Chris Wiggins: "engagement & reality"

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engagement & reality [email protected] [email protected] @chrishwiggins this talk: bit.ly/nyt-engagement

Transcript of Chris Wiggins: "engagement & reality"

Page 1: Chris Wiggins: "engagement & reality"

engagement & reality

[email protected]@nytimes.com@chrishwiggins

this talk: bit.ly/nyt-engagement

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1851 1996

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example:

millions of views per hour2015

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data science: the web

is your “online presence”

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data science: the web

is a microscope

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data science: the web

is an experimental tool

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data science: the web

is an optimization tool

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news: 20th century

church state

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news: 21st century

church state

engineering

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news: 21st century

church state

engineering

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supervised learning, e.g.,

“the funnel”innovation report, 2014

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interpreting supervised learningsu

per

cool

stu

ff

collaboration w/b. chen

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interpreting supervised learningsu

per

cool

stu

ff

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optimization & learning, e.g.,

popular mechanics, 2015

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getting to know the readers

daeil kim, cf. bit.ly/nyt-engagement

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audiences matter

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audiences matter

innovation report, 2014

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R.I.P. good times

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“a startup is a temporary organization in search of a repeatable and scalable business model” —Steve Blank

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every publisher is now a startup

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what else is there besides clicks?

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what else is there besides clicks?

this talk: bit.ly/nyt-engagement

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what else is there besides clicks?

this talk: bit.ly/nyt-engagement

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“engagement”: examples

if your biz model is clicks,engagement=clicks

if your biz model is sharing,engagement=sharing

if your biz model is time on page,engagement=time on page

if your biz model is subscription…?

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“engagement”: examples

if your biz model is clicks,engagement=clicks

if your biz model is sharing,engagement=sharing

if your biz model is time on page,engagement=time on page

if your biz model is subscription…?

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“engagement”: examples

if your biz model is clicks,engagement=clicks

if your biz model is sharing,engagement=sharing

if your biz model is time on page,engagement=time on page

if your biz model is subscription…?

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“engagement”: examples

if your biz model is clicks,engagement=clicks

if your biz model is sharing,engagement=sharing

if your biz model is time on page,engagement=time on page

if your biz model is subscription…?

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WWND?

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WWND?what would $NFLX do?

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from “data scientists @ work”

-Caitlin Smallwood VP, Science and Algorithms at Netflix

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from “data scientists @ work”

-Caitlin Smallwood VP, Science and Algorithms at Netflix

this talk: bit.ly/nyt-engagement

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WWND?if your biz model is subscription,machine learning can help:

Balance predictive power for true KPI (retention) with

1.interpretability2.should be

• easy to measure, • quick to measure, • or both

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ML can help!“engagement” is hard to define. you choose:

1.poetry 2.philosophy3.science

Wbinan of f2) which predicts 1)

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ML can help!“engagement” is hard to define. you choose:

1.poetry 2.philosophy3.science

WE CHOSE SCIENCE:• find 1) reality: KPI, preferably units of USD• find 2) interpretable and observable features• learn combination of 2) which predicts 1)

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[email protected]@nytimes.com@chrishwiggins

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ghost of science past

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[email protected]@nytimes.com@chrishwiggins

this talk: bit.ly/nyt-engagement

we’re hiring!