COMMERCE CORRIDOR - Richmond Regional Planning …€¦ · Transportation Connectivity, ......

COMMERCE CORRIDOR STUDY 1

Photo: City of Richmond

COMMERCE CORRIDOR Transportation Connectivity, Accessibility and Economic Opportunity Study

Richmond Regional Transportation Planning Organization

Technical Advisory Committee

6/13/2017


1969

Commission

Planning District

Stakeholders

3


Introduction to Commerce Corridor

4


Background

Can the already strained transportation system in the study area accommodate and facilitate

anticipated future growth?

5


Task 1: Existing Conditions & Asset Inventory

Task 2: Existing Deficiency & Needs Identification

Task 3: Defining Future & Stakeholder Outreach

Task 4: Market Opportunity Scenario Analysis & Future Needs Assessment

Task 5: Needs Prioritization

Task 6: Solution Identification

Task 7: Assessment of Solutions

Task 8: Identification of Short, Medium, & Long-Term Solutions

Task 9: Implementation Plan/Roadmap

We Are Here

Scope Overview

Focus of Today’s Presentation

6


Task 1 & 2: Existing Transportation Assets & Deficiencies

7


Existing Transportation Assets & Deficiencies

• Transportation Data collected in the following areas:

• Highways

• Horizontal Geometrics – e.g. inadequate radii, short transitions

• Vertical Geometrics – e.g. bridge clearances

• Congestion hot-spots

• Pavement condition

• Bridge condition

• Heavy Truck Percentages

• Crash history

• Transit service in study area

• Rail network, crossings, and bridge clearances

• Port operations and constraints

8


Existing Transportation Assets & Deficiencies

9


Pavement in poor condition

Bridge vertical clearance: 14’-1”Bridge substructure is structurally deficient

Bridge vertical clearance: 14’-1”

Ramp has difficult weave & tight radius with 25 mph warning sign

Loop ramp has tight radius with 20 mph warning sign

Private utility easement under I-95

Pavement in poor condition

I-95 interchange with Route 895 missing SB to EB movement

Insufficient RR crossing / east-west connectivity

Ramp has tight radius with 20 mph warning sign

Route 1 has multiple driveways and intersections that do not meet VDOT standard spacing

Bridge vertical clearance: 14’-1”

Ramp has tight radius with 20 mph warning sign

Private gravel/dirt road under I-95

Deficiencies in:- Roadway geometry- Pavement Condition- Structural condition

Existing Transportation Assets & DeficienciesHighway System

Short green phase for RMT movements

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Task 3: Defining the Future of the Commerce Corridor

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• Be a dynamic, economic engine for the region that serves as its gateway for commerce.

• Be a vibrant, intermodal corridor that provides sustainable, multimodal transportation opportunities.

• Be recognized nationally for its integrated economic and transportation systems development.

• Foster continued growth in quality, well-paying jobs and ladders of opportunity for the community.

• Catalyze investment and redevelopment in the corridor and around the region.

In 2040 the Commerce Corridor will…

Defining the Future of the Commerce Corridor

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• Online and written survey developed to solicit feedback from residents of the Commerce Corridor study area

• Written surveys collected from community meetings:• A Place of Miracle’s Café (10/18/16)

• Bellemeade Civic Association (10/20/16)

• Forty-nine responses were collected.

Defining the Future of the Commerce CorridorPublic Outreach

13


Task 4: Market Opportunity Scenario Analysis

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• Develop Three Corridor Growth Scenarios• Baseline forecast for region

• Two alternative scenarios

• Load growth onto Targeted Development Sites

• Analyze each Scenarios impact on:• Employment by industry/occupation

• Freight production and mode share (rail-truck)

• Daily and AM/PM peak trips

• Identify future transportation system needs

Task 4: Market Opportunity Scenario AnalysisStudy Process

15


Resources:

Regional Travel Model, TREDIS vFreight

Assessment of Solutions

Development Scenarios (2040)Baseline: Anticipated future | Alternative 1 & 2: Instructive

site-specific alternatives (incremental to baseline)

Transportation-Economic ConnectionTrip making/mode share from scenario economic activity

(emphasis: freight)

Transportation Stress TestForecast changes in transportation system performance,

network capacity

Future levels of development, industry mix

Future Transportation NeedsDeficiencies under baseline & 2 alternatives,

holding transportation system constant

SolutionsAlternative

transportation system

System performance

Resources: Prior studies, zoning, economic data/forecasts

Resources: TREDIS vFreight, Regional Travel ModelFuture

demand on the system

Resources: Regional Travel Demand Model,off-line tools for rail

Task 4: Market Opportunity Scenario AnalysisStudy Process


Targeted Development Sites

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Development Scenarios Decision matrix from 11/9/16 meeting

Exercise: Select 2 of the 6 options in the matrix

(Goal: choose instructive plausible alternatives that are incremental to the baseline; explore implications for future transportation needs)

18


Defining the Alternatives

Baseline

Based on RRTPO 2040 Socioeconomic Forecast of population and employment for the region. Held current use of targeted development sites constant (i.e., no-build on target sites) to isolate the effects of site development in the alternative scenarios.

Alternative 1 – Forecast Future Industry Mix

Baseline growth of region plus ‘Forecast Future Industry Mix’ applied to targeted development sites. Development reflects the expected industry mix for the region as a whole in 2040. Dominant activity attracted to target sites is wholesale trade, warehousing and storage and some manufacturing

Alternative 2 – Port-Oriented Manufacturing

Baseline growth of region plus ‘Port-Oriented Manufacturing’ applied to targeted development sites. Development reflects an economic development strategy focused on sectors with strong growth prospects that also rely on containerized ports for import of raw materials or intermediate inputs and/or export of finished products. Dominant activity attracted to target sites is manufacturing.

19


Development Analysis “Ingredients”

Employment: % by Industry

Sq.ft/Employee, by Industry

Floor-Area-RatioTotal Jobs on Each Site, By

Industry

Scenario definition(prior slides)

U.S. Energy Information Administration

Observed Typologies:

Source: Philadelphia Industrial Development Corporation. An Industrial Market and Land Use Strategy for the City of Philadelphia. 2010.

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Final Industry Job Distribution, By Scenario

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Resources:

Regional Travel Model, TREDIS vFreight

Assessment of Solutions

Development Scenarios (2040)Baseline: Anticipated future | Alternative 1 & 2: Instructive

site-specific alternatives (incremental to baseline)

Transportation-Economic ConnectionTrip making/mode share from scenario economic activity

(emphasis: freight)

Transportation Stress TestForecast changes in transportation system performance,

network capacity

Future levels of development, industry mix

Future Transportation NeedsDeficiencies under baseline & 2 alternatives,

holding transportation system constant

SolutionsAlternative

transportation system

System performance

Resources: Prior studies, zoning, economic data/forecasts

Resources: TREDIS vFreight, Regional Travel ModelFuture

demand on the system

Resources: Regional Travel Demand Model,off-line tools for rail

Task 4: Market Opportunity Scenario AnalysisRecap: Study Process

22


4 Categories of Needs

• Highway-Oriented

• Rail-Oriented

• Port-Oriented

• Miscellaneous (Policy, etc.)

Illustrative Example:

Needs and Solutions

H7.1

Upon specific redevelopment details at Site 1, perform necessary traffic study to determine

what improvements are needed beyond that included in Need H5 above. This includes

function of Bells Road Access Rd.

H7.2Construct missing link of Walmsley Boulevard with grade separated crossing of

CSX Bellwood Subdivision Line.

Improve truck / auto capacity into

and out of Site 1 (Altria / DuPont)

Need Solution

23


• Short-, Medium-, and Long-Term Solutions under review by Stakeholder Committee

• Draft deliverables under development• Technical Report

• Implementation Plan

• June 29th – planned final engagement with Stakeholder Committee to review deliverables

• July 7th – initial presentation to RRTPO

Study Next Steps


Questions?

Part II briefing planned for July 11, 2017 TAC Meeting

25


Project Communication

Meeting coordination and information sharing through RRTPO staff.

Primary contact:

Chris Wichman

[email protected]

(804) 323-2033

Project website:

http://www.richmondregional.org/Commerce_Corridor/

mailto:[email protected]

http://www.richmondregional.org/Commerce_Corridor/


Photo: City of Richmond

COMMERCE CORRIDOR Transportation Connectivity, Accessibility and Economic Opportunity Study

Richmond Regional Transportation Planning Organization

Technical Advisory Committee

6/13/2017


Supplemental Slides:

Demands on Transportation Network

28


Development-Generated Rail Demand

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045

KTo

ns

Year

Rail Tonnage – Annual, in the Region

Base Alternative 1 Alternative 2

10%29%

• Aggregate regional estimation of rail demand from new development alternatives, relative to baseline growth

• Tonnage forecast based on current pattern of commodities produced/consumed by each industry that use freight rail

29


Development-Generated Rail Demand

• All four sites have nearby or immediately adjacent Class 1 Rail lines

• For each site, infrastructure investment will be needed to allow for rail access, depending on site layout and service requirements

• Due to the large area & multiple parcels reflected at Sites 3 & 4, not all parcels will be able to achieve practical & cost-effective rail access

Alt 1: Moderate industrial development

at 4-sites mimicking regional patterns

Alt 2: More intense industrial development

at 4-sites reflecting port-oriented uses

30


Development-Generated Highway Demand

• Daily highway trips includes both employee work trips as well as trucks generated by industrial activity

• From an acreage / development potential standpoint, sites 3 and 4 are able to generate significantly more demand than sites 1 and 2.

Alt 1: Moderate industrial development

at 4-sites mimicking regional patterns

Alt 2: More intense industrial development


31


Medium Volume Increase

5% - 10% daily increase on

major1 roads

25% - 50% daily increase on minor2 road

Large Volume Increase

10% or greater daily increase

on major1 roads

50% or greater daily increase

on minor2 roads

Future Highway VolumesTwo types of highway volume increases identified

1 Major roads are defined at having higher volume and at least 2-lanes in each direction2 Minor roads are defined as having lower volumes and typically 1-lane in each direction

Traffic volume increases reflect the change from 2040 baseline to

2040 Alt 2*

*Alt 2: More intense industrial development


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Future Highway Volumes

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Future Highway Volumes

Change in 2040 Daily Volume:

Medium Increase

Large Increase

Comparing Baseline to Alternative 2

Yellow represents defined growth area

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Future Highway Operations

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Highway links that DO NOT get impacted by our growth scenarios and ARE NOT congested in 2040

Highway links that DO NOT get impacted by our growth scenarios and ARE congested in 2040

Highway links that DO GET impacted by our growth scenarios and ARE NOT congested in 2040

Highway links that DO GET impacted by our growth scenarios and ARE congested in 2040

All of these locations were further investigated

Only those in close proximity to our growth sites were further

investigated

1

2

3

4

Future Highway OperationsStudy investigated two types of impacts

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Future Transportation Impacts and Needs

Yellow represents defined growth area

Alt 2 Peak Period 2040 Congestion:

Congested but not impacted by growth

Congested and impacted by growth

‘Congestion’ defined as LOS D or worse

COMMERCE CORRIDOR - Richmond Regional Planning …€¦ · Transportation Connectivity, ......

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