CLIMATE CHANGE AND FOOD SECURITY

Endah MurniningtyasJakarta, April 21 2011

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THE IMPACT:

a. Food price is getting higher than prices decade ago. b. Price fluctuation is more frequent, c. Increased interaction among food commodities

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Causes:

1. Structural factor in food and agriculture in every country2. Reduction global food stock 3. Population growth4. Economic growth higher income 5. Food-feed-fuel factor6. Conversion of agriculture land for other use7. Input prices stadily increase – oil and gas prices8. Climate change change crop pattern and increased

natural calamities less production hold production for domestic food stock

Sources: ADB

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FEAR: increasing food price (2007-2008) had impact on nutritions.

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PADDY PRODUCTION

2009 2010 (ASEM) 2011 (ARAM I)

Harvested area (mill ha) 12.88 13.24 13.26

Productivity (ku/ha) 49.99 50.14 50.76

Production (million ton) 64.39 66.41 67.30

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ASEM: temporary data. ARAM I: estimate ISource: BPS, March 2011

INDONESIA:• Rice production is limitedly increase: 2010 production 3,13% higher than

2009. Bigger challenge for 2011.• Domestic procurmenet is lower than plan and lower than last year.• GDP in agriculture in 2010: 2,9%, was estimated 3,5%. Target for 2011: 3,7%

and 2012 will be 3,2%.

What to do?I. Supply side:1. Making food production stronger: a. Keep the production level up to the demand growth productivity (seed,

extention), other input availability, strhengthen pest managementb. Land use management 2. Make food production is still comparatively profitable externality is

valued, safety net for food producers (Pres. Decree No. 5/2011)3. Make food production adapt with climate change CC adaptation:

Sustainable food productionII. Demand side:4. Strengthen the food stock – price volatility and less access from world

market5. Lessen burden on food productions Food diversification – reduce

dependency from one food sources6. Increased of food access logistic, efficient food distributions – safe food

security at the HH level6

7CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION PLAN

PRESIDENT COMMITMENT: G-20 Pittsburgh dan COP15

Reducing GGH emission by the year 2020

26%26% 26+15=41%26+15=41%

Own efforts With international supports

NAP on GHG

BAPPENAS

FORESTRY AND PEATLAND

AGRICULTURE

ENERGY: POWER AND TRANSPORTATION

INDUSTRY

WASTE

CHALLENGE: implementation

1. Data, measurement and valuation

2. Monitoring and verification

3. Mechanism of transactions

4. Local implementation LAP GGH

5. Capacity building

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1. Increased development on gas more fertilizer

2. Waste treatment organic fertilizer – opportunity also for livestock farm diversification, income and growth

3. Sustainable agriculture practices organic products.

Opportunity for Agriculture

IFPRI contributions

1. Revitalized research: production need another big bang since green revolution

2. Global market understanding and country response capacity building

3. Global food reserve emergency support4. Country support strengthen capacity to

maintain food security and farmers welafre S-S, triangular cooperations.

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Thank youTerima kasih

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