf/d – Other Marcellus Southwestern
Core operators (EQT and Range) have announced 20% to 30% improvement in IPs and EURs
Estimated 20% increase in well costs for SSL
Antero SSL Wells
16
ENHANCING MARCELLUS RECOVERIES – SHORTER STAGE LENGTHS (“SSL”)
1. Excludes 15 SSL wells.
1.5 Bcf/1,000' Type Curve
Average Antero 24-hour Peak Rate: 13.8 MMcf/d(1)
Antero’s First 15 Unconstrained SSL Wells – 24-hour Peak Rate
Average Antero SSL 24-hour Peak Rate: 18.1 MMcf/d
31% Increase in IPs for SSL
Normalized production increase for 20 SSL wells over 1.5 Bcf/1,000' Type Curve
Source: Company presentations and press releases. Note: Antero acreage position reflects townships in which greater than 3,000 net acres are owned. Note: Peak rates assume ethane recovery.1. In some cases, Antero has converted rich gas rates where BTU has been disclosed to NGLs, assuming ethane recovery. Where BTU has not been disclosed, Antero has estimated BTU and gas composition.
100% operated
~105,000 net acres in the core rich gas / condensate window– 20% HBP with additional 79% not expiring
for 5+ years– 73%+ of acreage has rich gas processing
potential
12 horizontal wells completed - all online − 100% drilling success rate
Net production of 44 MMcfe/d in 3Q 2013 including 1,800 Bbl/d of liquids− First production in early August 2013 with
access to Cadiz pipeline and processing− Production constrained until completion of
initial compressor stations with first compression expected in 4Q 2013
720 future drilling locations– Approximately 36% of EUR is liquids
assuming ethane recovery
Operating 5 rigs including 1 shallow rig
5.3 Tcfe of net 3P (19% liquids), includes 279 Bcfe of proved reserves
EXCITING CORE UTICA SHALE POSITION DELIVERS CONDENSATE AND NGLS
17
Utica Shale Industry Activity and 24-Hour Peak Rates(1)
SenecaProcessing
Plant
CadizProcessing
Plant
CHESAPEAKE8 Wells
Average 8.3 MMcfe/d (1,391 Boe/d)
CHESAPEAKEBuell #8H
9.5 MMcf/d + 1,425 Bbl/d liquidsGULFPORT
Boy Scout 1-33H, Ryser 1-25H, Groh 1-12H
Average 5.3 MMcf/d + 675 Bbl/d NGL + 1,411 Bbl/d Oil
REXXGuernsey 1H, 2H,
Noble 1HAverage 7.9 MMcf/d + 1,192 Bbl/d NGL
+ 502 Bbl/d Oil
MILEY UNIT2 wells average
6.3 MMcf/d + 1,131 Bbl/d NGL + 1,368 Bbl/d Oil
NORMAN UNIT 1H 22.3 MMcf/d
+ 2,419 Bbl/d NGL + 45 Bbl/d Oil
YONTZ UNIT 1H 33.9 MMcf/d
+ 3,177 Bbl/d NGL + 52 Bbl/d Oil
RUBEL UNIT3 wells average
23.4 MMcf/d + 1,488 Bbl/d NGL + 171 Bbl/d Oil
CNX/HESSNoble 1A, 16A
Average 7.9 MMcf/d + 1,184 Bbl/d NGL
+ 389 Bbl/d Oil
GULFPORTMcCort1-28H, 2-28H,
Stutzman 1-14HAverage 13.1 MMcf/d
+ 922 Bbl/d NGL + 21 Bbl/d Oil
GULFPORTWagner 1-28H,
Shugert 1-1H, 1-12HAverage 21.0 MMcf/d
+ 2,270 Bbl/d NGL + 292 Bbl/d Oil
Utica Core Area
WAYNE UNIT 3 wells average
10.4 MMcf/d + 1,809 Bbl/d NGL + 1,719 Bbl/d Oil
DOLLISON UNIT 1H Currently Completing
GARY UNIT 1H 24.2 MMcf/d
+ 3,053 Bbl/d NGL + 162 Bbl/d Oil
Highly-Rich/Cond34,000 Net Acres
208 Locations
Highly-Rich Gas19,000 Net Acres
198 Locations
Rich Gas25,000 Net Acres
137 Locations
Dry Gas26,000 Net Acres
177 Locations
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
Source: Antero, press releases and company presentations.
ANTERO HAS MOST OF THE TOP UTICA IPS
Antero has 8 of the top 9 Utica 24-hour peak rates (IPs) announced to date
Completed wells represent some of the best 24-hour peak rates of any shale play in North America– 3,000 to 9,000 Boe/d per well
in the core area– Excellent reservoir pressure
with gradients in the 0.7 psi/ft range
Liquids content ranges from 40%-70% (assumes ethane recovery) in the liquids-rich window
Core located in Noble, Monroe, Guernsey, Belmont and Harrison Counties, Ohio− Actual core is a subset of
these counties and ties to Antero’s geologic model
18
Boe
/d
UTICA IPsCore
2,000 to 9,000 Boe/d IPs
Tier 11,000 to 2,000
Boe/d IPs
Antero Utica Wells 3rd Party Core Utica Wells 3rd Party Non-Core Utica Wells
UTICA SINGLE WELL ECONOMICS – ASSUMES ETHANE REJECTION
19
DRY GAS LOCATIONS RICH GAS LOCATIONS
HIGHLY RICH GAS
LOCATIONS
Assumptions 6/30/2013 Strip Pricing & SEC Reserves
Utica Well Economics and Locations(1)
ClassificationHighly-Rich/Condensate
Highly-Rich Gas Rich Gas Dry Gas
BTU Range 1250-1300 1200-1250 1100-1200 <1100Modeled BTU 1275 1225 1175 1050EUR (Bcfe): 13.7 19.9 18.0 15.3EUR (MMBoe): 2.3 3.3 3.0 2.5% Liquids 35% 26% 16% 0%Lateral Length (ft): 7,000 7,000 7,000 7,000Stage Length (ft): 250 250 250 250Well Cost ($MM): $11.3 $11.3 $11.3 $11.3Bcf/1,000’: 1.5 2.4 2.4 2.2Bcfe/1,000’: 2.0 2.8 2.6 2.2
Pre-Tax NPV10 ($MM): $20.8 $28.1 $19.9 $10.3Pre-Tax ROR: 220% 194% 114% 40%Net F&D ($/Mcfe): $1.02 $0.70 $0.78 $0.92Payout (Years): 0.7 0.7 1.0 2.3
Gross 3P Locations(3): 208 198 137 1771. Well economics are based on 6/30/13 3P reserves. Includes gathering, compression and processing fees.2. Pricing for a 1225 BTU y-grade barrel.3. Gross 3P locations representative of BTU regime; EUR and economics within regime will vary based on BTU content.
NYMEX($/MMBtu)
WTI($/Bbl)
NGL(2)
($/Bbl)
2013 $3.64 $95 $50.24
2014 $3.91 $90 $48.78
2015 $4.14 $86 $47.43
2016 $4.28 $83 $46.72
2017+ $4.46 $81 $46.72
208198
137177220%
194%
114%
40%0
50
100
150
200
250
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
Highly-Rich Gas/Condensate
Highly-Rich Gas Rich Gas Dry Gas
Gro
ss L
ocat
ions
RO
RLocations ROR
SIGNIFICANT MIDSTREAM INFRASTRUCTURE POSITION
20
Ohio River WithdrawalJanuary 2014
completion date
Antero estimated YE 2013 total capital investment in midstream ≈ $980 million– Includes gathering lines, compressor
stations and water handling infrastructure
Proprietary water sourcing and distribution system − Improves operational efficiency and
reduces water truck traffic− Cost savings of up to $600,000 -
$800,000 / well− One of the benefits of a consolidated
acreage positionQualifies for midstream MLP
UticaShale
MarcellusShale
Midstream Infrastructure(1)
Marcellus Shale
Utica Shale Total
YE 2013 Estimated Total Gathering / Compression Capex ($MM) $510 $220 $730Gathering Pipelines (Miles) 83 20 103Compressor Stations 4 0 4
YE 2013 Estimated Total WaterSystem Capex ($MM) $200 $50 $250Water Pipeline (Miles) 71 37 108Water Storage Facilities 17 2 19
YE 2013 Estimated Total Midstream($MM) $710 $270 $980
1. Represents inception to date actuals as of 9/30/2013 and remaining 2013 budget.
CAPITALIZATION
1. Initial public offering priced on 10/10/2013; equity valuation based on 262.0 million shares outstanding and a share price of $54.69 as of 12/5/2013. Enterprise value includes net debt. 2. Lender commitments under the facility reduced to $1.5 billion from $1.75 billion on 10/21/2013; commitments can be expanded to the full $2.0 billion borrowing base upon bank approval.3. $1,000 million 5.375% Senior Notes priced on 10/24/2013, $525 million 9.375% Senior Notes called, $25 million 9.00% Senior Note redeemed, 35% of $400 million 7.25% Senior Notes redeemed and transaction fees.
PRO FORMA CAPITALIZATION
($ in millions) 9/30/2013(PF IPO)
9/30/2013 (1)(PF Bond Offering)
9/30/2013(3)
Cash $12 $77 $339
Senior Secured Revolving Credit Facility 1,513 – –9.375% Senior Notes Due 2017 525 525 –9.00% Senior Note 25 25 –7.25% Senior Notes Due 2019 400 400 2606.00% Senior Notes Due 2020 525 525 5255.375% Senior Notes Due 2021 – – 1,000Net Unamortized Premium 8 8 6Total Debt $2,996 $1,483 $1,791
Net Debt $2,984 $1,406 $1,452
Shareholders' Equity $1,875 $3,453 $3,427Net Book Capitalization $4,859 $4,859 $4,879
Net Market Capitalization(1) N/M $15,735 $15,781
Financial & Operating StatisticsLTM EBITDAX $521 $521 $521
Proved Reserves (Bcfe) (6/30/2013) 6,282 6,282 6,282
Proved Developed Reserves (Bcfe) (6/30/2013) 1,445 1,445 1,445
Credit Statistics
Net Debt / LTM EBITDAX 5.7x 2.7x 2.8xLTM EBITDAX / Interest Expense 4.1x 4.7x 5.1xNet Debt / Net Book Capitalization 61.4% 28.9% 29.8%Net Debt / Net Market Capitalization N/M 8.9% 9.2%Net Debt / Proved Developed Reserves ($/Mcfe) $2.07 $0.97 $1.01Net Debt / Proved Reserves ($/Mcfe) $0.48 $0.22 $0.23
LiquidityCredit Facility Commitments(2) $1,750 $1,500 $1,500Less: Borrowings (1,513) – –Less: Letters of Credit (32) (32) (32)Plus: Cash 12 77 339
Liquidity (Credit Facility + Cash) $217 $1,545 $1,807
21
Keys to Execution
Pad Impact Mitigation Closed loop mud system – no mud pits Protective liners or mats on all well pads in addition to berms
Green Completion Units All Antero well completions use green completion units for completion flowback,
essentially eliminating methane emissions (full compliance with EPA 2015requirements)
Central Fresh Water System & Water Recycling
Numerous sources of water – building central water system to source water forcompletion
Antero recycles over 95% of its flowback water with the remainder injected into disposal wells – no discharge to water treatment plants in West Virginia
Natural Gas Powered Drilling Rigs
Eight of Antero’s contracted drilling rigs are running on natural gas and the majority of its rigs should run on natural gas by year-end 2013
Natural Gas Vehicles (NGV)
Antero supported the first natural gas fueling station in West Virginia which recently opened
Antero has a dozen NGV trucks and plans to continue to convert its truck fleet to NGV
Safety & Environmental
Five company safety representatives and 40 safety consultants cover all material field operations 24/7 including drilling, completion, construction and pipelining
10-person company environmental staff plus outside consultants monitor all operations and perform baseline water well testing
Local Presence Land office in Ellenboro, WV Recently moved into new 50,000 square foot district office in Bridgeport, WV 87 of Antero’s 233 employees are located in West Virginia and Ohio
LEED Gold Headquarters Building
Antero’s new corporate headquarters in Denver has been LEED Gold Certified Completion expected by spring of 2014
HEALTH, SAFETY, ENVIRONMENT & COMMUNITY
22
Protection Of Our People And The Environment Is An Antero Core Value
Strong West Virginia Presence Over 75% of Antero Marcellus
employees and contract workers are West Virginia residents
Antero named Business of the Year for 2013 in Harrison County, West Virginia “For outstanding corporate citizenship and community involvement”
Antero representatives recently participated in a ribbon cutting with the Governor of West Virginia for the grand opening of the first natural gas fueling station in the state; Antero supported the station with volume commitments for its NGV truck fleet
ANTERO KEY ATTRIBUTES
23
450,000 Net Acres in the Core Marcellus and Utica Shales
“Triple Digit” Historical Production and Reserve Growth
Low Cost Leader / High Return Projects
Significant Takeaway and Processing Capacity Already in Place
Clean Balance Sheet Supports High Growth Story
“Forward Thinking” Management Team with a History of Success
24
APPENDIX
24
ANTERO FIRM TRANSPORTATION AND FIRM SALES
25
MMBtu/d
Columbia7/26/2009 – 9/30/2025
Firm Sales #110/1/2011– 10/31/2019
Firm Sales #2
10/1/2011 – 5/31/2017
Firm Sales #3
1/1/2013 – 5/31/2022
Momentum III9/1/2012 – 12/31/2021
EQT8/1/2012 – 8/31/2021
Chicago Direct4/1/2013 – 9/30/2021
-
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
1. 24-hour peak rates assume full ethane recovery (assuming typical ethane plant product recoveries of 85% to 90%) however Antero is currently rejecting ethane due to current market prices. 2. Average of Antero’s first 12 wells, assuming ethane rejection.
UTICA SHALE WELLS – ANTERO INITIAL RESULTS
26
LateralWell Oil Eq. Rate Wellhead Gas Shrunk Gas NGL Condensate % Total LengthName County (Boe/d)(1) (MMcf/d) (MMcf/d) (Bbl/d) (Bbl/d) Liquids BTU (Feet)
Yontz 1H Monroe 8,879 38.9 33.9 3,177 52 36% 1161 5,115Rubel 1H Monroe 7,917 31.1 25.9 3,391 214 46% 1231 6,554Gary 2H Monroe 7,246 28.9 24.2 3,053 162 44% 1224 8,882Rubel 3H Monroe 7,097 28.4 23.7 3,003 142 44% 1220 6,424Rubel 2H Monroe 6,241 24.8 20.7 2,635 156 45% 1217 6,571Norman 1H Monroe 6,181 26.1 22.3 2,419 45 40% 1186 5,498Wayne 3HA Noble 5,852 14.7 11.6 2,018 1,905 67% 1272 6,712Wayne 4H Noble 5,698 14.2 11.2 1,907 1,922 67% 1265 6,493Wayne 2H Noble 4,257 10.9 8.5 1,503 1,331 67% 1281 6,094Miley 2H Noble 3,740 8.6 6.7 1,172 1,450 70% 1278 6,153Miley 5HA Noble 3,369 7.7 6.0 1,090 1,285 70% 1291 6,296Sanford Noble 1,148 1.8 1.4 256 653 79% 1316 7,159
5,635 19.7 16.3 2,135 776 56% 1245 6,4964,677 19.7 18.5 819 776 40% 1245 6,496
Average ‐ Ethane RecoveryAverage ‐ Ethane Rejection(2)
24‐hr Peak Rate
CONSIDERABLE RESERVE BASE WITH ETHANE OPTIONALITY 26 year proved reserve life from current production annualized Reserve base provides significant exposure to liquids-rich projects
– 3P reserves of over 1.6 BBbl of NGLs and condensate in ethane recovery mode; 31% liquids
1. Ethane rejection occurs when ethane is left in the wellhead gas stream as the gas is processed, rather than being separated out and sold as a liquid after fractionation. When ethane is left in the gas stream, the BTU content of the residue gas at the outlet of the processing plant is higher. Producers will elect to “reject” ethane when the price received for the higher BTU residue gas is greater than the price received for the ethane being sold as a liquid after fractionation. When ethane is recovered, the BTU content of the residue gas is lower, but a producer is then able to recover the value of the ethane sold as a separate NGL product.
ETHANE REJECTION(1) ETHANE RECOVERY(1)
27
Marcellus – 18.7 Tcfe
Utica – 5.3 Tcfe
Upper Devonian – 3.8 Tcfe
27.7Tcfe
Gas – 23.8 Tcf
Oil – 71 MMBbls
NGLs – 595 MMBbls
Marcellus – 21.8 Tcfe
Utica – 6.1 Tcfe
Upper Devonian – 4.2 Tcfe
32.1Tcfe
Gas – 22.2 Tcf
Oil – 71 MMBbls
NGLs – 1,580 MMBbls
14%Liquids
31%Liquids
Gas $4.39
Gas$4.12
Gas$4.07
Gas$4.00
Condensate$0.37
Condensate$0.70
NGLs (C3+)$1.04
NGLs(C3+)$2.39
NGLs(C3+)$3.23
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$7.00
$8.00
$9.00
1050 BTU 1150 BTU 1250 BTU 1300 BTU
$4.39$5.16
$6.84
$7.94
MARCELLUS SHALE RICH GAS –LIQUIDS AND PROCESSING UPGRADE
1. Assumes $4.25/MMBtu NYMEX, $90.00/Bbl WTI and current NGL spot prices. 1.054 and 2.070 (ethane rejection) and 3.332 and 5.145 (ethane recovery) GPM s used, all processing costs, shrink and fuel included. No ethane takeaway available until Enterprise ethane pipeline is online (expected 1Q 2014). Ethane recovery well economics include fixed fee cost tariff on ATEX ethane pipeline.
Current – Ethane Rejection
(1073 BTU)8% shrink
(1103 BTU)12% shrink
(1110 BTU)14% shrink
$/Wellhead Mcf(1)
($/Mcf)
Marcellus Shale rich gas and highly-rich gas acreage provides a significant advantage in well economics – assuming $4.25/MMBtu NYMEX, $90.00/Bbl WTI and current spot NGL pricing correlation
Upgrade analysis demonstrates that ethane recovery is not economic at current ethane price
28
+$0.77Upgrade
+$2.45Upgrade
+$3.55Upgrade
Rich GasDry Gas
2013 YEAR-TO-DATE REALIZATIONS
Ethane (C2)
Propane (C3)
Iso Butane (C4)
Normal Butane
Natural Gasoline
Total $50.73 per Bbl48% of WTI(3)
9/30/2013 YTD NGL Y-GRADE (C3+) REALIZATIONS
9/30/2013 YTD NATURAL GAS REALIZATIONS
55%
1%
11%
16%
17%
$27.69
$5.72
$8.04
$8.69
$0.59
291. NYMEX differential represents contractual deduct to NYMEX-based sales.2. Includes firm sales.3. Based on monthly prices through 9/30/2013 WTI.
Antero Barrel
YTD % Sales
Average NYMEX Price
AverageDifferential(2)
AverageBTU Upgrade
Average YTD Realized Price
TCO 76% $3.68 $(0.07) $0.44 $4.05Dominion South 18% $3.68 $(0.39) $0.42 $3.71NYMEX(1) 5% $3.68 $(0.40) $0.41 $3.69TETCO 1% $3.68 $(0.34) $0.47 $3.80
Total 100% $3.68 $(0.15) $0.44 $3.97
ANTERO EBITDAX RECONCILIATION
30
EBITDAX Reconciliation($ in thousands) (9 Months Ended)Antero Resources LLC 9/30/12 9/30/2013
EBITDAX:Net income (loss) from continuing operations $140,431 $200,990Commodity derivative fair value (gains) losses (52,210) (285,510)Net cash receipts on settled commodity derivatives instruments 141,506 109,311(Gain) loss on sale of assets (291,190) -Interest expense and other 71,046 100,840Provision (benefit) for income taxes 108,525 120,695Depreciation, depletion, amortization and accretion 65,360 159,447Impairment of unproved properties 4,019 9,564Exploration expense 7,912 17,034Other 2,992 1,820EBITDAX from continuing operations $198,391 $434,191
EBITDAX:Net income (loss) from discontinued operations ($418,465)Commodity derivative fair value (gains) losses (46,358)Net cash receipts on settled commodity derivatives instruments 79,736(Gain) loss on sale of assets 427,232Provision (benefit) for income taxes 4,085Depreciation, depletion, amortization and accretion 77,654Impairment of unproved properties 962Exploration expense 507EBITDAX from discontinued operations $125,353
EBITDAX $323,744 $434,191
CAUTIONARY NOTE
The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved, probable and possible reserve estimates (collectively, “3P”). Antero has provided internally generated estimates for proved, probable and possible reserves in this presentation in accordance with SEC guidelines and definitions. The estimates of proved, probable and possible reserves as of June 30, 2013 included in this presentation have been audited by Antero’s third-party engineers. Unless otherwise noted, reserve estimates are as of June 30, 2013, assuming ethane rejection and strip pricing.
Actual quantities that may be ultimately recovered from Antero’s interests may differ substantially from the estimates in this presentation. Factors affecting ultimate recovery include the scope of Antero’s ongoing drilling program, which will be directly affected by commodity prices, the availability of capital, drilling and production costs, availability of drilling services and equipment, drilling results, lease expirations, transportation constraints, regulatory approvals and other factors; and actual drilling results, including geological and mechanical factors affecting recovery rates.
In this presentation:
“3P reserves” refer to Antero’s estimated aggregate proved, probable and possible reserves as of June 30, 2013. The SEC prohibits companies from aggregating proved, probable and possible reserves in filings with the SEC due to the different levels of certainty associated with each reserve category.
“EUR,” or “Estimated Ultimate Recovery,” refers to Antero’s internal estimates of per well hydrocarbon quantities that may be potentially recovered from a hypothetical future well completed as a producer in the area. These quantities do not necessarily constitute or represent reserves within the meaning of the Society of Petroleum Engineer’s Petroleum Resource Management System or the SEC’s oil and natural gas disclosure rules.
“Highly-rich/condensate” refers to gas having a heat content between 1275 BTU and 1350 BTU in the Marcellus Shale and 1250 BTU and 1300 BTU in the Utica Shale.
“Highly-rich gas” refers to gas having a heat content between 1200 BTU and 1275 BTU in the Marcellus Shale and 1200 BTU and 1250 BTU in the Utica Shale.
“Rich gas” refers to gas having a heat content of between 1100 BTU to 1200 BTU.
“Dry gas” refers to gas containing insufficient quantities of hydrocarbons heavier than methane to allow their commercial extraction or to require their removal in order to render the gas suitable for fuel use.
Regarding Hydrocarbon Quantities
31