CCFEI Presentation Prospects for World PTA · IOCL Panipat Capacities ranging from 80,000 to...
Transcript of CCFEI Presentation Prospects for World PTA · IOCL Panipat Capacities ranging from 80,000 to...
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CCFEI Presentation Prospects for World PTA
Presentation by
Barbara KettlePTA Licensing Commercial Manager INVISTA Performance Technologies
May 2004
Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
Key questions for the industry
• Question 1– Is there an optimum company structure for today’s polyester
market place??
• Question 2– What issues face the polyester industry in the short to
medium term ??
• Questions 3– What factors will influence the success or failure of the
polyester industry in China ??
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Agenda
Introduction to INVISTAPX / PTA supply and demand
Investment choicesSummary
Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
Key questions for the industry
• Question 1–Is there an optimum company structure for today's polyester market place??
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Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
Our new name and identity
Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
History• February 2002, DuPont announced that it would separate
DTI by year-end 2003
• September 2003, DTI announced a new name for DTI. INVISTA is launched to create a new identity
• November 2003, DuPont and Koch reached agreement for Koch Industries to acquire INVISTA for $4.4B USD
• May 1st 2004 Koch purchase of INVISTA completed. INVISTA will be combined with KoSa to form an integrated $10B USD company upon closing of the sale
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Koch Industries
• Second largest privately held company in the U.S.
• Currently $42B in sales
• Estimated Sales of $50B in 2005 growing from $200MM in sales in 1967
• Very diverse group of businesses
– Operates 3 refineries as part of Flint Hills Resources– Koch Chemical has a wide range of chemical
operations including Paraxylene – manufacturing and trading
– Koch Technolgies: John Zink and Koch-Glitsch– Largest Commodity Trading company in the U.S.– KoSa - one of the world’s largest polyester producers– Equity and Financial Management Companies
Koch Industries
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Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
Our business
Integrated fibers and intermediates business
Upstream to Downstream
Brandedand generic
WovensNon-wovens
Consumer and industrial
Vertical integrationR+DTechnologiesIntermediatesFibersManufacturingSupportDistributionBrandingMarketingService
Licensing
NylonPolyesterElastane
…with customers
Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
Koch and polyester
• Koch Industries with acquisition of INVISTA compliments existing KoSA polyester capability
• INVISTA totally integrated within the polyester value chain and able to supply – PX, raw material sourcing– IPA product – PTA, product and process technology– PET polymerization, product and process technology– Staple and filament fibres product and process technology
and support
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Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
From polyester to performance
•DuPont Polyester Technologies has changed its name to INVISTA Performance Technologies
•Our people, commitment and support to existing and future clients remains undiminished
•The change from Polyester to Performancereflects a widening of our ambition to develop and license innovative technology, not just in polyester but also for the whole of INVISTA
Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
INVISTA Performance Technologies
• IPT is now responsible for licensing all INVISTAtechnologies
• PTA • Polyester including
– staple and POY spinning and PET Resins
• Nylon Intermediates including – Cyclohexane oxidation Adiponitrile, HCN
• Spandex Intermediates including – BDO, THF, and PTMEG
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Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
Our strategy for growth
• Aggressively grow our businesses in Asia• Develop unique and creative business models• Investment in R&D and manufacturing assets
in the regions where the market is growing• Increase Asian appreciation of INVISTA’s
globally recognized brands and exploit market knowledge
• Provide an on-going stream of innovation• Have a leading cost position worldwide
Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
INVISTA’s commitment to R&D
• Over $150 Million / year on research and development– ~400 R&D Professionals– >23% of revenue from products less than 5 years old
• A large patent estate– 3,750 patents worldwide owned by INVISTA – 3,635 patents under prosecution worldwide– Over 1,000 patents licensed from DuPont– Over 250 Notices of Invention since January 1, 2002
Does not include KoSa
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Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
Question 1
• Is there an optimum company structure fortodays polyester market place??
• Yes, but only those who are ready and willing to adapt, optimising and change their structure to be responsive to the needs of the industry….there is more change to come!
Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
Key questions for the industry
• Question 2–What issues face the polyester industry in the short to medium term ??
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Agenda
Introduction to INVISTAPX / PTA supply and demand
Investment choicesSummary
Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
Global demandStaple, Filament, Resin
02468
10121416182022
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
StapleFilamentPET Resin
YEAR
Mill
ion
tons
per
Yea
r
Source : PCI Q2 2004
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Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
PX Global supply and demand
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Jan-
03Apr
-03
Jul-0
3O
ct-0
3Ja
n-04
Apr
-04
Jul-0
4O
ct-0
4Ja
n-05
Apr
-05
Jul-0
5O
ct-0
5Ja
n-06
Apr
-06
Jul-0
6O
ct-0
6
'000 Tonnes
Inventory Production DemandUpper Limit Lower Limit
Source : PCI Q2 2004
Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
PX Net World Trade
-1,500
-1,000
-500
-
5 0 0
1,000
1,500
2003
2004
2005
2006
'000 Tonnes
North America South America West Europe
East Europe Middle East/Africa Asia
Source : PCI Q2 2004
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Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
China PX Supply and demand
-100200300400500600700800
Jan-
03Apr
-03
Jul-03
Oct
-03
Jan-
04Apr
-04
Jul-04
Oct
-04
Jan-
05Apr
-05
Jul-05
Oct
-05
Jan-
06Apr
-06
Jul-06
Oct
-06
'000 Tonnes
Inventory Production Demand
Upper Limit Lower Limit
Source : PCI Q2 2004
Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
PTA Global supply and demand
-500
1,0001,500
2,0002,5003,0003,500
Jan-
03Ap
r-03
Jul-03
Oct
-03
Jan-
04Ap
r-04
Jul-04
Oct
-04
Jan-
05Ap
r-05
Jul-05
Oct
-05
Jan-
06Ap
r-06
Jul-06
Oct
-06
'000 Tonnes
Inventory Production DemandUpper Limit Lower Limit
Source : PCI Q2 2004
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Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
PTA Net world trade
-1,500
-1,000
-500
-
500
1,000
1,500
2003
2004
2005
2006
'000 Tonnes
North America South America West Europe
East Europe Middle East/Africa Asia
Source : PCI Q2 2004
Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
China PTA supply and demand
-200
400600
800
1,000
1,200
Jan-
03Ap
r-03
Jul-03
Oct
-03
Jan-
04Ap
r-04
Jul-04
Oct
-04
Jan-
05Ap
r-05
Jul-05
Oct
-05
Jan-
06Ap
r-06
Jul-06
Oct
-06
'000 Tonnes
Inventory Production DemandUpper Limit Lower Limit
Source : PCI Q2 2004
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Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
Question 2
– What issues face the polyester industry in the short to medium term ??
– PX supply• The supply demand position looks tight, securing
adequate PX for PTA is a priority
– PTA supply• PTA supply looks tight up until 2006 / 2007 when many
new PTA investments come on line in China. Will they run at full capacity with PX constraints?
Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
Key questions for the industry
• Questions 3–What factors will influence the success or failure of the polyester industry in China ??
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Agenda
Introduction to INVISTAPX / PTA supply and demand
Investment choicesSummary
Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
Advanced technology
Yizheng PTA 2 Deploying INVISTA technology
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Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
INVISTA licenses awarded
YPC>530P.R.China2003
Reliance>640India2004
Confidential>530P.R.China2004
Liaoyang 2>530P.R.China2003
Indorama>640Thailand2003
OPC Shanghai>530P.R.China2003
Confidential>530P.R.China2003
Confidential>530P.R.China2003
Confidential>530P.R.China2003
ClientCapacity Kte / year
LocationLicense award date
Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
>10 million tonnes licensed capacity
PRCPetroChina UrumqiPetroChina Liaoyang 1&2Sinopec YizhengOPC ShanghaiPetroChina Liaoyang 24 Confidential
TaiwanINVISTA Kuan Yin T9INVISTA Kuan Yin T10
IndonesiaPolyprima Anyer
UKDuPontSA Wilton T7DuPontSA Wilton T8USA
DAK Americas Cape FearDuPont Old Hickory (DMT)
PakistanPPTA
IndiaReliance PatalgangaReliance Hazira 1Reliance Hazira 2Reliance Hazira 3IOCL Panipat
Capacities ranging from 80,000 to 750,000 tonnes pa
ThailandIndorama
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Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
Technology market share 2004 and 2006
34%
9%
12%
8%
5%
5%
6%
16%5%
BP
MCCMitsui
Dow
EastmanFCFC
TuntexINVISTA
others
28%
9%
10%6%
5%
6%
5%
27%
4%
2004 2006
Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
Polymerization successes
INVISTA / Chemtex
•Over 3.7 million annual tons of capacity in last 3 years
– 1.9 million in 2003 •World’s largest continuous polymerization technology
– M&G 750 tpd start up in the Americas in 2003
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Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
– What factors will influence the success or failure of the polyester industry in China ??
– Investment choices• Technology integration
• Proven operational reliability• Largest scale • Lowest variable and fixed costs
Question 3
Agenda
Introduction to INVISTAPX / PTA supply and demand
Investment choicesSummary
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Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
Key questions for the industry
• Question 1– Is there an optimum company structure for today’s polyester
market place??
• Question 2– What issues face the polyester industry in the short to
medium term ??
• Questions 3– What factors will influence the success or failure of the
polyester industry in China ??
Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
Summary
• Only those who are ready and willing to adapt and keep optimising and changing their structures to meet the changing industry….there is more change to come!
• The supply demand position looks tight, securing adequate PX for PTA manufacturing is a priority
• PTA supply looks tight up until 2006 / 2007 when many new PTA investments come on line in China. Will they run at full capacity with PX constraints?
19
Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
Summary
• Investment choices• Technology integration• Proven operational reliability• Largest scale • Lowest variable and fixed costs
Confidential to INVISTA Copyright INVISTA
Summary
• INVISTA has the– technology, – people, – commitment, – scale, – proven track record, and
– global reach
• We are the largest, integrated intermediates and fiber company in the world
• Step Forward™ together with INVISTA