“Challenges for Fibre-based Telecom Networks in Europe” · “Challenges for Fibre-based...

“Challenges for Fibre-based Telecom Networks in Europe”

Alf Henryk Wulf, CEO Alcatel-Lucent Deutschland AGwik – International Conference, March 23, 2009

2 | wik – FTTB/H Technology | March 2009 All Rights Reserved © Alcatel-Lucent 2009

Agenda

2. Commercial Differences

3. Technology Strategy and Evolution

1. Characteristics of FTTB/H


Characteristics of FTTB/H


From Best-Effort High-Speed Internet to Blended Multimedia Services

VoIP

Enhanced Internet Services

Triple Play bundle

IPTV

Blended voice, video & data services

2000 2005 today Near Future

Services over the IP network are evolving from best-effort HSI to Enhanced HSI, VoIP and IPTV, with a blending of the services

http://www.clubic.com/afficher-en-plein-ecran-51752.html

http://www.best4systems.co.uk/product.asp?ProdID=5114&CtgID=1130

http://www.myspace.com/

http://www.youtube.com/


Mass Market Shift from Broadcast TV to Personalized Entertainment

Value drives loyalty and market share …

and there are a lot of moving parts

Personalized, Multiscreen

Entertainment

Time

HDTVMulti-roomPVRPause Live TVTime Shift TV

Basic TV Service

Personalized, Improved Quality TV

Interactive TV

MultiscreenEntertainment

IP Comms on TVTargeted & Interactive adsRemote PVR

Any media on any deviceUser choice and controlDigital home evolution

SDTVLinear TVVoD


Global peak and average bandwidth have grown even faster than expected: 100Mbps is a reality!

Long Term Bandwidth Evolution

0

0 .0 1

0 .1

1

1 0

1 0 0

1 0 0 0

Infonetics

100 Mbps

24 Mbps

6 Mbps

1.5 Mbps

6 years

10x

5-7 years

CurrentBW Growth Rate

Peak BW

Sustained BW

We are here !

Long Term Trends (Infonetics)

BW Life Cycles (Telecom Futures)

Latest view – also supported by (advertized) bandwidth of players in US and Japan


Street Cabinet

ADSL

ADSL2+ADSL2+

VDSL2

GPON

Maximize CO investmentwith ADSL2+ and bonding

FTTN

AggregationNetwork

FTTH

Central Office

Extend footprint with cost-effectiveFiber-To-The-Node (FTTN) equipment

“Unlimited” reach and bandwidthFiber–To-The-Building (FTTB)Fiber-To-The-Home (FTTH)

WiMAX LTE/ WiMAX as complementary accesssolution for low density areas

and nomadic subscribers

•Copper-centric •Fiber-centric

Optimal mix of access technologies for 100% coverage

AE

LTE

DSLAM

OutdoorDSLAMOLT

DSLAM/ OLTDSLAM/

OLT


FTTH Technologies

Point-to-

Point

ActiveEthernet

GPON

Ethernetswitch

Central Office Access Loop Home

More distributed

More concentrated

IP

IP

Ethernet switchEthernetswitch

PON OLT Optical splitter

IP

Splicing

Efficient Outside PlantPassive Outside Plant

No remote powering

Less maintenance, truck rolls,…

Cost-effective Fiber FeederFew fibers in feeder section

Smaller duct sizes, Less RoW cost,…

Central office (CO) consolidation

Best of Both WorldsPassive Outside Plant

CO scalability & Consol. (20+ km)

Fiber Cost & Management (P-to-MP)

RoW = Right of Way P-to-MP = Point to Multi-Point


Commercial Differences – Business case examples


Business Case example A Network length calculation

Remark: For all variants 1 fiber per access interface!

Point-to-

Point

ActiveEthernet

GPON

Digging

length (km)

Cable length

(km)

Fiber length

(km)

Number active

Sites

Muffle2,4 km 3,7 km 809,2 km 1

EthN-Switch2,4 km 3,7 km 89,3 km 21

Splitter2,4 km 3,7 km 89,3 km 1


Business Case example B Results for Large City - CAPEX

CAPEX-Vergleich

0

10.000.000

20.000.000

30.000.000

40.000.000

50.000.000

60.000.000

70.000.000

80.000.000

90.000.000

100.000.000

110.000.000

120.000.000

130.000.000

GPON AE P2P

Technologie

Kos

ten

[€]

POP Floor SpacePOP Optical EquipmentOSP HorizontalOSP VerticalHOME

Technology

CAPEX - Comparison

Cost

[in

€]

*

POP Optical EquipmentOSP HorizontalOSP VerticalHOME

No budgetary cost for Floor Space applied


Business Case example B Results for Large City - OPEX

OPEX-Vergleich

0

250.000

500.000

750.000

1.000.000

1.250.000

1.500.000

1.750.000

2.000.000

2.250.000

2.500.000

2.750.000

3.000.000

GPON AE P2P

Technologie

Kos

ten

pro

Jahr

[€]

Maintenance fibre cable

Maintenance ducts

Maintenance (PON, EN-Switch)Power consumption & AC

Floor Space

Technology

OPEX - Comparison

Cost

[in

€]

No budgetary cost for Floor Space applied

Maintenance fibre cable

Maintenance ducts

Maintenance (PON, EN-Switch)Power consumption & AC


Note: 4 GPON & 48 ports P2P line cards

GPON compared to Point to Point Direct impact on Central Office spacing and powering

24 Fiber racks 1440 appearances per rack

1 fiber = 1 user

4 HW racks

1 Fiber rack (LGX)1440 appearances 1 fiber = 32 users

LGX

LGX

LGX

LGX

Switch

SwitchSw

itch

SwitchSw

itch

SwitchSw

itch

Switch

Switch

SwitchSw

itch

SwitchSw

itch

SwitchSw

itch

Switch

Switch

SwitchSw

itch

SwitchSw

itch

SwitchSw

itch

Switch

Switch

SwitchSw

itch

SwitchSw

itch

SwitchSw

itch

Switch

LGX

LGX

LGX

LGX

LGX

LGX

LGX

LGX

LGX

LGX

LGX

LGX

LGX

LGX

LGX

LGX

LGX

LGX

LGX

LGX

CO > 100 sqm 67 000 watts

16 HW racks1K subs/rack

GPON – 16 000 subs Central Office P2P – 16 000 subs Central Office

CO < 20 sqm 9 600 watts

PON

PON

LGX

PON

PON


GPON compared to Point to Point in the context of permanent technology improvement

[Mbps per subscribers]

4

8

10

24

100

1 000

500

1

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

GPRS UMTS

Fix

HSPA+WiMAX

HSPAADSL

ADSL2

ADSL2+

VDSL2

10 000

Mobile

GPONGPON

P2P - FEP2P - FE LTE WiMAX

P2P – GE P2P – GE

NG PONNG PON


Technology Strategy (of top carriers) and Evolution


Top carriers have defined their FTT€ strategy

Source: public announcements

CountriesAustraliaBelgiumChina

DenmarkFrance

GermanyHong Kong

IcelandIreland

ItalyJapanKorea

New ZealandNorway

SingaporeSpain

SwedenSwitzerland

The NetherlandsUK

USA and Canada

Cable

CableCable

Incumbent Alternative Munis/util.

Cable

ePON / GPON P2P / AE

N/A or TBD

Public announcements in top BB countries

FTTN FTTAmplifierfor HFC

Cable

Cable

70% top carriers: GPON

50% countries with at least two operators with GPON

GPON in volumes initially in the USA

Cable


PON in North America and EMAI showing strong size and highest growth

FTTx Evolution - Subscribers Worldwide

CAGR 2004-2008

Source: Infonetics / Analyse Alcatel-Lucent

3,4% 4,7% 6,5% 9,5% 13,6%As % of fixed BB subscribers

50% 100% 150%

PON in Asia

PON outside Asia

VDSL

P2P0

10

20

30

40

50

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

FTTx

Sub

s W

W [

M]


Backup


Less dense areas addressed and central office consolidation

GPON evolution : It is all about Capacity, Reach & Split, and Operational Excellence

10Gb/s

2.5Gb/s

Reach 10km 20 km 60 km

Split 64 64 128

GPON B+Today

GPON C+ 2009

Extended GPON 2009

10 Gb/s GPON Approximately 2011/2012

Extended 10 Gb/s PON

More bandwidth for FTTB and backhaul

Increased split ratio

More bandwidth and symmetry per subscriber

RE

RE

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