Closing Deals. Consumer Apps with a special focus on ......2020/05/14 · Nordic digital growth...
Transcript of Closing Deals. Consumer Apps with a special focus on ......2020/05/14 · Nordic digital growth...
Closing Deals.
Consumer Apps with a special focus on Fitness, Education and mHealth
–Deals and Developments
Our Locations
Berlin
Copenhagen
Hamburg
London
Munich
Stockholm
Closing Deals.We advise on M&A,
growth equity and equity research.
Source: 1) Mergermarket 2
No. 1 M&A advisor in German-
speaking Europe in Q1 20201
>450 transactions over the
past 20 years
Track Record
M&A:
75% sell-side and 25% buy-
side mandates
ECM and Equity Research
Focus Areas
Partner of Globalscope
International reach:
55 Partners
48 Countries
5 Continents
Global Reach
Entrepreneurs & profitable
growth companies
Financial investors
Clients
70+ employees
12 partners
6 locations
Organisation
Our consumer apps deal team has a proven track record of executing transactions and vast industry expertise
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Michael MoritzManaging PartnerFounded Carlsquare in 2000Previously TreuhandanstaltBerlin, Doertenbach & Co.
Anders BoManaging PartnerCarlsquare since 2019Previously Westlb, HSH, Dansk Merchant Capital
Caspar Graf StauffenbergManaging PartnerCarlsquare since 2012Previously Aequos, MAP, Binding Group
Mark MillerManaging Partner Founded Carlsquare in 2000Previously Deutsche Bank, Bertelsmann
Erik LundbergDirectorCarlsquare since 2017Previously Stella EOC, EY
Philip GoldhahnSenior AssociateCarlsquare since 2014Previously Silverpeak,Kühne + Nagel
Philipp ClausAssociateCarlsquare since 2018Previously Piper Jaffray, Canccord Genuity
Cindy FallerAnalystCarlsquare since 2019Previously Mazars, Trinavis
Lukas MoritzenAnalystCarlsquare since 2020Previously GCA Altium, Pareto Securities, benten capital
Dr. Arnold HolleManaging PartnerCarlsquare since 2018Previously World Bank,BCG, UBS, Goldman Sachs
Caroline HeintzAssociateCarlsquare since 2020Previously PwC
Mischa KrauseDirectorCarlsquare since 2011Previously internet startupAvocado Store, a Rocket internet startup
Nico Schmidt-WeidemannPartnerCarlsquare since 2016Previously CMC Consulting Group, Groupe BPCE
Anshul TyagiAnalystCarlsquare since 2019Previously Lovina Capital, Punjab National Bank
Carlsquare advised PreglifeAB on growth financing through eEquity
Preglife launched its app in October 2010 and has since then been downloaded more than 2.6m times, today the app has more than 500,000 active users and is live in all Nordic countries, Poland, Germany, United Kingdom and United States. The application conveys knowledge and information to pregnant and new parents so they can make informed decisions with regards to their family and themselves. Since launch, Preglife has cooperated with a large network of doctors and midwives to guarantee that the information is accurate, relevant and correct. Preglife had a turnover of c. EUR 2m at the time of the transaction and growing fast with profitability.
eEquity is a private equity company focusing on Nordic digital growth companies.
Carlsquare successfully advised the founders of the “healthy living” app 7Mind on their sale to SüdwestdeutscheMedienholding
Founded in 2014, 7Mind is the largest German platform for offering digital content for meditation and mindfulness. More than 1.5m users have already found a simple and at the same time scientifically sound introduction to the world of meditation and mindfulness with the 7Mind app.
Südwestdeutsche Medienholding completes the first important transaction in the newly created Ventures business with 7Mind and lays the foundation for the development of a digital health platform. At the same time, SWMH is implementing its corporate strategy according to which accompanying growth businesses are to make a significant contribution to the diversification of the SWMH group by the end of 2022.
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received growth investment from
Proven expertise in consumer businesses and application
software M&A
Proven expertise in M&A and IPOs
+80 transactionsin the consumer sector
sold to sold to
sold the majority share of
to
sold to
and
sold to
and
Invested in
received investment from
sold tosold tosold to merged with
sold to
a portfolio company of
received growth investment from
sold to sold a majority stake to
sold to
Our business model is designed to assist companies and their owners in maximizing shareholder value throughout the life cycle
sold to
Brøndby IF –Public Offering
sold to
5
sold to a strategic investor
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2015 2016 2017 2021
Mo
bile
ap
p r
eve
nu
e
in E
UR
bn
App Store subscriptions boom as consumer choose convenience
The State of Mobile 2019
EUR 182bn worldwide downloads
3.4hrs per day spent in mobile by the average user
29% 3-year CAGR worldwide app store consumer spend
EUR 107bn worldwide app store consumer spend, 59% CAGR 2016-2019
c. 42% global smartphone penetrationrate1
130% more money spent on health and fitness apps
c. EUR 36bn worldwide e-learningrevenue
Source: Statista
Source: Statista; State of mobile 2020; 1) Global population/ number of smartphone users worlwide
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Company HQ DescriptionCapital raised ∑
(EURm)Last round
(EURm)Round type Investor(s)
USProvider of health insurance services for senior citizens in New Jersey
449 Series E
UKProvider of a subscription based mobile healthcare application
495 Series C
USProvider of an online learning platform for students
46 Series E
USProvider of an online portal to provide virtual training on health and fitness
180 Growth
USDeveloper of an app for meditation, mindfulness and sleep
102 Series B
USDeveloper of a language learning platform for classrooms
10 Growth
US Provider of online meditation services 49 Series C
DEDeveloper of a mobile software application for tax declaration and returns
60 Series C
SE Provider of a health app that offers visits to a doctor online
33 Venture
USProvider of an education and technology platform for personalized learning
16 Series C
DE Provider of a medical education platform 30 Series B
UKProvider of Moshi, a sleep and mindfulness application for kids
11 Series B
DEProvider of a platform for mobile reading on internet portals and mobile applications
16 Series C
DEDigital learning and cloud coaching platform for professionals
4 Series A
DEDeveloper of a mobile application to improve health and wellbeing of females
15 Series B
SEDeveloper of a mobile application for a healthy balanced lifestyle
5 Growth
UKProvider of an online learning platform that enables users to learn languages
13 Series B
UKProvider of an eLearning platform for children aged 3-7 years
2Crowd-Funding
USDeveloper of a fitness app that enables users to work out live and online
7 Ventures
SE Developer of a platform to convey knowledge to prospective and new parents
>10 Growth
SE Developer of an application that educates children in math
5 Venture
UKDeveloper of an online platform that manages stress/wellness of individuals
3 Growth
DE Provider of interactive online piano lessons 3 Growth
FIProvider of live yoga classes that are accessed online
3 Series B
SE Provider of an application software for prevention and cure of rheumatoid arthritis
2 Seed
126
127
3
832
113
180
573
202
100
70
7
>10
35
30
26
20
20
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18
4
13
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6
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Selected funding activities in the application sector since 2018
Amid strong interest from investors, a large amount of funding flows into apps
7Source: Capital IQ, Carlsquare research
Last round as proportion of total funding
Date HQ Target Description Buyer
Apr 20 UKDeveloper of an online platform that manages stress/wellness of individuals
Jan 20 DEProvider of a platform for offering digital content for mediation and mindfulness
Dec 19 NOOperator of an online learning platform for primary, secondary and higher education
Nov 191 NOProvider of health solutions including the Fitbit online dashboard and mobile apps
Oct 19 UK Europe's leading digital platform for students
Oct 19 UK Operator of an education platform
Jul 19 DKProvider of an e-learning platform for experts and students worldwide
Apr 19 SEOperator of an online platform for e-learning, gamification, coaching and performance tracking
Apr 19 US Provider of On-Demand online tutoring
Jan 19 DEProvider of an artificial intelligence-based platform to help users understand themselves better
Jan 19 DEProvider of an online platform for educational courses and which connects teachers and students
Dec 18 CAProvider a web-based platform for e-learning and online training
Dec 18 NL Provider of digital learning materials
Nov 18 CZ Developer of learning software for pre-school children
Sep 18 USProvider of online training, pre-licensing and corporate training services
Sep 18 DE Developer of eLearning videos for digital skills
Jun 18 DEOperates a digital education platform for university students of various academic disciplines
Jun 18 DEProvider of a digital platform for technical and vocational training
May 18 AT Provider of online fitness programs
Feb 18 UK Operator of a game-based learning website for students
The application sector gains attention and spurs M&A activities
Selected M&A transactions in the application sector since 2018
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▪ Financial investors continue to show great interest in investments in the areas of fitness, education and mHealth
▪ In addition, the number of acquisitions by strategic partners such as technology companies, publishing and media houses has also increased over the last few years
▪ According to the Institute for Mergers, Acquisitions & Alliances, most financial investors in the DACH region see an opportunity from COVID-19 and will continue to invest heavily with a special interest in technology related companies such as the application sector2
Note: 1) Closing pending; 2) Survey between 19 - 20 March in the DACH region - Panel of 400 private equity professionals - Fully completed questionnaires were included in the evaluation by 81 experts
Source: Capital IQ, Mergermarket, Institute for Mergers, Acquisitions & Alliances, Proventis Partners, Carlsquare research
Source: Carlsquare research
▪ New categories within the application sector significantly gain attention (e.g. fitness, education and mHealth)
▪ Globally, consumers spent c. EUR 1.4bn on Health and Fitness apps in 2019 – this includes new pathways to meal planning, training regimes, exercise tracking, wellness and meditation
▪ Educational applications such as Babbel, a provider of language learning via social networking or Flowkey, a platform that teaches users how to play the piano, experience strong growth
Interesting new categories on the rise – selected applications:
Click to find the app in the app store
Fitness Education (incl. productivity) mHealth (incl. sleep/meditation)
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Selected active financial investors within the application industry
New interesting apps gain attention and spur interest from financial investors
Lumosity Memorado Blinkist
Memrise simpleclub Udemy
Mimo Busuu Babbel
Simply Piano Peak Skoove
Flowkey Yousician Duolingo
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YAZIO MyFitnessPal Strava
BodyFast Runkeeper FitOn
BetterMe CYBEROBICS Fastic
Freeletics Pacer Fitness App
Runtastic Lifesum Asana Rebel
Sleep Cycle Clue Power Nap App
Flo Insight Timer Life Cycle
Headspace Calm Moshi
MINDBODY breathe Min Doktor
Preglife Balloon 7Mind
▪ Since ‘’lock-down’’ provisions were implemented to protect from COVID-19, the application sector has experienced growth in downloads and user spending
▪ By 2024, downloads are projected by TechCrunch to reach >180bn, up 9% from the earlier forecast that came out before COVID-19 that had initially accounted for 7bn fewer installs
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0
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40
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160
2022F2019 2020F 2021F 2023F 2024F
+15%
115
140148
159171
184
0
50
100
150
200
2019 2020F 2022F2021F 2023F 2024F
+10%
COVID-19 increases the usage of applications and drives valuation
Worldwide App Store and Google Play user spending
in EURbn
Worldwide App Store and Google Play downloads
in bn
Education, fitness and mHealth applications have seen significant growth following COVID-191
4%
-4%
-60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140%
129%
Entertainment
61%
Business
Medical
News
126%
Social networking
49%
50%
-53%
Games
48%
Shopping
Fitness & mHealth
33%Productivity
18%
13%Music
Education
87%
Food & Drink
Navigation
Weather
-25%Sports information
-29%
Travel
42%
▪ COVID-19 reshaped the application ecosystem - categories such as education, mHealth and fitness experienced growth, while categories such as travel and navigation experienced declines
Long term trend for consumer applications are expected even after COVID-19
Source: SensorTower
Source: SensorTowerSource: TechCrunch
Note: 1) Data is from the App Store only; Aggregated data for nine countries (China, South Korea, Italy, Japan, France, Germany, Spain, the U.S., and Great Britain);
Growth is calculated comparing the 30 days following each country’s 200th confirmed case of COVID-19 vs. the prior 30 days10
Salesmultiple ’20E
EBITDAmultiple ’20E
EBITDA margin ’20E
Key metrics (as of 01/05/2020)
Businesses in the wider “app space” have some of the highest valuations in the stock market and are widening their lead in the COVID-19 crisis
▪ “App stocks” are naturally amongst the least affected by or possibly even benefitting from the lock-down, so this strong relative valuation has become more marked since February 2020
Investors are looking for predictable, stable revenues, cash generation and long-term growth
▪ Subscription based business models are awarded higher valuations
▪ Every valuation discussion will put the impact of COVID-19 on 2020 results and on the mid-term outlook front and center
▪ Investors will shy away from anything with an uncertain outlook due to COVID-19
▪ Family offices and private equity group who gathered massive funds will naturally flock to opportunities in the “apps space”, as companies in the sector continue to trade very successfully or even better than before and can better than anyone else communicate on the medium-term impact of COVID-19 on their businesses
Private companies in the “app space” will be a key focus area for investors in H2 2020 – relative pricing will be much higher than in 2019
Valuations for consumer applications of c. 4-5x revenue and c. 10-15x EBITDA (not-listed growth cases)
41,982
36,008
26,119
24,757
20,951
18,323
8,602
5,964
4,939
3,180
2,195
1,829
1,134,246
1,168,832
231,252
177,951
17x
34x
16x
72x
22x
16x
25x
33x
25x
35x
47x
10x
38x
5x
4x
4x
10x
7x
4x
6x
4x
11x
4x
5x
5x
13x
6x
2x
15x
29%
13%
23%
13%
32%
22%
23%
0%
34%
17%
13%
0%
12%
13%
25%
40%
(2%)
20%
17%
28%
(13
%)
14%
(4%)
29%
19%
12%
7%
46%
28%
24%
2%
14%
Median 25xMedian 5x Median 16%Median 19%
Sales growth‘19 – ’20
EV multiples
Enterprisevalue (EURm)
Valuation and key metrics for the application software market
n/a
n/a
n/a
Source: Capital IQ, Carlsquare research 11
50
100
150
200
250
Jun 17 Nov 17 Apr 18 Sep 18 Feb 19 Jul 19 Dez 19
Mobile peer group MSCI software
Nasdaq 100 MSCI Tech
MSCI world
60
70
80
90
100
110
Jan 20 Feb 20 Mrz 20 Apr 20
Mobile peer group Nasdaq 100
MSCI Tech MSCI software
MSCI World
Share price development of mobile peer group since 01/01/20202
(2%)
24%
(27%)
28%
9%
2%
5%
(3%)
(9%)
(13%)
10%
18%
12%
47%
(13%)
27%
Mean +7%
The application sector has experienced high valuations compared to major indices
12Note: 1) Share price development from 01/01/2020 to 01/05/2020 with index=100; 2) As of 01/05/2020
Share price development of mobile peer group in comparison to selected indices
▪ Both indices, the MSCI World and the Nasdaq 100, have experienced a decline in share development since 01/01/2020, with a decrease of -13% and -0%, respectively
▪ The selected mobile peer group’s median share price development of 7% since 01/01/2020 is significantly higher compared to the performance of various indices
▪ The mobile peer group’s share price increased by an average of 7% since 01/01/2020 and by an average of 143% since 01/05/2017
▪ The mobile peer group is the only one to record of positive development over the period since 01/01/2020, all selected indices have experienced a decrease in share prices
Share price development over the past three years1
Jun 17 Nov 17 Apr 18 Sep 18 Feb 19 Jul 19 Dec 19 Apr 20
Jan 20 Feb 20 Mar 20 Apr 20
Share price development since 01/01/20201
IPO: the alternative for financing innovation, growth, acquisitions and internationalization for high-growth companies
▪ Kixeye was acquired
▪ EUR 50m was raised in a directed share issue
▪ EUR 50m was raised in a bond issue
CASE STUDY: STILLFRONT GROUP
-100
100
300
500
700
Dez 15 Mai 16 Okt 16 Mrz 17 Aug 17 Jan 18 Jun 18 Nov 18 Apr 19 Sep 19 Feb 20
Volume 000' Trade close
From building a highly compelling equity story to a successful IPO and continuous accelerated growth - fundraising, IPO, and M&A
▪ Goodgame Studios, Playa Games and Imperia Online were acquired
▪ EUR 60m was raised in a publicbond issue
▪ eRepublic Labs and OFM Studioswere acquired
▪ EUR 11m was raised in a public bond issue
▪ Acquisition of Babil Games and Simultronics
▪ Merger of Bytro Labs and Stillfront in which Carlsquare acted as advisor
2013
2015
2016
2018
2017
2019
On 8 December 2015, StillfrontGroup IPO on Nasdaq First North Premier Growth Market
SEK 70
SEK 510
Mark Miller, Partner at Carlsquare, was on the Board from 2016 to 2018
• Stillfront Group is a leading free-to-play powerhouse with an active portfolio of 30 games and 1.4m daily active users
• The Company is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden, with a group of 12 studios operating in 10 countries with ~650 professionals
• The Company was listed on Nasdaq in Dec-15 and has since then increased its market capitalization from EUR 33m in 2015 to EUR 620m in 2019
6 10
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28%
36%
40%
36%38%
0%
5%
10%
15%
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25%
30%
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40%
45%
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2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Revenue Mobile revenue
EBITDA margin
Revenue and EBITDA developmentEURm
Share price and volume developmentSEK
Close first day trading
Close 15 April 2020
Source: Company year-end reports
Dec 15 May 16 Oct 16 Mar 17
13Source: Carlsquare research
www.carlsquare.com
We have an experienced team and sufficient resources for all types of projects
We have outstanding expertise in conducting dual-track processes (M&A and IPO in parallel)
We achieve the best result for our clients: In all completed sell-side transactions over the past year, we have exceeded our initial valuations – 85% of all projects begun were successfully completed
We are where you are: With offices in Berlin, Munich, Hamburg, London, Stockholm and Copenhagen, we are very well positioned throughout Europe
In 95% of our projects we approach international buyers. In 2019, 75% of the transactions we advised on were cross-border
We accelerate processes and complete transactions quickly
We have an outstanding track record when it comes to complex ownership structures
Strong sector expertise and an excellent network in our focus industries
Why work with us?
Hamburg
Hamburg Esplanade 41 20354 Hamburg +49 40 300836-0 [email protected]
Mark Miller
mark.miller @carlsquare.comM: +49 173 932 84 39
Berlin
Kurfürstendamm 188 10707 Berlin +49 30 8093347-0 [email protected]
Michael Moritz
[email protected]: +49 172 69 69 301
Munich
Von-der-Tann-Str. 7 80539 Munich +49 89 2554953-0 [email protected]
Caspar Graf Stauffenberg
[email protected]: +49 172 674 74 09
Copenhagen
Toldbodgade 57DK-1253 Copenhagen +45 3945 0010 [email protected]
Anders Bo
[email protected]: +45 41 99 82 52
Stockholm
Birger Jarlsgatan 13 111 45 Stockholm +46 8 684 439 00 [email protected]
Erik Lundberg
[email protected]: +46 738 503 559
London
14 Buckingham Street London WC2N 6DF +44 20 8017-6015 [email protected]
Dr. Arnold Holle
[email protected]: +44 7785 53 11 65