Commercialization of Micro LED - TrendForceseminar.trendforce.com/Ledforum/2016/TW/download/10_Roger...

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Commercialization of Micro LED Sep.30, 2016 Roger Chu Research Director, LEDinside [email protected]

Transcript of Commercialization of Micro LED - TrendForceseminar.trendforce.com/Ledforum/2016/TW/download/10_Roger...

Page 1: Commercialization of Micro LED - TrendForceseminar.trendforce.com/Ledforum/2016/TW/download/10_Roger Chu... · Commercialization of Micro LED Sep.30, 2016 Roger Chu ... Consumer Display

Commercialization of Micro LED

Sep.30, 2016

Roger ChuResearch Director, LEDinside

[email protected]

Page 2: Commercialization of Micro LED - TrendForceseminar.trendforce.com/Ledforum/2016/TW/download/10_Roger Chu... · Commercialization of Micro LED Sep.30, 2016 Roger Chu ... Consumer Display

Industrialization of Micro LED

Micro LED’s Role in Evolution of Display

Challenges of Micro LED’s Commercialization

Micro LED’s Potential and Market Development

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LED Display Applications- Backlight and Pixel Light (1/2)

Public Display LED Display

Monocolour

RGB

Consumer DisplayLCD Display with

LED Backlight

Direct-Lit

Edge-LitPhone/Tablet/MNT/TV/Wearable/Projector/Auto

Outdoor/Indoor

Application Segment Display Technology

LED as Pixel

LED as Backlight

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LED Type: White LEDLED Size: 3 mm X 3 mmPixel Control: Liquid CrystalBackplane: TFT GlassBrightness: 300~400 nitsPPI:40~100

LED Display Applications- Backlight and Pixel Light (2/2)

TV Signage

LED Type: RGB LEDLED Size: 0.8 mm X 0.8 mmPixel Control: LEDBackplane: PCBBrightness: 500~1000 nitsPPI: 10~20

3030 1313 0808 0505

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LED Larger than Pixel-Backlight

PixelSize

LEDSize

3,000 μm

20

0 μ

m

200 μm

3,0

00

μm

55” 4K TV

Light Pixel Control

Plane light source used as backlight

Optical Design Lens (D) LGP (E)

LCD and polarizer realizes pixel gray scale and switch

Pixel Control Pixel→L/C Sub-Pixel→C/F

Page 6: Commercialization of Micro LED - TrendForceseminar.trendforce.com/Ledforum/2016/TW/download/10_Roger Chu... · Commercialization of Micro LED Sep.30, 2016 Roger Chu ... Consumer Display

Pixel Larger than LED-Micro LED

PixelSize

LEDSize

50 μm

20

0 μ

m

200 μm

50

μm

55” 4K TV

Light Pixel Control

Using point light sources as the emission layer

The process is similar to the cell procedure in TFT process.

Direct pixel control with μLED, similar to OLED

Pixel Control Pixel→ μLED Sub-Pixel→

μLED

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Light Source and Pixel is the Core of Display (2/2)

CRT PDP LCD OLED QLED µLED

Ligh

tP

ixe

lizat

ion

Electron Gun +

Deflection Electrode +

Shadow Mask

Address Electrode

TFT + Liquid Crystal + Prism

Phosphor

CCFL + C/F LED PKG (Blue Chip + Phosphor/QD) +C/F

TFT

OLED (+C/F)

Quantum Dot

LED Chip (+QD)

Past Future

CRT FPD Self-emissive

Page 8: Commercialization of Micro LED - TrendForceseminar.trendforce.com/Ledforum/2016/TW/download/10_Roger Chu... · Commercialization of Micro LED Sep.30, 2016 Roger Chu ... Consumer Display

Combination of High Density Circuit and High Density Light Source

TFT

L/C

PCB

LEDLED

Display

TFTLCD

µLEDDisplay

TFT/CMOS

LED

PPI

CMOS

L/C

LCOS

LOW

HIGH

5-2

03

0-3

00

1K

Increase of viewing angle

Increase of brightness/contrast

Increase of color gamut

Increase of brightness/contrast

Lower power consumption

Increase of free backplane space

Page 9: Commercialization of Micro LED - TrendForceseminar.trendforce.com/Ledforum/2016/TW/download/10_Roger Chu... · Commercialization of Micro LED Sep.30, 2016 Roger Chu ... Consumer Display

Challenges of Micro LED’s Commercialization

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Micro LED Requires Highly Supply Chain Integration

LED

Backplane

MEMS

Driver IC

Chemical

Material

System

Page 11: Commercialization of Micro LED - TrendForceseminar.trendforce.com/Ledforum/2016/TW/download/10_Roger Chu... · Commercialization of Micro LED Sep.30, 2016 Roger Chu ... Consumer Display

Varied Micro LED technology Development

Micro LED

Transfer

Bonding

Full-Color

Method

BGA

Nano Tube

ACF

RGB chip

ColorConversion

NanoPhosphor

QuantumDot

PixelatedFilm

Micro Inkjet

WaferBonding

Thin-filmTransfer

Pick &Place

Epitaxy

Horizontal

Vertical

Page 12: Commercialization of Micro LED - TrendForceseminar.trendforce.com/Ledforum/2016/TW/download/10_Roger Chu... · Commercialization of Micro LED Sep.30, 2016 Roger Chu ... Consumer Display

Multifaceted Technical Barriers for Micro LED to Overcome

LED Epitaxy

•Uniformity

•Height

•Substrate Lift-off

Transfer

•Accuracy/Precision

•Temporary Substrate/Adhesive

•Mems/Nozzle

Bonding

•Bonding Force

•Electric Conductivity

•Heat-resistant

Others

•Optic (Crosstalk/Mura)

•Color Conversion

•Circuit/Driver

Page 13: Commercialization of Micro LED - TrendForceseminar.trendforce.com/Ledforum/2016/TW/download/10_Roger Chu... · Commercialization of Micro LED Sep.30, 2016 Roger Chu ... Consumer Display

Apple and Sony’s Micro LED Commercialization

Big Size

Small Size

300~600 PPI

Reduce PPI

Reduce Pixel

Volume

Yield Rate Improvement

Company Product PPI Sub-Pixel Qty.

Sony Crystal LED Display 40 6,220,800

Sony CLEDISTM 15 345,600

Apple Apple Watch 38mm 290 277,440

4K Display (3840 X 2160) By Size 24,883,200

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Micro LED’s Potential and Future Market Development

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Micro LED Potential Market Opportunity

Micro LED

Wearable

Signage

Automotive

HMD

2”

100”

Panel Size

4”

12”

55”

Short Term

Mid Term

Long Term

UltimateGoal

Page 16: Commercialization of Micro LED - TrendForceseminar.trendforce.com/Ledforum/2016/TW/download/10_Roger Chu... · Commercialization of Micro LED Sep.30, 2016 Roger Chu ... Consumer Display

BL-LED Chip PKG LB BLU LCM Display

Micro LED Triggers Supply Chain Reshuffle (1/2)

Integrator

Micro LED

Chip Micro LED Module Display

LED Maker

Panel Maker

Panel Maker

LED Maker

Panel

Micro

LED

Array

T-Con

Driver

IC

Page 17: Commercialization of Micro LED - TrendForceseminar.trendforce.com/Ledforum/2016/TW/download/10_Roger Chu... · Commercialization of Micro LED Sep.30, 2016 Roger Chu ... Consumer Display

Micro LED Triggers Supply Chain Reshuffle (2/2)

Smooth manufacturing

process

Mass

Transfer

Die Bond

Wire Bond

SMTBL/LC

Assembly

Pro-longed

manufacturing process

LED

Chip

Display

Evaporation

OLEDMaterial

Display

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Market Value and Output of Display Related Applications

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

LED PKG Value (M USD)

Consumer Display Public Display Automotive Display

$4,952

M USD

$4,536$4,357 $4,190 $4,127

$4,007

Page 19: Commercialization of Micro LED - TrendForceseminar.trendforce.com/Ledforum/2016/TW/download/10_Roger Chu... · Commercialization of Micro LED Sep.30, 2016 Roger Chu ... Consumer Display

Micro LED as Replacement in Existing Display Market

Consumer Display Automotive Display Public Display

Technology Replaced by Micro LED

Total Revenue(M USD/Year)

Consumer Display Back Light UnitLiquid CrystalPolarizerColor Filter

$30,000

Automotive Display $5,000

Public Display PLCC RGB LED $2,000

Demand Side

Supply Side

Epi

Yield%

Transfer

Yield%

Equip.

Depreciation

Test/

Repair Cost Barrier

TFT-LCD

OLED

Micro LED

Page 20: Commercialization of Micro LED - TrendForceseminar.trendforce.com/Ledforum/2016/TW/download/10_Roger Chu... · Commercialization of Micro LED Sep.30, 2016 Roger Chu ... Consumer Display

Opportunity

Creation

Replacement

Micro LED

Super high PPI

Super Power Saving

High WCG

High Contrast

Ratio

Short Response

Time

High Brightness

Long Life

Time

Flexible Transparent Multi-function

Will It Create Opportunities or Simply Replace Existing Technology?

Page 21: Commercialization of Micro LED - TrendForceseminar.trendforce.com/Ledforum/2016/TW/download/10_Roger Chu... · Commercialization of Micro LED Sep.30, 2016 Roger Chu ... Consumer Display

Micro LED and its Unlimited New Market Potential

SmartLighting HUD

Projector AR/VR

Page 22: Commercialization of Micro LED - TrendForceseminar.trendforce.com/Ledforum/2016/TW/download/10_Roger Chu... · Commercialization of Micro LED Sep.30, 2016 Roger Chu ... Consumer Display

Micro LED Technology is a Revolution and Paradigm Shift

Mass

Transfer

Micro-

Assembly

Backplane Backplane

Micro LED

Touch

Micro transfer of things!

Van der Waals Forces

Static Electricity

Micro LED

Free Space

Omni-Display panel

Display

Comm.Sensing

Transfer and integration of micro-

component

Page 23: Commercialization of Micro LED - TrendForceseminar.trendforce.com/Ledforum/2016/TW/download/10_Roger Chu... · Commercialization of Micro LED Sep.30, 2016 Roger Chu ... Consumer Display

TrendForce

LEDinside

WitsView

DRAMeXchange

EnergyTrend

TRI

Thank you!

儲于超 Roger Chu,

Research Director of LEDinside, TrendForce

[email protected]

www.ledinside.com

Page 24: Commercialization of Micro LED - TrendForceseminar.trendforce.com/Ledforum/2016/TW/download/10_Roger Chu... · Commercialization of Micro LED Sep.30, 2016 Roger Chu ... Consumer Display

EquipmentMaterial

Chip

Sapphire and Chip Market Report

Chinese LED Package Industry

Chinese LED Chip

and Package Industry Report

Global LEDPackage

Industry Data Base

Gold / Gold+

Member Report:

Backlight Lighting

Automotive Display

UVInfrared

Global Lighting

Silver Member

Street LightPanel Light

Plant Growth Lighting

Stage Light2018 Outlook

EU / USJP / CN

UV LED

IR LED

Automotive

μLED

Niche Market

Emerging Lighting

SEA

India

IT Product Backlight

And Lighting Market

Silver+ Member:

TVMobile,

Projector Automotive

CIDOLEDQLED μLED

2018 Outlook

Page 25: Commercialization of Micro LED - TrendForceseminar.trendforce.com/Ledforum/2016/TW/download/10_Roger Chu... · Commercialization of Micro LED Sep.30, 2016 Roger Chu ... Consumer Display

LEDinside Content Characteristics Format Frequency Price

Silver

Lighting Market Trend

Lighting Market Demand (Street Light / Panel Light / Plant Growth Light / Stage

Light / 2018 Outlook),Market Scale, Product Specification and Price, Policy and

Standards, Player Strategy

PDF

Quarterly / Annual

USD 4,000

LED Price Survey2835, 5630, 3030, 7070, 1~3W LED, 1~5W LED, COB EXCEL

40W/60W Equiv. LED Lamp Price EXCEL

Exhibit Report (TBD) Guangzhou Lighting Fair PDF

Silver+

Lighting Market Trend

Lighting Market Demand (Street Light / Panel Light / Plant Growth Light / Stage

Light / 2018 Outlook),Market Scale, Product Specification and Price, Policy and

Standards, Player Strategy

PDF

Quarterly / Annual

USD 5,000

IT Product and Backlight Market Trend

IT Product and Backlight Market Trend(TV / Mobile / Projector / Automotive CID / OLED & QLED

& μLED / 2018 Outlook)Branding Shipment, LED Market Scale, Product

Specification and Price, Supply Chain

PDF

LED Price Survey

2835, 5630, 3030, 7070, 1~3W LED, 1~5W LED, COB EXCEL

40W/60W Equiv. LED Lamp Price EXCEL

LED Price- Mobile Backlight, Flash LED, Tablet, TV, Monitor, and NB

EXCEL

Exhibit Report (TBD) Guangzhou Lighting Fair PDF

Page 26: Commercialization of Micro LED - TrendForceseminar.trendforce.com/Ledforum/2016/TW/download/10_Roger Chu... · Commercialization of Micro LED Sep.30, 2016 Roger Chu ... Consumer Display

LEDinside Market IntelligenceLEDinside Content Characteristics Format Frequency Price

Gold

Demand2015-2020 market demand in backlight, lighting, automotive,

display, UV, infrared, SSL like and son on

1Q/3Q EXCEL2Q/4Q PDF

Quarterly Update / Annual

Report1Q/3Q: Excel2Q/4Q: PDF

USD 13,200

Supply

Chip market revenue (external sales, total sales)WW new MOCVD chamber installation volume / WW

accumulated MOCVD chamber installation / WW new and accumulated MOCVD by K465i

Epi wafer market demand (total / by size)

ChipTop 10 Chip vendors' MOCVD installation, wafer capacity, and

revenue

PackageLED package vendors' revenue and LED revenue

Top 10 LED package revenues in backlight, lighting, COB, automotive, and display

Price Sapphire / Chip / LED / Bulb

Gold+

Demand2015-2020 market demand in backlight, lighting, automotive,

display, UV, infrared, SSL like and son on

1Q/3Q EXCEL2Q/4Q PDF

Quarterly Update / Annual

Report1Q/3Q: Excel2Q/4Q: PDF USD 16,000

Supply

Chip market revenue (external sales, total sales)WW new MOCVD chamber installation volume / WW

accumulated MOCVD chamber installation / WW new and accumulated MOCVD by K465i

Epi wafer market demand (total / by size)

ChipTop 10 Chip vendors' MOCVD installation, wafer capacity, and

revenue

PackageLED package vendors' revenue and LED revenue

Top 10 LED package revenues in backlight, lighting, COB, automotive, and display

Price Sapphire / Chip / LED / Bulb

LED Industry Quarterly UpdateMajor Manufacturer's Movement

EU / the US / Japan / Korea / Taiwan / China Financial, strategies, product technology and trend

PDF

Quarterly Update /

Annual ReportPDF

Page 27: Commercialization of Micro LED - TrendForceseminar.trendforce.com/Ledforum/2016/TW/download/10_Roger Chu... · Commercialization of Micro LED Sep.30, 2016 Roger Chu ... Consumer Display

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Analysis, opinions and recommendations contained within the report are designed to help our silver members make informed decisions promptly based on the

comprehensive collection of information and judgment. The information and statistical data herein have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but

the accuracy and completeness of the information are not guaranteed. LEDinside makes no guarantee, representation of warranty and accepts no responsibility

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