CHAPTER V FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND EXTERNAL COMMERCIAL...
Transcript of CHAPTER V FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND EXTERNAL COMMERCIAL...
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CHAPTER V
FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND EXTERNAL COMMERCIAL BORROWING
Chapter V is conveniently divided into four sections. Section A
deals with foreign investment. Foreign investment comprises of two
components namely foreign direct investment and foreign portfolio
investment, these components are discussed in Sections B and C in
detail. Section D is devoted to discuss about external commercial
borrowing.
SECTION A
Foreign Investment
Foreign investment is considered to be the major source of
fund which may contribute to the growth of the developing countries.
In recent years it has become obvious that more and more share
market punters are open to investment in India. The priority sectors in
India such as banking, insurance, e–commerce, telecom etc. are
believed to be the drivers of foreign investment in India. Foreign
investment plays an important role in the long-term economic
development of a country by augmenting availability of capital,
enhancing competitiveness of the domestic economy through transfer
of technology, strengthening infrastructure, raising productivity,
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generating new employment opportunities and boosting exports.
Foreign investment, therefore, is a strategic instrument of
development policy of a country.
In the wake of economic liberalisation policy initiated in 1991,
the Government of India has taken several measures to encourage
foreign investment, both direct and portfolio. India has consistently
been considered as one of the most attractive investment
destinations by reputed international rating organisations. With a vast
reservoir of skilled and cost-effective manpower, India offers
immense opportunities for Business Process Outsourcing (BPO),
Knowledge Process Outsourcing (KPO) and Engineering Process
Outsourcing (EPO). The legal, economic and financial reforms
undertaken by the Indian Government since the early 1990’s have
resulted in substantial and rapid growth of the Indian economy and
led to the integration of India into the global economy.1
The total inflow of foreign investment into India is presented in
Table 5.1.
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Table 5.1
Inflow of Foreign Investment into India (US $ million)
Year Foreign Investment % increase/decrease
1990-91 103 –
1991-92 133 29.12
1992-93 559 320.30
1993-94 4153 642.93
1994-95 5138 23.72
1995-96 4892 -4.79
1996-97 6133 25.37
1997-98 5385 -12.20
1998-99 2401 -55.41
1999-00 5181 115.78
2000-01 6789 31.04
2001-02 8151 20.06
2002-03 6014 -26.22
2003-04 15699 161.04
2004-05 15366 -2.12
2005-06 21453 39.61
2006-07 29829 39.04
2007-08 61633 106.62
2008-09 21313 -65.42
Compound Growth Rate 32.01
Source: RBI Bulletin December 2000
RBI Bulletin April 2010
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The perusal of Table 5.1 shows that the total foreign
investment into India has risen from US $ 103 million in 1990-91 to
US $ 21,313 million in 2007-08. There has been a gradual increase in
foreign investment from 1990-91 to 2007-08. Only during six years
there was decline in foreign investment. In 2008-09 there is a sudden
decline in foreign investment in India. This might be due to financial
crisis in different foreign countries in the specified years (six years).
It is interesting to note that, during 2007-08 the foreign
investment is found to be the highest (US $ 61,633 million) due to the
liberelisation of foreign investment policy by the Indian Government. It
is worth noting that, during the last year of the reference the total
foreign investment (US $ 21,313 million) is approximately three times
lesser than the total foreign investment (US $ 61,633 million) in the
year 2007-08 due to the falling share of major investor countries,
steep fall of approval by 55.7 per cent and slackening of fresh equity.
The compound growth rate worked out for foreign investment
for the study period is 32.01.
It is inferred that the total inflow of foreign investment into India
increases gradually except for few years.
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SECTION B
Foreign Direct Investment Foreign direct investment in India is growing rapidly. Foreign
direct investment is an integral part of an open and effective
international economic system and a major catalyst to development.
Foreign direct investment is highly beneficial for a country like India.
Foreign direct investment triggers technology spillovers, assists
human capital formation, contributes to international trade integration,
helps in creating a more competitive business environment and
enhances enterprise development. All these factors contribute to
higher economic growth and consequently aid in alleviating poverty.
Apart from bestowing economic benefits FDI may also help improve
environmental and social conditions by transferring "cleaner"
technologies and leading to more socially responsible corporate
policies.
These benefits accompanied by the fact that fast-growing
countries attract a lot of foreign investment indicate a positive
correlation between foreign direct investment and growth. In India
foreign direct investment played a limited role before 1991.
The actual foreign direct investment inflow is recorded under
seven heads: they are Government (SIA\FIPB), Reserve Bank of
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India, acquisition of share route, Non-Resident Indian (NRI) schemes,
equity capital of unincorporated bodies, reinvested earnings and
other capital.2
Foreign Direct Investment Inflow into India through Government (SIA\FIPB)
FDI in activities not covered under the automatic route requires
prior government approval and are considered by the Foreign
Investment Promotion Board (FIPB), a government body that offers
single window clearance for proposals on foreign investment in the
country that are not allowed access through the automatic route.
Plain paper applications carrying all relevant details are also
accepted. No fee is payable.
Foreign Direct Investment Inflow into India through RBI
Indian companies having foreign investment approval through
FIPB route do not require any further clearance from RBI for receiving
inward remittance and issue of shares to the foreign investors. The
companies are required to notify the concerned Regional office of
the RBI of receipt of inward remittances within 30 days of such
receipt and within 30 days of issue of shares to the foreign investors
or NRIs. The Reserve Bank of India accords automatic approval
within a period of two weeks (subject to compliance of norms) to all
proposals. Foreign equity up to 24 per cent, 50 per cent, 51 per cent,
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74 per cent and 100 per cent is allowed depending on the category of
industries and the sectoral caps applicable. The lists are
comprehensive and cover most industries of interest to foreign
companies. Investments in high-priority industries or for trading
companies primarily engaged in exporting are given almost automatic
approval by the RBI.
Foreign Direct Investment Inflow into India through NRI
With the progressive liberalisation of foreign direct investment
policy, foreign direct investments including NRI investments up to 100
per cent (subject to sectoral equity caps/statutory ceilings) with
repatriation benefits can be made without any prior approval except
in some cases.
Foreign Direct Investment Inflow into India through Acquisition of Shares
Foreign investing company which is interested in investing in
India entitled to acquire the shares of an Indian company without
obtaining any prior permission of the FIPB subject to prescribed
parameters/guidelines. If the acquisition of shares directly or indirectly
results in the acquisition of a company listed on the stock exchange,
it should get the approval of the Security Exchange Board of India
(SEBI).
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Foreign Direct Investment Inflow into India through Equity Capital of Unincorporated Bodies
Equity capital is the money invested which is, in contrast to
debt capital, is not repaid to the investors in the normal course of
business. It represents the risk capital staked by the owners through
purchase of the firm's common stock (ordinary shares). Its value is
computed by estimating the current market value of everything owned
by the firm from which the total of all liabilities is subtracted. On the
balance sheet of the firm, equity capital is listed as stockholders'
equity or owners' equity, also called equity financing or share
capital.
Foreign Direct Investment Inflow into India through Reinvested Earnings
Foreign direct investment into India through reinvested
earnings includes reinvested earnings of incorporated entities,
reinvested earnings of unincorporated entities and reinvested
earnings of indirectly held direct investment enterprises.
Foreign Direct Investment Inflow into India through Other Capital
Foreign direct investment through other capital includes short-
term and long-term inter-corporate borrowings, trade credit, supplier’s
credit, financial leasing, financial derivatives, debt securities and land
and buildings.
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The foreign direct investment inflow into India during the
reference period is presented in Table 5.2
Table 5.2 Inflow of Foreign Direct Investment into India
(US $ million)
Yea
r
Go
ve
rnm
en
t (S
IA/F
IPB
) (a
)
RB
I (b
)
NR
I (c
)
Acq
uis
itio
n o
f S
hare
s (
d)
Eq
uit
y c
ap
ital o
f u
nin
co
rpo
rate
d
bo
die
s (
e)
Rein
ve
ste
d
Earn
ing
s (
f)
Oth
er
ca
pit
al
(g)
Fo
reig
n D
irec
t In
ve
stm
en
t (a
+b
+c+
d+
e+
f+g
)
1990-91 97 – – – – – – 97
1991-92 66 – 63 – – – – 129
1992-93 222 42 51 – – – – 315
1993-94 280 89 217 – – – – 586
1994-95 701 171 442 – – – – 1314
1995-96 1,249 169 715 11 – – – 2144
1996-97 1,922 135 639 125 – – – 2821
1997-98 2,754 202 241 360 – – – 3557
1998-99 1,821 179 62 400 – – – 2462
1999-00 1,410 171 84 490 – – – 2155
2000-01 1,456 454 67 362 61 1350 279 4029
2001-02 2,221 767 35 881 191 1645 390 6130
2002-03 919 739 – 916 190 1833 438 5035
2003-04 928 534 – 735 32 1460 633 4322
2004-05 1,062 1,258 – 930 528 1904 369 6051
2005-06 1,126 2,233 – 2,181 435 2760 226 8961
2006-07 2,156 7,151 – 6,278 896 5828 517 22826
2007-08 2,298 17,127 – 5,148 2,291 7679 292 34362
2008-09 4,699 17,998 – 4,632 666 6428 757 35168
Compound Growth Rate 36.21
Source : RBI Bulletin December 2000 RBI Bulletin April 2010
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It is clear from Table 5.2 that the total inflow of foreign direct
investment into India increased from US $ 97 million to US $ 35,168
million during the reference period. The foreign direct investment has
gradually increased from 1990-91 to 2008-09 except for four years. It
is interesting to note that, during the year 2006-07, the total foreign
direct investment inflow into India (US $ 22,826 million) was
approximately three times higher than the total foreign direct
investment inflow (US $ 8961 million) in the previous year. This is due
to the liberalisation of FDI policy in India. During the year 2007-08
and 2008-09 the foreign direct investment is found to be the highest,
due to the fact that the Indian Government has changed the approval
route into the automatic route for a stumble-free as well as higher
amount of foreign direct investment inflow into India.
The inflow of foreign direct investment into India through
Government was allowed since 1990-91 and it increased from US $
97 million to US $ 4699 million during the end of the reference period.
Except for three years, the foreign direct investment inflow into India
through government is found increasing gradually during study
period. In the last year of the reference the total flow of foreign direct
investment through Government is US $ 4,699 million and this is
approximately seventy times higher than the inflow during the year
1990-91 (US $ 97 million). This is due to the fact that procedures
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regarding the government approval were simplified. Even the plain
paper application containing the relevant information was accepted
and also the fees payment is cancelled.
The inflow of foreign direct investment into India through RBI
was allowed since 1992-93. It is worth noting that the contribution of
RBI to the total inflow of foreign direct investment is more due to the
fact that the RBI permits foreign equity up to 100 per cent depending
on the category of industries. During the last year of the reference,
the foreign direct investment inflow through RBI is US $ 17,998
million because the industries engaged in exporting were given
automatic approval by the RBI.
The foreign direct investment inflow into India through NRI
investments was allowed from 1991-92 to 2001-02. The foreign direct
investment inflow through NRI investments gradually decreased from
1991-92 to 2001-02 except for three years. It is interesting to note
that during the year 1995-96 (US $ 715 million) NRI investment is
found to be the highest due to the liberalisation of FDI policy and the
then Finance Minister specially invited the NRIs to invest more in the
home country. The decrease in the inflow of foreign direct investment
through NRI from 1996-97 (US $ 639 million) to 2001-02 (US $ 35
million) is due to the changes introduced by government. Indian
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Government has announced that foreign direct investment including
NRI investment with repatriation benefits can be made only with prior
approval.
The foreign direct investment inflow into India through
acquisition of shares was allowed since 1995-96 and there was a
gradual increase in it from 1995-96 to 2008-09 except during four
years. The contribution of shares is more to the total inflow of foreign
direct investment due to the reason that the foreign investing
company can acquire shares of an Indian company without obtaining
any prior permission of the Foreign Investment Promotion Board
(FIPB).
The foreign direct investment inflow through equity capital of
unincorporated bodies was allowed since 2000-01. The foreign direct
investment through share capital has gradually increased from 2000-
01 to 2008-09 except for three years. It is quite interesting to note
that during the last year of the reference, the inflow of foreign direct
investment through equity financing (US $ 666 million) is
approximately three times lesser than the equity flow in 2007-08 (US
$ 2,291 million) due to the financial crisis occurred in USA.
The foreign direct investment inflow into India through
reinvested earnings was allowed since 2000-01. From US $ 1,350
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million in 2000-01 it has increased to US $ 6,428 million in 2008-09.
The contribution of reinvested earnings to the inflow of foreign direct
investment into India was more due to the liberalisation of FDI policy.
It is worth noting from Table 5.2 that the foreign direct investment
inflow into India through other capital was allowed since 2000-01.
The other capital includes many components and it shows a gradual
increase from 2000-01 to 2008-09 due to the liberalisation of FDI
policy.
The compound growth rate of foreign direct investment worked
out is 36.21, implying considerable growth in the inflow of foreign
direct investment into India.
It is inferred that, of the seven components of foreign direct
investment inflow into India, the first two components [Government
(SIA/FIPB) and RBI] are found to be important. However, in the
second half of the reference period (2000-01 to 2008-09), the four
components such as acquisition of shares, equity capital of
unincorporated bodies, reinvested earnings and other capital
contributed significantly to the inflow of foreign direct investment into
India. Unfortunately for the last seven years there was no inflow of
foreign direct investment into India through NRI investments.
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SECTION C
Foreign Portfolio Investment Foreign Portfolio Investment refers to equity participation by Non-
Resident Indians in joint stock companies of our country. It also
signifies the investment by foreigners in the debentures issued by
joint stock companies of the recipient country. The investment made
by Foreign Institutional Investors and Euro equities issued by Indian
companies through Global Depositary Receipts (GDRs), American
Depositary Receipts (ADRs) and Foreign Currency Convertible Bond
(FCCB) also constitute portfolio investments.3
The globalisation of the World Economy during 1990s resulted in
a substantial increase in portfolio flows from industrialised countries
to emerging market economies.
The actual foreign portfolio investment inflow is recorded under
three heads: they are GDRs/ADRs, FIIs and Offshore Funds and
others.
Foreign Portfolio Investment Inflow into India through GDRs\ADRs
Any foreigner may purchase GDRs\ADRs, whereas shares in
India can be purchased on Indian Stock Exchanges only by Non-
Resident Indians, persons of Indian origin or foreign institutional
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investors. There are no end-use restrictions on GDRs\ADRs issue
proceeds, except for an express ban on investment in real estate and
stock markets.
Foreign Portfolio Investment Inflow into India through FIIs
Portfolio investment from Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs)
has been in operation since 1992. FIIs including mutual funds,
investment trusts, asset management companies, nominee
companies and institutional portfolio managers or their power
attorney holders can invest in all the shares, debentures and
warrants issued by listed companies on the primary and secondary
markets.
Foreign Portfolio Investment Inflow into India through Offshore Funds and Others
Offshore investment is a wide range of investment strategies
that capitalise on advantages offered outside an investor’s home
country. In India the foreign portfolio investment flows through
offshore funds also.
Total inflow of foreign portfolio investment into India is
presented in Table 5.3.
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Table 5.3 Inflow of Foreign Portfolio Investment into India
(US $ million)
Year GDRs\ADRs
(a) FIIs (b)
Offshore Funds & Others
(c)
Foreign Portfolio
Investment (a+b+c)
1990-91 – – 6 6
1991-92 – – 4 4
1992-93 240 1 3 244
1993-94 1,520 1,665 382 3567
1994-95 2,082 1,503 239 3824
1995-96 683 2,009 56 2748
1996-97 1,366 1,926 20 3312
1997-98 645 97 204 1828
1998-99 270 -390 59 -61
1999-00 768 2,135 123 3026
2000-01 831 1,847 82 2760
2001-02 477 1,505 39 2021
2002-03 600 377 2 979
2003-04 459 10,918 – 11377
2004-05 613 8,686 16 9315
2005-06 2,552 9,926 14 12492
2006-07 3,776 3,225 2 7003
2007-08 6,645 20,328 298 27271
2008-09 1,162 –15,017 – -13855
Compound Growth Rate 55.06
Source : RBI Bulletin April 2010 RBI Bulletin December 2000 Negative (-) sign indicates outflow
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The perusal of Table 5.3 shows the total inflow of foreign
portfolio investment into India during the reference period. It is
interesting to note that during the years 1998-99 and 2008-09 there is
only outflow of foreign portfolio investment from India and no inflow
into India. During 2007-08 the inflow of foreign portfolio investment is
found to be the highest (US $ 27,271 million) due to the liberalisation
of foreign investment policy of the Indian Government. It is worth
noting that due to the financial crisis in other countries there is only
outflow of foreign portfolio investment from India during the last year
of reference.
The inflow of foreign portfolio investment through GDRs/ADRs
was allowed since 1992-93. Foreign portfolio investment inflow
through GDRs\ADRs is found to be increasing in all the years except
for six years. The foreign portfolio investment inflow through
GDRs\ADRs was highest during 2007-08 (US $ 6645 million) due to
the fact that the end-use restrictions on GDR\ADR issue proceeds
were liberalised by the Indian Government. Acute financial crisis
arose in advanced countries especially in US in the second half of
2007-08 and this led to a sudden decrease in the inflow of foreign
portfolio investment during the last year of reference. During this
year, in fact there was outflow of funds only.
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The inflow of foreign portfolio investment through foreign
institutional investors were allowed since 1992-93. Since then,
foreign investors have been finding Indian securities market well
priced and have been preferring to put in money even as long-term
overseas fund. This active participation of foreign investors led to
inflow of foreign institutional investments into India. It is interesting to
note that during 1998-99 and 2008-09 there is only outflow of foreign
portfolio investment through foreign institutional investments. This
might be due to the fact that the foreign institutional investors made
no investments in shares, debentures and warrants issued by the
listed companies on the primary and secondary markets, during these
two years.
The foreign portfolio investment inflow into India through
offshore funds and others was in operation since 1990-91. During
2003-04 and 2008-09, there is no inflow of foreign portfolio
investment into India through offshore funds and others.
The compound growth rate worked out for foreign portfolio
investment is 55.06.
It is inferred that, of the three components, foreign institutional
investment dominate in determining the total inflow of foreign portfolio
investment in India over the reference period.
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Estimating the Reliability of Foreign Direct Investment and Foreign Portfolio Investment To establish the reliability of foreign direct investment and
foreign portfolio investment, coefficient of variation is calculated. The
contribution of foreign direct investment and foreign portfolio
investment to foreign investment in India for the period under
consideration is presented in Table 5.4.
Table 5.4
Components of Foreign Investment
Year Foreign Direct
Investment Foreign Portfolio
Investment
1990-91 97 6
1991-92 129 4
1992-93 315 244
1993-94 586 3567
1994-95 1314 3824
1995-96 2144 2748
1996-97 2821 3312
1997-98 3557 1828
1998-99 2462 -61
1999-00 2155 3026
2000-01 4029 2760
2001-02 6130 2021
2002-03 5035 979
2003-04 4322 11377
2004-05 6051 9315
2005-06 8961 12492
2006-07 22826 7003
2007-08 34362 27271
2008-09 35168 -13855
Note : The values of foreign direct investment and foreign portfolio investment for the reference period are extracted from table 5.2 and table 5.3
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From Table 5.4, the Coefficient of Variation is separately
calculated for each component of foreign investment i.e. foreign
direct investment and foreign portfolio investment. The values of C.Vs
are:
C.V1 = 144.85
C.V2 = 191.54
Where, C.V1 is the coefficient of variation of foreign direct
investment and C.V2 is the coefficient of variation of foreign portfolio
investment.
From the above values it is inferred that foreign direct
investment is found to be more reliable than the foreign portfolio
investment in contributing to the foreign investment in India.
The components of foreign investment is shown in Figure 5.1
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Figure 5.1 Components of Foreign Investment
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
1990-9
1
1991-9
2
1992-9
3
1993-9
4
1994-9
5
1995-9
6
1996-9
7
1997-9
8
1998-9
9
1999-0
0
2000-0
1
2001-0
2
2002-0
3
2003-0
4
2004-0
5
2005-0
6
2006-0
7
2007-0
8
Years
Foreign Direct Investment Foreign Portfolio Investment
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SECTION D
External Commercial Borrowing of India External Commercial Borrowing is an instrument used in India
to facilitate the access to foreign money by Indian corporations and
PSUs (Public Sector Undertakings). ECBs include commercial bank
loans, Securitised Borrowings (IDBS and FCCBS), commercial
borrowings from the private sector window of multilateral financial
institutions such as IMF, IBRD, International Finance Corporation,
ADB, AFIC, CDC, self liquidating loans, etc. ECBs cannot be used for
investment in stock market or speculation in real estate. The DEA
(Department of Economic Affairs), Ministry of Finance, Government
of India along with Reserve Bank of India, monitors and regulates
ECB guidelines and policies. For infrastructure and Greenfield
projects, funding up to 50 per cent through ECB is allowed. In
telecom sector too, up to 50 per cent funding through ECB is allowed.
External commercial borrowing is a key component of India’s
overall external debt. It is being permitted by the government as a
source of finance for Indian Corporate for expansion of existing
capacity as well as for fresh investment. The policy also seeks to give
greater priority for projects in the infrastructure and core sectors such
as power, oil exploration, telecom, railways, roads & bridges, ports,
industrial parks and urban infrastructure and the export sector.
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Development Financial Institutions, through their sub-lending against
the ECB approvals are also expected to give priority to the needs of
medium and small scale units. Proceeds should be utilised at the
earliest and corporate should comply with RBI's guidelines on parking
external commercial borrowings outside till actual imports.4
India’s Commercial Borrowing by Commercial Bank Loans Commercial bank loans is a mode of raising external commercial
borrowing in the form of term loans from banks outside India.
India’s Commercial Borrowing by Securitised Borrowings (including IDBS and FCCBS)
Through Indian Development Bonds (IDBs) and Foreign
Currency Convertible Bonds (FCCBs) securiritised borrowings
comes. It forms an important part of India’s commercial borrowing.
These types of bonds are attractive to both investors and issuers.
The investors receive the safety of guaranteed payments on the bond
and are also able to take advantage of any large price appreciation in
the company's stock.
India’s Commercial Borrowing by Loans/Securitized Borrowings, etc. with Multilateral/Bilateral Guarantee and IFC India raised its external borrowing by way of
Loans/Securitised borrowings, etc. with multilateral/bilateral
guarantee.
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India’s Commercial Borrowing by Self Liquidating Loans
Self-liquidating loan is used to pay for a temporary increase in
accounts receivable or inventory. As soon as cash is realised from
the assets, the loan is repaid. The borrowed money is used to
acquire resources that are combined for later sale, and the proceeds
from them are used to repay the loan.
The total external commercial borrowing of India is presented
in Table 5.5.
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Table 5.5
External Commercial Borrowing of India (US $ million)
Year Commercial bank loans
(a)
Securitised borrowings
(b)
Loans/Securitised borrowings, etc. with multilateral/bilateral guarantee and IFC
(c)
Self liquidating
loans (d)
External Commercial Borrowing (a+b+c+d)
1990-91 6831(66.91) 3022(29.60) 356(3.49) – 10209(100)
1991-92 6704(57.23) 4512(38.51) 484(4.13) 15(0.13) 11715(100)
1992-93 6453(55.42) 4479(38.47) 674(5.79) 37(0.32) 11643(100)
1993-94 5959(48.20) 5278(42.69) 775(6.27) 351(2.84) 12363(100)
1994-95 5837(44.93) 5377(41.39) 952(7.33) 825(6.35) 12991(100)
1995-96 6731(48.52) 5751(41.45) 888(6.40) 503(3.63) 13873(100)
1996-97 8349(58.24) 4825(33.66) 981(6.84) 180(1.26) 14335(100)
1997-98 9981(58.76) 6022(35.45) 874(5.15) 109(0.64) 16986(100)
1998-99 10343(49.30) 9772(46.58) 808(3.85) 55(0.26) 20978(100)
1999-00 10094(50.61) 9073(45.49) 750(3.76) 26(0.13) 19943(100)
2000-01 9899(40.56) 13887(56.90) 622(2.55) – 24408(100)
2001-02 9962(42.72) 12851(55.11) 507(2.17) – 23320(100)
2002-03 9870(43.92) 12093(53.81) 509(2.27) – 22472(100)
2003-04 11588(52.66) 9568(43.48) 851(3.87) – 22007(100)
2004-05 14375(54.44) 11197(42.40) 833(3.15) – 26405(100)
2005-06 16479(62.30) 9217(34.84) 756(2.86) – 26452(100)
2006-07 24577(59.30) 15603(37.65) 1263(3.05) – 41443(100)
2007-08 40226(64.53) 20602(33.05) 1509(2.42) – 62337(100)
2008-09 43310(69.10) 17981(28.69) 1385(2.21) – 62676(100)
Compound Growth Rate 10.13
Source : Hand book of statistics on Indian economy September 15, 2009. (Figures in parenthesis indicates percentage to total)
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The perusal of Table 5.5 shows that the total external
commercial borrowing of India varies from US $ 10209 million to US $
62676 million during the reference period. The external commercial
borrowing show a gradual increase from 1990-91 to 2008-09 except
for six years. Of the three components, the first three components
namely commercial bank loan, securitised borrowings,
loans/securitised borrowings, etc. with multilateral/bilateral guarantee
and IFC contribute themselves to the total external commercial
borrowing of India in all the years under study. Of these three
component, the first component (commercial bank loans) contributes
higher amount to the external commercial borrowing for 16 years due
to the fact that, the rate of interest of the foreign commercial banks
was less. For the remaining three years (2000-01 to 2002-03) its
contribution was found lesser than the contribution of securitised
borrowings. Next to commercial bank loans, securitised borrowings
considerably contribute to the external commercial borrowing of India,
followed by the third (Loans/Securitised borrowings, etc. with
multilateral/bilateral guarantee and IFC) and the fourth component
(Self liquidating loans) until 1999-2000. No self liquidating loan was
borrowed from 2000-01 to 2008-09.
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The contribution of securitised borrowing outnumbers the
commercial bank loan for three years from 2000-01 to 2002-03. This
might be due to the fact that a good number of Indian Development
Bank Bonds and Foreign Currency Convertible Bonds have been
handed to foreign countries as securities. The third component
(Loans/Securitised borrowings, etc. with multilateral/bilateral
guarantee and IFC) bears less contribution to external commercial
borrowings due to the hesitation of Indian Government to give
multilateral and bilateral guarantee to the foreign countries. The
contribution of the fourth component (Self liquidating loans) for first
10 years except in the first year is found to be less than all the other
components.
The compound growth rate worked out for external commercial
borrowing of India is 10.13.
It is inferred that the commercial bank loan is dominant in
contributing to the total amount of external commercial borrowing of
India during the study period.
Comparison of Compound Growth Rate of Different Components
Compound growth rate of foreign investment, foreign direct
investment, foreign portfolio investment and external commercial
borrowing is given in Table 5.6.
177
Table 5.6
Compound Growth Rate of Different Components
Components Compound Growth Rate
Foreign Investment 32.01
Foreign Direct Investment 36.21
Foreign Portfolio Investment 55.06
External Commercial Borrowings 10.13
Note : The values of compound growth rate for the reference period are
extracted from table 5.1, table 5.2, table 5.3 and table 5.5.
On comparing the compound growth rate of foreign investment,
foreign direct investment, foreign portfolio investment and external
commercial borrowing, it is found that the compound growth rate of
foreign portfolio investment is higher than the other three over the
reference period. In the initial period the foreign portfolio investment
was just negligible. From being just US $ 6 million in 1990-91 it has
increased to US $ 27271 million in 2007-08. So the compound growth
rate during the reference period worked out to be 55.06. In
conclusion it could not be ascertained that a component which has
higher growth rate is significant in contributing foreign capital inflow
into India. Compound growth rate of different components of foreign
capital inflow of India is presented in Figure 5.2 for better
understanding.
178
Figure 5.2
Compound Growth Rate of Different Components
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Foreign
Investment
Foreign Direct
Investment
Foreign
Portfol io
Investment
External
Commercial
Borrowings
179
REFERENCES
1. Bhasin Niti, Foreign Investment in India, New Century
Publication, New Delhi, p. 3
2. Jongsoo Park, “Korean Perspective on FDI in India”, Economic
and Political Weekly, Vol. XXXIX, No. 31 p. 3551
3. Dewett.K.K, Varma.J.D, Sharma.M.L, Indian Economics, S.
Chand & Co. Ltd, New Delhi, 2002. p.565
4. External Commercial Borrowing (ECB), Reserve Bank of India
Circular, January 31, 2004. p.1216.
OF INDIA CIRCULAR