Chennai - India Real Estate Outlook Report

20
Chennai July – Dec 2014

Transcript of Chennai - India Real Estate Outlook Report

Page 1: Chennai - India Real Estate Outlook Report

Chennai July – Dec 2014

Page 2: Chennai - India Real Estate Outlook Report

Residential July – Dec 2014

Page 3: Chennai - India Real Estate Outlook Report

2014 witnesses a sharp drop in demand for residential properties

RESIDENTIAL

Chennai residential market launches, absorption and price trend

LAUNCHES ABSORPTION WT. AVG. PRICE (RHS)

4% rise in price Y-O-Y in 2014

2% rise in H2 2014 vs. H2 2013 H2 2013 – 10,421 units H2 2014 – 10,643 units

9% fall in H2 2014 vs. H2 2013 H2 2013 – 8,015 units H2 2014 – 7,320 units

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RESIDENTIAL

Residential Market in Chennai in Year 2014

Sales volume

fell by

14%

20,960 units sold vs. 24,444 units in 2013

New launches dropped

by 25%

24,850 units launched vs. 18,700 units in 2013

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In the overall share, North and Central witness a significant jump while West stays steady

RESIDENTIAL

3,16

2 un

its

3,19

5 un

its

3,66

1 un

its 16

5 un

its

357

units

1,62

0 un

its

3,54

5 un

its

275

units

757

units

7,84

0 un

its

1,74

6 un

its

19 u

nits

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A moderate 4% hike in prices have continued the momentum in sales during Jul – Dec 2014

RESIDENTIAL

397

units

312

units

610

units

2,46

3 un

its

3,89

5 un

its

2,69

3 un

its 31

6 un

its

259

units

306

units

6,73

5 un

its

6,94

8 un

its

8,99

0 un

its

Page 7: Chennai - India Real Estate Outlook Report

Chennai to take little less than 2 years to exhaust the existing inventory

RESIDENTIAL

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West Chennai - One of the best performing areas with low prices and proximity to employment hubs

RESIDENTIAL

Total Unsold Units 47,140

as on December 2014

Central

West South North

Page 9: Chennai - India Real Estate Outlook Report

At 5%, Alandur has witnessed the highest price rise in the last 12 months – Upcoming Metro the driver

RESIDENTIAL

Page 10: Chennai - India Real Estate Outlook Report

Concluding Remarks

Chennai Residential market on the slow track - Absorption drops 14%

Moulivakkam building crash makes further dents; launches drop by

25% in 2014 Prices increased by 4% Y-O-Y during H2 2014

RESIDENTIAL

Page 11: Chennai - India Real Estate Outlook Report

Going forward

Launches are expected to fall by 20% in the Jan – Jun 2015 period Sales to remain relatively steady at 11,360 units during Jan – June

2015; registering a growth of 10% on a Y-O-Y basis Price is expected to increase by 4% during Jan – Jun 2015 RBI policy rate cut infuses hope among city home buyers – Are

better days expected?

RESIDENTIAL

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Office July – Dec 2014

Page 13: Chennai - India Real Estate Outlook Report

Office vacancy levels have fallen drastically owing to robust leasing activity in 2014

OFFICE

23% 24% 23% 21% 19% 16% 24%

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New supply fell by 57%, absorption registered a 7% growth Y-O-Y

OFFICE

Page 15: Chennai - India Real Estate Outlook Report

IT / ITeS continues its steady run while Manufacturing drops from its peak

OFFICE

y

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Among all other business districts, SBD led the city in terms of absorption

OFFICE

y

231,

350

sq.ft

.

285,

000

sq.ft

.

200,

000

sq.ft

.

317,

500

sq.ft

.

72,0

00 s

q.ft.

93,3

00 s

q.ft.

1,57

2,00

0 sq

.ft.

479,

500

sq.ft

.

291,

411

sq.ft

.

731,

500

sq.ft

.

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Rental movements to grow by 3% in the next 6 months

OFFICE

y

Page 18: Chennai - India Real Estate Outlook Report

Concluding Remarks

• City office market on a healthy diet; posts a 7% rise in absorption in 2014

• Chennai realtors bet big as vacancy levels see a significant drop

• Chennai maintains a steady run-rate - Will it continue the hold over absorption?

Page 19: Chennai - India Real Estate Outlook Report

Going Forward

• Chennai is likely to witness a restricted supply of new office space during Jan – Jun 2015; a 5% decline on a Q-O-Q basis

• Absorption likely to be 2 mn.sq.ft. during Jan – Jun 2015;

slightly better than that of H1 2014 • Weighted average rental to rise by a nominal 3% on a Y-O-Y

basis