Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR...

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Transcript of Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR...

Page 1: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes
Page 2: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes

Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!!

John Rybczyk Department of Environmental ScienceWestern Washington University

Page 3: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes

Climate Change and Some Interesting Stuff About Blue Carbon and Coastal Wetland Restoration and How the Three Are Related

John Rybczyk Department of Environmental ScienceWestern Washington University

Page 4: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes

Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change.

Page 5: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes
Page 6: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes

Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift

Page 7: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes

Shallow Processes (centimeters instead of millimeters)

This is the ”blue carbon.” Accreting in the face of SLR and taking carbon out of the atmosphere.

Page 8: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes
Page 9: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes

Why are wetlands, and coastal salt marsh wetlands in particular, so good at sequestering

blue carbon?

Page 10: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes

1. Wetlands are very productive

Page 11: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes

1. Wetlands are wet

Page 12: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes

3. Wetlands accrete rapidly

Page 13: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes

4. Coastal wetlands are salty

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Freshwater Wetlands

Sediment bacteria breathe Carbon Dioxide and exhale Methane

Saltwater Wetlands

Sediment bacteria breathe Sulfate and exhale Hydrogen Sulfide

When the oxygen is gone…

Page 15: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes

“Blue Carbon Revolution”

• Coastal Wetland Restoration and Resilience to SLR• Climate Change Mitigation (carbon sink)• Future Carbon Markets…Funding Restoration

Page 16: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes

Stillaguamish Case Study

Page 17: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes
Page 18: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes
Page 19: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes
Page 20: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes

0.5-1.0 m of subsidence inside project area relative tomarsh outside old dike (Grossman and Fuller In Prep.)

Page 21: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes
Page 22: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes
Page 23: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes
Page 24: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes
Page 25: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes
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-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

1 2 3 4 5 F

Elev

atio

n ch

ange

rate

(cm

yr-1

)

Zone

2011 - 2019Restoration zone

230 g C/m2

Page 27: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes

• Expected to accumulate approximately 9,000 tonnes of carbon before it reaches equilibrium with adjacent marshes (20 – 30 years)

• Equivalent to removing approximately 7,000 cars from the roads for one year.

• Valued at $165,000 using a carbon offset price of $4 to $5 per tonne CO2

Page 28: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes

Is this a Blue Carbon Revolution?

1. We’ve known for a long time that coastal wetlands are productive systems that accumulate organic matter… and carbon.

2. Current market price for carbon is low (social cost is estimated to be $40 per tonne)

3. Coastal restoration sites are small.4. Not enough $$ to fund restoration, but maybe enough to fund monitoring. 5. However…Carbon sequestration is only one of many ecosystem services that

coastal wetland provide.

Page 29: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes
Page 30: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes

Puget Sound Valuation

• Up to 61.7 billion dollars/year.

• Shorelines, eelgrass beds and freshwater marshes were most valuable on a per acre basis.

• Scored highest for habitat, recreation and storm surge protection

Page 31: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes
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Ramirez, M. 2019. Tracking Estuarine Wetland Restoration in Puget Sound; Reporting on the Puget Sound Estuaries Vital Sign Indicator. Report prepared for the Puget Sound Partnership at the University of Washington, Seattle, WA.

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1.1 ± 0.3 cm/yr

1.0 ± 0.5 cm/yr

0.9 ± 0.2 cm/yr

Page 37: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes

Current Rates = 3.1 mm/year

Page 38: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes

Running Twice as Fast• Maximize opportunities

for sediment delivery and trapping. – Restoration of natural

hydrology.– Re-introduction of

river water.– Allow for upslope

migration.– Bigger is better.

Page 39: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes
Page 40: Climate Change and the Blue Carbon Revolution!! · Blue Carbon: Making our coasts resilient to SLR and mitigating climate change. Deep Land Subsidence or Uplift. Shallow Processes
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