Chapter1 - Overview - Eng

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    MACROECONOMICSL PhngThoQunh

    FACULTY OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS

    Mobile: 0987027398

    Email: [email protected]

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    UNIT ASSESSMENT

    Note: Presentation is elective, + 0.5 to 1 point to mid-termexam for doing presentation

    Participation 10%

    Mid-term exam 30% Multiple choices +short answer

    Final exam 60% Theory + exercises

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    TEXTBOOKS

    Macroeconomics, Gregory Mankiw, 2009

    Macroeconomics, Paul Krugman, 2012

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    LECTURE1: OVERVIEWOF

    MACROECONOMICS

    I. Overview of economics

    The word economycomes from

    a Greek word for one who

    manages a household.

    A household and an economy

    face many decis ions:

    - Who will work?- What goods and how many

    of them should be

    produced?

    - What resources should be

    used in production?- At what price should the

    goods be sold?

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    SOCIETYANDSCARCERESOURCES

    Society and Scarce Resources.

    - Scarcity. . . means that society has

    limited resources and therefore:

    -The management of societys

    resources is important because

    resources are scarce cannot produce

    all the goods and services people wish

    to have.

    Economicsis the study of how society manages its scarce resources.

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    TEN PRINCIPLES OF ECONOMICS

    1. People face trade-offs: To get one thing, we usually have to

    give up another thing

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    PEOPLE FACE TRADE - OFFS

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    TEN LESSONS FROM ECONOMICS

    4. People respond to incentives. Eg: the increase in gas price

    5. Trade can make everyone better off

    6. Markets are usually a good way to organise economic activity:

    Firms decide who to hire and what to produce.

    Households decide what to buy and who to work for.

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    TEN LESSONS FROM ECONOMICS

    7. Government can sometimes improve market outcomes

    8. A country standard of living depends on its productivity9. Prices rise when government prints too much money

    10. In short-run, society faces the trade off between inflation and

    unemployment

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    POSITIVEANDNORMATIVEECONOMICS

    Posi t ive economics is the branch of economics that

    concerns the description and explanation of economic

    phenomena. It concerns what "is", "was", or "will be.

    Normat ive econom ics (as opposed to positive economics)makes prescriptions about the way the economy should work.

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    POSITIVEORNORMATIVEECONOMICS?

    1. The government should invest in infrastructure for

    better economic growth.

    2. Inflation reduces the real income.

    3. The interest rate should be decreased to stimulateaggregate demand.

    4. Recession leads to higher unemployment rate.

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    MICROECONOMICSANDMACROECONOMICS

    Microeconomics: is the study of how individual households

    and firms make decisions and how they interact with one

    another in markets.

    Interaction between individual buyers and sellers

    The factors that influence the choices made by buyers and

    sellers in individual markets (e.g. coffee industry).

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    MICROECONOMICSANDMACROECONOMICS

    Macroeconomics:

    Macroeconomics is the study of the economy as a whole

    (the aggregate economy).

    Examine economy-wide phenomena: unemployment,national income, rate of growth, gross domestic product,

    inflation and price levels.

    Its goal is to explain the economic changes that affect

    many households, firms, and markets at once.

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    MICROECONOMICSANDMACROECONOMICS

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    MACROECONOMICSISRELATEDTOPOLITICAL?

    Macroeconomics is inherently political because it raises

    questions about the appropriate role of government.

    a. Conservative (or classical) economics: Adam Smith with

    The invisible hand:1) Primary value: individual freedom

    2) Markets almost always work well

    3) Government intervention into the

    economy usually counterproductive

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    MACROECONOMICSISRELATEDTOPOLITICAL?

    b. Liberal (or Keynesian) economics (The visible hand)

    1) Primary value: social well-being

    2) The market system can fail, sometimes catastrophically

    3) Government intervention & economic management are

    needed to promote stability & growth

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    MACRO-ECONOMICSYSTEM

    P.A.Samuelson: Inputs, outputs and black box

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    MACRO-ECONOMICSYSTEM

    1. Inputs of macroeconomic system:

    - Exogenous factors: the factors that affect the operation of

    one country economy but the government can not control.

    Weather War

    Population Technology

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    2. BLACKBOXOFMACROECONOMICSYSTEM

    AD- AS MODEL

    Black box includes 2 forces: aggregate supply (AS) and

    aggregate demand (AD)

    A t D d AD

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    Aggregate Demand- AD

    Aggregate demand (AD) is the total demand for final goods andservices in the economy at a given time and price level. It

    specifies the amounts of goods and services that will be

    purchased at all possible price levels.

    AD determ inants:- Price : PAD

    - Income: IncomeAD

    - Population: Pop AD

    - Expectation

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    AGGREGATESUPPLYAS

    Determinants o f AS:

    Price: PAS

    Production costs (P of inputs): PC AS

    Y*- Potential Yield: Y*AS

    (Y* is the maximium yield an economy can produce at full

    employment)

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    AS CURVE

    Long run AS (LRAS): The LRAS is shown as perfectly

    vertical, reflecting economists' belief that changes in

    aggregate demand (AD) have an only temporary change on

    the economy's total output.

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    AS CURVE

    Short run aggregate supply (SRAS): SRAS slopes

    upward, which shows a positive correlation

    between price level and output.

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    3. OUTPUTSOFMACRO-ECONOMICSYSTEM

    Outputs of macroeconomic system include the variables

    measuring the results of economic activities: yield (GDP),

    employment, price, inflation, import-export, etc.

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    MACROECONOMICGOALSANDPOLICIES

    1. Macroeconomic goals:

    - General goals: stability, growth and equality

    - Specif ic goals: high yield, high economic growth, moreemployment creation, moderate inflation, foreign exchange

    stability, equality in distribution etc.

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    2. MACROECONOMICPOLICIES

    Fiscal policy

    Monetary policy

    Incomes policy

    Foreign trade policy)

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    FISCALPOLICY

    Fiscal policy refers to the use of taxation and government

    spending to influence economic activity.

    Instruments: government spending (G) v taxation (T).

    - G: (for education, military, etc): G increases => AD and Y rise

    - T: T increases => disposable income reduces => consumption

    goes down => AD and Y goes down

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    MONETARYPOLICY

    Monetary policy is the process by which the monetary

    authority of a country controls the supply of money, often

    targeting a rate of interest for the purpose of promoting

    economic growth and stability.

    The official goals: relatively stable prices and low

    unemployment.

    Instruments: money supply (MS) and rate of interest (i).

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    MONETARYPOLICY

    MS: is the total amount of monetary assets available in an

    economy at a specific time.

    MSprivate investmentAD and Y

    Interest rate:- low iinvestment increasesAD and Y

    - high iinvestment reducesAD and Y decrease

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    INCOMEPOLICY

    Incomes policies in economics are economy-wide wage and

    price controls, most commonly instituted as a response to

    inflation.

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    FOREIGNTRADEPOLICY

    Goals: stabilize foreign exchange rate, low trade deficit

    Tools: taxations, trade barriers, foreign exchange policies etc.