CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06......

48
Issue 2 2008 CEE Economic Data Analysis by the UniCredit Group CEE Research Network Outlook for 2009–2010

Transcript of CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06......

Page 1: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

Issue 22008

CEEEconomic

Data

Analysis by the UniCredit Group CEE Research Network

Outlook for 2009–2010

Page 2: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

Imprint

Published by UniCredit Bank Austria AG

http://www.unicreditgroup.eu

http://www.bankaustria.at

Edited by CEE Research Department

[email protected]

Bernhard Sinhuber, Phone +43 (0)50505-41964

Produced by Bank Austria Identity & Communications Department,

Editorial Desk ([email protected]), Phone +43 (0)50505-56141

Layout: Miriam Weigel

Front page: Skibar grafik design

Printed by Holzhausen

Closing Date: 3rd October 2008

Disclaimer

This document (the “Document”) has been prepared by “UniCredit Group”. The Document is for information purposes only and is not intendedas (i) an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to sell or to buy any financial instrument and/or (ii) a professional advice in relation to any investmentdecision. The Document is being distributed by electronic and ordinary mail to professional investors and may not be redistributed, reprodu-ced, disclosed or published in whole or in part. Information, opinions, estimates and forecasts contained herein have been obtained from orare based upon sources believed by the UniCredit Group to be reliable but no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made and noresponsibility, liability and/or indemnification obligation shall be borne by the UniCredit Group vis-à-vis any recipient of the present Documentand/or any third party as to the accuracy, completeness and/or correctness of any information contained in the Document. The UniCredit Groupis involved in several businesses and transactions that may relate directly or indirectly to the content of the Document. Accordingly, theUniCredit Group may hold a position or act as market maker in any financial instrument men tioned in the Document. Information, which is notreflected in the Document, may therefore be available to persons connected with the UniCredit Group. The Document has been approved fordistribution in UK by the London branch of UniCredit Banca Mobiliare S.p.A., regulated by the FSA for the conduct of investment business inthe UK. It has not been approved for distribution to or for the use of private customers, as defined by the rules of the FSA. The Document maynot be distributed in USA, Canada, Japan or Australia.

Debora Revoltella

UniCredit CEE Chief Economist

Network Coordinator

UniCredit Group,

CEE Economic Research

Carmelina Carluzzo, Matteo Ferrazzi,

Hans Holzhacker, Fabio Mucci, Lisa Perrin,

Bernhard Sinhuber, Gerd Stiglitz

UniCredit Bulbank,

Economic Research Unit

Kristofor Pavlov, Chief Economist

Stanislava Vrabcheva, Milen Kassabov,

Katerina Topalova

Zagrebacka banka,

Macroeconomic Research

Goran Saravanja, Chief Economist

Nenad Golac

UniCredit Bank Czech Republic,

Economic Research

Pavel Sobisek, Chief Economist

Patrik Rozumbersky, Vaclav Verner

UniCredit Bank Hungary

Márta Bíróné-Szegö, Chief Economist

Tibor Nagy

Bank Pekao,

Market Analysis and Forecasting

Marcin Mrowiec, Head

Agnieszka Decewicz

UniCredit Tiriac Bank,

Economic Research

Rozalia Pal, Senior Economist

Anca Mihaela Stoica

UniCredit Bank Russia,

Treasury

Valery Inyushin,

Sergey Borisov

UniCredit Bank Slovakia,

Macroeconomics & Market Analyses

Viliam Patoprsty, Chief Analyst

Lubomir Korsnak

Yapi Kredi Bankasi

Cevdet Akcay, Chief Economist

Ahmet Cimenoglu, Head, Strategic

Planning and Research

Yelda Yucel, Murat Can Aslak,

Eren Ocakverdi

UniCredit Global Research

Bank Austria, Economics & Market Analysis

UniCredit Group CEE Research Network

CEE Economic Data

Outlook for 2009–2010

2 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008

^

Page 3: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

Contents

4 Bosnia and Herzegovina

6 Bulgaria

8 Croatia

10 Czech Republic

12 Estonia

14 Hungary

16 Kazakhstan

18 Latvia

20 Lithuania

22 Poland

24 Romania

26 Russia

28 Serbia

30 Slovakia

32 Slovenia

34 Turkey

36 Ukraine

38 Eurozone

40 Austria

42 Germany

44 Italy

3CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

Bosna i Hercegovina

��������

Hrvatska

âeskárepublika

Eesti

Magyarország

���� ��

Latvija

Lietuva

Polska

Romania

������

Srbija

Slovensko

Slovenija

Turkiye

�������

Euroland

Österreich

Deutschland

Italia

Page 4: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

9.9

18.9

66.54.7

Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosna i Hercegovina

51,197

3.8

Haris Silajdzic

Nikola Spiric

11.1

2,880

36.7

PovrÂina (km2)

StanovniÂtvo (u milionima)

Predsjednik

Premijer

BDP (za 2007. godinu, u milijardama EUR)

BDP po glavi stanovnika (BDP za 2007. godinu, u EUR)

Izvoz u % BDP-a (2007)

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2007 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2007)

´

´

ˇ

ˇ

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007

Bruto nacionalni prozvod po privrednim sektorima 2007

Structural Indicators

Strukturni pokazatelji

UniCredit Bank

Kardinala Stepinca b.b.BH-88 000 MostarPhone (+387 36) 312 112www.unicreditbank.ba

UniCredit Bank Banja Luka

Marije Bursac 7BH–78000 Banja LukaPhone (+387 51) 243 200www.novablbanka.com

Agriculture and forestry

Industry

Construction

Services

Poljoprivreda i Âumarstvo

Industrija

Gradevinarstvo

Usluge

4 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008

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GDP real (yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment rate (yearly average)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rate : BAM/EUR

ECB REFI rate (end of December)

Total Loans (yoy, in %)

Total Deposits (yoy, in %)

Bruto domaci proizvod (realno, godiÂna stopa, u %)

Bruto investicije u osnovna (realno, godiÂna stopa, u %)

Industrijska proizvodnja (realno, godiÂna stopa, u %)

PotroÂaãke cijene (godiÂnji prosjek)

Nezaposlenost (godiÂnji prosjek)

Izvoz robe (u mil. EUR)

Uvoz robe (u mil. EUR)

Tekuci bilans (u % BDP-a)

Direktne strane investicije (priliv u % BDP-a)

BudÏetska ravnoteÏa (u % BDP-a)

Bruto inostrani dug (u % BDP-a)

BAM/EUR (godiÂnji prosjek)

ECB REFI rate (rate stopa)

Ukupni krediti (godiÂna stopa, u %)

Ukupni depoziti (godiÂna stopa, u %)

´

´

2007 2008 2009 2010

6.8 5.8 4.8 5.4

– – – –

6.9 6.2 5.5 6.3

1.5 7.9 4.5 3.0

42.9 39.0 38.5 38.0

3,092 3,528 4,057 4,729

7,234 8,319 9,151 10,066

–12.7 –15.3 –13.6 –12.5

13.4 5.1 5.6 5.5

1.0 –0.5 –1.8 –3.0

– – – –

1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96

4.00 4.25 3.75 3.75

28.6 29.4 17.2 16.2

37.3 7.6 11.5 14.3

Indicators

Pokazatelji

5CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

Page 6: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

5.1

26.5

50.5

17.9

6 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008

Bulgaria��������

110,994

7.7

Georgi Parvanov

Sergei Stanishev

28.9

3,780

62.8

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2007 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2007)

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007���� ������� ������ �� ��� �������� ������� (� %) 2007

Structural Indicators

������ � � ��������

UniCredit Bulbank

Sveta Nedelya Sq. 7BG–1000 SofiaPhone (+359 2) 923 2111www.unicreditbulbank.bg

Agriculture and forestry

Industry

Construction

Services

������ � ������ � ����� ��

�����������

� ��� ��� ��

������

���� (��.��)

��������� � ���.

�������

����� ����������� ��

��� (2007, � ����. ����)

��� �� !���� � ��������� �(2007, � ����)

"��� � % � ��� (2007)

Page 7: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

7CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment rate (yearly average)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rat: BGN/EUR

Overnight Sofibor, avg

Total Loans (yoy, in %)

Total Deposits (yoy, in %)

2007 2008 2009 2010

6.2 6.3 4.2 4.5

21.7 15.4 9.6 9.3

9.0 8.0 7.3 6.5

8.4 13.0 9.1 7.4

6.9 6.7 7.0 7.2

13,512 16,066 17,577 20,718

20,815 25,271 26,600 29,285

–21.8 –23.5 –20.2 –16.5

22.6 15.5 10.0 11.0

3.5 3.5 3.0 2.5

99.8 103.0 108.0 111.0

1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96

4.03 5.16 5.69 4.94

63.6 41.2 26.5 17.3

35.0 25.0 20.0 16.4

Indicators

� ��������

������ ��� (��� ������ ����x���� � ������, � %)

��� � ���� ����#������� (������ ��� ����������x���� � ������, � %)

���������� �������� �� (������ ��� ������ ����x���� � ������, � %)

"����� �� �� ��#� ����� � $��� (������ �������)

����#� �$� (������ �������)

� ���� ���� (� ��� ����)

� ���� ���� (� ��� ����)

&����� ��� �� (� % � ���)

����� !�'��� ����� ����� �$��(��� ��, � % � ���)

�*�'� �� ��+�$� (–) / ������(+) (� % � ���)

��� �� ������ ���� (� % � ���)

������ ���� �� ����: BGN/EUR

1������ ��+�#��, ������ � ��������

1#�� ����� � (��� ������ ����x���� � ������, � %)

1#�� ����� � (��� ������ ����x���� � ������, � %)

˘

Page 8: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

6.0

20.5

67.6 6.0

8 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008

CroatiaHrvatska

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2007 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2007)

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007

Bruto domaci proizvod po djelatnostima 2007

Structural Indicators

Strukturni pokazatelji

Zagrebacka banka

Paromlinska 2HR–10000 ZagrebPhone (+385 1) 6104000 www.zaba.hr

^

Agriculture and forestry

Industry

Construction

Services

Poljoprivreda i Âumarstvo

Industrija

Gradevinarstvo

Usluge

PovrÂina (km2)

StanovniÂtvo u mio

Predsjednik republike

Predsjednik vlade

BDP (2007. u mld EUR)

BDP po glavi stanovnika (2007. u EUR)

Izvoz u % BDP (2007)

56,954

4.4

Stjepan Mesic

Ivo Sanader

37.5

8,450

49.0

´

´

¯

Page 9: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

9CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment rate (yearly average)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rat : HRK/EUR

1W ZIBOR, avg

Total Loans (yoy, in %)

Total Deposits (yoy, in %)

Indicators

Pokazatelji 2007 2008 2009 2010

5.8 3.7 3.2 4.0

6.5 7.5 5.0 7.0

5.6 3.4 3.8 5.0

2.9 6.5 4.1 3.0

9.6 9.1 8.7 8.4

9,193 9,864 10,505 11,135

18,626 21,141 22,198 23,419

–8.6 –10.3 –8.9 –8.0

9.6 8.4 7.3 7.7

–2.3 –1.4 –1.7 –1.9

88.6 89.1 89.4 89.4

7.34 7.26 7.23 7.20

5.49 5.10 5.25 5.15

13.4 11.6 11.9 12.0

16.5 12.0 8.6 9.1

Realni BDP (godiÂna stopa, u %)

Investicije u osnovna sredstva (realno, godiÂna stopa, u %

Industrijska proizvodnja (realno, godiÂna stopa, u %)

PotroÂaãke cijene (godiÂnji prosjek)

Nezaposlenost (godiÂnji prosjek)

Izvoz robe (u mio EUR)

Uvoz robe (u mio EUR)

Tekuci raãun (u % BDP)

Izravna inozemna ulaganja (neto priljev, u % BDP)

Proraãunska ravnoteÏa (u % BDP)

Bruto inozemni dug (u % BDP)

Prosjeãni devizni teãaj: HRK/EUR

1 TJ ZIBOR, prosjeãno

Ukupni krediti (godiÂna stopa, u %)

Ukupni depoziti (godiÂna stopa, u %)

´

Page 10: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

2.7

32.5

58.6

6.3

10 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008

Czech RepublicCeská republika

78,867

10.3

Václav Klaus

Mirek Topolánek

127.9

12,390

79.6

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2007 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2007)

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007

Hrub˘ domácí produkt podle hospodáfisk˘ch sektorÛ 2007

Structural Indicators

Strukturální ukazatele

UniCredit Bank

Na Prikope 20CZ-11121 Prague 1Phone (+420) 22 111 2111www.unicreditbank.cz

Agriculture and forestry

Industry

Construction

Services

Zemûdûlství a lesnictví

PrÛmysl

Stavebnictví

SluÏby

Rozloha (km2)

Poãet obyvatel v mil.

Prezident

Pfiedseda vlády

HDP (2007, v mld. EUR)

HDP na jednoho obyvatele (2007, v EUR)

V˘voz v % HDP (2007)

^

Page 11: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

11CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment rate (yearly average)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rate: CZK/EUR

2-week repo rate (end of period, in %)

Total Loans (yoy, in %)

Total Deposits (yoy, in %)

Indicators

Ukazatele

Reáln˘ HDP (meziroãní rÛst, v %)

Tvorba hrubého fixního kapitálu (reálná, meziroãní rÛst, v %)

PrÛmyslová v˘roba (reálná, meziroãní rÛst, v %)

Spotfiebitelské ceny (roãní prÛmûr)

Nezamûstnanost (roãní prÛmûr)

V˘voz zboÏí (v mil. EUR)

Dovoz zboÏí (v mil. EUR)

BûÏn˘ úãet (v % HDP)

Pfiímé zahraniãní investice (pfiíliv, hrubá vyÂe v % HDP)

Bilance rozpoãtu (v % HDP)

Hrubá zahraniãní zadluÏenost (v % HDP)

PrÛmûrn˘ smûnn˘ kurz: Kã/EUR

2-t˘denní repo sazba (konec obodobí, v %)

Celkové úvûry (meziroãní rÛst, v %)

Celková depozita (meziroãní rÛst, v %)

2007 2008 2009 2010

6.6 4.0 3.2 4.0

5.8 3.5 2.5 4.5

9.0 4.0 4.0 3.5

2.8 6.6 3.1 2.8

6.6 5.4 6.0 6.0

89,303 102,530 108,498 125,506

84,958 96,948 102,964 119,676

–1.8 –3.4 –2.7 –2.7

5.2 4.6 6.2 4.2

–1.6 –2.3 –2.9 –2.7

38.0 39.2 39.9 40.1

27.76 24.90 25.30 24.70

3.50 3.50 3.50 4.00

24.5 14.5 10.5 12.5

15.2 5.9 6.0 5.6

Page 12: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

3.0

20.6

68.57.9

12 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008

EstoniaEesti

45,227

1.3

Toomas Hendrik Ilves

Andrus Ansip

15.3

11,380

73.8

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2007 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2007)

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007

Sisemajanduse koguprodukt majandussektorite lõikes (%) 2007

Structural Indicators

Struktuurilised tegurid

UniCredit Bank Estonia Branch

Liivalaia street 13/15EST-10118 TallinnPhone (+372) 668 8300www.unicreditbank.ee

Agriculture and forestry

Industry

Construction

Services

Põllumajandus ja metsandus

Tööstus

Ehitus

Teenindus

Pindala (km2)

Rahvastik, mln

President

Peaminister

Sisemajanduse koguprodukt (SKP) (2007 a. mlr EUR)

Sisemajanduse koguprodukt (SKP) elaniku kohta (2007 a. EUR)

Eksport % SKP (2007)

Page 13: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

13CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment rate (yearly average)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rate: EEK/EUR

3M Talibor (end of period, in %)

Total Loans (yoy, in %)

Total Deposits (yoy, in %)

2007 2008 2009 2010

6.3 –1.2 1.7 4.3

4.8 –1.8 1.5 8.4

6.7 –3.3 3.4 5.6

6.6 10.5 6.4 4.9

4.7 5.4 5.6 5.1

8,076 8,716 9,218 10,073

10,762 10,582 11,286 12,529

–18.1 –11.1 –11.9 –12.8

12.8 7.3 7.5 7.8

3.0 –1.2 –1.0 1.5

112.3 115.1 116.2 118.3

15.65 15.65 15.65 15.65

4.84 6.44 5.74 5.00

33.3 13.3 13.4 17.8

13.8 8.8 10.7 13.2

Indicators

Tegurid

Reaalne SKP (võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)

Kapitali kogumahutus põhikapital (tegelik, võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)

Tööstustoodang (tegelik, võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)

Tarbijahinnaindeks (aasta keskmine)

Töötus (aasta keskmine)

Kauba eksport (mln EUR)

Kauba import (mln EUR)

Jooksevkonto (% SKP)

Välismaised otseinvesteeringud (neto % SKP)

Eelarve tasakaal (% SKP)

Koguvälisvõlg (% SKP)

Keskmine vahetuskurss: EEK/EUR

3 kuu Talibor (aasta lõpu seisuga)

Laenude kogumaht (võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)

Deposiitide kogumaht (võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)

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4.2

25.2

66.4 4.2

14 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008

HungaryMagyarország

93,033

10.1

László Sólyom

Ferenc Gyurcsány

101.1

10,040

81.7

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2007 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2007)

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007

Bruttó hazai össztermék hozzáadott értéke 2007

Structural Indicators

Alapadatok

UniCredit Bank

Szabadság Tér 5–6H-1054 BudapestPhone (+36 1) 301 1271www.unicreditbank.hu

Agriculture and forestry

Industry

Construction

Services

Mezogazdaság és erdogazdálkodás

Ipar

Építoipar

Szolgáltatások

´́ ´́

Terület (km2)

Népesség (millióban)

Köztársasági elnök

Miniszterelnök

Bruttó hazai össztermék (2007-ban, mrd EUR-ban)

Egy fore eso bruttó hazai össztermék(2007-ban, EUR-ban)

Kivitel a GDP %-ában (2007)

´́

´́´́

Page 15: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

15CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment rate (yearly average)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rate: HUF/EUR

2-week repo rate (end of period, in %)

Total Loans (yoy, in %)

Total Deposits (yoy, in %)

2007 2008 2009 2010

1.3 2.5 3.3 4.0

0.1 1.7 7.7 14.4

8.1 6.9 7.8 8.4

8.0 6.4 3.3 2.9

7.3 7.7 7.4 7.2

68,472 78,097 88,894 98,516

68,781 77,714 88,059 97,945

–5.0 –4.4 –4.1 –3.7

4.0 3.6 3.8 4.0

–5.5 –3.6 –3.2 –3.0

97.7 93.0 91.6 89.0

251.3 247.0 240.0 238.0

7.50 8.50 7.00 6.00

13.5 8.0 11.2 11.8

9.3 5.5 7.1 7.4

Indicators

Gazdasági mutatók

Reál bruttó hazai össztermék (év/év, %-ban)

Bruttó felhalmozás (reál, év/év, %-ban)

Ipari termelés (reál, év/év, %-ban)

Fogyasztói árindex (éves átlag)

Munkanélküliségi ráta (éves átlag)

Áruexport (millió EUR–ben)

Áruimport (millió EUR–ben)

Folyó fizetési mérleg egyenlege (a GDP %-ában)

Külföldi muködotoke (beáramlás, nettó, a GDP %-ában)

Költségvetési egyenleg (a GDP %-ában)

Bruttó külföldi adósság (a GDP %-ában)

Átlagos árfolyam: HUF/EUR

Kéthetes jegybanki betétkamat

Teljes hitelállomány (év/év, %-ban)

Teljes betétállomány (év/év, %-ban)

´́ ´́ ´́

Page 16: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

8.4

26.1

53.6

11.9

16 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008

Kazakhstan

��������

2,717,300

15.6

Nursultan Nazarbayev

Karim K. Massimov

76.1

4,890

49.7

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2007 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2007)

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007

2007 �. ��� ����� �������ı ����ı �� �����ı !��! " !�

Structural Indicators

KY�#�#��#� �"�����!����

ATFBank

Furmanov street 100 KZ-050000 AlmatyPhone (+7 727) 2583111 www.atfbank.kz

Agriculture and forestry

Industry

Construction

Services

3���4ı (��2)

X��4ı� ���4ı ���.

�������

����4��-����� �

689 (2007'., ��������� ;������)

6�� #��4ı�� ���������4ı 689 (2007'., ;������)

689-��� % Y�<����< =����� 4ı� �>���< (2007)

A �4ı� ' �� ����� ������4ı�4ı�4ı

9���� �<�

KY�4ı�4ı�

K 4ı�� ����� � �����4ı

Page 17: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

17CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment rate (yearly average)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rate: KZT/EUR

3-M-Kaz Prime (end of period, in %)

Total Loans (yoy, in %)

Total Deposits (yoy, in %)

2007 2008 2009 2010

8.7 3.8 4.2 6.1

17.8 5.7 9.2 12.7

4.5 2.1 3.1 5.4

10.8 17.6 9.5 7.2

7.6 6.8 6.7 6.0

35,210 42,888 45,746 51,408

24,164 24,918 30,152 38,526

–6.9 3.5 –0.8 –3.5

9.9 6.4 5.8 6.4

–0.8 –1.1 –1.1 1.0

86.0 75.9 64.4 57.6

167.75 180.81 170.21 166.76

11.00 10.50 9.50 9.00

50.5 4.1 13.0 22.4

25.5 20.4 21.5 27.8

Indicators

�"�����!����

689 ��� 4ı >�<�< (%)

"���� �$����ı� ��� 4ı >�<�< (%)

9���� �<� <� ��� 4ı >�<�< (%)

&Y 4<���4<�4ı� #������ ('4ı��4ı� �� ���)

6Y �4ı��4ı�4ı� �����?< ('4ı��4ı� �� ���)

@����� �>���< (������� ;������)

8���� �>���< (������� ;������)

A �4ı����4ı �����$����� �� 4ı (689-�� �� 4ı� 4ı %-#��)

&<����? �� �� ����� �$�����4ı(689-�� �� 4ı� 4ı %-#�� ���� ��4ı�4ı)

�*�'� ���4���4ı (689-�� �� 4ı� 4ı %-#��)

�4ı� �4ı ���4ı �>���< (689-�� �� 4ı� 4ı %-#��)

1� ��� #���� KZT/EUR

3-A Kazprime

Kp��� ��'�4ı� 4ı�4ı, % Y�<����< '4ı��4ı� >�<�<

A���� ��'�4ı� 4ı�4ı, % Y�<����< '4ı��4ı� >�<�<

Page 18: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

2.9

9.9

79.8

7.4

18 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008

LatviaLatvija

64,589

2.3

Valdis Zatlers

Ivars Godmanis

19.9

8,710

43.9

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2007 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2007)

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007

IKP pa sektoriem 2007

Structural Indicators

Strukturas radıtaji

UniCredit Bank

Elizabetes street 63LV-1050 RigaPhone (+371 6) 708 5500www.unicreditbank.lv

Agriculture and forestry

Industry

Construction

Services

Lauksaimniecıba un meÏsaimniecıba

Rupniecıba

Celtniecıba

Pakalpojumi

¯ ¯

¯ ¯

¯

¯ ¯¯ ¯

Platıba (km2)

Iedzıvotaju skaits. milj.

Prezidente

Premjerministrs

IKP (2007, miljardos EUR)

IKP uz vienu iedzıvotaju (2007, EUR)

Eksports % no IKP (2007)

¯

¯ ¯

¯ ¯

Page 19: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

19CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment rate (yearly average)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rate: LVL/EUR

3 M Rigibor (end of period, in %)

Total Loans (yoy, in %)

Total Deposits (yoy, in %)

Indicators

Radıtaji 2007 2008 2009 2010

10.3 0.5 0.4 3.6

8.4 –7.0 –2.9 7.4

0.5 –3.5 0.5 1.5

10.1 15.4 7.5 5.5

6.0 6.2 6.4 6.3

5,936 6,830 7,755 8,680

10,812 10,970 11,241 12,507

–22.9 –14.5 –12.8 –12.0

8.0 5.3 4.6 4.5

0.0 –0.9 0.1 0.3

134.2 121.5 115.9 111.4

0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70

8.66 6.50 5.75 5.25

34.0 11.5 9.6 12.0

17.2 8.9 7.1 10.5

¯¯ ¯

Realais IKP (salıdzinot ar iepriekÂejo gadu, %)

Kopeja pamatkapitala veidoÂanas(reala, salıdzinot ar iepriekÂejo gadu, %)

Rupniecıbas produkcija (reala, salıdzinot ar iepriekÂejo gadu, %)

Paterina cenas (gada videjas)

Bezdarbs (gada videjais)

Preãu eksports (milj. EUR)

Preãu imports (milj. EUR)

TekoÂais konts (% no IKP)

Arvalstu tieÂas investıcijas (iepludums, neto % no IKP)

BudÏeta atlikums (% no IKP)

Kopejais arejais parads (% no IKP)

Videjais valutas mainas kurss: LVL /EUR

3-meneÂu Rigibor likme (perioda beigas)

Kopejie aizdevumi (gada laika, %)

Kopejie noguldıjumi (gada laika, %)

¯

¯¯ ¯ ¯

¯ ¯

¯ ¯

¯ ¯ ¯¯

¯ ¯

¯ ¯ ¯¸

¯ ¯ ¸

¯ ¯

¯ ¯¯

Page 20: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

5.5

23.8

60.9

10.0

20 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008

LithuaniaLietuva

65,301

3.4

Valdas Adamkus

Gediminas Kirkilas

28.0

8,300

54.1

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2007 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2007)

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007

Bendras vidaus produktas pagal ekonominius sektorius 2007

Structural Indicators

Bendrieji rodikliai

UniCredit Bank Lithuania Branch

Vilniaus Gatve 35/3LT-01119 VilniusPhone (+370 5) 2745 300www.unicreditbank.lt

Agriculture and forestry

Industry

Construction

Services

Plotas (km2)

Gyventoju skaiãius, mln

Prezidentas

Ministras pirmininkas

Bendras vidaus produktas (BVP, 2007, bil. Euras)

BVP tenkantis 1 gyventojui (2007, Euras)

Eksportas % nuo BVP (2007)

¸

˚emes ukis ir miÂkininkyste

Pramone

Statyba

Paslaugos

˙ ˙

˙

Page 21: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

21CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment rate (yearly average)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rate: LTL/EUR

3M Vilibor (end of period, in %)

Total Loans (yoy, in %)

Total Deposits (yoy, in %)

Indicators

Rodikliai

BVP (metinis, %)

Bendro pagrindinio kapitalo sudarymas (grynas, metinis, %)

Pramones apimtis (grynas, metinis, %)

Vartojimo prekiu kainos (vidutines metines)

Nedarbo lygis (vidutinis metinis)

Prekiu eksportas (mln. Euras)

Prekiu importas (mln. Euras)

Einamoji saskaita (% lyginant su BVP)

Tiesiogines uÏsienio investicijos (TUI) (grynosiplaukos % nuo BVP)

BiudÏeto balansas (% lyginant su BVP)

Bendra uÏsienio skola (% nuo BVP)

Vidutinis valiutos kursas: LTL/ Euras

3 menesiu Vilibor palukanu norma (procentais, laikotarpio pabaiga)

IÂ viso paskolu (palyginti su tuo paciu laikotarpiupries metus, procentais)

IÂ viso depozitu (palyginti su tuo paciu laikotarpiupries metus, procentais)

˙

˙˙¸

˙¸

¸

¸

¸

¸

¸

¸

ˇ

ˇ

2007 2008 2009 2010

8.8 4.7 3.8 4.2

18.3 8.0 4.4 10.8

4.0 – – –

5.7 11.3 8.1 5.5

4.3 5.3 5.8 6.0

12,061 13,014 14,185 15,561

16,161 18,181 19,981 22,378

–13.7 –11.9 –11.2 –9.8

5.0 3.9 4.1 4.8

–1.2 –0.9 –0.9 –0.7

73.3 73.4 74.0 74.6

3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45

7.19 5.62 4.69 4.51

42.9 22.0 16.6 17.5

23.4 12.0 13.0 13.4

Page 22: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

3.8

20.3

69.0 6.9

22 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008

PolandPolska

312,685

38.1

Lech Kaczynski

Donald Tusk

308.7

8,100

40.8

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2007 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2007)

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007

Produkt Krajowy Brutto z podzialem na sektory gospodarki 2007

Structural Indicators

Wskazniki strukturalne

Bank Pekao

Ul. Grzybowska 53/57 PL-00950 WarsawPhone (+48 42) 6560000www.pekao.com.pl

Agriculture and forestry

Industry

Construction

Services

Obszar (km2)

Ludnosã w mln

Prezydent

Premier

Produkt Krajowy Brutto (PKB w 2007 roku, w bln EUR)

PKB na jednego mieszkanca (w 2007 roku, w EUR)

Udzial eksportu w PKB (2007)–

´

´

´

Rolnictwo i lesnictwo

Przemysl

Budownictwo

Uslugi–

´

ı

Page 23: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

23CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment rate (yearly average)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rate: PLN/EUR

Reference rate (end of period, in %)

Total Loans (yoy, in %)

Total Deposits (yoy, in %)

Indicators

Wskazniki

PKB realny (rok do roku, w %)

Naklady brutto na srodki trwale(realna, rok do roku, w %)

Produkcja sprzedana przemyslu (realna, rok do roku, w %)

Srednioroczne ceny produktów konsumpcyjnych

Bezrobocie (srednie w ciagu roku)

Eksport towarów (w mln EUR)

Import towarów (w mln EUR)

Saldo rachunku biezacego (udzial w PKB w %)

Bezposrednie inwestycje zagraniczne (wplywy netto w % PKB)

Saldo budzetu (w % PKB)

Dlug zagraniczny (w % PKB)

Sredni kurs: PLN do EUR

Stopa podstawowa NBP, koniec okresu

Kredyty ogólem (rok do roku, w %)

Depozyty ogólem (rok do roku, w %)

– –

¸

¯

¸ –

˙

´

´

´

´

´

2007 2008 2009 2010

6.6 5.2 4.2 4.4

17.6 12.2 8.1 6.2

9.7 5.3 3.8 4.2

2.5 4.4 3.5 2.9

12.7 9.5 8.8 8.1

105,348 123,212 133,069 149,836

116,659 139,084 152,854 166,610

–3.7 –5.4 –5.6 –4.4

4.4 3.2 3.3 4.0

–1.8 –2.5 –2.3 –2.3

48.3 52.0 52.0 52.3

3.78 3.42 3.44 3.45

5.00 6.00 5.50 4.75

29.4 20.0 11.0 13.3

14.4 13.3 6.2 9.6

´

Page 24: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

7.5

26.4

55.9

10.3

24 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008

RomaniaRomânia

238,391

21.5

Traian Basescu

Calin Popescu Tariceanu

121.4

5,640

30.4

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2007 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2007)

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007

Produsul Intern Brut pe sectoare 2007

Structural Indicators

Indicatori de structura

UniCredit Tiriac Bank

23–25 Ghetarilor street RO-014106 BucharestPhone (+40 21) 200 2000www.unicredit-tiriac.ro

Agriculture and forestry

Industry

Construction

Services

ˇ

Suprafata (km2)

Populatia, ın mil.

Presedinte

Prim Ministru

PIB (2007, ın mrd. EUR)

PIB / cap de locuitor (2007, ın EUR)

Exporturi ın % din PIB (2007)

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

¸

¸

¸

ˇ

Agricultura si silvicultura

Industrie

Constructii

Servicii

˘ ˘¸

¸

˘ ˘

˘

Page 25: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

25CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment rate (yearly average)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rate: RON/EUR

Policy rate (end of period, in %)

Total Loans (yoy, in %)

Total Deposits (yoy, in %)

Indicators

Indicatori

PIB real (an curent/an precedent, ın %)

Formarea bruta de capital (reala, an curent/an precedent, ın %)

Productia industriala (reala, an curent/an precedent, ın %)

Preturi de consum (media anuala)

Rata somajului (media anuala)

Exportul de bunuri (ın mil. EUR)

Importul de bunuri (ın mil. EUR)

Cont curent (ın % din PIB)

Investitiile straine directe (net ın % din PIB)

Soldul bugetar (ın % din PIB)

Datoria externa bruta (ın % din PIB)

Cursul mediu de schimb: RON/EUR

Rata dobanzii de politica monetara, la sfarsitul perioadei

Total Credite (an curent/an precedent, ın %)

Total Depozite (an curent/an precedent, ın %)

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

¸

¸

¸

¸

¸

˘ ˘

˘

˘

˘

˘

˘ ˘

˘ ˘

˘

2007 2008 2009 2010

6.0 8.0 4.8 4.7

28.9 25.4 14.4 10.2

5.4 6.0 5.0 5.0

4.8 7.7 5.2 4.5

4.3 4.0 4.0 4.1

29,402 34,694 40,245 46,685

47,067 54,127 61,975 70,528

–14.0 –13.6 –13.0 –12.5

5.9 6.0 4.5 3.8

–2.3 –3.2 –3.0 –3.0

31.7 37.1 37.4 38.2

3.33 3.62 3.65 3.73

7.50 10.25 9.50 8.00

64.5 33.0 20.8 15.0

33.9 22.2 17.3 14.2

Page 26: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

4.1

28.1

62.8

5.1

26 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008

Russia$����

16,995,800

142.0

Dmitry Medvedev

Vladimir Putin

942.2

6,640

30.6

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2007 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2007)

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007

&������ � ��� �� ������ �� �������� ��� ����� 2007

Structural Indicators

������ #� '���������

UniCredit Bank

Prechistenskaya Emb. 9 RF-119034 MoscowPhone (+7 495) 258 7200 www.unicreditbank.ru

Yapi Kredi Moscow

Goncharnaya Emb. 2 RF-115172 MoscowPhone (+7 495) 234 9889www.ykb.ru

Agriculture and forestry

Industry

Construction

Services

������4 (��2)

��������� � ���.

�������

����4��-����� �

��� (2007 ., � ���������x ;���

��� �� ���� ��������� (2007 ., � ;���)

1#��� =����� � � % � ��� (2007)

s

s

���4���� � ������ x��?� ��

����B������� 4

� ��� ��4� ��

�+��� �����

Page 27: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

27CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment rate (yearly average)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rate: RUB/EUR

2-W Mosprime, (end of period, in %)

Total Loans (yoy, in %)

Total Deposits (yoy, in %)

Indicators

'���������

����4�B? ��� ��� (%)

����4�B? ��� ����� �$�? (%)

����4�B? ��� �������� �� (%)

�� ��#� ��4���� $��B (������� � ���)

������4 #���#� �$B (������? � ���)

1#��� =����� � (� ��������x ;���)

1#��� ����� � (� ��������x ;���)

�!� �����x �����$�? (� % � ���)

����B� ���� ����B� ����� �$�� (��� ��, � % � ���)

������ #*�'� � (� % � ���)

1#��� �������� ����� (� % � ���)

������? ���� RUB/EUR

2-W ������u�

���������ı� ����� �ı, ������ � ��� � %

���������ı� ����� �ı, ������ � ��� � %

2007 2008 2009 2010

8.1 7.4 6.0 5.5

21.1 15.0 11.5 10.5

6.3 5.7 5.5 5.5

9.0 14.0 12.6 9.3

6.1 5.6 5.1 4.9

259,388 342,083 378,026 398,124

163,033 194,985 234,405 272,340

6.1 7.5 4.6 2.3

4.1 3.7 3.7 3.9

6.1 6.5 3.0 1.5

35.9 35.0 36.0 36.0

35.01 36.45 35.66 34.72

5.88 7.50 7.20 6.60

52.1 37.7 29.5 22.4

41.2 32.9 29.4 24.6

Page 28: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

12.6

20.363.5

3.6

28 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008

SerbiaSrbija

88,361

7.5

Boris Tadic

Mirko Cvetkovic

29.1

3,940

29.6

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2007 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2007)

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007

Bruto nacionalni proizvod po privrednim sektorima 2007

Structural Indicators

Strukturalni indikatori

UniCredit Bank

Rajiceva 27–29SRB-11000 Belgrade Phone (+381 11) 3204 500www.unicreditbank.co.yu

Agriculture and forestry

Industry

Construction

Services

PovrÂina (km2)

StanovniÂtvo (u milionima)

Predsednik

Premijer

Bruto nacionalni proizvod (za 2007. godinu, u milijardama EUR)

Bruto nacionalni proizvod po glavi stanovnika (za 2007. godinu u EUR)

% izvoza u bruto nacionalnom proizvodu (2007)

Poljoprivreda i Âumarstvo

Industrija

Graêevinarstvo

Usluge

´

Page 29: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

29CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment rate (yearly average)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rate: RSD/EUR

Reference rate (end of period, in %)

Total Loans (yoy, in %)

Total Deposits (yoy, in %)

Indicators

Indikatori

Realni bruto nacionalni proizvod (godina za godinu, u %)

Bruto stalna akumulacija kapitala (realna, godina za godinom, u %)

Industrijski proizvod (realan, godina za godinom, u %)

PotroÂaãke cene (godiÂnji prosek)

Nezaposlenost (godiÂnji prosek)

Izvoz robe (u milionima EUR)

Uvoz robe (u milionima EUR)

Platni bilans (u % bruto nacionalnog proizvoda)

Direktne strane investicije (priliv, u % bruto nacionalnog proizvoda)

Bilans budÏeta (u % bruto nacionalnog proizvoda)

Bruto inostrani dug (u % bruto nacionalnog proizvoda)

Proseãni kurs razmene: RSD/EUR

Medubankarska kamatna stopa (u %, dekurzivno)

Ukupno krediti (na godiÂnjem nivou, u %)

Ukupno depoziti (na godiÂnjem nivou, u %)

2007 2008 2009 2010

7.1 7.0 5.3 5.6

– – – –

3.7 4.0 4.0 5.0

6.8 11.2 8.7 6.3

18.1 18.0 17.5 17.0

6,465 7,733 10,388 12,391

12,912 16,200 20,129 22,886

–13.2 –17.0 –13.6 –11.1

5.5 6.7 7.1 7.1

1.3 –2.0 –3.0 –2.0

61.0 56.5 53.2 50.6

80.1 80.0 75.5 74.0

10.00 15.75 13.50 10.00

36.4 24.5 16.0 12.5

46.3 15.0 13.0 14.0

Page 30: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

2.6

27.2

64.2

6.0

30 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008

SlovakiaSlovensko

49.035

5.4

Ivan GaÂparoviã

Robert Fico

54.8

10.150

86.1

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2007 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2007)

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007

Hrub˘ domáci produkt a hrubá pridaná hodnota v ekonomick˘ch sektoroch 2007

Structural Indicators

Základné údaje

UniCredit Bank

Âancová 1/ASK-813 33 BratislavaPhone (+42 12) 547 6870www.unicreditbank.sk

Agriculture and forestry

Industry

Construction

Services

Rozloha (km2)

Obyvatel’stvo (v mil.)

Prezident

Predseda vlády

HDP (2007 v mld. EUR)

HDP (2007 v EUR) na 1 obyvatel’a

V˘voz v % HDP (2007)

Pol’nohospodárstvo a lesnéhospodárstvo

Priemysel

Stavebníctvo

SluÏby

Page 31: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

31CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment rate (yearly average)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rate : SKK/EUR

2W repo rate (end of period, in %)

Total Loans (yoy, in %)

Total Deposits (yoy, in %)

Indicators

Ukazovatele2007 2008 2009 2010

10.4 7.5 6.0 5.6

7.9 5.0 4.0 4.3

12.7 7.4 6.3 6.0

2.8 4.2 4.1 3.7

8.4 7.4 7.0 6.8

42,057 51,750 59,289 66,582

42,690 51,749 58,696 65,780

–5.3 –4.6 –4.0 –3.6

3.8 3.7 3.7 3.3

–2.2 –2.0 –1.7 –0.8

54.7 51.0 49.8 49.2

33.78 31.24 EUR EUR

4.25 4.25 ECB ECB

23.9 17.5 13.9 11.7

13.7 4.0 6.2 5.2

Reálny HDP (medziroãne, v %)

Tvorba hrubého fixného kapitálu (v stálych cenách,medziroãne, v %)

Priemyselná v˘roba (v stálych cenách, medziroãne, v %)

Spotrebitel’ské ceny (roãn˘ priemer)

Nezamestnanost’ (roãn˘ priemer)

V˘voz tovarov (v mil. EUR)

Dovoz tovarov (v mil. EUR)

BeÏn˘ úãet (v % z HDP)

Priame zahraniãné investície (prílev, netto v % z HDP)

Saldo rozpoãtu (v % z HDP)

Hrubé zahraniãné zadlÏenie (v % z HDP)

Priemern˘ v˘menn˘ kurz (SKK/EUR)

dvojt˘Ïdnová Repo sadzba NBS (koniec obdobia)

Celkové úvery (medziroãne, v %)

Celkové vklady (medziroãne, v %)

Page 32: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

2.1

23.1

67.8 7.0

32 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008

SloveniaSlovenija

20,273

2.0

Danilo Türk

Janez JanÂa (interim)

33.5

18,680

71.2

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2007 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2007)

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007

Bruto domaãi proizvod po gospodarskih panogah 2007

Structural Indicators

Strukturni kazalci

UniCredit Bank

Smartinska cesta 140SI-1000 LjubljanaPhone (+386 1) 5876 600www.unicreditbank.si

Agriculture and forestry

Industry

Construction

Services

povrÂina (km2)

prebivalstvo v mio

predsednik republike

predsednik vlade

BDP (2007 v mlrd EUR)

BDP na prebivalca (2007 v EUR)

izvoz v % od BDP (2007)

Kmetijstvo in gozdarstvo

Industrija

GradbeniÂtvo

Storitve^

Page 33: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

33CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment rate (yearly average)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rate: SIT/EUR

ECB Refi rate, (end of period, in %)

Total Loans (yoy, in %)

Total Deposits (yoy, in %)

Indicators

Kazalci

realni BDP (v primerjavi s prejÂnjim letom, v %)

investicije v osnovna sredstva (realno, v primerjavis prejÂnjim letom, v %)

industrijska proizvodnja (realno, v primerjavis prejÂnjim letom, v %)

cene Ïivljenjskih potrebÂãin (letno povpreãje)

nezaposlenost (letno povpreãje)

izvoz blaga (v mio EUR)

uvoz blaga (v % od BDP)

tekoãi raãun (v % od BDP)

neposredne tuje naloÏbe (neto priliv, v mio EUR)

proraãunsko ravnoteÏje (v % od BDP)

bruto zadolÏenost v tujini (v % od BDP)

povpreãni menjalni teãaj: SIT/EUR

Obrestna mera refinanciranja

totalna posojila (v primerjavi s prejÂnjim letom, v %)

totalni depoziti (v primerjavi s prejÂnjim letom, v %)

2007 2008 2009 2010

6.1 5.1 4.0 4.4

17.8 9.7 7.8 6.5

7.5 5.4 4.3 4.6

3.6 6.6 5.5 4.3

4.9 5.0 5.0 4.8

19,777 21,656 23,850 25,758

21,441 23,800 25,723 27,886

–4.9 –5.1 –5.0 –4.9

3.2 2.7 2.4 3.1

–0.1 –0.3 –0.3 –0.3

106.0 107.1 107.0 107.0

EUR EUR EUR EUR

4.00 4.25 3.75 3.75

32.3 18.9 15.5 16.1

8.4 9.5 9.0 9.5

Page 34: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

7.5

19.8

67.94.8

34 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008

TurkeyTurkiye

780,580

70.6

Abdullah Gül

Recep Tayyip Erdogan

477.9

6,770

22.0

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2007 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2007)

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007

GSYIH, Iktisadi faaliyet kollarina gore (2007, %)

Structural Indicators

Yapisal Gostergeler

Yapi Kredi

Yapi Kredi Plaza D BlokTR-34330 IstanbulPhone (+90 212) 339 7000www.yapikredi.com.tr

Agriculture and forestry

Industry

Construction

Services

Yuzolcumu (km2)

Nufus (milyon)

Cumhurbaskani

Basbakan

GSYIH (2007, miljar EURO)

Kisi basina GSYIH (2007, EURO)

Ihracat, GSYIH’ye % oran olarak

Tarim

Sanayi

Insaat

Hizmetler

Page 35: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

35CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment rate (yearly average)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rate: YTL/EUR

Reference rate (O/N simple), (end of period, in %)

Total Loans (yoy, in %)

Total Deposits (yoy, in %)

Indicators

Makroekonomik senaryo

GSYIH, sabit fiyatlarla yillik % degisim

Yatirim, yillik % degisim

Sanayi uretimi (sabit fiyatlarla yillik % degisim)

Enflasyon (TUFE) yillik ortalama

Issizlik (%)

Mal Ihracati (milyon EURO)

Mal Ithalati (milyon EURO)

Cari Islemler Dengesi (% GSYIH)

Dogrudan Yatirimlar (% GSYIH)

Butce Dengesi (% GSYIH)

Brut Dis Borclar (% GSYIH)

Doviz kuru: YTL/EURO, ortalama

MB Borclanma Orani (O/N, basit),donem sonu

Toplam Krediler (yillik % degisim)

Toplam Mevduat (yillik % degisim)

2007 2008 2009 2010

4.6 4.2 4.6 5.5

5.5 5.0 5.9 7.4

5.4 – – –

8.8 10.5 9.0 7.3

9.9 10.5 10.0 9.5

84,403 99,789 125,050 154,930

118,541 141,649 174,718 211,484

–5.8 –6.5 –6.7 –6.8

3.4 1.5 1.6 1.7

–1.6 –1.6 –1.4 –1.3

33.7 37.1 40.3 41.9

1.79 1.85 1.84 1.91

15.8 16.8 15.8 14.3

26.4 31.1 27.4 25.2

14.6 20.5 19.5 18.6

Page 36: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

8.3

26.6

60.5

4.6

36 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008

Ukraine*���+ �

603,700

46.6

Victor Yushchenko

Yulia Tymoshenko

102.6

2,200

45.5

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2007 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2007)

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007

&������ � ��!� !� ������ �� ,���- ��� ��!�� ( %) 2007

Structural Indicators

������ i '���� ���

UniCredit Bank

14-A, Yaroslaviv Val UA-01034 KievPhone (+380 44) 230 3300www.unicreditbank.com.ua

Ukrsotsbank

29 Kovpak streetUA-03150 KievPhone (+380 44) 230 3203www.usb.com.ua

Agriculture and forestry

Industry

Construction

Services

����� (��2)

��������� � ���.

�������

����’C�-�<�<� �

��� (� 2007 �. � ����. C���)

��� �� ���� ���������(� 2007 �. � C���)

;����� � % �<� ��� (2007 �.)

�<�4�4�� ��������� �� � �<���$ ��

���������<� 4

���<���$ ��

�������

Page 37: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

37CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment rate (yearly average)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rate: UAH/EUR

Interest rate (benchmark, end of period in %)

Total Loans (yoy, in %)

Total Deposits, (yoy, in %)

Indicators

'���� ���

����4��? ��� (�<�� � �<�, � %)

����<� ��������� ���< ���(����4��?, �<�� � �<�, � %)

1#��� ������������ ����#��$ �� (����4��?, �<�� � �<�, � %)

���'��!< $<�� (� ������4��� � �<�)

����#< � (� ������4��� � �<�)

;����� ����<� (���. C���)

8���� ����<� (���. C���)

������ �� �!��x ��� �'<� (� % �<� ���)

����< <�����< <���� �$<� (� % �<� ���)

������ #*�'� � (� % �<� ���)

D���<��<? #��� (� % �<� ���)

������<? ���� �#�<��: ������/C���

���� �� � ���� ( �!�� �<��<��, �<��$4 ���<���, � %)

������< �?�� (�<�� � �<�, � %)

������< #���<��4�< ������ (�<�� � �<�, � %)

2007 2008 2009 2010

7.6 6.3 4.2 5.1

24.8 9.7 4.7 7.6

10.2 6.2 5.0 7.0

12.8 24.9 12.4 8.2

6.9 6.2 6.0 6.0

36,363 46,991 54,515 64,507

44,076 59,669 72,604 88,244

–4.2 –7.2 –8.9 –10.4

6.6 5.9 3.8 5.5

–1.1 –1.4 –3.0 –3.0

56.9 51.9 48.9 51.0

6.92 7.44 7.10 7.10

8.21 8.13 7.50 6.08

74.1 42.6 24.9 26.8

51.8 36.3 23.0 23.7

Page 38: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

2.1

22.1

70.2 5.5

38 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008

EurozoneEuroland

2,520,000

311.0

8,916

28,670

44.8

Area (km2)

Population in mn

GDP (2007 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2007)

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007

Bruttoinlandsprodukt nach Wirtschaftssektoren 2007

Agriculture and forestry

Industry

Construction

Services

Fläche (km2)

Bevölkerung in Mio.

BIP (2007 in Mrd. EUR)

BIP pro Kopf (2007 in EUR)

Exporte in % des BIP (2007)

Land- und Forstwirtschaft

Industrie

Bauwirtschaft

Dienstleistungen

Structural Indicators

Strukturindikatoren

Page 39: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

39CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment rate (yearly average)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rate: USD/EUR

ECB Refi rate (end of period, in %)

Total Loans (yoy, in %)

Total Deposits (yoy, in %)

Indicators

Indikatoren

Reales BIP (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)

Bruttoanlageinvestitionen (real,Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)

Industrieproduktion (real, Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)

Verbraucherpreisentwicklung(Jahresdurchschnitt)

Arbeitslosenquote (Jahresdurchschnitt)

Warenexporte (in Mio. Euro)

Warenimporte (in Mio. Euro)

Leistungsbilanzsaldo (in % des BIP)

Ausländische Direktinvestitionen(Zuflüsse, % des BIP)

Budgetsaldo (in % des BIP)

Bruttoauslandsverschuldung (in % des BIP)

Wechselkurs (Jahresdurchschnitt): USD/EUR

Refinanzierungstender, Jahresendwert

Kredite gesamt (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)

Einlagen gesamt (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)

2007 2008 2009 2010

2.6 1.3 0.9 1.7

4.3 2.1 0.5 1.7

2.8 0.0 0.5 1.8

2.1 3.6 2.4 2.0

7.5 7.3 7.6 7.8

1,497,694 1,542,549 1,549,555 1,624,834

1,468,651 1,508,691 1,543,496 1,601,760

0.2 –0.1 –0.3 –0.1

– – – –

–0.6 –1.3 –1.5 –1.5

– – – –

1.37 1.50 1.41 1.37

4.00 4.25 3.75 3.75

– – – –

– – – –

Page 40: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

1.8

23.5

67.6 7.1

40 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008

AustriaÖsterreich

83,871

8.3

Heinz Fischer

Alfred Gusenbauer (interim)

270.8

32,569

59.7

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2007 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2007)

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007

Bruttoinlandsprodukt nach Wirtschaftssektoren 2007

Structural Indicators

Strukturindikatoren

Bank Austria

Schottengasse 6–8A-1010 ViennaPhone +43 (0) 50505 0www.bankaustria.at

Agriculture and forestry

Industry

Construction

Services

Fläche (km2)

Bevölkerung in Mio.

Präsident

Bundeskanzler

BIP (2007 in Mrd. EUR)

BIP pro Kopf (2007 in EUR)

Exporte in % des BIP (2007)

Land- und Forstwirtschaft

Industrie

Bauwirtschaft

Dienstleistungen

Page 41: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

41CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment rate (yearly average)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rate: USD/EUR

ECB Refi rate (end of period, in %)

Total Loans (yoy, in %)

Total Deposits (yoy, in %)

Indicators

Indikatoren

Reales BIP (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)

Bruttoanlageinvestitionen (real,Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)

Industrieproduktion (real, Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)

Verbraucherpreisentwicklung (Jahresdurchschnitt)

Arbeitslosenquote (Jahresdurchschnitt)

Warenexporte (in Mio. Euro)

Warenimporte (in Mio. Euro)

Leistungsbilanzsaldo (in % des BIP)

Ausländische Direktinvestitionen(Zuflüsse, in % des BIP)

Budgetsaldo (in % des BIP)

Bruttoauslandsverschuldung (in % des BIP)

Wechselkurs (Jahresdurchschnitt): USD/EUR

Refinanzierungstender, Jahresendwert

Kredite gesamt (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)

Einlagen gesamt (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)

2007 2008 2009 2010

3.1 2.0 1.2 2.1

4.7 2.8 1.1 2.9

5.5 0.2 1.5 4.5

2.2 3.3 2.5 2.1

4.4 4.1 4.3 4.3

114,680 122,374 129,322 138,504

114,254 121,920 129,966 139,459

3.2 2.7 2.5 2.7

8.3 1.2 1.4 1.9

–0.4 –0.6 –0.5 –0.2

195.2 199.2 205.6 210.3

1.37 1.50 1.41 1.37

4.00 4.25 3.75 3.75

3.6 4.8 2.9 3.3

12.1 6.0 4.4 3.3

Page 42: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

1.1

27.3

67.93.7

42 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008

GermanyDeutschland

357,093

82.4

Horst Köhler

Angela Merkel

2,428

29,470

50.3

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2007 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2007)

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007

Bruttoinlandsprodukt nach Wirtschaftssektoren 2007

Structural Indicators

Strukturindikatoren

HypoVereinsbank

Kardinal-Faulhaber-Str. 1 D-80538 München Phone (+49 89) 378 0 www.hypovereinsbank.de

Agriculture and forestry

Industry

Construction

Services

Land- und Forstwirtschaft

Industrie

Bauwirtschaft

Dienstleistungen

Fläche (km2)

Bevölkerung in Mio.

Präsident

Bundeskanzler

BIP (2007 in Mrd. EUR)

BIP pro Kopf (2007 in EUR)

Exporte in % des BIP (2007)

Page 43: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

43CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment rate (yearly average)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rate: USD/EUR

ECB Refi rate (end of period, in %)

Total Loans (yoy, in %)

Total Deposits (yoy, in %)

Indicators

Indikatoren

Reales BIP (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)

Bruttoanlageinvestitionen (real,Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)

Industrieproduktion (real, Veränderungzum Vorjahr in %)

Verbraucherpreisentwicklung(Jahresdurchschnitt)

Arbeitslosenquote (Jahresdurchschnitt)

Warenexporte (in Mio. Euro)

Warenimporte (in Mio. Euro)

Leistungsbilanzsaldo (in % des BIP)

Ausländische Direktinvestitionen (Zuflüsse, in % des BIP)

Budgetsaldo (in % des BIP)

Bruttoauslandsverschuldung (in % des BIP)

Wechselkurs (Jahresdurchschnitt): USD/EUR

Refinanzierungstender, Jahresendwert

Kredite gesamt (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)

Einlagen gesamt (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)

2007 2008 2009 2010

2.6 1.5 0.7 1.8

4.5 4.0 0.7 2.4

5.9 2.0 –0.5 1.5

2.3 2.9 2.0 1.6

9.0 7.8 7.7 7.9

969,050 999,104 977,814 1,002,010

770,410 784,909 758,757 773,522

7.6 6.0 4.5 4.0

– – – –

0.0 –0.2 –0.5 –1.0

– – – –

1.37 1.50 1.41 1.37

4.00 4.25 3.75 3.75

0.7 2.1 1.7 1.4

7.7 6.8 6.0 5.5

Page 44: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

2.5

21.5

70.4 5.5

44 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2 , 2008

ItalyItalia

301,336

58.5

Giorgio Napolitano

Silvio Berlusconi

1,535

26,240

30.0

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2007 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2007)

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007

PIL per settori produttivi (in %) 2007

Structural Indicators

Indicatori strutturali

UniCredit Group

Via S. Protaso 3 I-20121 Milan Phone (+39 02) 88621 www.unicreditgroup.eu

Agriculture and forestry

Industry

Construction

Services

Agricoltura

Industria

Construzioni

Servizi

Area (km quadrati)

Popolazione in milioni

Presidente della Repubblica

Presidente del Consiglio

PIL (2007, in mld di euro)

PIL pro capite

Esportazioni (in % del PIL)

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45CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment rate (yearly average)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rate: USD/EUR

ECB Refi rate (end of period, in %)

Total Loans (yoy, in %)

Total Deposits (yoy, in %)

Indicators

Scenario macroeconomico

PIL reale (var. % a/a)

Investimenti (reali, var. % a/a)

Produzione industriale (reale, var. %, a/a)

Inflazione, prezzi al consumo (media annua)

Tasso di disoccupazione (media annua)

Esportazione di manufatti (mln EUR)

Importazioni di manufatti (mln EUR)

Saldo di parte corrente/PIL (%)

IDE / PIL (%)

Saldo bilancio pubblico/PIL (%)

Debito estero/PIL (in %)

Tasso di cambio medio: USD/EUR

Tasso di interesse (fine periodo, %)

Totale Impieghi (var. %, a/a)

Totale Depositi (var. %, a/a)

2007 2008 2009 2010

1.4 0.1 0.3 1.0

0.8 –1.0 –0.4 1.0

–0.1 –1.8 –0.8 0.2

1.8 3.5 2.5 2.1

6.1 6.6 6.9 7.1

358,633 366,658 379,049 403,760

368,080 365,057 379,458 393,704

–2.4 –2.2 –2.7 –2.3

– – – –

–1.9 –2.6 –2.7 –2.7

– – – –

1.37 1.50 1.41 1.37

4.00 4.25 3.75 3.75

9.9 4.9 2.0 3.2

2.4 6.1 6.1 3.7

Page 46: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

46 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008

Notes

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47CEE Economic Data – Issue 2, 2008 I

Page 48: CEE Ec. Data 2008 Issue 2 K - Bank Austria - Die Bank für alles, … ·  · 2008-10-06... Economics & Market Analysis UniCredit Group CEE Research Network CEE Economic Data ...

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