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Lecture Presentation Software to accompany Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management Seventh Edition by Frank K. Reilly & Keith C. Brown Chapter 17

Transcript of ch17

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Lecture Presentation Software to accompany

Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management

Seventh Editionby

Frank K. Reilly & Keith C. Brown

Chapter 17

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Chapter 17 - Equity Portfolio Management Strategies

Questions to be answered:• What are the two generic equity portfolio

management styles?• What are three techniques for constructing a passive

index portfolio?• How does the goal of a passive equity portfolio

manager differ from the goal of an active manager?• What is a portfolio’s tracking error and how is it

useful in the construction of a passive equity investment?

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Chapter 17 - Equity Portfolio Management Strategies

• What is the difference between an index mutual fund and an exchange-traded fund?

• What are the three themes that active equity portfolio managers can use?

• What stock characteristics differentiate value-oriented and growth-oriented investment styles?

• What is style analysis and what does it indicate about a manager’s investment performance?

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Chapter 17 - Equity Portfolio Management Strategies

• What techniques are used by active managers in an attempt to outperform their benchmark?

• What are differences between the integrated, strategic, tactical, and insured approaches to asset allocation?

• How can futures and options be useful in managing an equity portfolio?

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Passive versus Active Management• Passive equity portfolio management

– Long-term buy-and-hold strategy– Usually tracks an index over time– Designed to match market performance– Manager is judged on how well they track the

target index• Active equity portfolio management

– Attempts to outperform a passive benchmark portfolio on a risk-adjusted basis

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An Overview of Passive Equity Portfolio Management Strategies• Replicate the performance of an index• May slightly underperform the target index

due to fees and commissions• Costs of active management (1 to 2 percent)

are hard to overcome in risk-adjusted performance

• Many different market indexes are used for tracking portfolios

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Index Portfolio Strategy Construction Techniques

• Full replication

• Sampling

• Quadratic optimization or programming

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Full Replication

• All securities in the index are purchased in proportion to weights in the index

• This helps ensure close tracking• Increases transaction costs, particularly

with dividend reinvestment

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Sampling• Buys a representative sample of stocks in the

benchmark index according to their weights in the index

• Fewer stocks means lower commissions• Reinvestment of dividends is less difficult• Will not track the index as closely, so there will

be some tracking error

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Expected Tracking Error Between the S&P 500 Index and Portfolio Samples of Less Than 500 Stocks

Exhibit 17.2

500 400 300 200 100 0

2.0

1.0

3.0

4.0

Expected Tracking Error (Percent)

Number of Stocks

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Quadratic Optimization (or programming techniques)

• Historical information on price changes and correlations between securities are input into a computer program that determines the composition of a portfolio that will minimize tracking error with the benchmark

• This relies on historical correlations, which may change over time, leading to failure to track the index

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Methods of Index Portfolio Investing

• Index Funds– Attempt to replicate a benchmark index

• Exchange-Traded Funds– EFTs are depository receipts that give investors

a pro rata claim on the capital gains and cash flows of the securities that are held in deposit by a financial institution that issued the certificates

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An Overview of Active Equity Portfolio Management Strategies

• Goal is to earn a portfolio return that exceeds the return of a passive benchmark portfolio, net of transaction costs, on a risk-adjusted basis

• Practical difficulties of active manager– Transactions costs must be offset– Risk can exceed passive benchmark

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Fundamental Strategies

• Top-down versus bottom-up approaches• Asset and sector rotation strategies

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Sector Rotation• Position a portfolio to take advantage of the market’s

next move• Screening can be based on various stock

characteristics:– Value– Growth– P/E– Capitalization– Sensitivity to economic variables

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Technical Strategies

• Contrarian investment strategy• Price momentum strategy• Earnings momentum strategy

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Value versus Growth• Growth stocks will outperform value

stocks for a time and then the opposite occurs

• Over time value stocks have offered somewhat higher returns than growth stocks

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Value versus Growth• Growth-oriented investor will:

– focus on EPS and its economic determinants

– look for companies expected to have rapid EPS growth

– assumes constant P/E ratio

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Value versus Growth• Value-oriented investor will:

– focus on the price component– not care much about current earnings– assume the P/E ratio is below its natural

level

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Style• Construct a portfolio to capture one or more of

the characteristics of equity securities• Small-capitalization stocks, low-P/E stocks, etc…• Value stocks appear to be underpriced

– price/book or price/earnings• Growth stocks enjoy above-average earnings per

share increases

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Does Style Matter?• Choice to align with investment style communicates

information to clients• Determining style is useful in measuring performance

relative to a benchmark• Style identification allows an investor to diversify by

portfolio• Style investing allows control of the total portfolio to be

shared between the investment managers and a sponsor

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Determining Style

• Style grid: – firm size– value-growth characteristics

• Style analysis– constrained least squares

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Benchmark Portfolios

• Sharpe– T-bills, intermediate-term government bonds,

long-term government bonds, corporate bonds, mortgage related securities, large-capitalization value stocks, large-capitalization growth stocks, medium-capitalization stocks, small-capitalization stocks, non-U.S. bonds, European stocks, and Japanese stocks

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Benchmark Portfolios

• Sharpe• BARRA

– Uses portfolios formed around 13 different security characteristics, including variability in markets, past firm success, firm size, trading activity, growth orientation, earnings-to-price ratio, book-to-price ratio, earnings variability, financial leverage, foreign income, labor intensity, yield, and low capitalization

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Benchmark Portfolios

• Sharpe• BARRA• Ibbotson Associates

– simplest style model uses portfolios formed around five different characteristics: cash (T-bills), large-capitalization growth, small-capitalization growth, large-capitalization value, and small-capitalization value

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Timing Between Styles

• Variations in returns among mutual funds are largely attributable to differences in styles

• Different styles tend to move at different times in the business cycle

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Asset Allocation Strategies• Integrated asset allocation

– capital market conditions– investor’s objectives and constraints

• Strategic asset allocation– constant-mix

• Tactical asset allocation– mean reversion– inherently contrarian

• Insured asset allocation– constant proportion

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Asset Allocation Strategies

• Selecting an allocation method depends on: – Perceptions of variability in the client’s

objectives and constraints – Perceived relationship between the past and

future capital market conditions

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Using Futures and Options in Equity Portfolio Management

• Systematic and unsystematic risk of equity portfolios can be modified by using futures and options derivatives

• Selling futures on the portfolio’s underlying assets reduces the portfolio’s sensitivity to price changes of the asset

• Options do not have symmetrical impact on returns

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The Use of Futures in Asset Allocation

• Allows changing the portfolio allocation quickly to adjust to forecasts at lower transaction costs

• Futures can maintain an overall balance in a portfolio

• Futures can gain exposure to international markets

• Currency exposure can be managed using currency futures and options

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Using Derivatives in Passive Equity Portfolio Management

• Futures and options can help control cash inflows and outflows from the portfolio– Inflows - index contracts allow time to make

investments– Outflows - large planned withdrawal is made by selling

securities, which causes an increase in cash holdings; futures can counterbalance this until the withdrawal

• Options can be sold to reduce weightings in sectors or individual stocks during rebalancing

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Using Derivatives in Active Equity Portfolio Management

• Modifying systematic risk• Modifying unsystematic risk

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The InternetInvestments Online

www.russell.comwww.firstquadrant.comwww.wilshire.comwww.fool.comwww.dailystocks.com

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End of Chapter 17–Equity Portfolio Management Strategies

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Future topicsChapter 18

• Bond Fundamentals