Community Consultation #2Planning Engagement 9/23-11/3

Advisory Council Meeting August 14, 2019

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Four Formats | September 23-November 3

A. Richmond 300 Meeting: 30-minute presentation followed by 60 minutes of Open House

B. Richmond 300 Office Hours: 2-3 hours in the community in libraries and coffee shops

C. Meetings by Others: 5-minute pitch during existing meetings

D. Richmond 300 Website: survey and wikimaps

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A. Richmond 300 Meeting | 7 meetings30-minute presentation followed by 60 minutes of Open House

All meetings are 6-7:30 P.M.

− Oct 3: Huguenot HS Auditorium (4th District)

− Oct 8: Location TBD (8th and 9th Districts)

− Oct 9: Main Library (2nd and 6th Districts)

− Oct 23: Mary Munford ES Auditorium (1st and 2nd Districts)

− Oct 24: Police Academy (2nd and 3rd Districts)

− Oct 29: Patrick Henry ES Auditorium (4th, 5th, & 8th Districts)

− Oct 30: MLK MS Auditorium (6th and 7th Districts)

We will have a draft of the meeting materials at the dry-run at the next Advisory Council meeting on September 11th

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B. Richmond 300 Office Hours | 20+Staff and Engagement Team office hours

2-3 hours between 8 A.M. and 6 P.M.

Locations are TBD, but may include:

− Libraries

− Coffee shops (Stir Crazy, Urban Hang Suite, Brewer’s Waffles, Front Porch Café, etc.)

− Public Housing Community Centers

We will finalize the locations once the Engagement Team is on board.

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C. Meetings by Others− 5-minute pitch by Planning Staff and/or Engagement Team on

why Richmond 300 matters and how to make your voice heard

− If allowed by the event, we can give the full 30-minutes presentation instead of the 5-minute pitch

− Please let us know of meetings where you think we should present.

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D. Richmond 300 Website− Survey Monkey survey to obtain comments on the draft visions,

goals, objectives and strategies

− We are going to set up the survey so that users can select the topic(s) and area(s) of the city that they are most interested in and then they will be asked questions related to the topic(s) and areas(s) they selected

− WikiMaps to obtain comments on the future land use map and future connections map

We will have a draft of the Survey and Maps at the dry-run at the next Advisory Council meeting on September 11th

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Other Items− City Planning Commission Retreat: date TBD

− Public Comment during City Council meetings:

− September 9

− September 23

− October 14

− Valentine’s Controversy History: October 1

− Gallery 5 World Café Forum: October 16

ProjectionsExcerpts from the 2017 CURA Report

Advisory Council Meeting August 14, 2019

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Projections | Excerpts from the CURA Report− VCU’s Center for Urban and Regional

Analysis (CURA) prepared population, housing, and land use projections for Richmond 300

− See the report at www.richmond300.com/insights

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Assumptions− Assumes the continuation of the

recent 15-year trend of attracting people of college age, young adults, and members of the Baby Boomer generation

− Continued out-migration of families with young children.

Annual growth rate: 0.76%

2037 population: 260,000

Moderate | Population Projection

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Moderate | Housing Projection Annual growth rate: 0.76%2037 pop.: 260,000

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Moderate | Land Use ProjectionAssumptions− Development density increase

over 2015− Significant increase in mixed

use commercial and office use− 25% of multi-family residential

incorporated in mixed land use− Most additional commercial and

office uses will redevelop existing sites

− Industrial land significantly constrained

− Higher density townhouse development on redevelopment sites

Annual growth rate: 0.76%2037 pop.: 260,000

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Assumptions− Assumes that Richmond will

become increasingly attractive to young, working, and older adults.

− Some families with young children will move out of the city, yielding a negative net migration for children 0 to 4 years old.

− This projection assumes the rate of population growth will be the same as the Richmond regional growth – 1.5%

Annual growth rate: 1.5%

2037 population: 300,000

Strong | Population Projection

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Strong | Housing ProjectionAnnual growth rate: 1.5%2037 pop.: 300,000

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Strong | Land Use ProjectionAssumptions− Development density increase over

2015− Residential use development at

increased density− Higher density townhouse

development on redevelopment sites− Office development principally in

multi-story or mixed-use buildings− Significant increase in mixed-use

commercial and office use− 25% of multi-family residential

incorporated in mixed-use development

− Most additional commercial, institutional, government, and office uses will redevelop existing sites

− Industrial land significantly constrained – land projected for intense industrial; warehouse space to develop elsewhere

Annual growth rate: 1.5%2037 pop.: 300,000

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Dynamic | Population ProjectionAssumptions− Assumes strong growth of

families with children, young and old adults, and dynamic job growth within the city.

Annual growth rate: 2.5%

2037 population: 340,000

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Dynamic | Housing ProjectionAnnual growth rate: 2.5%2037 pop.: 340,000

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Dynamic| Land Use ProjectionAssumptions− Significant development density

increase over 2015− All residential uses develop at

increased density− Higher-density townhouse

development on redevelopment sites− Office development will principally be

in multi-story or mixed-use buildings− Significant increase in mixed-use

commercial and office use− 25% of multi-family residential

incorporated in mixed-use development

− Most additional commercial, institutional, government, and office uses will redevelop existing sites

− Industrial land significantly constrained – land projected for intense industrial; warehouse space to develop elsewhere

Annual growth rate: 2.5%2037 pop.: 340,000

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Room to grow− 2,289 vacant

buildings− 5% abandoned− 28% property

violation− 83% residential

− 3,131 acres of vacant land

− 3,917 acres of under-developed land

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5,800 ppl/sq. mi. in 1950. 3,840 ppl/sq. mi. in 2015 (in same area)

Richmond is less dense than it was in 1950.

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Richmond is less dense than comparable cities.

Market AnalysesExcerpts from the 2017 CURA Report

Advisory Council Meeting August 14, 2019

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Market Analyses − How many more households earning a median

income would the neighborhood need to support a small (25,000 sf) and a large (44,094 sf) grocery store?

− Focus on food deserts

− Convenience trade area: the approximate distance an individual is willing to travel for convenience grocery items such as milk or eggs

− See the report at www.richmond300.com/insights

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Brookland Park Boulevard− Exceeds demand threshold

to support a smaller store*− Meets 80% of demand

required to support a large grocery store

− Approx. population loss− 1970: 24,000− 2010: 13,000

*Note, the market does not generally lean towards establishing small grocery stores

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Church Hill / Nine Mile Road− Exceeds demand threshold

to support a smaller store*− Meets 80% of demand

required to support a large grocery store

*Note, the market does not generally lean towards establishing small grocery stores

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Fulton− Does not meet the demand

to support a smaller store*− Needs at least 1,000 more

households to support a smaller store

− Population loss− 1950: 6,000− 2014: 3,000

*Note, the market does not generally lean towards establishing small grocery stores

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Hull St

− Could potentially support a smaller store*

− Needs <1,000 more households to support a larger store

*Note, the market does not generally lean towards establishing small grocery stores

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Route 1 South

− Cannot support a small or large grocery store

− Needs at least 1,000 more households to support a smaller store*

− Needs 5,000 more households to support a larger store

*Note, the market does not generally lean towards establishing small grocery stores