CO/FFCO 2 RATIOS DERIVED FROM RADIOCARBON OBSERVATIONS - THE ROLE OF BIOSPHERIC COMPONENT KAZIMIERZ...
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Transcript of CO/FFCO 2 RATIOS DERIVED FROM RADIOCARBON OBSERVATIONS - THE ROLE OF BIOSPHERIC COMPONENT KAZIMIERZ...
CO/FFCOCO/FFCO22 RATIOS DERIVED FROM RATIOS DERIVED FROM
RADIOCARBON OBSERVATIONS -RADIOCARBON OBSERVATIONS -THE ROLE OF BIOSPHERIC THE ROLE OF BIOSPHERIC
COMPONENTCOMPONENT
KAZIMIERZ ROZANSKIKAZIMIERZ ROZANSKIAGH University of Science and TechnologyAGH University of Science and Technology
Krakow, Poland Krakow, Poland
CarboEurope-IP CarboEurope-IP Annual MeetingAnnual Meeting
Poznan, 13-17.11.Poznan, 13-17.11.20020066
WP2.6 Objectives:WP2.6 Objectives:
Continue the existing Continue the existing 1414COCO22 observation network observation network
in Europe to derive the monthly meanin Europe to derive the monthly mean fossil fuel COfossil fuel CO22 component at polluted component at polluted
and background sitesand background sites
Ongoing calibration of CO as a proxy for fossil fuelOngoing calibration of CO as a proxy for fossil fuel COCO2 2 at 4 sites in Eastern and Western Europeat 4 sites in Eastern and Western Europe
(Heidelberg, Krakow, Trainou Tower and Lutjewad)(Heidelberg, Krakow, Trainou Tower and Lutjewad)
METHODOLOGY:METHODOLOGY:
BALANCE EQUATIONS:BALANCE EQUATIONS:
CCOO2mix2mix = C = COO22bgbgdd + + CCOO22bbio)io)+ + CCOO2fossil 2fossil (1)(1)
CCOO22mixmix((1414CCOO22mixmix+1000) =+1000) = CCOO22bgbgdd((1414CCOO22bgbgdd+1000)+1000)
++CCOO22bbioio((1414CCOO22bbioio+1000)+1000)
++CCOO22ffossilossil((1414CCOO22ffossilossil+1000+1000) (2)) (2)
FFCOFFCO22 = CO = CO2mix2mix[([(1414CCOO22bgbgdd - - 1414CCOO22mixmix)/()/(1414CCOO22bgbgdd + 1000)] + 1000)]
ASSUMPTIONS:ASSUMPTIONS:
(1)(1) 1414CCffossilossil = -1000 = -1000
(2)(2) 1414CCbbioio = = 1414CCbgbgd d
(3) Regional background: Jungfraujoch ((3) Regional background: Jungfraujoch (1414CCbgbgdd, CO, CObgdbgd))
BALANCE EQUATIONS:BALANCE EQUATIONS:
CCOO2mix2mix = C = COO22bgbgdd + + CCOO22bbio)io)+ + CCOO2fossil 2fossil (1)(1)
CCOO22mixmix((1414CCOO22mixmix+1000) =+1000) = CCOO22bgbgdd((1414CCOO22bgbgdd+1000)+1000)
++CCOO22bbioio((1414CCOO22bbioio+1000)+1000)
++CCOO22ffossilossil((1414CCOO22ffossilossil+1000+1000) (2)) (2)
FFCOFFCO22 = CO = CO2mix2mix[([(1414CCOO22bgbgdd - - 1414CCOO22mixmix)/()/(1414CCOO22bgbgdd + 1000)] + 1000)]
ASSUMPTIONS:ASSUMPTIONS:
(1)(1) 1414CCffossilossil = -1000 = -1000
(2)(2) 1414CCbbioio = = 1414CCbgbgd d
(3) Regional background: Jungfraujoch ((3) Regional background: Jungfraujoch (1414CCbgbgdd, CO, CObgdbgd))
I. DERIVING LOCAL FFCOI. DERIVING LOCAL FFCO22 ((CO CO 2fossil2fossil))
II. LOCAL II. LOCAL CO:CO:
CO = COCO = COmixmix - CO - CObgdbgd
III. LOCAL III. LOCAL CO/FFCOCO/FFCO22 RATIOS RATIOS
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 20060
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Krakow monthly Krakow two-weekly Heidelberg
CO
/C
O2(f
oss
)
pp
b/p
pm
Monthly Monthly CO/FFCOCO/FFCO22 ratios ratios
in Krakow: 1992 – 1996 and 2000 - 2007 in Krakow: 1992 – 1996 and 2000 - 2007
77.077.05.3 (ppb/ppm)5.3 (ppb/ppm) 29.929.91.6 (ppb/ppm)1.6 (ppb/ppm)
filter
moleculardiaphragm
sievepump
CO2
flowmeter
silica gel
Radiocarbon content of soil CO2 flux ?
Is the assumptionIs the assumption 1414CCbbioio= = 1414CCbgbgdd valid ? valid ?
Monthly ”composite” samples Monthly ”composite” samples
Kraków (4)Poszyna (3)
(1,2)
a) b)
12
Three sites withThree sites withdifferent soil characteristics:different soil characteristics:
- mixed forest- mixed forest - agriculture field- agriculture field - grassland (not cultivated)- grassland (not cultivated)
Year
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006
14
C [
‰ ]
0
50
100
150
200
Schauinsland
Kraków
PZL: Mixed forest
PZO: agricultural field
PZT: grassland, not cultivated
Kasprowy W.
PZL
PZO
PZT
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
C-1
4 in
so
il
carb
on
[p
MC
]
90
100
110
120
130
New Zealand (soil)South Carolina (soil)
North hemisphere (various soils)
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 20060
50
100
150
precip. temp.
Year
Prec
ipita
tion
[mm
]
-8-404812162024
d)
Tem
perature [oC
]
-60-40-20
020406080
100
c)
14C
[‰]
-28
-24
-20
b)
13C
PDB [
‰]
010203040506070 a)
j x[mm
ol·m
-2·h
-1]
Kraków soil Kraków atmosphere
Grassland siteGrassland site(Krakow)(Krakow)
CAB
SDB FDB
Ff (1)
Fout
Fr
FofFo
s
Ff (2)
Ff (n)
Ff
Fcw
Fin
Fs (1)
Fs (2)
Fs (n)
Fs
TERRESTRIAL BIOSPHERE
RRB
ATMOSPHERE MODEL:MODEL:
Fout(t) = Ffast(t) + Fslow(t) + Fr(t)
14Aout(t) = 1(t)14Afast(t) + 2(t)14Aslow(t) + 314Ar(t)
Year
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
14
C [
‰ ]
0
50
100
150
200
250
Grassland
Mixed forest
Atmosphere
Year
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
1
4C
[ ‰
]
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
At
M f
G
MODEL RESULTS:MODEL RESULTS:
MRTfast= 14 yearsMRTslow = 1500 years
Forest:
Mslow/Mfast = 40
Grassland:
Mslow/Mfast = 22
Year
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006
1
4C
[ ‰
]
0
50
100
150
200
Schauinsland
Kraków
PZL: Mixed forest
PZO: agricultural field
PZT: grassland, not cultivated
Kasprowy W.
PZL
PZO
PZT
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
C-1
4 in
so
il
carb
on
[p
MC
]
90
100
110
120
130
New Zealand (soil)South Carolina (soil)
North hemisphere (various soils)
1414CCbbioio 1414CCmixmix
NEW ASSUMPTION:NEW ASSUMPTION:
FFCOFFCO22 = CO = CO2bgd2bgd[([(1414CCOO22bgbgdd - - 1414CCOO22mixmix)/()/(1414CCOO2mix2mix + 1000)] + 1000)]
1414CCbbioio = = 1414CCbgbgddXX
1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 20070
10
20
30
40
50
14CO2bio
= 14CO2mix
14CO2bio
= 14CO2bg
CO
2fos
sil [p
pm]
date
Differences betweenDifferences betweenFFCOFFCO2 2 estimatesestimates
No a priori assumption about 14Cbio:
FFCOFFCO22 = CO = CO2mix2mix[([(1414CCOO2bio2bio - - 1414CCOO22mixmix)/()/(1414CCOO2bio2bio + 1000)] + 1000)]
+ CO+ CO2bgd2bgd[([(1414CCOO2bgd2bgd - - 1414CCOO2bio2bio)/()/(1414CCOO2bio2bio + 1000)] + 1000)]
ForFor 1414CCOO2bio2bio= = 1414CCOO2bgd2bgd + 40 + 40
SUMMING UP:SUMMING UP:
Radiocarbon content of soil CO2 flux introduce additional uncertainty in the estimates of FFCO2 which is difficult to eliminate.
However, it turnes out that radiocarbon-based FFCO2estimates are relatively insensitive to actual radiocarbon content of the biospheric component. For the current levels of FFCO2 this additional uncertainty is in the order of 0.1- 0.5 ppm.
The modified formula for calculating FFCO2
(assumption: 14Cbio 14Cmix) opens up attractive possibilities for monitoring FFCO2 variations with relatively good precision, even without regular high-precision observations of CO2 concentations at those sites.