Charlottesville-Albemarle Metropolitan Planning...

Charlottesville-Albemarle Metropolitan Planning Organization POB 1505, 401 E. Water St, Charlottesville, VA 22902 www.tjpdc.org

(434) 979-7310 phone ● [email protected] email

Memorandum To: MPO Policy Board From: Jakob zumFelde, Transportation Planner Date: July 25, 2018 Reference: Updates regarding Long Range Transportation Plan Purpose: To update the MPO Policy Board on the status of multiple aspects of the LRTP process, and ask for MPO Policy Board to approve two aspects of the LRTP. Background: The MPO’s Long Range Transportation Plan must be updated every five years. The Updated Plan (LRTP 2045) must be approved by May of 2019. Summary: 1. A timeline for the remaining work on the LRTP is provided in Attachment A, along with a preliminary

estimate of funding available for the constrained LRTP.

2. VDOT central office and the modeling consultant have provided MPO staff with a transportation demand model that can be run for both the base year (2015) and future year (2045). Transportation analysis zone (TAZ) boundaries have been determined, and the numbered TAZs are shown in maps provided as Attachment B. Attachment C contains the 2015 and 2045 population and employment numbers for each TAZ used in the model. Attachment D shows the road and transit networks being used for the base year (2015) and as the 2045 “no build” networks. The changes between the base year and 2045 “no-build” include:

Addition of Hillsdale Drive Extended

Addition of Berkmar Drive Extended

Addition of Water Street Extended

Widening of US 29 north of Polo Grounds Road

Route 29 and Rio Road grade-separated intersection

Creation of a diverging diamond at I-64 exit 124

Ramp improvements at US 29 and the Bypass (at Best Buy)

Ramp changes at I-64 exit 118

Re-route of CAT Route 9 to no longer serve Fashion Square Mall

Charlottesville-Albemarle Metropolitan Planning Organization POB 1505, 401 E. Water St, Charlottesville, VA 22902 www.tjpdc.org

(434) 979-7310 phone ● [email protected] email

MPO staff plan to use the model to calculate or create the following:

Congestion (measured by vehicle-hours of delay)

Congestion maps showing road level-of-service

Transit ridership

Mode share

Safety (Projected crashes)

VMT per capita

Average driving commute time

3. MPO staff have created project review criteria and scenario performance measures.

The project review process provides simplified information about the effect a project will have on the performance measures and will ensure that additional impacts of projects are assessed and considered, with a focus on positive or negative environmental and social impacts. A description of these criteria is provided as Attachment E.

The performance measures will allow for comparison of scenarios of projects. The measures will provide information about the extent that each scenario changes measurable aspects of the transportation network. An updated list of performance measures is provided as Attachment F. A map of the TAZs that have been identified as regional activity centers has also been provided, as multiple measures are related to activity centers.

4. MPO staff have created a list of projects that would be feasible candidates for inclusion in the LRTP.

This list is provided as Attachment G. Staff request input on these projects, and suggestions for additional projects that could be considered.

Action Items:

MPO staff are asking the MPO Policy Board for approval of the following:

The inputs (TAZ and network information) used for the transportation demand model for the base year (2015) and future year (2045), and the proposed use of the model to provide information about anticipated VMT, congestion, safety, and transit ridership.

o The MPO Technical Committee recommended approval by a vote of 8-1

The project review criteria and scenario performance measures o The MPO Technical Committee recommended approval by a vote of 9-0

Additionally, MPO staff are asking for MPO Policy Board to provide guidance regarding:

A list of candidate projects, and project groupings used for scenario analysis If there are any questions or comments, please contact Jakob zumFelde at [email protected] or 434-979-7310 ext. 116.

mailto:[email protected]

May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar April May

ModelReview base

yearApprove model inputs and use

Project listsCreate list of potential projects

Deficiency analyses results ReviewMeasures and Methods Review Approval

EvaluationProject grouping

for round 1

Review round 1 and

recommend final grouping (round 2)

Draft final scenario review

Approval of final scenario &

constrained list

DocumentDraft to Partners

Review final draft

Public hearing

Final adoption

Public Open Houses

Problem areas,

Measures, Modeling (overview)

Scenario information open house

Final scenario public open house

Draft plan public open house

MPO Meeting Schedule Meeting Meeting Meeting Meeting Meeting Meeting Meeting Meeting

Attachment A

Preliminary LRTP 2045 Funding Allocation Estimates, compared to LRTP 2040

2020‐2040 (last LRTP)

2024‐2045 LRTP (Smart Scale Population Formula)

2024‐2045 LRTP (Calculation based on Smart Scale

Results)Administrative

Administrative 58,395,598 70,081,867 70,081,867 Construction (Non Formula)

SMART SCALE ‐ District Grant Program 32,726,014 63,441,317 SMART SCALE ‐ High Priority Projects 32,726,014 63,441,317

Safety/ITS/Operational 82,268,340 82,268,340 Transportation Enhancements (Bike/Ped) 43,067,743 43,067,743

State of Good Repair 101,726,716 101,726,716 TOTAL 244,131,567 292,514,827 353,945,432

Construction (Formula Funding)Formula (FY18 Only) 263,123,904 ‐ ‐

TOTAL 565,651,069 362,596,694 424,027,299

Attachment A

see inset

on

page 2

Attachment B:

Model TAZ

Page 1

Final

TAZ

Page 2

see inset below

TAZID 2015 Population 2045 Population 2015 Employment 2045 Employment

3001 337 737 1152 1852

3002 58 358 559 659

3003 181 181 352 529

3004 43 43 1509 1609

3005 29 29 714 1014

3006 514 514 316 316

3007 865 865 46 46

3008 197 197 484 484

3009 479 479 88 88

3010 0 0 890 890

3011 24 74 951 1019

3012 193 193 753 753

3013 725 725 84 84

3014 963 963 266 266

3015 158 158 639 739

3016 30 30 216 216

3017 0 342 62 62

3018 418 418 0 698

3019 658 658 113 113

3020 0 0 0 0

3021 78 78 1504 1704

3022 96 96 465 765

3023 365 365 0 352

3024 409 409 26 26

3025 703 703 4 4

3026 1411 1411 315 315

3027 978 978 166 166

3028 418 618 606 606

3029 709 709 114 114

3030 429 429 331 331

3031 209 209 375 375

3032 225 225 412 412

3033 391 591 697 1497

3034 406 1018 125 125

3035 0 644 54 54

3036 0 0 1842 2842

3037 66 66 20 20

3038 0 500 21 21

3039 551 651 289 589

3040 592 592 23 23

3041 1193 1193 14 14

3042 1102 1302 89 89

3043 2969 3269 70 170

3044 1372 1372 121 321

3045 88 388 2702 3002

3046 428 428 14 14

3047 451 451 23 23

3048 254 454 58 58

3049 117 507 433 733

Attachment C

Page 1


3050 868 868 71 71

3051 241 241 3 3

3052 719 919 192 292

3053 863 863 563 563

3054 508 508 84 84

3055 839 1039 80 80

3056 954 954 581 681

3057 834 1284 490 490

3058 86 86 158 158

3059 867 867 50 50

3060 120 120 88 288

3061 476 476 461 761

3062 17 567 1330 1330

3063 13 13 628 628

3064 576 576 71 171

3065 1098 1198 442 942

3066 20 20 95 95

3067 931 1337 165 265

3068 724 724 39 39

3069 65 65 0 0

3070 700 700 172 172

3071 849 849 50 50

3072 1330 1530 1842 2642

3073 0 0 837 837

3074 581 581 745 845

3075 371 371 157 157

3076 187 387 1332 934

3077 0 0 1612 1360

3078 72 72 0 0

3079 535 535 270 270

3080 275 275 14 14

3081 349 349 87 87

3082 213 213 133 133

3083 138 138 156 156

3084 443 443 921 1121

3085 753 753 47 47

3086 673 673 15 315

3087 428 428 62 362

3088 389 389 146 446

3089 302 302 60 60

3090 291 291 42 42

3091 351 351 11 11

3092 899 899 116 116

3093 1244 1844 26 26

3094 320 320 38 38

3095 168 168 17 17

3096 76 76 323 323

3097 251 251 6 6

3098 17 17 575 1075

Attachment C

Page 2


3099 1554 1554 622 622

3100 554 1354 25 125

3101 522 522 27 27

3102 162 162 219 319

3103 261 261 170 170

3104 134 134 127 127

3105 124 124 39 232

3106 109 109 362 1362

3107 0 0 0 0

3501 0 0 961 949

3502 632 685 18 14

3503 1015 988 38 21

3504 1008 1031 44 40

3505 213 386 145 254

3506 522 471 86 85

3507 1253 1110 73 83

3508 3 0 470 926

3509 517 618 304 340

3510 619 619 10 15

3511 553 1805 0 0

3512 1362 1275 17 25

3513 657 1296 46 31

3514 789 521 12 10

3515 415 352 27 17

3516 43 310 2146 2421

3517 2347 3000 372 481

3518 925 648 31 31

3519 517 642 338 402

3520 528 635 72 83

3521 140 300 0 14

3522 135 233 5 1

3523 162 200 10 5

3524 191 168 15 0

3525 138 146 11 17

3526 140 199 16 7

3527 301 366 16 17

3528 689 640 48 31

3529 1801 2317 20 365

3530 277 573 3 7

3531 792 700 34 48

3532 322 414 29 15

3533 450 400 7 2

3534 1957 1814 87 136

3535 964 4601 21 41

3536 537 500 8 4

3537 0 0 1355 5384

3538 71 350 13 18

3539 491 1100 1659 1739

3540 2422 3314 780 1243

Attachment C

Page 3


3541 207 280 11 5

3542 413 500 39 21

3543 192 442 592 596

3544 561 561 21 21

3545 153 203 19 6

3546 457 613 86 76

3547 412 179 211 207

3548 202 484 57 203

3549 62 98 23 616

3550 440 447 3 4

3551 632 729 22 26

3552 284 352 52 42

3553 1205 1364 104 118

3554 39 127 409 411

3555 11 2 145 147

3556 0 0 72 603

3557 924 1000 28 47

3558 808 2000 13 5

3559 715 770 296 520

3560 1927 2500 560 809

3561 1928 1661 381 624

3562 1191 2000 1050 1088

3563 267 495 299 376

3564 108 1121 405 761

3565 912 1000 5 7

3566 2076 4000 643 1037

3567 263 400 14 8

3568 292 308 12 4

3569 454 704 9 9

3570 0 0 1770 1770

3571 39 0 0 321

3572 1206 1913 359 438

3573 36 359 136 283

3574 976 995 574 780

3575 194 192 49 54

3576 781 550 15 9

3577 911 866 57 32

3578 54 130 0 0

3579 271 375 27 32

3580 1380 1200 135 151

3581 1652 746 1 0

3582 227 103 171 174

3583 645 363 499 548

3584 263 135 3655 3660

3585 0 0 192 196

3586 1051 1652 511 515

3587 1662 1689 496 517

3588 0 0 776 811

3589 789 644 108 83

Attachment C

Page 4


3590 1091 1534 144 149

3591 186 242 5 0

3592 1323 1864 66 66

3593 259 2409 1376 1698

3594 2598 2481 373 639

3595 400 625 729 669

3596 721 694 49 28

3597 224 227 15 9

3598 601 647 29 41

3599 651 700 70 133

3600 357 343 16 8

3601 721 695 208 132

3602 1109 1020 877 939

3603 1814 2310 592 982

3604 123 284 268 409

3605 164 314 702 966

3606 799 1369 284 500

3607 1284 2000 210 253

3608 1040 1383 24 25

3609 583 1600 17 6

3610 580 478 4 2

3611 237 245 188 308

3612 503 465 413 509

3613 751 822 201 257

3614 36 798 1036 943

3615 0 300 508 720

3616 1823 2200 571 720

3617 104 400 700 720

3618 12 414 1554 1550

3619 1031 3000 916 905

3620 272 900 1452 1594

3621 564 435 9 1

3622 409 418 57 22

3623 1763 1905 145 191

3624 802 6610 208 437

3625 494 371 281 295

3626 561 800 52 82

3627 2080 3500 173 284

3628 0 0 352 248

3629 1038 1050 161 188

3630 459 508 12 54

3631 339 519 8 4

3632 628 800 204 336

3633 88 113 28 9

3634 0 300 16 0

3635 307 307 319 319

3636 55 2281 37 42

3637 0 0 83 0

3638 564 581 129 129

Attachment C

Page 5


3639 352 71 149 3

3640 41 47 69 102

3641 345 700 342 499

3642 0 1300 2623 430

65001 273 370 18 48

65002 436 591 66 175

65003 441 598 29 77

65004 1997 2708 85 225

65005 574 778 476 1261

65006 113 153 297 787

65007 598 811 87 230

65008 335 454 68 180

65009 397 538 253 670

65010 944 1280 85 225

65011 1642 2226 264 699

65012 416 564 108 286

65013 561 761 296 784

65014 2968 4024 446 1181

65015 2790 3783 386 1022

65016 734 995 282 747

65017 601 815 6 16

65018 584 792 16 42

79001 497 698 86 234

79002 1076 1512 28 76

79003 438 615 186 507

79004 581 816 153 417

79005 917 1288 70 191

79006 1944 2731 64 175

79007 1259 1769 124 338

79008 791 1111 486 1325

79009 456 641 672 1832

79010 774 1088 42 115

79011 874 1228 26 71

79012 1750 2459 52 142

79013 676 950 71 194

79014 671 943 5 14

79015 752 1057 516 1407

79016 354 497 37 101

79017 734 1031 111 303

109001 1396 1950 57 70

109002 198 277 2 3

109003 1153 1610 209 265

109004 18 25 1382 1755

109005 231 323 456 579

Attachment C

Page 6

Sources: Esri, HERE, DeLorme, USGS, Intermap, INCREMENT P, NRCan, Esri

Japan, METI, Esri China (Hong Kong), Esri Korea, Esri (Thailand), MapmyIndia,NGCC, © OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS User Community

Legend2015 Model Network

Additional Links included for 2045 "no build"

Road Networks Used - Region

Attachment D



Legend2015 Model Network

Additional Links included for 2045 "no build"

Road Networks Used - Urban

Attachment D



Legend2015 Routes

2015 Transit Routes in Model

Attachment D



LegendExisting Routes

2045 "No build" Network

Attachment D

Project Description: includes project location and scope (roadway, transit, bike/ped), cost estimate if available, and any other essential information

Project Impacts

Congestion Transit Access Bike/Ped

Projected change in # of vehicle-hours of

delay (model)

Change in transit access measure

Length of bicycle and pedestrian improvements

Environmental Design

Incorporates Complete Streets elements that aren’t in measures (street trees, bus shelters, benches or other amenities). List potential elements included.

Environmental Impacts

Wetlands, fl oodplains, park lands, scenic rivers, conservation easements, and endangered species habitat. Quantative values presented, with qualitative description if necessary.

SocialImpacts

Estimate of number of individuals who are minority, in poverty, or older than 65 who live within 500 feet of the project. Quantative values presented, with qualitative description if necessary.

Historical SiteImpacts

List of sites potentially impacted by the project. Site information presented, with qualitative description if necessary.

Inter-regional corridors

Impact on corridors that are identifi ed by VDOT as part of the National Highway System (NHS). Qualitative description.

Inter-regional transit Impact on inter-regional transit. Qualitative description.

Maintenanceand

Safety

Qualitative description of potential impact on MAP-21 performance measures, if applicable. Primary focus is whether project includes a defi cient bridge or locations with a high potential for safety improvement (PSI).

Project Name

Project AIcons from fl aticon.com made by Freepik, Scott de Jonge, and Google

Attachment E

LRTP Goal LRTP Objective Aspect to Quantify Performance MeasureDesired Trend

Method

Congestion Improve the efficiency of the existing transportation system and services whenever possible.

Delay due to Congestion Vehicle‐hours of delay Decrease Model

Total population within 1/4 mile of a transit stop (multiply by 2 if peak‐hour headway is 20 minutes or less, divide by 2 if peak‐hour headway is 45 minutes or more)Population below poverty line (present‐day) within 1/4 mile from transit stopMinority population (present‐day) within 1/4 mile from transit stop

SMART SCALE: Access to jobs Commute time Average commute time ‐ driving Decrease ModelEnhance connectivity among and between various modes of transportation through identifying and filling gaps in networks.

# of park‐and‐ride spaces in the region

Increase awareness and continue to support Rideshare and Travel Demand Management (TDM) services.

# of bike rack spaces at transit stops in the region

# of transit stops* within (or immediately adjacent to) activity center TAZs, with each express bus stop* counting as 2 stopsLength of bicycle facilities within (or immediately adjacent to) activity center TAZsLength of pedestrian facilities within (or immediately adjacent to) activity center TAZs

Target transportation improvements to support local land use and development priorities.

Transportation projects within or connected to activity centers

Miles of road that are within (or immediately adjacent to) activity center TAZs

Increase GIS

Improve the effectiveness of the existing transportation network, recognizing internal and external future travel demands from tourism, freight, and commuters.

VMT (vehicle‐miles traveled) per capita

VMT per capita Decrease Model

Fatality crashes, multiplied by 540Injury crashes, multiplied by 10Property damage only crashesLength of regional shared‐use paths and bike lanesLength of regional sidewalks and shared‐use paths% of trips non‐motorized

% of trips transit*excludes stops that serve only peak‐hour (commuter) routes

GIS, using ACS data

Model

Model

Manual count

GIS

GIS

Access to mode transfers Increase

Economic Development and Land Use

Assure activity centers are designed to accommodate a range of transportation modes.

Access to activity centers by bus, bike and walking

Increase

Accessibility & Mobility

Resident access to Transit Increase

Improve access to transit for all users. Ensure the diverse needs of a changing population are met including the elderly, disabled, limited English proficiency, and persons lacking access to private vehicles.

SafetyIdentify key safety deficiencies in regional networks across all modes including the needs of bike and pedestrian users.

Bicycle and Pedestrian network Increase

CrashesReduce the number and severity of crashes Decrease

Environment & Community

Promote use of alternative transportation modes and alternative fuel vehicles.

Non‐SOV Commute Mode Share Increase

Attachment F

Sources: Esri, HERE, DeLorme, USGS, Intermap, INCREMENT P, NRCan, Esri Japan, METI, Esri China

(Hong Kong), Esri Korea, Esri (Thailand), MapmyIndia, NGCC, © OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GISUser Community

LegendActivity Centers

Appendix F

Primary Purpose/Type Project Name Brief DescriptionCapacity US 29/250 bypass widening Widen to 6 lanes from I‐64 (exit 118) to the Barracks Road interchange.Capacity US 250 Shadwell widening Widen to 4 lanes with median and include bicycle and pedestrian facilities.Capacity I‐64 widening from Exit 118 to 114 Add truck climbing lane on I‐64 (both directions).

All US 29/Hydraulic Road InterchangeConstruct a grade separated interchange, other connections and intersection improvements, and supporting infrastucture including bike/ped facilities.

Capacity/multimodal Rt. 29/Fontaine Ave Interchange Reconstruct interchange to improve flow and safety. Include Bike/ped facilities.

Capacity/multimodal US 250 and Free BridgeWiden US250 to 6 lanes from St. Clair Ave to Flow Volkswagen. Include pocket turn lanes and bike/ped facilities (including a new multi‐use path bridge).

Capacity/multimodalUS 250 (Ivy Road) from Bypass to Northridge

Center median, pocket turn lanes, business access, sidewalks/bike improvements.

ConnectivityHillsdale Drive realignment to Putt Putt Place

Realign Hillsdale Drive through Mall parking lot to connect with a realigned Putt Putt Place, road would include bike/ped facilities

ConnectivitySouth Pantops Drive bridge (Free Bridge alternate)

Build a new two‐lane bridge parallel to Free Bridge (connects South Pantops Drive to High Street) with a multi‐use path

Connectivity Berkmar to Lewis & Clark ConnectorConstruct a new roadway from the northern terminus of Berkmar Dr to Lewis and Clark Drive. Includes bike lanes and multi‐use path.

Connectivity Sunset/Fontaine connector Build new two‐lane road connection with bike/ped facilities.Connectivity Eastern Ave (Crozet) Build new two‐lane road connection with bike/ped facilities.Multimodal West Main Street Corridor Realign roadway to improve access and flow for all modes using the corridor.

Multimodal Route 20 (south of I‐64)Expansion and reconstruction of Route 20, including bicycle and pedestrian facilities, from Mill Creek Drive to Rt. 53

MultimodalRio Road (John Warner Parkway to city line)

Improve road alignment, install curb and gutter, bike lanes and sidewalks.

Multimodal 5th Street/Ridge St/McIntire RdStudy might suggest improvements at key intersections, traffic calming, bike and pedestrian facilities.

Multimodal Avon Street Redesign Avon Street as Complete Street (in City and County) with bike and pedestrian facilities.

Multimodal 5th Street/Old Lynchburg Rd Implement the outcomes of the 5th Street Old Lynchburg Road STARS study.Multimodal Old Ivy Road improvements Make multimodal and access management improvements to Old Ivy RoadMultimodal Sunset Ave improvements Improve road alignment, add bike/ped facilities

Attachment G

Primary Purpose/Type Project Name Brief Description

Transit"Transit‐focused US 29 and US 29 BRT/Express"

"Reshape US 29 to allow for BRT rapid transit infrastructure" (between downtown Charlottesville and NGIC). "Improvements would also include new signal preference technology to facilitate BRT and express bus"

Transit Pantops service improvements"Increase transit headways on existing CAT Route 10 to 15 minutes during the peak hour and 30 minute off‐peak." (TDP suggests second route that serves Pantops in addition to Route 10)

Transit New service to Avon Street/Mill CreekProvide service along Avon Street Extended to Mill Creek Drive. (TDP calls for continuation to PVCC)

Transit Crozet commuter transit serviceProvide peak hour commuter type transit service to Crozet with service to UVA and downtown

Attachment G

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