Closing Deals. Consumer Apps with a special focus on ......2020/05/14  · Nordic digital growth...

14
Closing Deals. Consumer Apps with a special focus on Fitness, Education and mHealth Deals and Developments

Transcript of Closing Deals. Consumer Apps with a special focus on ......2020/05/14  · Nordic digital growth...

Page 1: Closing Deals. Consumer Apps with a special focus on ......2020/05/14  · Nordic digital growth companies. Carlsquare successfully advised the founders of the “healthy living”

Closing Deals.

Consumer Apps with a special focus on Fitness, Education and mHealth

–Deals and Developments

Page 2: Closing Deals. Consumer Apps with a special focus on ......2020/05/14  · Nordic digital growth companies. Carlsquare successfully advised the founders of the “healthy living”

Our Locations

Berlin

Copenhagen

Hamburg

London

Munich

Stockholm

Closing Deals.We advise on M&A,

growth equity and equity research.

Source: 1) Mergermarket 2

No. 1 M&A advisor in German-

speaking Europe in Q1 20201

>450 transactions over the

past 20 years

Track Record

M&A:

75% sell-side and 25% buy-

side mandates

ECM and Equity Research

Focus Areas

Partner of Globalscope

International reach:

55 Partners

48 Countries

5 Continents

Global Reach

Entrepreneurs & profitable

growth companies

Financial investors

Clients

70+ employees

12 partners

6 locations

Organisation

Page 3: Closing Deals. Consumer Apps with a special focus on ......2020/05/14  · Nordic digital growth companies. Carlsquare successfully advised the founders of the “healthy living”

Our consumer apps deal team has a proven track record of executing transactions and vast industry expertise

3

Michael MoritzManaging PartnerFounded Carlsquare in 2000Previously TreuhandanstaltBerlin, Doertenbach & Co.

Anders BoManaging PartnerCarlsquare since 2019Previously Westlb, HSH, Dansk Merchant Capital

Caspar Graf StauffenbergManaging PartnerCarlsquare since 2012Previously Aequos, MAP, Binding Group

Mark MillerManaging Partner Founded Carlsquare in 2000Previously Deutsche Bank, Bertelsmann

Erik LundbergDirectorCarlsquare since 2017Previously Stella EOC, EY

Philip GoldhahnSenior AssociateCarlsquare since 2014Previously Silverpeak,Kühne + Nagel

Philipp ClausAssociateCarlsquare since 2018Previously Piper Jaffray, Canccord Genuity

Cindy FallerAnalystCarlsquare since 2019Previously Mazars, Trinavis

Lukas MoritzenAnalystCarlsquare since 2020Previously GCA Altium, Pareto Securities, benten capital

Dr. Arnold HolleManaging PartnerCarlsquare since 2018Previously World Bank,BCG, UBS, Goldman Sachs

Caroline HeintzAssociateCarlsquare since 2020Previously PwC

Mischa KrauseDirectorCarlsquare since 2011Previously internet startupAvocado Store, a Rocket internet startup

Nico Schmidt-WeidemannPartnerCarlsquare since 2016Previously CMC Consulting Group, Groupe BPCE

Anshul TyagiAnalystCarlsquare since 2019Previously Lovina Capital, Punjab National Bank

Page 4: Closing Deals. Consumer Apps with a special focus on ......2020/05/14  · Nordic digital growth companies. Carlsquare successfully advised the founders of the “healthy living”

Carlsquare advised PreglifeAB on growth financing through eEquity

Preglife launched its app in October 2010 and has since then been downloaded more than 2.6m times, today the app has more than 500,000 active users and is live in all Nordic countries, Poland, Germany, United Kingdom and United States. The application conveys knowledge and information to pregnant and new parents so they can make informed decisions with regards to their family and themselves. Since launch, Preglife has cooperated with a large network of doctors and midwives to guarantee that the information is accurate, relevant and correct. Preglife had a turnover of c. EUR 2m at the time of the transaction and growing fast with profitability.

eEquity is a private equity company focusing on Nordic digital growth companies.

Carlsquare successfully advised the founders of the “healthy living” app 7Mind on their sale to SüdwestdeutscheMedienholding

Founded in 2014, 7Mind is the largest German platform for offering digital content for meditation and mindfulness. More than 1.5m users have already found a simple and at the same time scientifically sound introduction to the world of meditation and mindfulness with the 7Mind app.

Südwestdeutsche Medienholding completes the first important transaction in the newly created Ventures business with 7Mind and lays the foundation for the development of a digital health platform. At the same time, SWMH is implementing its corporate strategy according to which accompanying growth businesses are to make a significant contribution to the diversification of the SWMH group by the end of 2022.

4

received growth investment from

Page 5: Closing Deals. Consumer Apps with a special focus on ......2020/05/14  · Nordic digital growth companies. Carlsquare successfully advised the founders of the “healthy living”

Proven expertise in consumer businesses and application

software M&A

Proven expertise in M&A and IPOs

+80 transactionsin the consumer sector

sold to sold to

sold the majority share of

to

sold to

and

sold to

and

Invested in

received investment from

sold tosold tosold to merged with

sold to

a portfolio company of

received growth investment from

sold to sold a majority stake to

sold to

Our business model is designed to assist companies and their owners in maximizing shareholder value throughout the life cycle

sold to

Brøndby IF –Public Offering

sold to

5

sold to a strategic investor

Page 6: Closing Deals. Consumer Apps with a special focus on ......2020/05/14  · Nordic digital growth companies. Carlsquare successfully advised the founders of the “healthy living”

37

56

73

124

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

2015 2016 2017 2021

Mo

bile

ap

p r

eve

nu

e

in E

UR

bn

App Store subscriptions boom as consumer choose convenience

The State of Mobile 2019

EUR 182bn worldwide downloads

3.4hrs per day spent in mobile by the average user

29% 3-year CAGR worldwide app store consumer spend

EUR 107bn worldwide app store consumer spend, 59% CAGR 2016-2019

c. 42% global smartphone penetrationrate1

130% more money spent on health and fitness apps

c. EUR 36bn worldwide e-learningrevenue

Source: Statista

Source: Statista; State of mobile 2020; 1) Global population/ number of smartphone users worlwide

6

Page 7: Closing Deals. Consumer Apps with a special focus on ......2020/05/14  · Nordic digital growth companies. Carlsquare successfully advised the founders of the “healthy living”

Company HQ DescriptionCapital raised ∑

(EURm)Last round

(EURm)Round type Investor(s)

USProvider of health insurance services for senior citizens in New Jersey

449 Series E

UKProvider of a subscription based mobile healthcare application

495 Series C

USProvider of an online learning platform for students

46 Series E

USProvider of an online portal to provide virtual training on health and fitness

180 Growth

USDeveloper of an app for meditation, mindfulness and sleep

102 Series B

USDeveloper of a language learning platform for classrooms

10 Growth

US Provider of online meditation services 49 Series C

DEDeveloper of a mobile software application for tax declaration and returns

60 Series C

SE Provider of a health app that offers visits to a doctor online

33 Venture

USProvider of an education and technology platform for personalized learning

16 Series C

DE Provider of a medical education platform 30 Series B

UKProvider of Moshi, a sleep and mindfulness application for kids

11 Series B

DEProvider of a platform for mobile reading on internet portals and mobile applications

16 Series C

DEDigital learning and cloud coaching platform for professionals

4 Series A

DEDeveloper of a mobile application to improve health and wellbeing of females

15 Series B

SEDeveloper of a mobile application for a healthy balanced lifestyle

5 Growth

UKProvider of an online learning platform that enables users to learn languages

13 Series B

UKProvider of an eLearning platform for children aged 3-7 years

2Crowd-Funding

USDeveloper of a fitness app that enables users to work out live and online

7 Ventures

SE Developer of a platform to convey knowledge to prospective and new parents

>10 Growth

SE Developer of an application that educates children in math

5 Venture

UKDeveloper of an online platform that manages stress/wellness of individuals

3 Growth

DE Provider of interactive online piano lessons 3 Growth

FIProvider of live yoga classes that are accessed online

3 Series B

SE Provider of an application software for prevention and cure of rheumatoid arthritis

2 Seed

126

127

3

832

113

180

573

202

100

70

7

>10

35

30

26

20

20

19

18

18

4

13

11

6

4

Selected funding activities in the application sector since 2018

Amid strong interest from investors, a large amount of funding flows into apps

7Source: Capital IQ, Carlsquare research

Last round as proportion of total funding

Page 8: Closing Deals. Consumer Apps with a special focus on ......2020/05/14  · Nordic digital growth companies. Carlsquare successfully advised the founders of the “healthy living”

Date HQ Target Description Buyer

Apr 20 UKDeveloper of an online platform that manages stress/wellness of individuals

Jan 20 DEProvider of a platform for offering digital content for mediation and mindfulness

Dec 19 NOOperator of an online learning platform for primary, secondary and higher education

Nov 191 NOProvider of health solutions including the Fitbit online dashboard and mobile apps

Oct 19 UK Europe's leading digital platform for students

Oct 19 UK Operator of an education platform

Jul 19 DKProvider of an e-learning platform for experts and students worldwide

Apr 19 SEOperator of an online platform for e-learning, gamification, coaching and performance tracking

Apr 19 US Provider of On-Demand online tutoring

Jan 19 DEProvider of an artificial intelligence-based platform to help users understand themselves better

Jan 19 DEProvider of an online platform for educational courses and which connects teachers and students

Dec 18 CAProvider a web-based platform for e-learning and online training

Dec 18 NL Provider of digital learning materials

Nov 18 CZ Developer of learning software for pre-school children

Sep 18 USProvider of online training, pre-licensing and corporate training services

Sep 18 DE Developer of eLearning videos for digital skills

Jun 18 DEOperates a digital education platform for university students of various academic disciplines

Jun 18 DEProvider of a digital platform for technical and vocational training

May 18 AT Provider of online fitness programs

Feb 18 UK Operator of a game-based learning website for students

The application sector gains attention and spurs M&A activities

Selected M&A transactions in the application sector since 2018

8

▪ Financial investors continue to show great interest in investments in the areas of fitness, education and mHealth

▪ In addition, the number of acquisitions by strategic partners such as technology companies, publishing and media houses has also increased over the last few years

▪ According to the Institute for Mergers, Acquisitions & Alliances, most financial investors in the DACH region see an opportunity from COVID-19 and will continue to invest heavily with a special interest in technology related companies such as the application sector2

Note: 1) Closing pending; 2) Survey between 19 - 20 March in the DACH region - Panel of 400 private equity professionals - Fully completed questionnaires were included in the evaluation by 81 experts

Source: Capital IQ, Mergermarket, Institute for Mergers, Acquisitions & Alliances, Proventis Partners, Carlsquare research

Page 9: Closing Deals. Consumer Apps with a special focus on ......2020/05/14  · Nordic digital growth companies. Carlsquare successfully advised the founders of the “healthy living”

Source: Carlsquare research

▪ New categories within the application sector significantly gain attention (e.g. fitness, education and mHealth)

▪ Globally, consumers spent c. EUR 1.4bn on Health and Fitness apps in 2019 – this includes new pathways to meal planning, training regimes, exercise tracking, wellness and meditation

▪ Educational applications such as Babbel, a provider of language learning via social networking or Flowkey, a platform that teaches users how to play the piano, experience strong growth

Interesting new categories on the rise – selected applications:

Click to find the app in the app store

Fitness Education (incl. productivity) mHealth (incl. sleep/meditation)

9

Selected active financial investors within the application industry

New interesting apps gain attention and spur interest from financial investors

Lumosity Memorado Blinkist

Memrise simpleclub Udemy

Mimo Busuu Babbel

Simply Piano Peak Skoove

Flowkey Yousician Duolingo

9

YAZIO MyFitnessPal Strava

BodyFast Runkeeper FitOn

BetterMe CYBEROBICS Fastic

Freeletics Pacer Fitness App

Runtastic Lifesum Asana Rebel

Sleep Cycle Clue Power Nap App

Flo Insight Timer Life Cycle

Headspace Calm Moshi

MINDBODY breathe Min Doktor

Preglife Balloon 7Mind

Page 10: Closing Deals. Consumer Apps with a special focus on ......2020/05/14  · Nordic digital growth companies. Carlsquare successfully advised the founders of the “healthy living”

▪ Since ‘’lock-down’’ provisions were implemented to protect from COVID-19, the application sector has experienced growth in downloads and user spending

▪ By 2024, downloads are projected by TechCrunch to reach >180bn, up 9% from the earlier forecast that came out before COVID-19 that had initially accounted for 7bn fewer installs

76

91

107

122

138

153

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2022F2019 2020F 2021F 2023F 2024F

+15%

115

140148

159171

184

0

50

100

150

200

2019 2020F 2022F2021F 2023F 2024F

+10%

COVID-19 increases the usage of applications and drives valuation

Worldwide App Store and Google Play user spending

in EURbn

Worldwide App Store and Google Play downloads

in bn

Education, fitness and mHealth applications have seen significant growth following COVID-191

4%

-4%

-60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140%

129%

Entertainment

61%

Business

Medical

News

126%

Social networking

49%

50%

-53%

Games

48%

Shopping

Fitness & mHealth

33%Productivity

18%

13%Music

Education

87%

Food & Drink

Navigation

Weather

-25%Sports information

-29%

Travel

42%

▪ COVID-19 reshaped the application ecosystem - categories such as education, mHealth and fitness experienced growth, while categories such as travel and navigation experienced declines

Long term trend for consumer applications are expected even after COVID-19

Source: SensorTower

Source: SensorTowerSource: TechCrunch

Note: 1) Data is from the App Store only; Aggregated data for nine countries (China, South Korea, Italy, Japan, France, Germany, Spain, the U.S., and Great Britain);

Growth is calculated comparing the 30 days following each country’s 200th confirmed case of COVID-19 vs. the prior 30 days10

Page 11: Closing Deals. Consumer Apps with a special focus on ......2020/05/14  · Nordic digital growth companies. Carlsquare successfully advised the founders of the “healthy living”

Salesmultiple ’20E

EBITDAmultiple ’20E

EBITDA margin ’20E

Key metrics (as of 01/05/2020)

Businesses in the wider “app space” have some of the highest valuations in the stock market and are widening their lead in the COVID-19 crisis

▪ “App stocks” are naturally amongst the least affected by or possibly even benefitting from the lock-down, so this strong relative valuation has become more marked since February 2020

Investors are looking for predictable, stable revenues, cash generation and long-term growth

▪ Subscription based business models are awarded higher valuations

▪ Every valuation discussion will put the impact of COVID-19 on 2020 results and on the mid-term outlook front and center

▪ Investors will shy away from anything with an uncertain outlook due to COVID-19

▪ Family offices and private equity group who gathered massive funds will naturally flock to opportunities in the “apps space”, as companies in the sector continue to trade very successfully or even better than before and can better than anyone else communicate on the medium-term impact of COVID-19 on their businesses

Private companies in the “app space” will be a key focus area for investors in H2 2020 – relative pricing will be much higher than in 2019

Valuations for consumer applications of c. 4-5x revenue and c. 10-15x EBITDA (not-listed growth cases)

41,982

36,008

26,119

24,757

20,951

18,323

8,602

5,964

4,939

3,180

2,195

1,829

1,134,246

1,168,832

231,252

177,951

17x

34x

16x

72x

22x

16x

25x

33x

25x

35x

47x

10x

38x

5x

4x

4x

10x

7x

4x

6x

4x

11x

4x

5x

5x

13x

6x

2x

15x

29%

13%

23%

13%

32%

22%

23%

0%

34%

17%

13%

0%

12%

13%

25%

40%

(2%)

20%

17%

28%

(13

%)

14%

(4%)

29%

19%

12%

7%

46%

28%

24%

2%

14%

Median 25xMedian 5x Median 16%Median 19%

Sales growth‘19 – ’20

EV multiples

Enterprisevalue (EURm)

Valuation and key metrics for the application software market

n/a

n/a

n/a

Source: Capital IQ, Carlsquare research 11

Page 12: Closing Deals. Consumer Apps with a special focus on ......2020/05/14  · Nordic digital growth companies. Carlsquare successfully advised the founders of the “healthy living”

50

100

150

200

250

Jun 17 Nov 17 Apr 18 Sep 18 Feb 19 Jul 19 Dez 19

Mobile peer group MSCI software

Nasdaq 100 MSCI Tech

MSCI world

60

70

80

90

100

110

Jan 20 Feb 20 Mrz 20 Apr 20

Mobile peer group Nasdaq 100

MSCI Tech MSCI software

MSCI World

Share price development of mobile peer group since 01/01/20202

(2%)

24%

(27%)

28%

9%

2%

5%

(3%)

(9%)

(13%)

10%

18%

12%

47%

(13%)

27%

Mean +7%

The application sector has experienced high valuations compared to major indices

12Note: 1) Share price development from 01/01/2020 to 01/05/2020 with index=100; 2) As of 01/05/2020

Share price development of mobile peer group in comparison to selected indices

▪ Both indices, the MSCI World and the Nasdaq 100, have experienced a decline in share development since 01/01/2020, with a decrease of -13% and -0%, respectively

▪ The selected mobile peer group’s median share price development of 7% since 01/01/2020 is significantly higher compared to the performance of various indices

▪ The mobile peer group’s share price increased by an average of 7% since 01/01/2020 and by an average of 143% since 01/05/2017

▪ The mobile peer group is the only one to record of positive development over the period since 01/01/2020, all selected indices have experienced a decrease in share prices

Share price development over the past three years1

Jun 17 Nov 17 Apr 18 Sep 18 Feb 19 Jul 19 Dec 19 Apr 20

Jan 20 Feb 20 Mar 20 Apr 20

Share price development since 01/01/20201

Page 13: Closing Deals. Consumer Apps with a special focus on ......2020/05/14  · Nordic digital growth companies. Carlsquare successfully advised the founders of the “healthy living”

IPO: the alternative for financing innovation, growth, acquisitions and internationalization for high-growth companies

▪ Kixeye was acquired

▪ EUR 50m was raised in a directed share issue

▪ EUR 50m was raised in a bond issue

CASE STUDY: STILLFRONT GROUP

-100

100

300

500

700

Dez 15 Mai 16 Okt 16 Mrz 17 Aug 17 Jan 18 Jun 18 Nov 18 Apr 19 Sep 19 Feb 20

Volume 000' Trade close

From building a highly compelling equity story to a successful IPO and continuous accelerated growth - fundraising, IPO, and M&A

▪ Goodgame Studios, Playa Games and Imperia Online were acquired

▪ EUR 60m was raised in a publicbond issue

▪ eRepublic Labs and OFM Studioswere acquired

▪ EUR 11m was raised in a public bond issue

▪ Acquisition of Babil Games and Simultronics

▪ Merger of Bytro Labs and Stillfront in which Carlsquare acted as advisor

2013

2015

2016

2018

2017

2019

On 8 December 2015, StillfrontGroup IPO on Nasdaq First North Premier Growth Market

SEK 70

SEK 510

Mark Miller, Partner at Carlsquare, was on the Board from 2016 to 2018

• Stillfront Group is a leading free-to-play powerhouse with an active portfolio of 30 games and 1.4m daily active users

• The Company is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden, with a group of 12 studios operating in 10 countries with ~650 professionals

• The Company was listed on Nasdaq in Dec-15 and has since then increased its market capitalization from EUR 33m in 2015 to EUR 620m in 2019

6 10

95

129

186

28%

36%

40%

36%38%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Revenue Mobile revenue

EBITDA margin

Revenue and EBITDA developmentEURm

Share price and volume developmentSEK

Close first day trading

Close 15 April 2020

Source: Company year-end reports

Dec 15 May 16 Oct 16 Mar 17

13Source: Carlsquare research

Page 14: Closing Deals. Consumer Apps with a special focus on ......2020/05/14  · Nordic digital growth companies. Carlsquare successfully advised the founders of the “healthy living”

www.carlsquare.com

We have an experienced team and sufficient resources for all types of projects

We have outstanding expertise in conducting dual-track processes (M&A and IPO in parallel)

We achieve the best result for our clients: In all completed sell-side transactions over the past year, we have exceeded our initial valuations – 85% of all projects begun were successfully completed

We are where you are: With offices in Berlin, Munich, Hamburg, London, Stockholm and Copenhagen, we are very well positioned throughout Europe

In 95% of our projects we approach international buyers. In 2019, 75% of the transactions we advised on were cross-border

We accelerate processes and complete transactions quickly

We have an outstanding track record when it comes to complex ownership structures

Strong sector expertise and an excellent network in our focus industries

Why work with us?

Hamburg

Hamburg Esplanade 41 20354 Hamburg +49 40 300836-0 [email protected]

Mark Miller

mark.miller @carlsquare.comM: +49 173 932 84 39

Berlin

Kurfürstendamm 188 10707 Berlin +49 30 8093347-0 [email protected]

Michael Moritz

[email protected]: +49 172 69 69 301

Munich

Von-der-Tann-Str. 7 80539 Munich +49 89 2554953-0 [email protected]

Caspar Graf Stauffenberg

[email protected]: +49 172 674 74 09

Copenhagen

Toldbodgade 57DK-1253 Copenhagen +45 3945 0010 [email protected]

Anders Bo

[email protected]: +45 41 99 82 52

Stockholm

Birger Jarlsgatan 13 111 45 Stockholm +46 8 684 439 00 [email protected]

Erik Lundberg

[email protected]: +46 738 503 559

London

14 Buckingham Street London WC2N 6DF +44 20 8017-6015 [email protected]

Dr. Arnold Holle

[email protected]: +44 7785 53 11 65