CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689...

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CMC Roadmap Christian Massong, BMW Motorrad, Germany Marcus Petzold, VUFO GmbH, Germany 12th International Motorcycle Conference Cologne, Germany 1 October 2018 Motorcycles on track to connectivity & Evaluation of the potential of C-ITS for motorcycles on the basis of real accidents

Transcript of CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689...

Page 1: CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689 13,2% 0 0% 3 Lane Change Other 2.238 8,0% 0 0% 4 Left turn Other 1.744 6,2% 1.244

12th International Motorcycle Conference, Cologne1 October 2018 Page 1

CMC Roadmap

Christian Massong, BMW Motorrad, Germany

Marcus Petzold, VUFO GmbH, Germany

12th International Motorcycle Conference

Cologne, Germany

1 October 2018

Motorcycles on track to connectivity &

Evaluation of the potential of C-ITS for motorcycles on the basis of real accidents

Page 2: CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689 13,2% 0 0% 3 Lane Change Other 2.238 8,0% 0 0% 4 Left turn Other 1.744 6,2% 1.244

12th International Motorcycle Conference, Cologne1 October 2018 Page 2

• Brief introduction of CMC

• Motivation: Enhancement of motorcycle safety

• Working Group: Unification and Interoperability

• Motorcycle accidents statistics

• Analyses and evaluation

• Potential and benefit of C-ITS

• Exemplified by the application “Left Turn Assist”

• CMC Roadmap

Agenda

Page 3: CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689 13,2% 0 0% 3 Lane Change Other 2.238 8,0% 0 0% 4 Left turn Other 1.744 6,2% 1.244

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Motivation: Enhancement of motorcycle safety

Trend of car and motorcycle fatalities

USA Europe Japan

Source: International Traffic Safety Data and Analysis Group (IRTAD)

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Page 4: CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689 13,2% 0 0% 3 Lane Change Other 2.238 8,0% 0 0% 4 Left turn Other 1.744 6,2% 1.244

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• Make motorcycle riding safer by vehicle-to-vehicle communication

• Avoid accidents, e.g. where motorcycles are being overlooked

• We jointly promote, research and develop connectivity for motorcycles

CMC’s mission: motorcycle safety

netmag© ETSI©

Page 5: CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689 13,2% 0 0% 3 Lane Change Other 2.238 8,0% 0 0% 4 Left turn Other 1.744 6,2% 1.244

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• 6 Task Groups:• CMC C-ITS Roadmap

• Application- / Use Case Description

• Rider Motivation, Behaviour and Modelling

• Profiling

• HMI Guideline for C-ITS on PTW

• Accidentology

CMC Working Group Unification & Interoperability

Introduction of CMC and C-ITS

CAR2CAR Illustrator ©

Page 6: CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689 13,2% 0 0% 3 Lane Change Other 2.238 8,0% 0 0% 4 Left turn Other 1.744 6,2% 1.244

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V2V communication example: Animation of LTA

Page 7: CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689 13,2% 0 0% 3 Lane Change Other 2.238 8,0% 0 0% 4 Left turn Other 1.744 6,2% 1.244

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30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Pe

rce

nta

ge

(re

late

d t

o th

e y

ear

200

0)

Year

Car occupants

Pedestrians

Cyclists

Truck occupants

Motorcycle & Moped rider

Source: Statistisches Bundesamt, Wiesbaden, Fachserie 8 / Reihe 7

Year 2000 = 100%

Fatally injured road users in Germany

2017

Page 8: CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689 13,2% 0 0% 3 Lane Change Other 2.238 8,0% 0 0% 4 Left turn Other 1.744 6,2% 1.244

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Investigation area

HannoverGermany

DresdenGermany

Source: Google Maps & GIDAS

Information

Technical

Medical

Recon-

≈ 2.000 traffic accidents

with personal damage

per year - since 1999 -

Ø 3.500 single

information per accident

German accident data – GIDAS

struction

Database

Page 9: CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689 13,2% 0 0% 3 Lane Change Other 2.238 8,0% 0 0% 4 Left turn Other 1.744 6,2% 1.244

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2. Weighting towards the German traffic accident statistics of 2016

3. Scenario classification

1. Creation of a dataset

Crossing traffic Longitudinal traffic Lane change

Left turn U-turn

Straight Left curve Right curve

Animals

Others

/

Un-

known

Driving Accidents:

Collision

Accidents: Technical defect

Method: Accident scenarios of motorcycles

Page 10: CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689 13,2% 0 0% 3 Lane Change Other 2.238 8,0% 0 0% 4 Left turn Other 1.744 6,2% 1.244

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5,6125,151

3,5383,168

2,816

2,018 1,950

1,311896

269

1,274

Accident scenarios by type of accident

Collision accidents

Driving accidents

n = 28.002 accidents

Page 11: CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689 13,2% 0 0% 3 Lane Change Other 2.238 8,0% 0 0% 4 Left turn Other 1.744 6,2% 1.244

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17.9%

13.2%

8.0%6.2%

5.2% 4.6% 4.4%

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

Top 10 – motorcycle accident causation

Accident Causer = Motorcycle

Accident Causer = Other11.1% 10.0%

7.2%

Driving accidentsCollision accidentsn = 28.002 accidents

Page 12: CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689 13,2% 0 0% 3 Lane Change Other 2.238 8,0% 0 0% 4 Left turn Other 1.744 6,2% 1.244

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17.9%

13.2%

8.0%6.2%

5.2% 4.6% 4.4%

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

Top 10 – motorcycle accident causation

11.1% 10.0%

7.2%

Driving accidentsCollision accidents

Accident Causer = Motorcycle

Accident Causer = Other

n = 28.002 accidents

Driving accidents are mainly

addressed by independently

operating

advanced rider assistant

systems

(not C-ITS)

Page 13: CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689 13,2% 0 0% 3 Lane Change Other 2.238 8,0% 0 0% 4 Left turn Other 1.744 6,2% 1.244

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Method: Evaluation of the potential of C-ITS

Source: CMC document “Application- and Use-Case description”

Filter criteria

Evaluating the potential of 19 C-ITS applications

Applying the filter criteria to the dataset

Conversion into

Nr. of addressed accidents with distinction regarding causation

Result

Page 14: CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689 13,2% 0 0% 3 Lane Change Other 2.238 8,0% 0 0% 4 Left turn Other 1.744 6,2% 1.244

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Results – Top 10 applications

22%

14%

9%

6%4%

2% 2% 2% 1% 1%

MAI /MAW

IMA FCW BSW &LCW

LTA IMA FCW EEBL BSW &LCW

AWW

Other Other PTW Other Other PTW Other PTW PTW PTW

MAI: Motorcycle Approach Indication

MAW: Motorcycle Approach Warning

IMA: Intersection Movement Assist

FCW: Forward Collision Warning

BSW: Blind Spot Warning

LCW: Lane Change Warning

LTA: Left Turning Assist

EEBL: Emergency Electronic Brake Lights

AWW: Adverse Weather Warning

Share in addressed motorcycle accidents

(n=28.002, Germany, 2016)

Accident

Causer:

Application:

Page 15: CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689 13,2% 0 0% 3 Lane Change Other 2.238 8,0% 0 0% 4 Left turn Other 1.744 6,2% 1.244

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Example: Left Turn Assist - result

Most frequent C-ITS relevant

accident scenarios of PTW

Addressed

cases with

LTA

Nr. ScenarioAccident

Causer

no. of

accidents%

no. of

accidents%

1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0%

2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689 13,2% 0 0%

3 Lane Change Other 2.238 8,0% 0 0%

4 Left turn Other 1.744 6,2% 1.244 71%

5 Longitudinal traffic Other 1.463 5,2% 0 0%

6 Lane change PTW 1.300 4,6% 0 0%

7 U-turn Other 1.245 4,4% 0 0%

… … … … … … …

13 Left turn PTW 206 0,7% 123 60%

The LTA could address:

• 1.244 accidents, if

the accident causer

is the Other vehicle.

• 123 accidents, if the

accident causer is

the PTW.

Efficiency of LTA in the

scenario Left turn is over

70%!

Page 16: CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689 13,2% 0 0% 3 Lane Change Other 2.238 8,0% 0 0% 4 Left turn Other 1.744 6,2% 1.244

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Car

disregards

the PTW

PTW

Example scenario: Left turn

Source: GIDAS accident case from 2017

Page 17: CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689 13,2% 0 0% 3 Lane Change Other 2.238 8,0% 0 0% 4 Left turn Other 1.744 6,2% 1.244

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Example scenario: Left turn without LTA

Page 18: CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689 13,2% 0 0% 3 Lane Change Other 2.238 8,0% 0 0% 4 Left turn Other 1.744 6,2% 1.244

12th International Motorcycle Conference, Cologne1 October 2018 Page 18

Example scenario: Left turn with LTA

Page 19: CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689 13,2% 0 0% 3 Lane Change Other 2.238 8,0% 0 0% 4 Left turn Other 1.744 6,2% 1.244

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Results – Top 10 applications

22%

14%

9%

6%4%

2% 2% 2% 1% 1%

MAI /MAW

IMA FCW BSW &LCW

LTA IMA FCW EEBL BSW &LCW

AWW

Other Other PTW Other Other PTW Other PTW PTW PTW

MAI: Motorcycle Approach Indication

MAW: Motorcycle Approach Warning

IMA: Intersection Movement Assist

FCW: Forward Collision Warning

BSW: Blind Spot Warning

LCW: Lane Change Warning

LTA: Left Turning Assist

EEBL: Emergency Electronic Brake Lights

AWW: Adverse Weather Warning

Share in addressed motorcycle accidents

(n=28.002, Germany, 2016)

Accident

Causer:

Application:

Page 20: CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689 13,2% 0 0% 3 Lane Change Other 2.238 8,0% 0 0% 4 Left turn Other 1.744 6,2% 1.244

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See and Get Seen by others

Be Warned of the unexpected

CMC Roadmap

Ride with Less Stress

Motorcycle Approach Warning

safe

ty b

enefit fo

r m

oto

rcycle

s

technical evolution – availability & reliability of data

ITS phase I ITS phase II ITS phase III

Lane Change Warning /

Blind Spot Warning

Transit Signal PriorityGreen Light Optimized Speed Advisory

Traffic Light Violation WarningRoad Works Warning

Do Not Pass Warning

Connected Automated Cruise Control

Lane Merge Assistant

Lane Change Warning /

Blind Spot Warning

Intersection Movement Assist

Forward Collision Warning

Forward Collision Warning

Left Turn Assist

Intersection Movement Assist

Motorcycle Approach Indication

Group Riding

Broken Down Vehicle Warning

Adverse Weather Warning

Emergency Electronic Brake Lights

Fuelling & Charging Information

Cooperated Driving

– to make the road safer

Page 21: CMC Presentation Master...1 Crossing traffic Other 5.008 17,9% 0 0% 2 Longitudinal traffic PTW 3.689 13,2% 0 0% 3 Lane Change Other 2.238 8,0% 0 0% 4 Left turn Other 1.744 6,2% 1.244

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Hall 6 – indoor

CMC booth

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[email protected]

www.cmc-info.net

Thank you for your attention