COMET Briefing to CNMOC

30 October2013

New COMET Business Model

COMET Capacity Trends New Staffing Model

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• Core Staff = 24 ~ $4.3M – ~60% of $6.3M– (Focused on Sponsors)

• Temp/Casual Staff = 10 ~ $2M– ~40% of $6.3M– (Focused on New Business Partners)

• New Sponsors Development

– Univ/Private/Public = $2M

• Projected Budget in 3 to 5 years = $6-7M and COMET will utilize the 60/40 model

Budget Down $2.3M/YR Over 3 YRS

Staff Decreased 41-24 Over 3 YRS

Implementing Formal Project Management to Ensure Effectiveness and Efficiency

COMET FY13 Milestones/Accomplishments

• Total Modules = 489 (FY-13 = 58)• Modules translated = 143 (FY-13 = 27)• Total Registered Users = 300,000+

(Sep 13)• Total Education Users = 102,873• Total International Users = 101,781• Total U.S. Private Sector Users =

34,705• Modules Completed FY13 = 195,581• Number of Quizzes FY13 = 111,964• AVG Improvement between pre and

post tests=59% (pre) to 81%(post)

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COMET Budget is stable for FY-14 at $4.3M with a 7 person staff reduction and a 20% Reduction in Capacity

Funding Sources By Sponsor

$1,332,000.00

$551,000.00

$397,000.00$50,000.00$362,000.00

$1,325,000.00

$75,000.00

$100,000.00$200,000.00 $15,000.00 $100,000.00

Funding

NWS

MSC

Navy

BOM

Reclamation

NESDIS

NOS

EUMETSAT

Commercial

Misc

FAA

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Module Content/Recorded Lectures By Year Losing Capacity

MetEd Support and Upgrades

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FY12-FY14 Budget Summary

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FY12 FY13 FY14

Spending Plan (no Outreach) $ 5,210,000 $ 4,680,000 $ 4,300,000

Funding Assumption (no Outreach)NWS Base Funding

$ 1,376,000 $ 1,000,000 $ - NWS NWP (*) $ 191,000 $ - $ 50,000

NWS Module Updates (O&M) $ 125,000 $ - $ - NWS PNS funding $ 62,000 $ 32,000 $ 6,000 NWS Aviation $ 300,000 $ 300,000 $ 300,000 NWS Hydrology $ 74,000 $ 50,800 $ - NWS Climate $ 18,000 $ 52,000 $ -

NWS International Activities $ 414,000 $ 127,000 $ 329,000 NWS AWIPS II Validation $ 83,000 $ 172,000

NWS Sandy Supplmental Potential Projects* $ - $ - $ 475,000 NESDIS GOES-R $ 400,000 $ 400,000 $ 400,000 NESDIS JPSS $ 275,000 $ 325,000 $ 425,000

NESDIS (Hilding + GOESR Outreach Reallocation) $ 90,435 $ 125,000 NOS $ - $ 100,000 $ 75,000 NMOC $ 408,000 $ 473,000 $ 425,000

MSC (includes supplemental contracts) $ 342,000 $ 505,000 $ 551,000

Bureau of Reclamation $ 250,000 $ 263,000 $ 362,000 EUMETSAT $ 70,000 $ 73,000 $ 100,000 UCAR Climate Model Module $ 83,000 $ - $ - FAA Safe Skies $ 300,000 $ 332,000 $ 333,000

Bureau of Meteorology of Australia $ 44,000 $ 52,525 $ 50,000

Commercial Sector (Ball, Fugro, etc.) $ - $ - $ 200,000 WMO $ 104,000

One Time Projects (NWS NEEF NSF,etc) $ 523,000 $ 267,800 $ 15,000 Total Funding $ 5,255,000 $ 4,630,560 $ 4,393,000 Balance $ 45,000 $ (49,440) $ 93,000

* Some FY14 NWP Support and other potential project may be received through a contract for the Sandy Supplemental

FY13 Accomplishments and FY14 Plans

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Aviation

FY14Projects may include: • Update to DLAC 2 (NWS)• Convective Lesson (NWS)• Safe Skies for Africa Year Three (DOT)

FY13

Published projects: • Updated NAS Lesson (NWS)• Aeronautical Continuing Professional

Development Course for Caribbean (NWS IAO)• Safe Skies for Africa Year Two (DOT)

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Climate and Water

FY13

Published projects:

• Held two 3-day residence courses for water resource practitioners (Reclamation)

• Developed curriculum outlines for 1) Water Temperature Impacts and 2) Sedimentation and River Hydraulics (Reclamation)

• Complete first pilot video project (Reclamation)• Initiate conversion of HIUCC course to virtual format

(Reclamation)• Initiate business development activities leading to

offering registration courses with CEUs (Reclamation)• Climatology for the Operational Forecaster (Navy)• Hold 1 CVCVC offering and publish select lectures (NWS)

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FY14

Projects may include:

• Develop training lessons/courses for Water Temperature Impacts topic area (Reclamation)

• Complete additional videos (Reclamation)• Deliver HIUCC course in virtual format (Reclamation)• Further business development leading to registration

courses with CEUs• Will require development of curriculum outlines for

remaining PCUs, Landcover Response, and Water Quality Impacts (Reclamation)

Climate FY14 Plans

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Emergency Management

FY14Projects may include: • Conversion of SOS Course [Science of Oil

Spills] to distance learning (NOS)

FY13Published projects:

• Aerial Surveillance of Oil Spills Lesson (NOS)

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Fire Weather

FY13Published projects:

• Severe Fire Weather Patterns in Southeastern Australia (BoM Australia)

FY14 • Possible new Fire Weather Pattern lesson (BoM Australia)

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Numerical Weather

Prediction

FY13

Published Projects:• Introduction to Climate Models (UCAR)• Introduction to Ensemble Forecasting

Hurricane Sandy (Navy)

Note: NWS NWP funding and work suspended

FY14

Plans include:• Completion of NWP Course 3 (contingent

on NWS funding)• Updates to the NWP Model Matrix

(contingent on NWS funding)• Ensembles lesson (MSC)

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Satellite Meteorology

FY13

Published projects:• GOES-R ABI: Next Generation Satellite Imaging• Advances in Space-Based Nighttime Visible Observation (on DNB)• Significant Updates to 4 NPOESS/JPSS modules• Satellite Monitoring of Atmospheric Composition (with EUMETSAT)• Monitoring the Climate System with Satellites (with EUMETSAT)• 3 ASMET 7 case-study lessons (EUMETSAT)• 2 Satellite Feature Identification lessons: Jet Streams and Inferring Three

Dimensions from Water Vapor Imagery (MSC)

• Infused GEO and LEO data and products into all applicable lessons• Designed, hosted, and facilitated first Virtual Satellite Science Week event• Published ESRC in French, moved site from behind registration, and continued to

populate with content

Initiated projects:• How Satellite Data Inform NWP lesson• Imaging with VIIRS, 3rd edition (with new VIIRS data)

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Satellite Meteorology

FY14

• Continue infusion of GEO and LEO data into all applicable lessons• Develop and publish, GOES-R GLM lesson• Complete How Satellite Data Inform NWP lesson• Complete Imaging with VIIRS, 3rd Edition • Update additional NPOESS/JPSS modules (based on sponsor priorities)• Facilitate additional Satellite Proving Ground virtual events (per

sponsor request)• Initiate lesson on Polar Communications and Weather Satellite to

become part of a new “Are you Advanced Satellite Ready?” DL Course• Continued support of the ESRC• Develop and offer Satellite Meteorology Virtual Courses (tentative) • Initiate EUMETSAT Webcast, Topic TBD• Satellite Feature Identification: Conveyor Belts (MSC)

*pending VCP funding

FY13

Funding for VCP projects held up in legal tangle between WMO and State Department

WMO provided separate funding for priority projects which includes:• Limited Spanish translations• Facilitation of Basic Hydrologic Science DL Course for

Africa• Ongoing support for hydrology DL courses offered by

RTCs• Completion of AeroCPD modules• Internationalization of Volcanic Ash lessons• Completion of Tropical Synoptic Meteorology Course

Package

WMO Related

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*pending VCP funding

FY14

• Spanish translations• Ongoing hydrology Dl course support• Climate and Climatology Course Package:

Year 1 of 2• Critical Training for RA-V: Year 1 of 3 (RAM-DL for

Australia, Island Meteorology, Island Hydrology)• Tropical Synoptics Online Course Adoption

Workshop (with WMO)• Global Campus Prototype***

* Assumes VCP funding issues are resolved and FY12-13 work proposals are still valid

WMO Related

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Winter Weather

FY13 Winter Weather Course, Fall 2012 (MSC)

FY14 Winter Weather Course, Fall 2013 (MSC)

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Other

FY13

• Spark collaboration• GLOBE collaboration• Heliophysics demonstration project (NASA)• Dynamics Learning Objects: PGF (UCAR)• Radiation Learning Object (BoM)

FY14

• Heliophysics (NASA)• Electromagnetic/Electro-optic Propagation

(Navy)• Weather Observing: Shore and at Sea

(Navy)• Storm Surge lesson*• Tropical Meteorology lessons*

*Contingent on NWS Sandy Supplemental Funding

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MetEd Update

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Meted Support and Upgrades

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Most Viewed Description Pages(May 2012 – May 2013)

Courses

S-290 Intermediate Wildland Fire Behavior Course 105,502 Visits

SKYWARN Spotter Training Course

64,669

Modules

Role of the Skywarn Spotter 26,158 Visits

Skywarn Spotter Convective Basics

21,691

Certificate Cost Recovery Program

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MetEd Annual Support Costs ~ $400k

Cost Recovery Focused on S-290 Wild Land Fire and Skywarn Spotter Course

Fee for Certificate is Optional and Does Not Affect Report of Course

Completion

Fee’s Collected Will Be Used As Cost Recovery To

Support MetEd

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Proposals and Busine

ss Development

- Proposals-New Business Development

ClimatePartner with NCAR on five climate proposals

Teledyne, Campbell Instruments, Weather MetricsTraining Video Productions

Ball AerospaceSatellite training module on OMPS and Others

AADT Weather Service East AfricaFull Aviation Weather Service Capability – COMET doing training needs assessment

Weather Decision TechnologiesInstallation of Weather Radar Systems in SE Asia – COMET doing training.

UKMET College and EUMETSAT Implementing Training in Aviation and Satellite Sensors (cost recovery)

AWIPS AWIPS II algorithm validation project (Two years, funded May 2013)

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- Continuing -Project Extensions in FY2014

USBR Year ThreeContinue conversion to virtual courses, implement business plan, modules to support the Climate and Water Resources PDS

DOT Safe Skies for Africa Year ThreeCompletion of modules, case study development and adaptations, and RAMDL-Africa Course, facilitation for RMTC implementation

AustraliaTropical cyclone intensity module, dynamic learning object: monsoon circulations, monsoon trof migration, trade wind diurnal cycle, etc.

EUMETSATNew modules, TBD

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Business Development FY14 FY15

*NWS/International VCP $380,000 $350,000

*Safe Skies for Africa Year 3 and Beyond $330,000 TBD

*Reclamation Year 3 and Beyond $250,000 TBD

*NASA/Heliophysics [thru UCAR VSP Program] $100,000 $105,000

* EUMETSAT $90,000 $90,000

* Australia $60,000 $60,000

*National Ocean Service $75,000 $75,000

AMDAR [WMO] $100,000 $50,000

Climate partner w/NCAR [5 Proposals] ?? ??

Private Sector [Ball, Fugro, Unisys, etc.] $200,000 $200,000

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*Assumed in FY14 plan

• Initiating new projects with US Bureau of Reclamation as lead agency

• Curriculum Development Effort• Prerequisite DL Module • Two Residence Courses in FY13 (Surface hydrology

and Agricultural foci)

New CA with DOI/USBR began in FY11 (partners include USACE, USGS,

NOAA, EPA, Denver Water, Seattle Public Utilities, and

RISAs)

• Great interest and need!• Initial challenge to engage extensive water

community beyond USBR• Off to a great start • Ambitious timeline

Initial Perceptions

Bureau of Reclamation

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• Consult with stakeholders to identify training gaps• Develop plan to enhance African aeronautical meteorological training• Adapt priority training resources and publish preliminary version of

African Review of Aeronautical Meteorology Distance Learning (RAMDL) course

Phase 1 (2012): Define Goals and Methods,

Produce Initial Education and Training

• Complete adaptations and develop additional RAMDL content• Begin French translations of high priority modules• Develop African RAMDL case studies• Begin developing instructor resources for residence and DL courses at

RTCs

Phase 2 (2013): Refinement of the African

RAMDL Course

• Publish final version of African RAMDL course: ~60 hours• Complete French translations of key modules• Help organize and facilitate a test online RAMDL-based courses• Complete instructor guides for African RAMDL course• Disseminate training/performance support using mobile learning

strategies

Phase 3 (2014): Publish Revised RAMDL,

Facilitation, Implementation

Develop and adapt aeronautical meteorology training for African forecasters to meet WMO competencies qualification requirements by November 2013

Safe Skies for Africa

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Additional Business Development Ideas

Homeland Security and FEMA

Bogdan and Rayder are helping to make inroads to FEMA

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Challenges/Sponsor Support

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Stable/Tim ely funding

Tim ely SM E support for pro jects

M eeti ng private sector ti m elines

Sponsorship for transiti on to A PPs

D eveloping D ecision Science Support Services

M arket identi ficati on/N iche products

Integrati on into h igher educati on distance learning support

Staff talent m anagem ent

D evelopm ent of new tem porary/casual staff

A ccess to new geosciences SM Es

Stable/Timely funding

Timely SME support for projects

Meeting private sector timelines

Sponsorship for transition to APPs

Developing Decision Science Support Services

Market identification/Niche products

Integration into higher education distance learning support

Staff talent management

Development of new temporary/casual staff

Access to new geosciences SMEs33

COMET’s Greatest Challenges and Threats

Sponsors

Questions/Discussion?

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