Christopher Borick Presentation - Continental Divide? Canadian and US Views on Energy and Climate...
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Transcript of Christopher Borick Presentation - Continental Divide? Canadian and US Views on Energy and Climate...
Christopher P. Borick
Muhlenberg College Institute of Public
Opinion
Presented February 23, 2011, Ottawa, Ontario
Project began in Fall of 2008Surveys have been run on 4 occasions: Fall
2008; Fall 2009; Spring 2010; Fall 2010.Partnership of the University of Michigan
and Muhlenberg College in PennsylvaniaDesigned to examine American views on
the existence of climate change, determinants of those beliefs, and public support for climate policies at the national and sub-national level.
916 Completed Telephone Interviews.
Sample of both land lines and cell
phones in the United States.
Interviews conducted November 15th to
December 9th, 2010
Margin of Error +/- 3% at 95% Level of
Confidence.
YES NO NOT SURE
Democrat 69% 16% 15%
Republican 41% 43% 17%
Independent 56% 31% 13%
Male 53% 30% 18%
Female 63% 23% 14%
18-29 62% 28% 10%
30-44 55% 31% 14%
45-64 64% 22% 14%
65 or Older 51% 29% 20%
College Educated 64% 25% 11%
Non-College Educated 50% 28% 23%
Fall 2008 Spring 2010 Fall 2010
Glaciers Melting 19% 22% 17%
Warmer Temps 19% 15% 22%
Weather Change 18% 15% 17%
Scientific Research 9% 14% 10%
Gore
Documentary
2% <1% <1%
Media Coverage 15% 16% 14%
Declining Species <1% N/A 1%
Human Activity 4% 5% 9%
Natural Patterns <1% 3% 2%
Not Sure/Other 12% 10% 10%
Note: Asked only of individuals who indicated a belief that
global warming was occurring
Fall 2008 Spring 2010 Fall 2010
Personal Observation 42% 43% 29%
Natural Patterns 19% 22% 32%
Not enough evidence 11% 13% 7%
Media has misled 3% 2% 3%
Evidence Disproves 8% 9% 9%
No Particular Reason 5% 4% 5%
Not Sure/Other 12% 7% 15%
Note: Asked only of individuals who indicated that they did not
believe global warming was occurring.
LEVEL OF AGREEMENT
My state should not adopt anti-global
warming policies unless its
neighboring states/provinces also adopt
similar policies.
35%
If the federal government fails to
address the issue of global warming it
is my state’s responsibility to address
the problem.
62%
My state/province has already felt
negative effects from global warming
44%
Federal State Both Neither Not
Sure
Cap and Trade 15% 9% 41% 29% 8%
Fossil Fuel Taxes 12% 7% 34% 42% 5%
Nuclear Power 18% 5% 37% 35% 6%
Gas Taxes 8% 9% 26% 54% 3%
Renewable
Electricity
Portfolios
8% 11% 57% 21% 3%
Automobile
Efficiency
25% 5% 48% 20% 3%
Fall 2008 Fall 2009 Fall 2010
$0 22% 29% 41%
$1-49 16% 31% 26%
$50-99 17% 15% 17%
$100-249 13% 13% 7%
$250-499 10% 3% 4%
$500 or more 7% 2% 2%
Not Sure 15% 7% 4%
Refused 1% 0% <1%
There has been a small rebound in acceptance of
global warming among Americans since the Spring of
2010, but overall belief percentages lag behind 2008
levels.
Both those who belief global warming is happening
and those who do not are significantly affected by
personal observations of weather, with shifts occurring
in conjunction with meteorological conditions.
The public generally sees a role for all levels of
American Government in dealing with climate change
but has indicated a diminished willingness to pay for
such efforts since 2008.