Climate Change Knowledge Products
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CLIMATE CHANGE KNOWLEDGE PRODUCTS Climate Change Team - Environment Department
description
Climate Change Knowledge Products. Climate Change Team - Environment Department. Overview. Climate Knowledge products. Climate Modelling and Impact Assessments Adaptation/Risk Reduction Climate related tools Low Carbon growth studies. Climate Change Knowledge Portal - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of Climate Change Knowledge Products
CLIMATE CHANGE KNOWLEDGE PRODUCTS
Climate Change Team - Environment Department
Overview
Climate Knowledge products
– Climate Modelling and Impact
Assessments
– Adaptation/Risk Reduction
– Climate related tools
– Low Carbon growth studies
What: – Collaborative on-line portal – Range of climate, disaster risk, and climate-related data and tools– Support for climate resilience measures for specific user contexts and needs
Why:–Facilitate easy access to consistent datasets and resources externally and across the WB (avoid duplications!)–Support implementation of actions by simplifying access to and use of relevant quality information
Climate Change Knowledge PortalFor Development Practitioners and Policy Makers
Access - Climate
Historical Baseline
Historical Variability
Future – Change– Confidence
Climate Data
Crops Disasters
Water Resources
Global Runoff projections
Impacts
•Mean Annual Runoff•Base flow•Peak flow •Storage •Mean annual Irrigation Deficit •CMI (Climate Moisture Index)
Access -Socio-economic Indicators
Standard economic indicators
MDG progress and others
Socio-Economic Indicators
Land area below 5mPopulation below 5mPopulation w/in 100km of coastFlood eventsAccess to improved waterAccess to improved sanitationAccess to electricityHIV rateUrban Growth RateUrban slum population% workforce in agricultureCereal yieldsFood aid receivedDrought eventsBirth rateLife ExpectancyUnder 5 mortalityUndernourished populationMalaria casesFertilizer useRenewable water resourcesExtreme temperatureAdult literacyIncome share held by lowest 20%Net ODA per capitaPublic spending on educationTerrestrial protected areasPoverty gap
Projects
Low Carbon Growth Studies
Climate Finance Platform
Actions and Support
Interface and Data
Other emissions scenarios GCM downloads Downscaled Data and Model
comparisons (July 2011) GCM Derivatives (July
2011)– Statistics – Confidence/ Agreement
Improved visualization of Impacts and Maps– UNEP GRIP Disasters– Downscaled Information
Integration of databases with Global Facility for Disaster Recovery and Reconstruction
Disaster Risk Reduction (GFDRR) adaptation country profiles
Pilot country profiles Climate Investment Funds (July 2011)
Sectoral Decision Support Systems: Energy (July 2011)
Private Sector
Synthesis Products
Work in Progress
Why? Responding to partners’ needs for real-time access to basic climate change information through an integrated user friendly platform that also allows one to explore, evaluate, and learn about disaster risk reduction in a changing climate
Why? Responding to partners’ needs for real-time access to basic climate change information through an integrated user friendly platform that also allows one to explore, evaluate, and learn about disaster risk reduction in a changing climate
What? Climate Change Adaptation profiles for the 31 GFDRR priority countries across all Bank Regions -- an operational tool for both disaster risk management and development practitioners to access just-in-time reference information on adaptation
How? Leverages GFDRR work on geospatial analysis, vulnerability mapping, risk analysis, and stakeholder engagement with WB adaptation analytical programming. A modular configuration based on the existing WB Climate Change Knowledge Portal allows for continuous update and future expansion into sector-specific coverage
How? Leverages GFDRR work on geospatial analysis, vulnerability mapping, risk analysis, and stakeholder engagement with WB adaptation analytical programming. A modular configuration based on the existing WB Climate Change Knowledge Portal allows for continuous update and future expansion into sector-specific coverage
http://countryadaptationprofiles.gfdrr.org
GFDRR Tools: Climate Risk and Adaptation Country Profiles
http://countryadaptationprofiles.gfdrr.org
Synthesis Products: Climate Risk and Adaptation Country Profiles
Links to additional resources and tools to support decision making e.g.:– UNDP Adaptation
Learning Mechanism
Other knowledge products for Low Carbon Growth initiatives
WB Documents including material in Archives
Additional Resources
Initial Pilots in 7 emerging economies– Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Poland
and South Africa– Spanned period 2007-10
Over 2 years each on average to complete
Program cost approximately USD 8 million (to date)
Now working with next generation of clients– Algeria, Macedonia, Morocco, Nigeria, Tunisia,
Vietnam etc
Low Carbon Growth: Country Experiences
Proven Experience: Lessons, Methodologies, Tools
Questions:Abatement OpportunitiesTechnologies / InvestmentMarginal Abatement Cost
Bottom-up vs. Top-down
Questions: Impact on Economic Growth,Employment, Trade,Production Choices, etc.
EFFECTHEATTAMT
MACtoolLULUCF
Multi-regionCGE
Dynamic Stochastic
GE
Several tools are needed to make low carbon development decisions
ROCA Model
•Multi-region CGE •Peer-reviewed model applied to Poland
•Impact of EU 20-20-20 package
MEMO Model
•Dynamic stochastic GE
•Poland model + energy and climate redesign
•Macro impact of options
MicroMAC Curve
TREMOVE Plus
Model
•Marginal abatement cost (NPV cost per tCO2e)•~125 technology options
Power
gen
eration
option
s
MIND module
(optimal energy
package)
•TREMOVE model (road transport)
•Passenger, freight
In the Pipeline: Linking Macroeconomic and Bottom-Up Models
Low carbon growth assessment for Poland
