Coffin landsat8 data in social values for ecosytem services
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Transcript of Coffin landsat8 data in social values for ecosytem services
Alisa W. Coffin, Ph.D.
Land Systems Research Consultants
Drezden Kinnaird
Colorado Mesa University
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
intro
methods
results
discussion
questions
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
Motivation of research & problem statement
Gulf of Mexico Oil spill
Need for ES knowledge
Landsat 8: new “coastal band”
Study area
Research questions
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
2010 Deepwater Horizon oil spill
call to action in USGS
support agencies and researchers working in Gulf of Mexico
USGS (Rocky Mt. Area) contacted colleagues Florida Sea Grant & UF
Offered research collaboration which was welcomed
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
Coastal Zone Complex interactions between land and
ocean processes
“Unique domain of gradient dependent ecosystems” (Crossland et al. 2005)
The most developed and populated areas globally
USA: In 2010, 69% of urban land <150 mi. from a coast
Coastal and Marine Spatial Planning (CMSP) = Ecosystem-based approach to planning and
management
Contemporary measurement of ecosystem services is incomplete Predominantly economic/ecological and
static
Lacks spatial quantification of social values 9/24/2014
Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
Launched on Feb 11, 2013
Near-polar sun-synchronous 705 km circular orbit
16 day repeat cycle
30 m resolution
Continues the Landsat mission (1972 to present) of earth observation
Expect improved water quality monitoring in coastal regions due to new shorter wavelength blue band
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
How do different coastal users value ecosystem services in the study area?
Which environmental characteristics inform models of spatial patterns of social values in this coastal zone?
__________________________________________
Information about bathymetry is critical for understanding coastal processes. But, near shore bathymetry is difficult/expensive to obtain and is highly dynamic, resulting in out of date datasets.
Can Landsat 8, band 1, the “coastal band”, help fill in the gaps where detailed coastal data is missing?
How does the inclusion of Landsat 8 B1, compare to other coastal datasets?
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
Project plan
Survey
Social values
SolVES modelling tool
Adapting SolVES to a coastal system
Maxent
Models
Model evaluation using AUC
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
Phase 1: e-Delphi
Phase 2: Geospatial Online Survey
Phase 3: SolVES Modeling
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
Step 1: Value Allocation
“spend” $1000 over the 16 social values
Step 2: Value Mapping
Locate allocated values on a map of Greater
Sarasota Bay
Step 3: Resource Preference
Determine preferences for marine/coastal resource uses (e.g. Gulf of Mexico)
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
VALUE_ID VALUE_NAME VALUE_DESCRIPTION 1 Aesthetic Enjoyable scenery, sights, sounds, smells, etc. 2 Recreation Place for favorite/enjoyable outdoor recreation activities. 3 Cultural Place for passing down wisdom, knowledge, and traditions.
4 Spiritual Places of sacred, religious, unique, deep, and/or profound experience where reverence/respect for nature is felt.
5 Life Sustaining Provision of macro-environmental processes (i.e. climate regulation, hydrologic cycle, etc.) that support life, human and non-human.
6 Learning Place of educational value through scientific exploration, observation, discovery, and experimentation.
7 Biodiversity Provision of a variety and abundance of fish, wildlife, and plant life.
8 Wilderness Place of minimal human impact and/or intrusion into natural environment.
9 Subsistence Provision of basic human needs, emphasis on reliable, regular food/protein source from seafood.
10 Historic Place of natural and human history that matter to individuals, communities, societies, and nations.
11 Identity Places that engender a sense of place, community, and belonging; represent a distinctive “culture of the sea”.
12 Future Allowance for future generation to know and experience healthy, productive, and sustainable coastal ecosystems.
13 Therapuetic Place that enhances feelings of well-being (e.g. “an escape”, “stress relief”, “comfort and calm”).
14 Economic Provision of fishery (commercial/recreational), minerals, and tourism industry that support livelihoods.
15 Intrinsic Right to exist regardless of presence; value based on existence (being rather than place).
16 Access Places of common property free from access restrictions or exclusive ownership/control.
SolVES 2.1 tool with ArcGIS 10.x
Value Mapping Model
Derives a 10-point “Value Index” from value allocations and mapped points collected as part of a social survey.
Maxent
Models relationships between mapped Value Index and underlying environmental variables.
Generates social value maps for specified stakeholder groups.
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
Terrestrial base layers Coastal base layers
Elevation (DEM) 1. DEM (T-DEM) 2. Bathymetry (BATHYM)
Distance to roads Distance to roads + navigation channels (D2TRANS)
Distance to water 4. Distance to shore (D2S)
Land cover 5. Landsat-8, Band 1 (LS-B1) Land cover Benthic habitat
Landform Landform/coastal form
Slope Slope
Other Distance to features (e.g. coral reefs ,D2REEF)
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
Maxent: application used with species presence data to create probability surfaces of species distribution
Uses presence only data
Logistic modelling
Outputs include Maps
Statistics
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
ENVIRONMENTAL LAYER
MODEL ID
T-DEM BATHYM LS-B1 D2S
1 X
2 X
3 X
4 X
5 (C-DEM)
X X
6 X X
7 X X
8 X X
9 X X
10 X X
11 X X X
12 X X X
13 X X X
14 X X X
15 X X X X
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
Evaluation of models based on the area under the ROC curve: AUC
AUC = 1 perfect fit (no false positives)
AUC = .5 null model random selection w/ uniform distribution
AUC = .8 generally considered a good fit
For more info on Maxent, AUC, etc. Phillips et al. 2006
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
Landsat 8 – band 1
Survey results Values
Uses
AUC values
Graphs
Maps
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
Geospatial Online Survey
(Cole, 2012)
500 responses logged into online survey
285 completed surveys (n=285)
Male 48%, Female 50%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
18-19 20-24 25-34 35-49 50-64 65 &over
Age Categories
Age Comparison
Survey Counties Florida National
0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%35%
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GED
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4-ye
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Educational Attainment
Survey National 9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
45 uses High degree of consensus on non-
consumptive uses Only 20 had more than 20% both
favoring and opposing 7 were highly contentious (these uses
were both opposed and supported by more than 25% of respondents): Agriculture Offshore aquaculture Land based aquaculture Commercial fishing Transportation infrastructure Private dock development Desalinization
16 social values 3 consistently ranked most popular:
Recreation Aesthetic Biodiversity
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
MODEL MODEL MODEL MODEL MODEL 1 2 3 4 5
USE PREFERENCE
SOCIAL VALUE T-DEM BATHYM LS-B1 D2S
C-DEM (BATHYM + T-DEM)
Agriculture Favor Aesthetic 0.776 0.8372 0.7787 0.8809 0.8901 Recreation 0.783 0.8001 0.7567 0.838 0.8757 Biodiversity 0.5662 0.8518 0.743 0.8702 0.9141
Oppose Aesthetic 0.684 0.6532 0.5457 0.7121 0.7317 Recreation 0.6778 0.8501 0.8851 0.8644 0.9135
Biodiversity 0.6088 0.8377 0.8062 0.8501 0.8917 Aquaculture_Offshore Favor Aesthetic 0.7031 0.8663 0.7553 0.8895 0.9359
Recreation 0.696 0.7932 0.7619 0.8471 0.8698 Biodiversity 0.5682 0.8525 0.8691 0.8886 0.9269
Oppose Aesthetic 0.7686 0.8732 0.7325 0.9202 0.8983 Recreation 0.5657 0.8654 0.7989 0.852 0.8447
Biodiversity 0.667 0.8506 0.7216 0.8973 0.9007 Aquaculture_Landbased Favor Aesthetic 0.6935 0.8155 0.8207 0.8502 0.8772
Recreation 0.675 0.7921 0.7302 0.8378 0.8091 Biodiversity 0.5708 0.9064 0.7701 0.9518 0.946
Oppose Aesthetic 0.5309 0.7277 0.7142 0.789 0.7508 Recreation 0.724 0.8368 0.7091 0.8939 0.896
Biodiversity 0.5813 0.811 0.677 0.8843 0.9044
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
T-DEM BATHYM LS-B1 D2S Full (C-DEM, LS-B1 + D2S)
1 2 3 4 15
Test
AU
C V
alu
es
Model
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
0
0.2
0.4
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0.8
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LS-B1 T-DEM + LS-B1 BATHYM + LS-B1 LS-B1 + D2S C-DEM + LS-B1 BATHYM + LS-B1 +D2S
T-DEM + LS-B1 +D2S
Full (C-DEM, LS-B1+ D2S)
3 6 8 10 11 12 13 15
Test
AU
C V
alu
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Model
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
Environmental data layers
Spatial distribution of values
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
Distance to shore and bathymetry, on their own, provide best models.
Many uses and environmental characteristics are correlated with distance to shore, so this is also a critical piece of information for modeling coastal systems.
Terrestrial elevation models, while not useless, provide less information than the Landsat, Band 1 data.
Inclusion of a coastal DEM (combined terrestrial elevation and bathymetric data) provides for better fitting models.
Landsat 8 – Band 1 does not contribute a lot of unique information across a broad terrestrial to deep aquatic spectrum, BUT in provides important information for near shore environments that is not captured by distance to shore or in bathymetric data.
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
Bathymetry
Landsat 8 – Band 1
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
Ben Sherrouse, U.S. Geological Survey
Bob Swett, Florida Sea Grant
Zachary Cole, University of North Carolina
Gigi Richard, Colorado Mesa University
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES
9/24/2014 Coffin & Kinnaird, Landsat 8 in SolVES