Chapter 5 Network Design in the Supply Chainpersonal.cb.cityu.edu.hk/msghao/ms3122_05b/2nd Ed... ·...
Transcript of Chapter 5 Network Design in the Supply Chainpersonal.cb.cityu.edu.hk/msghao/ms3122_05b/2nd Ed... ·...
1
1
Chapter 5Chapter 5
Network Design Network Design in the Supply Chainin the Supply Chain
2
OutlineOutline
1. Decisions in network design2. A strategic framework for logistics network decisions3. Factors influencing network design4. Network design tools – major components5. Solution techniques for network design
1) Optimizing facility location models2) Heuristic approaches3) Simulation technique
3
1. The Decisions in Network Design:1. The Decisions in Network Design:
A Logistics Network consists of:
Facilities (- at the nodes)
Vendors, Manufacturing Centers, Warehouse/ Distribution Centers, and Customers
Flows (- along the arcs)Raw materials, parts and finished products, etc. that flow between the facilities
Decisions: Where? Decisions: Where? Who?Who? What? What?
Decisions in Network Design:Facility roleNumber of facilitiesLocation of facilities Product allocation of facilitiesCapacity allocation of
facilitiesMarket and supply allocation… 4
Network Design Network Design –– Key issuesKey issuesNetwork setting:
Decide the optimal number, location, and size of warehouses and/or plants
Network operation:Determine optimal sourcing strategy
Which plant/vendor should produce which product
Determine best distribution channels
Which warehouses should service which customers…
Supply
Sources:plantsvendorsports
RegionalWarehouses:stocking points
Field Warehouses:stockingpoints
Customers,demandcenterssinks
Production/purchase costs
Inventory &warehousing costs
Transportation costs Inventory &
warehousing costs
Transportation costs
The objectiveThe objective :– to balance service level against total cost
(production, purchasing, inventory, facilities, transportation, handling and processing, etc.)
- to find a minimal-cost configuration of the distribution network that satisfies product demands at specific customer service levels
2
5
2. Factors Influencing Network Design Decisions2. Factors Influencing Network Design Decisions
Strategic TechnologicalMacroeconomicPoliticalInfrastructureCompetitionLogistics and facility costs…
Total Costs
Percent Service Level Within
Promised Time
Transportation
Cos
t of O
pera
tions
Number of Facilities
InventoryFacilities
Labor
6
3. A framework for network design3. A framework for network design
PHASE ISupply Chain
Strategy
PHASE IIRegional Facility
Configuration
PHASE IIIDesirable Sites
PHASE IVLocation Choices
Competitive STRATEGY
INTERNAL CONSTRAINTSCapital, growth strategy,existing network
PRODUCTION TECHNOLOGIESCost, Scale/Scope impact, supportrequired, flexibility
COMPETITIVEENVIRONMENT
PRODUCTION METHODSSkill needs, response time
FACTOR COSTSLabor, materials, site specific
GLOBAL COMPETITION
TARIFFS AND TAXINCENTIVES
REGIONAL DEMANDSize, growth, homogeneity,local specifications
POLITICAL, EXCHANGERATE AND DEMAND RISK
AVAILABLEINFRASTRUCTURE
LOGISTICS COSTSTransport, inventory, coordination
7
Decision Classification:Decision Classification:
Strategic Planning -- Decisions that typically involve major capital investments and have a long term effect1. Determination of the number, location and size of new plants, distribution centers and warehouses2. Acquisition of new production equipment and the design of working centers within each plant3. Design of transportation facilities, communications equipment, data processing means, etc.Tactical Planning -- Effective allocation of manufacturing and distribution resourcesover a period of several months1. Work-force size2. Inventory policies3. Definition of the distribution channels4. Selection of transportation and trans-shipment alternatives…Operational Control -- Includes day-to-day operational decisions1. The assignment of customer orders to individual machines2. Dispatching, expediting and processing orders3. Vehicle scheduling…
8
Complexity of Network Design ProblemsComplexity of Network Design Problems
Location problems are, in general, very difficult problems (-- NP hard!!!)
The complexity increases with
the number and type of customers, the number and type of products, the number of potential locations for warehouses, and the number of warehouses located….
Multi-criteria, uncertainty ..
3
9
4. Network Design Tools 4. Network Design Tools ---- Major ComponentsMajor Components
MappingMapping allows you to visualize your supply chain and solutionsMapping the solutions allows you to better understand different scenariosColor coding, sizing, and utilization indicators allow for further analysis
Data analysisData specifies the costs of your supply chainThe baseline cost data should match your accounting dataThe output data allows you to quantify changes to the supply chainAggregation is essential
EngineSolution Techniques
10
Mapping Allows You to Mapping Allows You to Visualize Your Supply ChainVisualize Your Supply Chain
Displaying the Solutions Allows you To Compare Scenarios
11
Data for Network DesignData for Network Design
1. A listing of all products2. Location of customers, stocking points and sources3. Demand for each product by customer location4. Transportation rates5. Warehousing costs6. Shipment sizes by product7. Order patterns by frequency, size, season, content8. Order processing costs9. Customer service goals ..
Customers and Geocoding -- Too Much Information !!!!!!Sales data is typically collected on a by-customer basisNetwork planning is facilitated if sales data is in a geographic database rather than accounting database1. Distances2. Transportation costsNew technology exists for Geocoding the data based on Geographic Information System (GIS)
12
Aggregating CustomersAggregating Customers
Customers located in close proximity are aggregated using a grid network or clustering techniques. All customers within a single cell or a single cluster are replaced by a single customer located at the centroid of the cell or cluster.We refer to a cell or a cluster as a customer zone.
Impact of Aggregation CustomersThe customer zone balances1. Loss of accuracy due to over aggregation2. Needless complexityWhat effects the efficiency of the aggregation? 1. The number of aggregated points, that is the number of different zones2. The distribution of customers in each zone.
Why Aggregation:The cost of obtaining and processing dataThe form in which data is availableThe size of the resulting location modelThe accuracy of forecast demand
4
13
Testing Customer AggregationTesting Customer Aggregation
1 Plant; 1 ProductConsidering transportation costs onlyCustomer data
Original Data had 18,000 5-digit zip code ship-to locationsAggregated Data had 800 3-digit ship-to locationsTotal demand was the same in both cases
Comparing Output Comparing Output -- Cost Difference < 0.05% !!!
Total Cost:$5,796,000Total Customers: 18,000
Total Cost:$5,793,000Total Customers: 800 14
Product Aggregation:Product Aggregation:
Companies may have hundreds to thousands of individual items in their production line1. Variations in product models and style2. Same products are packaged in many sizesCollecting all data and analyzing it is impractical for so many product groups
Strategies for product aggregation:Place all SKU’s into a source-group
A source group is a group of SKU’s all sourced from the same place(s)
Within each of the source-groups, aggregate the SKU’s by similar logistics characteristics
WeightVolumeHolding Cost…
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
0.000 0.010 0.020 0.030 0.040 0.050 0.060 0.070 0.080 0.090 0.100
Volume (pallets per case)
Wei
ght (
lbs
per
case
)
Rectangles illustrate how to cluster SKU’s.
Within Each Source Group, Aggregate Within Each Source Group, Aggregate Products by Similar CharacteristicsProducts by Similar Characteristics
15
Test Case for Product AggregationTest Case for Product Aggregation
5 Plants25 Potential Warehouse LocationsDistance-based Service ConstraintsInventory Holding CostsFixed Warehouse CostsProduct Aggregation
46 Original products4 Aggregated productsAggregated products were created using weighted averages
Aggregation Test:Aggregation Test:Product AggregationProduct Aggregation
-- Cost Difference < 0.03% !!!
Total Cost:$104,564,000Total Products: 46
Total Cost:$104,599,000Total Products: 4 16
5. Solution Techniques for Network Design5. Solution Techniques for Network Design
1) Mathematical optimization techniques:
Exact algorithms: find optimal solutions
2) Heuristics methods:
find “good” solutions, not necessarily optimal
3) Simulation models: provide a mechanism to evaluate specified design alternatives created by the designer
Hybrid approaches are often effective!!
5
17
55--1) Network Optimization Models1) Network Optimization Models
Allocating demand to production facilitiesLocating facilities and allocating capacity
Which plants to establish? How to configure the network?
Key Costs:
• Fixed facility cost• Transportation cost• Production cost• Inventory cost• Coordination cost• …
18
Model (a): Model (a): Demand Allocation ModelDemand Allocation Model
Which market is served by which plant?Which supply sources are used by a plant?
xij = Quantity shipped from plant site i to customer j 0
..
1
1
1 1
≥
≤∑
=∑
∑ ∑
=
=
= =
x
Kx
Dx
ts
xcMin
ij
im
jij
jn
iij
n
i
m
jijij
Supply
Ki
Demand
Dj
xij
cij
A typical network design problem:• Several products are produced at
several plants.• Each plant has a known production
capacity.• There is a known demand for each
product at each customer zone.• The demand is satisfied by shipping the
products via regional distribution centers.• There may be an upper bound on total
throughput at each distribution center.
19
Case 1: Demand Allocation at Case 1: Demand Allocation at ApplichemApplichem
ToFrom
Mexico Canada Venezuela Frankfurt Gary Sunchem Capacity
Mexico $ 81 $ 92 $ 136 $ 101 $ 96 $ 101 220 Canada $ 147 $ 78 $ 135 $ 98 $ 88 $ 97 37
Venezuela $ 172 $ 106 $ 96 $ 120 $ 111 $ 117 45 Frankfurt $ 115 $ 71 $ 110 $ 59 $ 74 $ 77 470
Gary $ 143 $ 77 $ 134 $ 91 $ 71 $ 90 185 Sunchem $ 222 $ 129 $ 205 $ 145 $ 136 $ 116 50 Demand 30 26 160 200 264 119
Applichem
20
1981 Network (Optimal)1981 Network (Optimal)
Annual Cost = $79,598,500
MexicoCanada
VenezuelaFrankfurt
Gary
Sunchem
MexicoCanada
Latin America
EuropeU.S.A
Japan
Mexico
Canada
Venezuela
Frankfurt
Gary
SunchemCLOSED
Mexico
Canada
Latin America
Europe
U.S.A
Japan
Annual Cost = $82,246,800
6
21
Cash Flows From Cash Flows From SunchemSunchem PlantPlant
Year 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982
Optimal ($ Million)
60.562 68.889 75.999 79.887 79.598 72.916
Sunchem Closed
60.721 68.889 77.503 80.999 82.247 72.916
Difference 0.159 0.000 1.504 1.112 2.649 0.000
M e x i c o $ 0
C a n a d a $ 8 ,3 0 0
V e n e z u e l a $ 3 6 ,9 0 0
F r a n k f u r t $ 2 2 ,3 0 0
G a r y $ 2 5 ,2 0 0
S u n c h e m $ 0
Value of Adding 0.1 Million Pounds Capacity (1982)Value of Adding 0.1 Million Pounds Capacity (1982)
Should be evaluated as an option and priced accordingly.
22
Model (b) Model (b) -- Plant Location & demand allocation Plant Location & demand allocation
with Multiple Sourcingwith Multiple Sourcing
yi = 1, if plant is located at site i, 0, otherwise
xij = Quantity shipped from plant site i to customer jfi – fixed cost for locating plant at site Ik – # of plants to be built/used }1,0{0
;
..
,1
1
1
1 11
∈≥
≤
≤
=
+
∑
∑
∑
∑ ∑∑
=
=
=
= ==
yx
y
yKx
Dx
xcyf
ij
k
ts
Min
i
m
ii
ii
n
jij
j
n
iij
n
i
m
jijiji
n
ii
PotentialSupplylocation
Ki
fi
Demand
Dj
xij
cijyi
A typical location problem:• There may be an upper bound on the
distance between a distribution center and a market area served by it
• A set of potential location sites for the new facilities was identified
• Costs:• Set-up costs• Transportation cost is proportional to the distance• Storage and handling costs• Production/supply costs
23
Model (c) Model (c) -- Plant Location and demand allocation with single SourcingPlant Location and demand allocation with single Sourcing
yi = 1 if plant is located at site i, 0 otherwisexij = 1 if market j is supplied
from plant site i, 0 otherwiseFi – fixed cost of locating plant at
site i
}1,0{,
;
1
..
1
1
1
1 11
∈
≤
≤
=
+
∑
∑
∑
∑∑∑
=
=
=
= ==
yixij
ky
yiKiD
ts
xcDyifMin
n
ii
j
n
jij
n
iij
ijij
n
i
m
jj
n
ii
x
xPotentialSupplylocation
Ki
fi
Demand
Dj
xij
cijyi24
Model (d) Model (d) –– Simultaneous plant and warehouse locationSimultaneous plant and warehouse location
Which plants to establish? Which warehouses to establish?How to configure the network?
Potential Plants location Warehouses
12
Markets
n m
1
t
1
l
Ki
Shwe
Dj
chicie cej
Fi feXhi Xie Xejyi ye
Suppliers
7
25
Multiple levels facility location Multiple levels facility location –– Transshipment modelTransshipment model
{ }1,0,
)(
)(
)(0
)(
)(0
)(
.
min
1
1
11
1
11
1
1 11 11 111
∈
=
≤
≥−
≤
≥−
≤
++++
∑
∑
∑∑
∑
∑∑
∑
∑ ∑∑ ∑∑ ∑∑∑
=
=
==
=
==
=
= == == ===
ei
j
t
eie
ee
m
jej
m
jej
n
iie
ii
t
eie
t
eie
l
hhi
h
n
ihi
ej
t
e
m
jejie
n
i
t
eiehi
l
h
n
ihie
t
eei
n
ii
yy
jallforDx
eallforywx
eallforxx
iallforyKx
iallforxx
hallforsx
st
xcxcxcyfyf
-- Node balancing
-- Node balancing
26
Model (e) Model (e) -- Gravity Methods for LocationGravity Methods for Location
Mile-Center Solutionx,y: Warehouse Coordinatesxn, yn : Coordinates of delivery location ndn : Distance to delivery location n
n n n
iii
n
ii
n
iii
n
ii
n
d x x y y
x
xd
d
y
yd
d
= − + −
=∑
∑
=∑
∑
=
=
=
=
2 2
1
1
1
1
1
1
( ) ( )
Min ∑ −+− )()( 22 yyxx ii
Focus on distance!!
27
Gravity Location ModelGravity Location Model
Ton-Center Solutionx,y: Warehouse Coordinatesxn, yn : Coordinates of delivery location nDn : Annual tonnage to delivery location n
∑
∑
∑
∑
=
=
=
=
=
=
n
ii
n
iii
n
ii
n
iii
D
Dy
D
Dx
y
x
1
1
1
1
Min ∑ −− + )()(22 yyxxD iii
-- Focus on tonnage!!
28
Gravity Location ModelGravity Location Model
Ton Mile-Center Solutionx,y: Warehouse Coordinatesxn, yn : Coordinates of
delivery location ndn : Distance to delivery
location nDn : Annual tonnage to
delivery location nFn : Cost of shipping one unit to
location n
∑
∑
=
∑
∑
=
−+−=
=
=
=
=
n
i ii
n
i
i
i
ii
n
i ii
n
i
i
iii
n
dF
dF
Fy
y
dF
dF
Fx
x
yyxxd nn
1
1
1
1
22 )()(
Min ∑ −+− )()( 22 yyxxDF iiiiExcel File
-- Look at both distance and tonnage!!
8
29
55--2) Heuristics Methods2) Heuristics Methods
Example:Single productTwo plants p1 and p2Plant p2 has an annual capacity of 60,000 units.The two plants have the same production costs.There are two warehouses w1 and w2 with identical warehouse handling costs.There are three markets areas c1,c2 and c3 with demands of 50,000, 100,000 and 50,000, respectively.
Table 1 Distribution costs per unit
Facility Warehouse
P1
P2
C1
C2
C3
W1
W2
0
5
4
2
3
2
4 1
5 2
30
The IP model: min 0X(p1,w1) + 5X(p1,w2) + 4X(p2,w1) + 2X(p2,w2) + 3X(w1,c1) + 4X(w1,c2)
+ 5X(w1,c3) + 2X(w2,c1) + 2X(w2,c3)subject to the following constraints:
X(p2,w1) + X(p2,w2) ≤ 60000X(p1,w1) + X(p2,w1) = X(w1,c1) + X(w1,c2) + X(w1,c3)X(p1,w2) + X(p2,w2) = X(w2,c1) +X(w2,c2) + X(w2,c3)X(w1,c1) +X(w2,c1) = 50000X(w1,c2) + X(w2,c2) = 100000X(w1,c3) +X(w2,c3) = 50000all flows greater than or equal to zero.
T a b le 2D istr ib u tio n s tr a teg y
F a c ili tyW a reh o u s e
P 1 P 2 C 1 C 2 C 3
W 1W 2
1 4 0 0 0 00
06 0 0 0 0
5 0 0 0 00
4 0 0 0 06 0 0 0 0
5 0 0 0 00
T he to ta l co st fo r th e o p tim a l stra te gy is 7 4 0 ,0 0 0 .
The Optimal StrategyThe Optimal Strategy
31
Heuristic 1: For each market we choose the cheapest warehouse to source demand. Thus, c1, c2 and c3 would be supplied by w2.Now for every warehouse choose the cheapest plant, i.e., get 60,000 units from p2 and the remaining 140,000 from p1. The total cost is:
2×50000 + 1×100000 + 2*50000+ 2×60000 + 5×140000 = 1,120,000.
The Heuristics Approach
32
Heuristic 2:For each market area, choose the warehouse such that the total costs to get delivery from the warehouse is the cheapest, that is, consider the source and the distribution.Thus, for market area c1, consider the paths p1→w1→c1, p1→w2→c1, p2→ w1→c1, p2→w2→c1. Of these the cheapest is p1→w1→c1 and so choose w1 for c1.Similarly, choose w2 for c2 and w2 for c3.
The total cost for this strategy is 920,000.
The Heuristics Approach
9
33
Why Optimization Matters?Why Optimization Matters?
D = 50,000
D = 100,000
D = 50,000Cap = 60,000
Cap = 200,000
$4
$5
$2
$3
$4
$5
$2
$1
$2
Production costs are the same, warehousing costs are the same
$0
Example:
34
Traditional Approach #1:Traditional Approach #1:Assign each market to closet WH. Then assign each plant based oAssign each market to closet WH. Then assign each plant based on cost.n cost.
D = 50,000
D = 100,000
D = 50,000Cap = 60,000
Cap = 200,000
$5 x 140,000
$2 x 60,000
$2 x 50,000
$1 x 100,000
$2 x 50,000
Total Costs = $1,120,000
35
Traditional Approach #2:Traditional Approach #2:Assign each market based on total landed costAssign each market based on total landed cost
D = 50,000
D = 100,000
D = 50,000Cap = 60,000
Cap = 200,000
$4
$5
$2
$3
$4
$5
$2
$1
$2
$0
P1 to WH1 $3P1 to WH2 $7P2 to WH1 $7P2 to WH 2 $4
P1 to WH1 $4P1 to WH2 $6P2 to WH1 $8P2 to WH 2 $3
P1 to WH1 $5P1 to WH2 $7P2 to WH1 $9P2 to WH 2 $4
Market #1 is served by WH1, Markets 2 and 3are served by WH2
36
Traditional Approach #2:Traditional Approach #2:Assign each market based on total landed costAssign each market based on total landed cost
D = 50,000
D = 100,000
D = 50,000Cap = 60,000
Cap = 200,000
$5 x 90,000
$2 x 60,000
$3 x 50,000
$1 x 100,000
$2 x 50,000
$0 x 50,000
P1 to WH1 $3P1 to WH2 $7P2 to WH1 $7P2 to WH 2 $4
P1 to WH1 $4P1 to WH2 $6P2 to WH1 $8P2 to WH 2 $3
P1 to WH1 $5P1 to WH2 $7P2 to WH1 $9P2 to WH 2 $4
Total Cost = $920,000
10
37
55--3) Simulation Models3) Simulation Models
Optimization techniques deal with static models:
1. Deal with averages.
2. Does not take into account changes over time
Simulation takes into account the dynamics of the system
Simulation models allow for a micro-level analysis:1. Individual ordering pattern analysis
2. Transportation rates structure
3. Specific inventory policies
4. Inter-warehouse movement of inventory
5. Unlimited number of products, plants, warehouses and customers
38
Optimization Techniques vs. SimulationOptimization Techniques vs. Simulation
The main disadvantage of a simulation model is that it fails to support warehouse location decisions; only a limited number of alternatives are considered
The nature of location decisions is that they are taken when only limited information is available on customers, demands, inventory policies, etc, thus preventing the use of micro level analysis.
39
Recommended approachRecommended approach
Use an optimization model first to solve the problem at the macro level, taking into account the most important cost components
1. Aggregate customers located in close proximity2. Estimate total distance traveled by radial distance to the
market area3. Estimate inventory costs using the EOQ model
Use a simulation model to evaluate optimal solutions generated in the first phase.
40
Case 2: Case 2: Evaluating Facility InvestmentsEvaluating Facility Investments under Uncertainty under Uncertainty ---- AM TiresAM Tires
Dedicated Plant Flexible Plant Plant Fixed Cost Variable Cost Fixed Cost Variable Cost
US 100,000 $1 million/yr. $15 / tire $1.1 million / year
$15 / tire
Mexico 50,000 4 million pesos / year
110 pesos / tire
4.4 million pesos / year
110 pesos / tire
U.S. Demand = 100,000; Mexico demand = 50,0001US$ = 9 pesos
Demand goes up or down by 20 percent with probability 0.5 andexchange rate goes up or down by 25 per cent with probability 0.5.
11
41
RU=100RM=50
E=9
Period 0 Period 1 Period 2
RU=120RM = 60E=11.25
RU=120RM = 60E=6.75
RU=120RM = 40E=11.25
RU=120RM = 40E=6.75
RU=80RM = 60E=11.25
RU=80RM = 60E=6.75
RU=80RM = 40E=11.25
RU=80RM = 40E=6.75
RU=144RM = 72E=14.06
RU=144RM = 72E=8.44
RU=144RM = 48E=14.06
RU=144RM = 48E=8.44
RU=96RM = 72E=14.06
RU=96RM = 72E=8.44
RU=96RM = 48E=14.06
RU=96RM = 48E=8.44
AM TiresAM Tires
-- scenarios with uncertain demand and exchange rate
42
AM TiresAM Tires
Four possible capacity scenarios:• Both dedicated• Both flexible• U.S. flexible, Mexico dedicated• U.S. dedicated, Mexico flexible
For each scenario solve the demand allocation model.
Plants Markets
U.S.
Mexico
U.S.
Mexico
43
AM Tires: AM Tires: Demand Allocation for RU = 144; RM = 72, E = 14.06Demand Allocation for RU = 144; RM = 72, E = 14.06
Source Destination Variable cost
Shipping cost
E Sale price Margin ($)
U.S. U.S. $15 0 14.06 $30 $15 U.S. Mexico $15 $1 14.06 240 pesos $1.1
Mexico U.S. 110 pesos $1 14.06 $30 $21.2 Mexico Mexico 110 pesos 0 14.06 240 pesos $9.2
Plants Markets
U.S.
Mexico
U.S.
Mexico
100,000
44,000
6,000
Profit =$649,360
P la n t C o nfigu ra t io n U n ited S ta tes M ex ico
N P V
D ed ic a ted D ed ic a ted $ 1 ,6 2 9 ,3 1 9 F lex ib le D ed ic a ted $ 1 ,5 1 4 ,3 2 2
D ed ic a ted F lex ib le $ 1 ,7 2 2 ,4 4 7 F lex ib le F lex ib le $ 1 ,5 2 9 ,7 5 8
FacilityDecision:
44
Case 3: Case 3: BuyPC.comBuyPC.comDeveloped by
Jim Morton; UPS Professional ServicesDavid Simchi-Levi; MIT
Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc.
BuyPC.com is a fictitious company that sells computers via the InternetBuyPC.com stresses next day delivery of its computers
BuyPC.com has opted to provide this service with many distribution points, and this results in a significant inventoryinvestment
BuyPC.com ships via UPS, so customers outside the 1-day ground zone must be shipped via air.The warehouses are replenished from factories in Asia
The product arrives to the U.S. via Los Angeles
12
45
Chicago WHChicago WH
AtlantaAtlanta
MilwaukeeMilwaukee1- Day
2-Days
(Use UPS Ground Service)
(Use UPS Next Day Air Service)
Integrating TimeIntegrating Time--inin--Transit DataTransit Data
Decide the service level required for each laneSet outbound rates in model accordingly
46
BuyPC.comBuyPC.com Case Study:Case Study:Current NetworkCurrent Network
Inbound: $ 851,000Outbound: $ 2,930,000Inv Cost: $13,291,000WH Fixed: $ 1,875,000
Total: $18,947,000
47
BuyPC.comBuyPC.com Case Study:Case Study:Cost TradeCost Trade--OffOff
Cost Trade-Off for BuyPC.com
$0$2$4$6$8
$10$12$14$16$18$20
0 5 10 15
Number of DC's
Cos
t ($
mill
ion)
Total CostInventoryTransportationFixed Cost
48
Inventory Reduction and WarehousesInventory Reduction and Warehouses
BuyPC.com faced heavy variability in consumer demandEach DC had to carry sufficient safety stockWarehouse to warehouse transfers were discouraged because of the extra liability in shipping computers
Studies within BuyPC.com indicated that reducing the warehouses would reduce the inventory
The Risk Pooling Effect
13
49
BuyPC.comBuyPC.com Case Study:Case Study:Optimal NetworkOptimal Network
Inbound: $ 83,000Outbound: $ 5,900,000Inv Cost: $ 7,679,000WH Fixed: $ 625,000
Total: $14,987,000
$4 Million Savings
Solution result:Warehouses picked and sizes
Harrisburg 26,000 sq. feetAtlanta 15,000Chicago 18,000Dallas 13,000LA 23,000 50
BuyPC.comBuyPC.com Case StudyCase StudyNetwork Design Conclusion and Next StepsNetwork Design Conclusion and Next Steps
By reducing the number of warehouses, BuyPC.com could reduce their overall logistics network costs
The reduction in inventory costs more than outweighed the increase in next-day air shipments
But, the strategic network did not consider the impact of seasonality
Would they have enough space?When would they have to start building inventory to meet demand?Where would the product be stored?Would the territories change during peak season?
51
Demand and Production Capacity
010000
20000300004000050000
6000070000
Jan
Feb
Mar Apr
May Ju
n
Jul
Aug
Sep Oct
Nov
Dec
Month
Uni
ts DemandProduction Capacity
BuyPC.comBuyPC.com Demand and Demand and Production CapacityProduction Capacity
BuyPC.com needed to start building inventory in advance of the Christmas season
52
What is Tactical Planning?What is Tactical Planning?
A tactical plan allows you to develop optimal plan across the supply chainthat minimizes transportation costs, inventory costs, and production costs.
CapacityLimits
Plants DC’s Customers and Demand
Prod: A23
Prod: A55Prod: A1
LT = 4 wks
14
53
Coordinating Limited ResourcesCoordinating Limited Resources
Low CostLimited Capacity
High Cost
How do I best usemy low cost producers?
Which productionline do I use for
a product?
Sea, LT = 5 weeks
Air, LT = 4 days
When do we ship air or sea, to minimize in-transit inventory and avoid capacity
problems?
How do I buildfor the seasonal
spike and stillmeet shelf liferestrictions?
54
Benefits of Tactical Planning SoftwareBenefits of Tactical Planning Software
Apply forecasts to the supply chainTake your company’s forecast and relate it directly to the supply chain
Create better supply chain plansCreate plans that are optimal across the entire supply chainAnalyze different inventory and production strategies
Avoid supply chain bottlenecksAnticipate problems months in advance and take action now to alleviate the issue
Improved coordination within your supply chainShare the output and collaborate with all your supply chain partners to ensure a successful execution of the plan
55
WhatWhat--Ifs with Tactical Planning SoftwareIfs with Tactical Planning Software
When and where will we run out of capacityWhich plant or warehouse? In which month?
What do we do if we run out of capacity?Should we add capacity? Should we re-align territories?
What are the benefits of smoothing out the quarterly demand spikes?How do we meet seasonal demand?
Should we build inventory? When to start and where to store?Should we run overtime during the peak months to meet demand?
56
Tactical Planning InterfaceTactical Planning Interface
Scenario Manager
DisplayMenu
Map showingshowing yoursolution lanesand capacityindicators forSeptember
15
57
Input DataInput Data
Time PeriodsCustomers Information
Where you are shipping to and demand by time period
Plant / Vendor InformationCapacity by time period
Distribution CentersCosts and capacities by time period
ProductsTransportation Costs
The cost to move product from origin to destination
Minimum overall total costManufacturing costsWarehouse costs (fixed, processing, and inventory)Transportation costs
Optimal plan for inventorywhen to produce, where to store, and when to ship
Appropriate allocation of products to different warehouses
By time periodOptimal production quantity at each manufacturing plant
By time periodEfficient supply channels in the logistics network
Output DataOutput Data
58
BuyPC.comBuyPC.com Tactical AnalysisTactical Analysis
BuyPC.com wanted to minimize the amount of floor space to keep overhead low, yet have enough to handle peak demand
BuyPC.com wanted to know if their order fulfillment system would have to allow dynamic changing of territories
The factories in Asia were capacity constrained, so product would have to be brought in early for the peak season
59
BuyPC.comBuyPC.com Tactical Results:Tactical Results:Using the size of warehouses calculated by the strategic model, Using the size of warehouses calculated by the strategic model, BuyPCBuyPC can only meet 78% of can only meet 78% of
DecemberDecember’’s demands demand
Warehouse Average Inventory Utilization (Volume)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan
Feb Mar AprMay Ju
n Jul
Aug Sep OctNov Dec
Time Period
% U
tiliz
atio
n Atlanta, GAChicago, ILDallas, TXHarrisburg, PALos Angeles, CA
In Nov and Dec all warehouses are at capacity and cannot process any more product
60
BuyPC.comBuyPC.com Tactical Results:Tactical Results:Determining warehouse sizes needed to meet seasonal demandDetermining warehouse sizes needed to meet seasonal demand
PA 26,000 --> 46,000GA 15,000 --> 28,000IL 18,000 --> 24,000TX 13,000 --> 17,000CA 23,000 --> 31,000
Increased system sq. feet by over 50%.
But, all demand is satisfied.
16
61
BuyPC.comBuyPC.com Tactical Results:Tactical Results:Warehouse capacity utilization using larger facilitiesWarehouse capacity utilization using larger facilities
Warehouse Average Inventory Utilization (Volume)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan
Feb Mar AprMay Ju
n Jul
Aug Sep OctNov Dec
Time Period
% U
tiliz
atio
n Atlanta, GAChicago, ILDallas, TXHarrisburg, PALos Angeles, CA
With more warehouse space, there is less of a constraint on overall capacity, although several facilities are quite close to the limit.
However, space utilization is very poor for the first half of the year.
62
BuyPC.comBuyPC.com Tactical Results:Tactical Results:Using temporary leased spaceUsing temporary leased space
Alternatively, BuyPC.com could lease space from Oct - Dec in LA (23,000 additional) and PA (26,000).
During December, LA would have to ship outside its optimal territory. The order fulfillment system would have to dynamically assign orders to DC’s
63
BuyPC.comBuyPC.com Tactical Results:Tactical Results:Using temporary leased space and additional capacityUsing temporary leased space and additional capacity
Or, BuyPC.com could lease less space from Oct - Dec in LA (15,000 additional) and PA (20,000) and add an addition 25% of production capacity for Sep to Dec.
This would also result in less of a seasonal inventory build-up.
64
BuyPC.comBuyPC.com ConclusionsConclusions
With the average warehouse sizes suggested by the strategic model, BuyPC.com could only meet 78% of December demandTo alleviate this, BuyPC.com had several options
Build larger warehouses at all locationsLease temporary space in LA and PA for the peak seasonLease temporary space in LA and PA and increase production
BuyPC.com determined that the most economical choice was to lease temporary space, but not increase production