COMMON MARKET THEORY Lecture outline Ref com mkt oct08.

23
COMMON MARKET THEORY Lecture outline Ref com mkt oct08

Transcript of COMMON MARKET THEORY Lecture outline Ref com mkt oct08.

Page 1: COMMON MARKET THEORY Lecture outline Ref com mkt oct08.

COMMON MARKET THEORY

Lecture outlineRef com mkt oct08

Page 2: COMMON MARKET THEORY Lecture outline Ref com mkt oct08.

Introduction

If add free movement of all F of P to CU, result is common market (CM)

So far assumed F of P immobile within CU & RoW

EU more than a CUThis is one theory that underlies the

single (internal) market

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(1) Heckscher - Ohlin (H O) theory

Factor price equalisation occurs with free movement of goods, even without

factor movements perfect competition assumptions! allocation of resources efficient lab abundant country - lab price low (K price high).

Country specialises where it has a factor endowment - raising the price of lab (while scarce K falls in price as demand low)

See handout for outline of H-O model

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CU & factor price equalisation before formation of CU tariffs & other

barriers prevented FP equalisation post- CU: move to FP equalisation, but not

completenon-traded goodsNTBs

but, if extend CU thru factor mobility, possibly achieve additional welfare benefits

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(2) Free factor mobility

Assume

1. 1 factor (labour) mobile

2. 2 countries North (N) E.U. & South(S). E.U.

S - labour abundant

3. Perfect competition

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See diagram

a) labour force in N = ON LO

labour force in S = OS LO

Difference in real wage(w)=Wn-WS

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real wage (w) w

O N O S

MPL NorthMPL South

North South

Wn

Ws

Lo

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b) Emigration S to N = LO L1

Equalisation of real wage = (Wc)

Workers in S attracted by higher wages to N

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c) Welfare gain = area ABC in EU due to reallocation

as the MPL (N) > MPL (S) before migration. Thus, increased

production in N > fall in production in S as lab is reallocated

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real wage (w) w

O N O S

MPL NorthMPL South

North South

Wn

Ws

Lo

A

B

C

L1

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Relevant today- EU15 v CEECs

real wage (w) w

O N O S

MPL NorthMPL South

C

L1North South

Wc

Wc

Wn

Ws

Lo

A

B

D

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d) Redistribution of rewards - depends where migrant workers live & where their wages are spent Lab remaining in S receive higher real wages,

while real wages fall in N If migrant workers reside & spend in N - N’s income

rises by LoBCL1 & S’s income falls by LoACL1 If ‘border’ workers live in S, N’s income rises by

only BCD & S’s income rises by DCA

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3 Capital(K) mobility & labour immobile model

N is capital rich, K = On Ko In S, K = OsKo

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real interest rate (r%) r%

O N O S

MPk NorthMPk South

Ko

rsB

C

A

rn

Y

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Free movement K from N to S (where higher r%) Equilibrium K* (move Ko to K*) R% = ru Likely new investment

Welfare gain area ABC

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real interest rate (r%) r%

O N O S

MPk NorthMPk South

Ko

rsB

C

A

K*

rn

Y

ru ru

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Tax distortions (+ see case study)

Assume (above) no tax or equal tax on K in N & S

If tax rates on K differ, investors aim for low tax country

IFNo tax in S50% tax on K in N (NO tax

harmonisation) MPkN shown by X-Y

New equilibrium K1 rather than K*

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real interest rate (r%) r%

O N O S

MPk NorthMPk South

Ko

rsB

C

A

K*

rn

X

Y

Dru ru

K1

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Welfare loss ADE, compared with optimal allocation

BUT, if tax in S > tax in N (not shown) Further K could flow to K rich N

Ie. Flow the ‘wrong way’

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real interest rate (r%) r%

O N O S

MPk NorthMPk South

Ko

rsB

C

A

K*

rn

X

Y

Dru ru

K1

E

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(4) Conclusions

1 EU wage differentials exist not full lab mobility partial welfare gain BYZA capital is more mobile You should research EU wage & interest rate

(eg. 10yr bond yields) convergence over the last 20yrs - see Eurostat

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real wage (w) w

O N O S

MPL NorthMPL South

C

L1North South

Wc

Wc

Wn

Ws

Lo

A

B

D

Y

Z

X

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2 Criticise perfect competition would expect dynamic effects of integration to

lead to mergers

3 Neglects interaction of K&L4 Second best5 Tax distortions6 Effect of multinationals in the EU?