CCUS in Clean Energy Transitions - Weltenergierat
Transcript of CCUS in Clean Energy Transitions - Weltenergierat
Page 1
CCUS in Clean Energy Transitions
YEF CCUS workshop, 11 December 2020
Adam Baylin-Stern, CCUS Unit, IEA
IEA 2019. All rights reserved. Page 2
Carbon capture, utilisation and storage: an overview
CaptureCapturing CO2 from fossil or biomass-
fuelled power stations, industrial
facilities, or directly from the air.
TransportMoving compressed CO2 by ship or
pipeline from the point of capture to
the point of use or storage.
UseUsing captured CO2 as an
input or feedstock to create
products or services.
StoragePermanently storing CO2 in
underground geological
formations, onshore or offshore.
IEA 2020. All rights reserved. Page 3
A new dawn for CCUS
• Stronger investment incentives and climate targets are building new momentum behind CCUS:
- More than 30 new projects announced recently
- Governments and industry have committed USD 4.5 billion in 2020
• CCUS can contribute to emissions reductions across the energy system, with four strategic roles:
- Tackling emissions from existing energy assets;
- A platform for low-carbon hydrogen production;
- A solution for the most challenging emissions in sectors such as heavy industry & aviation; and
- Removing carbon from the atmosphere
IEA 2020. All rights reserved. Page 4
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
2019 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070
GtC
O2/y
r
CCUS is part of a portfolio of technologies for net zero
Clean energy technology progress in the power sector and with electric cars is encouraging, but alone not sufficient
to reach climate goals. A broad portfolio of technologies will be needed for a transition to net-zero emissions.
Net-zero emissions
Power generation
Electric cars
Airplanes, ships, trucks,
buses, etc.
Industry
Buildings & other
Global CO2 emissions reductions in the Sustainable Development Scenario, relative to baseline trends
IEA 2020. All rights reserved. Page 5
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
2019 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070
GtC
O2/y
r
CCUS is part of a portfolio of technologies for net zero
Clean energy technology progress in the power sector and with electric cars is encouraging, but alone not sufficient
to reach climate goals. A broad portfolio of technologies will be needed for a transition to net-zero emissions.
Net-zero emissions
Power generation
Electric cars
Airplanes, ships, trucks,
buses, etc.
Industry
Buildings & other
Global CO2 emissions reductions in the Sustainable Development Scenario, relative to baseline trends
Electrification
Hydrogen
Bioenergy
CCUS
Avoided demand
Measures
Technology performance
Renewables
Other fuel shifts
IEA 2020. All rights reserved. Page 6
Experience with CCUS has expanded in the last decade
0
10
20
30
40
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
Mt
CO₂
/ ye
ar
Bioethanol
Fertiliser
Steel
Synfuel
Natural gas processing
Hydrogen
Power generation
Source: IEA analysis based on GCCSI (2020), Facilities Database, https://co2re.co/FacilityData.
Carbon capture facilities have been operating since the 1970s and 1980s
IEA 2020. All rights reserved. Page 7
Experience with CCUS has expanded in the last decade
Carbon capture facilities have been operating since the 1970s and 1980s
But a significant scale-up will be required for net-zero.
Source: IEA analysis based on GCCSI (2020), Facilities Database, https://co2re.co/FacilityData.
0
2
4
6
8
10
2020 2070
Gt C
O₂
/ ye
ar Synthetic fuels (CO₂ use)
Cement
Hydrogen, biofuels and
other fuel processing
Biomass power
Coal power
Gas power
Steel
Chemicals
Direct air capture
Net Zero
IEA 2020. All rights reserved. Page 8
Four strategic roles for CCUS
1. Tackling emissions from
existing infrastructure
CCUS enables the continued operation of power and industrial plants – many of which have only recently been built
It is a low-cost option for low-carbon hydrogen production in many regions
0
200
400
600
800
Lessthan 10years
10-20years
20-30years
30-40years
40-50years
Morethan 50years
GW Coal power capacity – average age
United States
European Union
China
Other developingAsia
Japan
Middle East
Other
IEA 2020. All rights reserved. Page 9
Four strategic roles for CCUS
1. Tackling emissions from
existing infrastructure
2. A platform for low-carbon
hydrogen production
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2019Net-zero
MtH
2/y
r
CCUS enables the continued operation of power and industrial plants – many of which have only recently been built
It is a low-cost option for low-carbon hydrogen production in many regions
0
200
400
600
800
Lessthan 10years
10-20years
20-30years
30-40years
40-50years
Morethan 50years
GW Coal power capacity – average age
United States
European Union
China
Other developingAsia
Japan
Middle East
Other
IEA 2020. All rights reserved. Page 10
Four strategic roles for CCUS
1. Tackling emissions from
existing infrastructure
2. A platform for low-carbon
hydrogen production
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2019Net-zero
MtH
2/y
r
CCUS enables the continued operation of power and industrial plants – many of which have only recently been built
It is a low-cost option for low-carbon hydrogen production in many regions
0
200
400
600
800
Lessthan 10years
10-20years
20-30years
30-40years
40-50years
Morethan 50years
GW Coal power capacity – average age
United States
European Union
China
Other developingAsia
Japan
Middle East
Other
IEA 2020. All rights reserved. Page 11
Four strategic roles for CCUS
1. Tackling emissions from
existing infrastructure
2. A platform for low-carbon
hydrogen production
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
20192070Net-zero
MtH
2/y
r
Refining
Power
Transport
Buildings
Industry
Synfuel production
Ammonia production
CCUS enables the continued operation of power and industrial plants – many of which have only recently been built
It is a low-cost option for low-carbon hydrogen production in many regions
0
200
400
600
800
Lessthan 10years
10-20years
20-30years
30-40years
40-50years
Morethan 50years
GW Coal power capacity – average age
United States
European Union
China
Other developingAsia
Japan
Middle East
Other
IEA 2020. All rights reserved. Page 12
Four strategic roles for CCUS
1. Tackling emissions from
existing infrastructure
2. A platform for low-carbon
hydrogen production
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
201920702070
Electrolysers
Fossil fuels with CCUS
Other
Net-zero
MtH
2/y
r
CCUS enables the continued operation of power and industrial plants – many of which have only recently been built
It is a low-cost option for low-carbon hydrogen production in many regions
0
200
400
600
800
Lessthan 10years
10-20years
20-30years
30-40years
40-50years
Morethan 50years
GW Coal power capacity – average age
United States
European Union
China
Other developingAsia
Japan
Middle East
Other
IEA 2020. All rights reserved. Page 13
Four strategic roles for CCUS
3. A solution for the most challenging
emissions
CCUS
Cement
*Hydrogen, bioenergy, electrification, and fuel shifts
Material efficiency
Other*
CCUS plays an indispensable role in heavy industry, particularly cement
Bioenergy with CCS and direct air capture can balance hard-to-abate emissions for net zero
IEA 2020. All rights reserved. Page 14
Four strategic roles for CCUS
3. A solution for the most challenging
emissions
4. Removing carbon from
the atmosphere
CCUS
Cement
*Hydrogen, bioenergy, electrification, and fuel shifts
Material efficiency
Other*
Bioenergy with CCS
Direct Air Capture
Supply
Other demand
Heavy industry
Long distance transport
- 3
- 2
- 1
0
1
2
3
GtC
O₂/
ye
ar
Net zero carbon balance
CCUS plays an indispensable role in heavy industry, particularly cement
Bioenergy with CCS and direct air capture can balance hard-to-abate emissions for net zero
IEA 2020. All rights reserved. Page 15
Government and industry action this decade is crucial
• Four high-level priorities for governments and industry would accelerate the progress of CCUS over the
next decade:
1. Create the conditions for CCUS investment
2. Target the development of industrial hubs with shared CO2 infrastructure
3. Identify and encourage the development of CO2 storage
4. Boost innovation for critical CCUS technologies
IEA 2020. All rights reserved. Page 16