Coming to Terms with our Autonomic Future · The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress & Prosperity in...
Transcript of Coming to Terms with our Autonomic Future · The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress & Prosperity in...
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Coming to Terms with our
Autonomic Future
Mike Amundsen
API Academy / CA Technologies
@mamund
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Prologue
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Prologue
“Don’t worry, be happy!”
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”The automation of factories has
already decimated jobs in
traditional manufacturing, and
the rise of artificial intelligence is
likely to extend this job
destruction…”
Stephen Hawking, 2016
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The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress & Prosperity in a time of Brilliant Technologies —Erik Brynjolfsson, Andrew McAfee.
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Autonomic, not Autonomous
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“The autonomic nervous system is
a control system that acts largely
unconsciously and regulates
bodily functions such as the heart
rate, digestion, respiratory rate…”
Wikipedia
OpenStax College - Anatomy & Physiology, Connexions Web site.
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“Ok, let’s get started…”
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rrational
ears
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“A new world has arisen:
the Rule of the Robots!”
-- Rossums’ Universal Robots, Karel Capek
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http://observer.com/2015/08/stephen-hawking-elon-musk-and-bill-gates-warn-about-artificial-intelligence/
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Karel Capek is best known for
his science fiction including the
play R.U.R. (Rossum's
Universal Robots), which
introduced the word robot.
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We fear what we don’t understand.
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“We are swift to attribute mental
states to entities with eyes and
movement patterns that look
goal directed…”
Eric Schwitzgebel
“Cute Ai an the ASIMO problem” -- http://schwitzsplinters.blogspot.fr/2015/07/cute-ai-and-asimo-problem.html
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Robot-as-Menace [stories]
palled dreadfully and I
couldn't stand them.
Issac Asimov, 1982
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Asimov’s Three Laws of Robotics
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“Should we be afraid of robots?”
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ild
nthusiasm
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“Everybody will live only to
perfect themselves.”
-- Rossums’ Universal Robots, Karel Capek
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“So, we’re good, right?”
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aunting
ealities
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“Terrible things may happen,
but that cannot be avoided.”
-- Rossums’ Universal Robots, Karel Capek
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“Operatives” in the US (assembly, drivers, mining)
“Occupational changes during the 20th century”, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006
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“Operatives” in the US (assembly, drivers, mining)
“Occupational changes during the 20th century”, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006
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Clerical workers in the US (1900-2000)
“Occupational changes during the 20th century”, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006
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Clerical workers in the US (1900-2000)
“Occupational changes during the 20th century”, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006
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Clerical workers in the US (1900-2000)
“Occupational changes during the 20th century”, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006
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“We are entering a new phase in
human history - one in which
fewer and fewer workers will be
needed to produce the goods and
services for the global
population.”
Jeremy Rifkin, 1995
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“Occupational changes during the 20th century”, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006
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“Occupational changes during the 20th century”, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006
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That’s the past, what about the future?
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One factory has "reduced
employee strength from
110,000 to 50,000 thanks to the
introduction of robots", a
government official told the
South China Morning Post.
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Epilogue
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Epilogue
“So, now what?”
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“What do I see
in our future?
I see pitchforks.”
Nick Hanauer, VC Investor
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“You build it, you run it.”
Werner Vogels, Amazon CTO
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Get past irrational fear of technologicial expansion
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Recognize the robots around us
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In your thinking, separate “Jobs” from “Work”
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Stop measuring progress via employment rate
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Be mindful of the effects of new technology
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Get involved with projects that improve people’s lives
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Consider working on “the big problems” facing us all
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Think of the problem as autonomic & balancing
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Think of the problem as autonomic & balancing
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Think of the problem as autonomic & balancing
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“One thing I've learned over these
last 30 or 40 years is that
people make history.”
Jeremy Rifkin
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“One thing I've learned over these
last 30 or 40 years is that
people make history.”
Jeremy Rifkin
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“One thing I've learned over these
last 30 or 40 years is that
people make history.”
Jeremy Rifkin
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“One thing I've learned over these
last 30 or 40 years is that
people make history.”
Jeremy Rifkin
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Coming to Terms with our
Autonomic Future
Mike Amundsen
API Academy / CA Technologies
@mamund
http://g.mamund.com/2016-12-apidays/