Case Studies - Jim Prevor's Perishable Pundit · – SKU Rationalization • 44% of items only...
Transcript of Case Studies - Jim Prevor's Perishable Pundit · – SKU Rationalization • 44% of items only...
Case StudiesCase Studies
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DecisionSupportEngine
DecisionSupportEngine
Store LevelScan Data
Store LevelScan Data
Category Management
• Provide granular visibility• Reduce shrink and out-of-stocks• Increase sales• Improve assortment planning and clustering
• Improve promotional initiatives• Improve supplier collaboration
How PCG Fits Your BusinessHow PCG Fits Your Business
Category Review
Field Merchant
Store Manager
Department Manager
ExecutionPlanning
Park City Group
Decision Support Tools and Consulting
Decision Support Tools and Consulting
Analytic Tools and Consulting
Analytic Tools and Consulting
SynchronizeSynchronize
Operations
• Improve store-level forecasting• Improve production planning• Reduce shrink and out-of-stocks• Optimize labor scheduling• Improve ordering and inventory
control
PHASE 1 Category
Management and Analytics
PCG Phased ApproachPCG Phased Approach
Item MovementCategory Analysis
Sales / Shrink ReportsPromotion Planning
Out-of-StocksAssortment Planning
PHASE 2Move In-Store to Operations
Forecasting
Production Planning
Shrink Management
PHASE 3 Adjust
Inventory and Ordering
PHASE 4 Align Labor
with Production
Perpetual Inventory
Computer Assisted Ordering
Order Consolidation Planning
Integrated Time & Attendance
Task Management
Labor Analytics
If Needed
If Needed
If Needed
Branded Produce ItemsBranded Produce Items
Regional SupermarketRegional Supermarket
Random Weight Produce Items Opportunity AssessmentRandom Weight Produce Items Opportunity Assessment
Promotional Strategy– Promotional Discount Levels: Running continual deep discount promotions
diluting customer value and producing diminishing returns– Promotional Frequency / Length of Promotional Time Period: Consumer
response dropped significantly in last week of 3 week promotions and stores continually experienced heavy shrink in 3rd week when not adapting to sales pattern
Operational Execution– Promotional Out-of-stocks: Promotional out-of-stocks ranging from .25 % to
21.91 %– Excessive shrink: Location specific trends of continual item specific excess
shrink
Assortment Plan Optimization– High category performance stores missing higher performance items– Items with low and negative performance trends– In process: Location specific - Increase distribution of high consumer
response items and decrease poor performance items
Random Weight Produce Items Action PlanRandom Weight Produce Items Action Plan
Promotional strategy adjusted– Decreased frequency of deep discount promotions– Decreased length of time for promotions
Targeted Shrink Reduction– Adjusted location specific ordering on highest shrink
cost items
Assortment Plan by Location – In process: Location specific - Increase distribution of
high consumer response items and decrease poor performance items
Random Weight Produce Items Results Current Rolling 13 Weeks YOYRandom Weight Produce Items Results Current Rolling 13 Weeks YOY
-21.51%-15.96%1.97%4.71%2.29%-2.32%YOY % Change
-12,361-7,2490.99%2.09%10,389-23,738YOY Change
57,46145,43349.92%44.31%454,1071,024,778Last year PTD
45,10038,18450.90%46.40%464,4971,001,040This Year PDT
ShrinkShrink
QtyGM %CTP %CTPSales13 Week• Increased Contribution 2.29 %• Improved Gross Margin by 1%• Targeted shrink reduction -16% in units -21.5% in cost
• Supplier promo funds reduced and profitability increased
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
Sales CTP Shrink
This Year PDT
Last year PTD
Promotional Strategy Year Over Year Performance ChangePromotional Strategy Year Over Year Performance Change
-10.95%13.29%58.16%101.22%104.70%-14.54%8.73%202.27%-3.67%32.07%27.23%Change %
-5.09%1111161.33%4171222278-6.42%6940489-0.12178274490110Change
46.44%8358732.29%412072127744.15%794666443.245558381800022LY PTD
41.35%9469893.62%829194355537.73%8640701333.127341112290132TY PTD
GM %GMShrink
%ShrinkShrink
QtyCTP %CTPOn SaleAve. Price
Units SoldSalesDate
Increased Promotional Activity at Lower Gross Margins Generating 8.73 % Increase in CTP Dollars
Multiple Perishable Multiple Perishable DepartmentsDepartments
Regional SupermarketRegional Supermarket
Regional Supermarket – 100+ Stores Opportunity Assessment and Action PlansRegional Supermarket – 100+ Stores Opportunity Assessment and Action Plans
Opportunity Assessment– SKU Rationalization
• 44% of items only generating 2.29% of contribution while accounting for 8.1 % of shrink
– Assortment and Production Plan Execution• Random availability: Item selling frequency was proportionate to
production frequencyItems selling less than 80% of time were produced less than 75% of timeItems with lower selling frequency had 2 ½ times the shrink rate of higher frequency selling items
Action Plan– Train department managers in each store on use of ScoreTracker
and Profit Optimization Methodology– Targeted shrink reduction
Regional Supermarket – 100+ Stores Results - Quarter Ending 10/1/06 YOYRegional Supermarket – 100+ Stores Results - Quarter Ending 10/1/06 YOY
YOY Contribution to Profit up $3,041,848
for These Four Departments
Assortment Planning Assortment Planning and Labor Schedulingand Labor Scheduling
International SupermarketInternational Supermarket
International Supermarket Opportunity Assessment and Action PlanInternational Supermarket Opportunity Assessment and Action Plan
Opportunity Assessment– Production Quality
• Stores not producing or maintaining shelf stock to quality standards– Assortment Plan
• Large percentage of Items have low or negative contributions• Stores unable to manage quality and availability of too many items
– Production Labor Staffing• Stores under-staffed to produce right products and quantity to drive
sales
Action Plan– Reduced assortment plan mix– Increased production staff by average of 3 personnel per store– Re-trained stores on production quality standards– Implemented Fresh Market Manager Production Planning and
ScoreTracker KPI reporting
International SupermarketAverage Result Over 52 Week PeriodInternational SupermarketAverage Result Over 52 Week Period
Average sales of produced items up 20.04% since implementation of program.
Contribution to Profit up $103K USD per monthSales up $194k USD per monthNet cash flow after all costs, labor, software, consulting, personnel, hardware: $22,059 USD per month
In year two sales increases continue at +10%.
Labor and Task ManagementLabor and Task Management
Regional CRegional C--Store ChainStore Chain
Regional C-Store Opportunity AssessmentRegional C-Store Opportunity Assessment
Existing Schedules Not Achieving Customer Experience Objectives
– 15% and 18.7% in coverage gaps across the week– Branding strategy adversely effected by prime day parts gaps– Missing sales opportunities from peak opportunity periods
Missing Return on Labor Budget Investments– $742.5k to $1.172m annual savings– $370.2k to $512.5k annual additional unauthorized overtime savings
– $3,048 to $4,602 DAILY OPPORTUNITY COST
Current Scheduling Rules Not Meeting
Customer Experience Objectives – 18.7 %
Coverage Gaps During Week
Impacts BrandStrategy –Insufficient
Coverage During Breakfast
Sandwich Period
Out of Stock or Quality
Issues
Regional C-StoreOpportunity AssessmentRegional C-StoreOpportunity Assessment
Lost Opportunity Sales Lost Opportunity Sales Bakery & Meat DepartmentsBakery & Meat Departments
Regional SupermarketRegional Supermarket
Regional Supermarket – 40+ StoresOpportunity Focus FixRegional Supermarket – 40+ StoresOpportunity Focus Fix
Opportunity:Improve product availability and by store mix to increase missedopportunity sales.
Solution:Start with highest volume stores to provide consistent availability of highest per day performance items and monitor sales impact performance. Adjust mix by store as required and continue trial cycle with medium per day performance items.. Continue process with medium and lower volume stores.
Opportunity Value:Bakery/Bread Category - $1.7mMeat/Beef Category - $10.4m
Regional Supermarket – 40+ Stores Bakery ObservationsRegional Supermarket – 40+ Stores Bakery Observations
Food Bank shrink is climbing dramatically and the Thrift program needs to be reviewed for extended hours to reduce the more expensive throwaway shrink.Forecasting and ordering for promotions and day-of-week, along with variations in store performance, are the largest contributors to excess shrink.
– Excess inventory load in early in week and at end of promotions is driving higher thrift shrink.
– Moving highest shrink performance stores to the corporate average shrink rate would add $90k to the bottom line.
– Many items are not sold routinely every day in the 76 possible selling days analysis period.
– Based on consistent availability, the potential sales opportunity gap at the average per day / per store sales performance is$1.7m per year.
Regional Supermarket – 40+ Stores Bakery Dept. Shrink $ by Type TrendRegional Supermarket – 40+ Stores Bakery Dept. Shrink $ by Type Trend
$0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
$120,000
$140,000
$160,000
$180,000
7/29/06 10/28/06 1/27/07 4/28/07 7/28/07
TOTALSHRINK$ THRIFT$ FB$ TRASH$
Significant increase in Food Bank shrink driving
up total shrink
Regional Supermarket – 40+ Stores Bakery Dept. Shrink PerformanceRegional Supermarket – 40+ Stores Bakery Dept. Shrink Performance
$22,4780.24%6.22%3.12%9.58%Grand Total
$1870.18%6.99%2.70%9.88%437
$3440.09%6.46%3.70%10.24%434
$2310.17%5.76%4.56%10.49%485
$2500.02%6.25%4.32%10.60%482
$3950.00%7.52%3.19%10.72%476
$2310.21%7.46%3.19%10.87%415
$5160.04%6.62%4.26%10.93%499
$6310.00%7.55%3.75%11.30%491
$6880.03%8.32%3.02%11.38%490
$1,0473.00%4.68%3.77%11.45%498
$1,3520.00%5.67%6.46%12.13%487
$1,2030.28%8.31%4.00%12.59%436
$1,7420.00%10.28%4.77%15.05%489
$10,0320.00%19.38%2.11%21.49%470
$3,6290.00%19.65%4.82%24.47%479
Excess Shrink $Trash RateFood Bank RateThrift RateTotal Shrink RateStore #
$90k per yearcan be saved by moving
worst shrink performance stores up to corporate
averageCorporate avg. shrink rate
Regional Supermarket – 40+ Stores Missed Sales Opportunity GapRegional Supermarket – 40+ Stores Missed Sales Opportunity Gap
$ 433,65143 15 $4.58 33 Grand Total
$ 15,072 37 11 $7.89 39 White House Rolls and Biscuit
$ 742 12 20 $3.79 64 Sour Dough Bread
$ 33,187 60 19 $1.28 16 Self Serve Rolls
$ 13,373 18 16 $5.31 58 Sandwich Rolls
$ 77,209 50 14 $3.73 26 Sandwich and Traditional Loav
$ 19,783 48 12 $3.07 28 French\Italian Bread
$ 24,449 34 16 $5.20 42 European\Crusty Bread
$ 8,736 18 18 $5.90 58 Dinner Rolls
$ 8,538 44 12 $4.19 32 Breakfast Loaves
$ 134,678 46 21 $4.92 30 Branded Breads
$ 97,884 39 11 $5.73 37 Artisan Breads
Opportunity Sales Gap
Avg. of OpportunitySales Gap Days
Per StoreAvg. Daily# Stores
Avg. SalesPer Day
Avg.#Days SoldSubcategory
$1.73m annual sales opportunity gap
Regional Supermarket – 40+ Stores Meat Department ObservationsRegional Supermarket – 40+ Stores Meat Department Observations
Shrink is running the same as prior year with Food Bank replacing declines in Thrift shrink.
Forecasting and ordering for promotions and day-of-week, along with variations in store performance are the largest contributors to excess shrink.
– Excess inventory load in early in week and at end of promotions is driving higher thrift shrink.
– Moving highest shrink performance stores to the corporate average
shrink rate would add $167k to the bottom line.– Many items are not sold routinely every day in the 76 possible
selling days analysis period.– Based on consistent availability, the potential sales opportunity gap
at the average per day / per store sales performance is$10.4m per year.
Regional Supermarket – 40+ StoresMeat Dept. Shrink by Day-of-WeekRegional Supermarket – 40+ StoresMeat Dept. Shrink by Day-of-Week
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT
Total Shrink $
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT
Total Thrift Food Bank Trash
Total Shrink $
Early week inventory load in generates highest thrift
WED – FRI. Probable causes are case packs, plus outs,
and/or store ordering accuracy
Shrink Rate
Regional Supermarket – 40+ StoresMeat Dept. Shrink PerformanceRegional Supermarket – 40+ StoresMeat Dept. Shrink Performance
$183,7150.04%0.73%0.79%4.80%6.36%Grand Total
$18,5560.16%0.53%0.79%5.24%6.72%438
$9,7960.00%0.42%0.93%5.38%6.75%499
$7,1270.00%0.48%0.86%5.56%6.90%485
$13,3760.00%0.51%0.64%6.03%7.18%439
$7,5010.00%1.81%0.41%5.25%7.48%479
$12,8200.00%1.49%1.08%5.00%7.57%487
$12,4090.02%0.84%1.35%5.70%7.92%490
$10,6580.03%0.81%1.03%6.11%7.98%492
$13,0200.00%0.60%0.72%6.72%8.03%434
$8,3890.01%3.76%0.79%3.52%8.08%476
$11,0620.07%0.45%0.78%6.89%8.19%496
$22,4660.00%0.15%1.72%6.43%8.30%437
$10,9140.00%0.61%0.96%6.76%8.32%489
$10,4630.00%0.42%0.83%7.10%8.36%436
$1,4180.07%1.51%0.72%7.18%9.48%415
$13,7420.55%0.78%1.10%7.34%9.77%495
Excess Shrink $Above CorporateAve. Shrink Rate
Trash %of Shrink
FB % ofShrink
Promo Thrift% of Shrink
Thrift %of Shrink
Total ShrinkRateStore #
$735k per yearcan be saved by moving
worst shrink performance stores up to corporate
averageCorporate avg.
shrink rate
Regional Supermarket – 40+ Stores Meat Dept. Opportunity GapRegional Supermarket – 40+ Stores Meat Dept. Opportunity Gap
$2,597,245443132Total
$97,869393637SERVICE CASE ANGUS
$56,11171245SERVICE CASE ALL NATURAL
$8,4327492ROUND ANGUS
$54,031345342RIBS SELECT BEEF
$61,663334343RIBS ANGUS
$212,397551221OTHER
$102,565401936NATURAL-MISC. CUTS
$305,218312145NATURAL ROUND
$257,553493327NATURAL RIBS
$298,720382738NATURAL LOIN
$74,513276749NATURAL GROUND BEEF
$84,155361840NATURAL- CHUCK
$456,920385938LOIN SELECT BEEF
$261,309392937LOIN ANGUS
$260,290332643GROUND ANGUS
$5,49974122CHUCK ANGUS
Potential MissedOpportunity Sales
Average of MissedOpportunity Sales
Days Per StoreAverage Sales
Per Day / Per StoreAverage # Days SoldSubcategory
$10.39m annualsales opportunity
gap
Significant missed selling days
Regional Supermarket – 40+ StoresTop 10 Missed Opportunity Sales ItemsRegional Supermarket – 40+ StoresTop 10 Missed Opportunity Sales Items
29232277$9869ANGUS GROUND ROUND 85% LEAN VGROUND ANGUS
292415132$2544SELECT T-BONE STEAKLOIN SELECT BEEF
29252317$14069SELECT NEW YORK STRIP STEAK VLOIN SELECT BEEF
292920412$9764SELECT RIB EYE STEAK VALU PACRIBS SELECT BEEF
293067131$3045SELECT PORTERHOUSE STEAKLOIN SELECT BEEF
293912565$2111BF ROUND EYE ROUND WHOLE SUBNATURAL ROUND
294774045$3831ALL NAT GROUND BEEF 95% LEAN
NATURAL GROUND BEEF
2923133949$16727USDA SELECT WHOLE BEEF TENDELOIN SELECT BEEF
291430946$1130CRCKD PEPPR&GRLIC SEASONED OTHER
292060957$1219BACON CHEDDAR SEASONED BURGEOTHER
Ave #Stores
MissedOpportunity
Sales
Average of Missed
OpportunitySales Days
AverageSales Per
Day
Average # Days
SoldNameSub-Category
Target opportunities for increasing availability and sales potential
Lost Opportunity / Lost Opportunity / Distribution Voids Distribution Voids
Branded Poultry for Branded Poultry for Regional SupermarketRegional Supermarket
Branded PoultryAnalysis ObservationsBranded PoultryAnalysis Observations
Branded Poultry YOY Sales are Up 19% although overall distribution is down over 20%.
– DC4 accounts for a significant portion of the distribution loss with a decline of over 60% in sales and distribution.
Extreme variations in number of stores selling and number of dayssold across items.
– DC7 average days sold across 22 branded items was 69% higher than DC4 with only 14 items.
– Minimal opportunity for branded products to grow premium pricingand margin opportunities.
Pro-rating average per store performance equals an outstanding $32m per year in opportunity sales.
A well balanced promotional strategy with consistent distribution and brand development is needed to increase sales and profits for Retailer and Supplier.
-100.00%
-80.00%
-60.00%
-40.00%
-20.00%
0.00%
20.00%
40.00%
60.00%
80.00%
100.00%
PerdueChicken
PoultryMarinated
Private LabelChicken
Refig. PreparedDinner/Entree
FZPoultry/Poultry
Substitite
Grand Total
Sales Units On Sales Ave # Stores
Branded Poultry Total Stores YOY Performance ChangeBranded Poultry Total Stores YOY Performance Change
921,2835,542,9704,621,687Grand Total
172,292175,0082,717Poultry Substitute
4,279118,087113,807Prepared Dinner/Entree
146,405146,405Private Label Chicken
-26,942297,931324,873Poultry Marinated
625,2484,805,5394,180,290Branded Chicken
YOY ChangeSales TYSales LYCategory
19% Sales Increase Average Distribution
Down 20+%
19% Sales Increase Average Distribution
Down 20+%
BrandedChicken
Branded Poultry Distribution Elasticity During PromotionBranded Poultry Distribution Elasticity During Promotion
20%-65% Distribution Drop When
Not on Promotion
20%-65% Distribution Drop When
Not on Promotion
020406080
100120140160180
PER
DU
E H
NY
DIJ
ON
CH
CKN
PER
DU
EPO
PCO
RN
CH
ICKE
NPE
RD
UE
BOU
RBO
NC
HIC
KEN
PER
DU
E BB
QC
HIC
KEN
PER
DU
EBN
LSBR
EAST
2829
PER
DU
E W
HL
CU
T U
P
2804
PER
DU
EW
HO
LE B
IRD
28
05PE
RD
UE
SPLI
TBR
EAST
PE
RD
UE
BRST
TEN
DER
S PR
DU
E PP
ITAL
IAN
STYL
EPR
DU
E PP
BNLS
BREA
STPR
DU
E PP
TOM
ATO
BASI
L ST
YPR
DU
E PP
TER
IYAK
IST
YLE
# Promo Stores # Non-Promo Stores
BR
AN
DE
D H
NY
BR
AN
DE
D
BR
AN
DE
D
BR
AN
DE
D B
BQ
BR
AN
DE
D
BR
AN
DE
D
BR
AN
DE
D
BR
AN
DE
D
BR
AN
DE
D P
P
BR
AN
DE
D P
P
BR
AN
DE
D P
P
BR
AN
DE
D P
P
BR
AN
DE
D W
HL
8,289,631Total
465,188304,161161,027285130BRANDED JUMBO DRUMSST 2872
843,830594,411249,419561531BRANDED PP TOMATO BASIL STY
527,170254,503341716272,667542639BRANDED PP ITALIAN STYLE
556,957371,791185,166365439BRANDED JUMBO WINGS___2874
601,455280,049353322321,406523450BRANDED PP BNLS BREAST
571,904219,259402515352,645465788BRANDED WHOLE BIRD 2805
730,169235,300371514494,868544395BRANDED SPLIT BREAST 2806
403,844119,5031044919284,3414072120BRANDED BRST TENDERS 2836
3,094,4741,934,0461,160,4281054206BRANDED WHL CUT UP 2804
494,639177,3331224529317,3074184349BRANDED BNLS BREAST2829
Lost Opportunity
Sales#
StoresDays Sold
Daily Sales
Lost Opportunity
Sales#
StoresDays Sold
Daily Sales Total (LOS)
DC4DC7
Name
Branded Poultry Lost Opportunity Sales
$32+ Million Annual
Opportunity Gap
$32+ Million Annual
Opportunity Gap
Assortment PlanningAssortment PlanningBakery DepartmentBakery Department
International SupermarketInternational Supermarket
Bakery Department Assortment PlanningBakery Department Assortment Planning
ProblemAt an international retailer our Business Metrics Group discovered that only 32% of the assortment plan items were available on a consistent basis; 27% of the items were contributing less than 4% of total Contribution to Profit.
Solution / ResultsOver a 52 week period the assortment plan was rationalized resulting in a 20% Departmental Sales Increase and a10% Improvement in Contribution to Profit.
In year two sales increases continue at +10%.
Shrink Management Produce Shrink Management Produce and Deli Departments and Deli Departments
Regional Regional SupermarketSupermarket
ProblemWith a 100 store regional chain in the Midwest we found significant opportunities to optimize assortment based on findings that some specialty items had very low sales numbers and high shrink levels.
Solution / ResultsBy focusing on excessive shrink levels we were able to Improve Contribution to Profit by $884,000 Annually.At the same chain by focusing on sales mix and shrink for the top 5 items in fresh berries we were able to generate a Contribution to Profit Improvement of $91,000 Annually.
Produce Department Shrink Management
Produce DepartmentPerformance by Sales MixProduce DepartmentPerformance by Sales Mix
519149062.375.53%43.01%24Low
51697692.296.50%41.99%51Med
41167942.2312.58%35.85%26High
Ave # CategoriesAve # SKUsAve SalesAve PriceAve Shrink %Ave CTP %# StoresSales % Index
Stores with a high sales mix 7+% higher shrink rate and 7+% lower CTP %
Produce Department Promotional PerformanceProduce Department Promotional Performance
-15%75%20%1.502.192479.5741476232.2308/14/05
26%124%53%1.502.193655.6153097963.5008/07/05
-6%83%27%1.502.192740.0943376587.6107/31/05
2%94%33%1.502.192955.5546046915.6607/10/05
24%137%62%1.502.193602.2256318445.0007/03/05
20%113%47%1.502.193484.9250557668.4906/26/05
CTP $ Lift %vs. non-promo
average
Sales Units Lift% vs. non-promo
average
Sales $Lift % vs.
non-promoaverage
PromoPrice
Reg PriceCTP $
SalesUnitsSales $Week Ending
Diminishing Return Running Promotion Consecutive Weeks – Driving Higher Shrink In Last Week
Shrink Management / DistributionAt a 105-store retailer in Canada we identified shrink improvement opportunities of $545,000 Annually by moving the worst performing stores to the chain average in their deli and bakery departments.
At the same chain we identified a sales opportunity that will add $4 Million Annually in the deli and bakery departments by isolating SKU’s that are not available for sale on a consistent basis in all stores.
Deli Department Shrink Management
Deli DepartmentSales Opportunity GapDeli DepartmentSales Opportunity Gap
Missed Opportunity Sales Days - 13 Weeks
01020304050607080
DELI ROTIS CHIX DELI SANDWICHES FROZEN WHEATBREAD
FROZEN WHITEBREAD
Grand Total
Possible Sales Days Days Sold Missed Sales Days
Ave. # Days between first
sales date and last sales date
across all stores
Average days sold across all stores reporting activity
Average days not sold across all stores reporting activity
Annual Shrink Reduction Opportunity
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
DELI ROTIS CHIX DELISANDWICHES
FROZEN WHEATBREAD
FROZEN WHITEBREAD
Grand Total
Deli DepartmentShrink Reduction OpportunityDeli DepartmentShrink Reduction Opportunity
Excess shrink $ in stores shrinking above
corporate average $544.5k per Year
Deli DepartmentSales Opportunity GapDeli DepartmentSales Opportunity Gap
Opportunity Sales - 13 Weeks
$0
$1,000,000
$2,000,000
$3,000,000
$4,000,000
$5,000,000
$6,000,000
DELI ROTIS CHIX DELI SANDWICHES FROZEN WHEATBREAD
FROZEN WHITEBREAD
Grand Total
Total Sales $ Opportunity Sales $
Total category sales all stores
Opportunity sales gap all stores. $994k per 13 week period
Shrink and Assortment Shrink and Assortment Analysis Analysis –– Fresh ItemsFresh Items
International Convenience International Convenience StoreStore
C-Store Fresh Food ItemsNew Market AnalysisC-Store Fresh Food ItemsNew Market Analysis
New Market Analysis– First time opportunity of an international market with high volume,
high quality fresh food items in a market with rapid product turnover and new product availability.
– Multiple daily deliveries with smaller item counts allowed for tighter controls of perishable shelf-life –product analysis by time duration categories
• 16, 24, 30, 48 and 72 Hour Shelf Life categories– Elected to analyze data based on shelf life for an 8 week test
period. – In lieu of active Point-of-Sale data, the transactional sales data was
entered into a spreadsheet for use.• Transaction data included item sales• Reported shrink (making products unavailable for sale to the customer
due to spoilage or damage or loss)– Recommendation for ordering more or ordering less were provided
each week of the test trial period– 24 Weeks of data were used for comparison purposes (16 Weeks
prior to the 8 Week test)
C-Store Fresh Food ItemsOpportunity AssessmentC-Store Fresh Food ItemsOpportunity Assessment
Impact of No Shrink Categories– No Shrink may indicate an excellent job of determining the right
quantities– No Shrink may also indicate that there are potential lost sales
opportunities because they have run out of a product so the customer cannot purchase it.
– No Shrink with lost sales leads to a level of customer dissatisfaction and possible impact on perceived customer service and satisfaction.
Following Recommended Orders– Some categories and items were managed directly from the
experience of the store manager– Some Forecasting factors were put into place to provide more
meaningful recommended orders – factors included weather, day of the week and special events
– In process: increase distribution of high consumer response items and decrease poor performance items
C-Store Fresh Food Items 8 Week Test ResultsC-Store Fresh Food Items 8 Week Test Results
151175410SUM
156418458/14 - 8/20
312630218/7 - 8/13
239528237/31 - 8/6
281842177/24 - 7/30
2917319297/17-7/23
3291914387/10 - 7/16
2127212307/3 - 7/9
2715523216/26-7/2
Order determined by manager input
Shrink existed and order
suggested More
Zero Shrink but suggested order
was for less
Shrink Exists but suggested Order would result in
Less
Zero Shrink but suggested order
was for moreWEEK
70% of total orders would have provided cost savings or more sales
246.2%227.2%233.3%Contribution to Profit
29.1%44.0%34.6%Shrink Percent
2,525,5272,009,0291,974,228Profitability
160422241784Shrink (#)
7,536,9376,826,1556,701,840Sales
Period 3Period 2Period 1Key Metrics
RESULTS:Sales increased (10.25%)
Shrink decreased (24.9%)
Profitability was increased (21.1%)
Percent of Shrink was reduced (10.2%)
Contribution to Profit increased (9.5%)
Period 3 (test trial period)
C-Store Fresh Food Items Period Comparison ResultsC-Store Fresh Food Items Period Comparison Results
Other Successful CategoriesOther Successful Categories
Fresh PorkFrozen PizzaMagazines
Bottled WaterPet FoodCrusty Bread
PotatoesRotisserie ChickenSandwiches
Cut FruitBananasEggs
Bagged SaladsFrozen BreakfastFluid Milk
Salty SnacksGround BeefMushrooms
YogurtRefrigerated JuiceCat Litter
Refrigerated Baked Goods
TestimonialTestimonial
“This data portal will ultimately provide our biggest strategic customers with the daily sales data that we are analyzing every day…
As a major retailer, we long for the day when a vendor can come to us proactively and make educated recommendations based upon what they are seeing in our own scan data. The more eyes on our data the better.”
Category Manager1,000+ Store Regional Supermarket Chain
Right Product…Right Quantity…
Right Time…
Right Product…Right Quantity…
Right Time…For more information contact:Randy FieldsChairmanPark City [email protected]