MADOFF PONZI SCHEME EXPOSES “THE MYTH OF THE SOPHISTICATED
Climate Œthe new biological control agent?Climate Œthe new biological control agent? Nikki Sims...
Transcript of Climate Œthe new biological control agent?Climate Œthe new biological control agent? Nikki Sims...
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Climate � the new biological control agent?
Nikki Sims
SupervisorsDr Yvonne BuckleyProf Myron Zalucki
Dr Adele Reid
id508609 pdfMachine by Broadgun Software - a great PDF writer! - a great PDF creator! - http://www.pdfmachine.com http://www.broadgun.com
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Photo by Mic Julien
Salvinia before biological control
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Photo by Mic Julien
Salvinia after biological control
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Cactoblastis cactorum
Prickly PearPhotos by J.R. Hosking
Phyllostica concava
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Evaluation!
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Female flowers
Male flowers
Groundsel BushBaccharis halimifolia (Asteraceae)
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Groundsel Bush Seeds
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Nudgee �Brisbane
Before Control
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Nudgee �Brisbane
After Spraying
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Same place today
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Ashgrove � Brisbane Before Control
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Ashgrove � Brisbane After Bulldozing
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Same place today
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Oidaematophorus balanotesPhoto by Niels Hintzen
Photo by Niels Hintzen
Megacyllene mellyi
Rhopalomyia californica Trirhabda baccharidis
Aristotelia ivae
Photo by Drees
Photo by SangMi Lee
Photo by www.scielo.br
Biological control agents on
Groundsel Bush
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Was the biological control program successful?
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Where it is located?
Seasonal Phenology
Long-term variation in site suitability
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Where it is located?
Seasonal Phenology
Long-term variation in site suitability
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Where it is located?
Seasonal Phenology
Long-term variation in site suitability
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Collection records in North America
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Predicted range in North America
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Model VerificationIteratively adjust parameters until they fit known distribution
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Model ValidationKnown and predicted distribution in New Zealand
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Model ValidationKnown and predicted distribution in Europe
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Model PredictionPredicted distribution in Australia
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Model PredictionKnown and predicted distribution in Australia
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Verify!
Validate!
Test!
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CLIMEX � Compare Years Output
Gayndah
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CLIMEX � Compare Years Output
Declared noxious(1951)
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Biological control initiated(1963)
CLIMEX � Compare Years Output
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CLIMEX � Compare Years Output
Low GI for past 20 years
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GI~year*bio.status Biocontrol initiated
CLIMEX � Compare Years Output
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CLIMEX � Compare Years Output
Springfield
Biocontrol initiatedGI~year*bio.status
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Photo by Niels Hintzen
Insect Survey
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Photo by Niels Hintzen
Measuring plants&
Insecticide Application
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Relative Growth Rate (Volume) of Groundsel Bush
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So� has the biological control program against groundsel
bush been successful?
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+ +
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Acknowledgements
Funding for Emapi:
Supervisors: Prof Myron Zalucki, Dr Yvonne Buckley and Dr Adele Reid
CLIMEX assistance: Dr Bob Sutherst and Dr Ben Lawson
USA herbariums for location data
Rod Wood (BCC): Access to historical photos
Field assistance: Sarah Chilton, Blair Chilton, David Perovic, Megan Ward, Jennifer Firn, Yvonne Buckley & Adam Dinsdale
Field site use:
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