Cardiovascular outcomes that will change diabetes practice: … · 2019. 4. 23. · Cardiovascular...

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Cardiovascular outcomes that will change diabetes practice: What are the key findings from recent trials? Game changing clinical trials in T2DM & CVD: Novel insights & implications Asian Cardio Diabetes Forum March 30-31, 2019 - Hanoi, Vietnam Prof. Mark Cooper, MD Melbourne, Australia

Transcript of Cardiovascular outcomes that will change diabetes practice: … · 2019. 4. 23. · Cardiovascular...

  • Cardiovascular outcomes that will change

    diabetes practice: What are the key findings

    from recent trials?

    Game changing clinical trials in T2DM & CVD: Novel insights

    & implications

    Asian Cardio Diabetes ForumMarch 30-31, 2019 - Hanoi, Vietnam

    Prof. Mark Cooper, MD Melbourne, Australia

  • All trial completion and estimated disclosure dates come from ClinicalTrials.gov

    3P-MACE, 3-point major adverse cardiovascular events; 4P-MACE, 4-point major adverse cardiovascular events; 5P-MACE, 5-point major adverse cardiovascular events;

    CV, cardiovascular; DPP-4, dipeptidyl peptidase-4; GLP-1, glucagon-like peptide-1; SGLT2, sodium-glucose co-transporter-2; SU, sulphonylurea

    Adapted from: Johansen OE. World J Diabetes 2015;6:1092. See notes for full list of references

    Evolving landscape of CVOT

    TECOS4

    Sitagliptin

    N=14,671

    1690 4P-MACE

    ELIXA3

    Lixisenatide

    N=6068

    805 4P-MACE

    EMPA-REG OUTCOME®5

    Empagliflozin

    N=7020

    772 3P-MACE

    CARMELINA®12

    Linagliptin

    N=6980

    3P-MACE + renal

    EXSCEL10

    Exenatide

    N=14,752

    1744 3P-MACE

    DECLARE-TIMI 5816

    Dapagliflozin

    N=17,276

    3P-MACE

    CV death or HHF

    CANVAS Program11

    Canagliflozin

    N=10,142

    1011 3P-MACE

    FREEDOM-CVO6,7

    ITCA 650

    N=4156

    4P-MACE

    PIONEER-615

    Semaglutide (oral)

    N=3176

    3P-MACE

    CAROLINA®18,19

    Linagliptin vs SU

    N=6072

    ≥631 3P-MACE

    HARMONY13

    Albiglutide

    N=9400

    3P-MACE

    REWIND14

    Dulaglutide

    N=9622

    3P-MACE

    LEADER8

    Liraglutide

    N=9340

    1302 3P-MACE

    SUSTAIN-69

    Semaglutide (inj)

    N=3297

    254 3P-MACE

    CREDENCE20

    Canagliflozin

    N=4200

    Renal + 5P-MACE

    VERTIS CV17

    Ertugliflozin

    N=8000

    3P-MACE

    DPP-4 inhibitorSGLT2 inhibitorGLP-1 receptor agonist

    2

    EXAMINE2

    Alogliptin

    N=5380

    621 3P-MACE

    SAVOR-TIMI 531

    Saxagliptin

    N=16,492

    1222 3P-MACE

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

  • CVOTs in T2D

    • Safety expectations for all new anti-diabetes drugs1

    • Specific focus on CV safety in recognition of the excess

    burden of CVD in T2D1

    • To establish the safety of a new antidiabetic therapy, sponsors

    should demonstrate that the therapy will not result in an

    unacceptable increase in CV risk2

    • Primary aim to demonstrate non-inferiority versus placebo in major

    adverse cardiac event (MACE) primary composite end point1

    1. Cefalu et al Diabetes Care 2018; 41:14–31. 2. Guidance for Industry. FDA, 2008.

    CV, cardiovascular; CVD, CV disease; CVOT, CV outcomes trial; T2D type 2 diabetes.

  • 3P-MACE 3P-MACE 4P-MACE 4P-MACE 3P-MACE 3P-MACE 3P-MACE 3P-MACE 3P-MACE

    5P-MACE 4P-MACE 5P-MACE 3P-MACERenal

    composite

    4P-MACEMicrovascular

    composite

    All-cause

    mortality;

    HHF

    Expanded

    CV

    composite

    All-cause

    mortality;

    HHF;

    HACS

    SAVOR-TIMI

    531

    (saxagliptin)

    N=16,492

    EXAMINE2

    (alogliptin)

    N=5,380

    ELIXA3

    (lixisenatide)

    N=6,068

    TECOS4

    (sitagliptin)

    N=14,671

    CARMELINA®5

    (linagliptin)

    N=6,991

    EMPA-REG

    OUTCOME®6

    (empagliflozin)

    N=7,020

    CANVAS

    Program7

    (canagliflozin)

    N=10,142

    LEADER®8

    (liraglutide)

    N=9,340

    EXSCEL9

    (exenatide)

    N=14,752

    Primary and secondary endpoints in recent CVOTs

    1. Scirica et al. N Engl J Med 2013;369:1317–26. 2. White et al. N Engl J Med 2013;369:1327–35. 3. Pfeffer et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:2247–57. 4.

    Green et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:232–42. 5. Rosenstock et al. Cardiovasc Diabetol 2018;17:39. 6. Zinman et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:2117–28. 7.

    Neal et al. N Engl J Med 2017;377:644–57. 8. Marso et al. N Engl J Med 2016;375:311–22. 9. Holman et al. N Engl J Med 2017;377:1228–39.

    Primary

    endpoint

    Secondary

    endpoints*

  • 3P-MACE is defined as the time to first occurrence of…

    CV, cardiovascular. MACE, major adverse coronary events

    1. Marx et al. Diabetes Care 2017;40:1144–51.

    CV Death Myocardial Infarction Stroke

    or or

  • Major adverse coronary events (MACE) in CVOTs

    • .

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    20

    3-Point MACE 4-Point MACE 5-Point MACE

    Incid

    en

    ce

    (%

    )*

    Hospitalisation for HF

    Hospitalisation for UA

    Non-fatal stroke

    Non-fatal MI

    CV death

    12%

    14%

    18%

    Composite outcome:

    *Placebo group from EMPA-REG OUTCOME® trial

    CV, cardiovascular; CVOT, CV outcomes trial; HF, heart failure; MI, myocardial infarction; UA, unstable angina

    1. Zinman et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:2117–28.

  • CVOTs in T2D1

    • Safety expectations for all new anti-diabetes drugs

    • Specific focus on CV safety, in recognition of the excess burden of

    CVD in T2D

    • Primary aim to demonstrate non-inferiority versus placebo in major

    adverse cardiac event (MACE) primary composite endpoint

    • Typically conducted in trial populations in which some or all

    patients had advanced atherosclerotic CV risk or established

    CVD to ensure accrual of sufficient events in a timely manner

    CV, cardiovascular; CVD, CV disease; CVOT, CV outcomes trial; T2D type 2 diabetes;

    Cefalu et al Diabetes Care 2018;41:14–31.

  • Trial populations in recent CVOTs — established CVD

    1. Scirica et al. N Engl J Med 2013;369:1317–26. 2. White et al. N Engl J Med 2013;369:1327–35. 3. Green et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:232–42. 4.

    Rosenstock et al. Cardiovasc Diabetol 2018;17:39. 5. Zinman et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:2117–28. 6. Neal et al. N Engl J Med 2017;377:644–57. 7.

    Wiviott et al. N Engl J Med 2018;doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1812389. 8. Pfeffer et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:2247–57. 9. Marso et al. N Engl J Med

    2016;375:311–22. 10. Holman et al. N Engl J Med 2017;377:1228–39.

    78,6

    100

    10090,0

    99,2

    72,2

    40,6

    100,0

    81,373,1

    21,4 2610

    27,8

    59,4

    18,726,9

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    Pro

    po

    rtio

    n o

    f p

    art

    icip

    an

    ts (

    %)

    Established CVD High CV risk

    SAVOR-TIMI

    531

    (saxagliptin)

    N=16,492

    EXAMINE2

    (alogliptin)

    N=5,380

    TECOS3

    (sitagliptin)

    N=14,671

    CARMELINA®4

    (linagliptin)

    N=6,979

    EMPA-REG

    OUTCOME®5

    (empagliflozin)

    N=7,020

    CANVAS

    Program6

    (canagliflozin)

    N=10,142

    DECLARE-

    TIMI 537

    (dapagliflozin)

    N=17,160

    ELIXA8

    (lixisenatide)

    N=6,068

    LEADER®9

    (liraglutide)

    N=9,340

    EXSCEL10

    (exenatide)

    N=14,752

    DPP-4 inhibitors SGLT2 inhibitors GLP-1 receptor agonists

  • Trial populations in recent CVOTs — 3P-MACE event rate

    1. Scirica et al. N Engl J Med 2013;369:1317–26. 2. White et al. N Engl J Med 2013;369:1327–35. 3. Green et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:232–42. 4.

    Rosenstock et al. Cardiovasc Diabetol 2018;17:39. 5. Zinman et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:2117–28. 6. Neal et al. N Engl J Med 2017;377:644–57. 7. Wiviott

    et al. N Engl J Med 2018;doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1812389. 8. Pfeffer et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:2247–57. 9. Marso et al. N Engl J Med 2016;375:311–22. 10.

    Holman et al. N Engl J Med 2017;377:1228–39.

    3,7

    7,9

    3,3

    5,6

    4,4

    3,15

    2,42

    6,3

    3,9 4

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    Eve

    nts

    /10

    0P

    Y

    3P-MACE event rate during trial (in placebo arm)

    SAVOR-TIMI

    531

    (saxagliptin)

    N=16,492

    EXAMINE2

    (alogliptin)

    N=5,380

    TECOS3

    (sitagliptin)

    N=14,671

    CARMELINA®4

    (linagliptin)

    N=6,979

    EMPA-REG

    OUTCOME®5

    (empagliflozin)

    N=7,020

    CANVAS

    Program6

    (canagliflozin)

    N=10,142

    DECLARE-

    TIMI 537

    (dapagliflozin)

    N=17,160

    ELIXA8

    (lixisenatide)

    N=6,068

    LEADER®9

    (liraglutide)

    N=9,340

    EXSCEL10

    (exenatide)

    N=14,752

    DPP-4 inhibitors SGLT2 inhibitors GLP-1 receptor agonists

  • New agents are measured against existing standard of care1

    CV, cardiovascular; CVOT, CV outcomes trial

    EMA, 2012. http://www.ema.europa.eu/docs/en_GB/document_library/Scientific_guideline/2012/06/WC500129256.pdf]. Accessed Nov 2018.

    A new agent must be compared with a placebo arm that

    includes established background therapy, defined as

    current standard of care

    In CVOTs, all patients receive background standard of care for CV risk

    reduction and glucose control to achieve guideline-recommended targets

    .

  • EMPA-REG OUTCOME® study baseline medications1,2

    1. Chilton. Am J Cardiol 2017;120:S1–3. 2. Zinman et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:2117–28

    98%Receiving any glucose-

    lowering therapy1

    74%Receiving metformin

    (as monotherapy or

    in combination)1

    48%Receiving insulin

    (as monotherapy or

    in combination)1

    Glucose-lowering therapy Cardiovascular therapy

    95%Receiving antihypertensive

    therapy1

    89%Receiving antiplatelet

    agents or anticoagulants2

    82%Receiving lipid lowering

    therapy2

  • 1. SAFETYNon-inferiority to placebo for their primary cardiovascular (CV) composite end point

    CVOT

    What have

    we learnt?

  • TECOS3

    Note: data are from different trials and cannot be directly compared.

    1. Scirica BM et al. N Engl J Med 2013;369:1317; 2. White WB et al. N Engl J Med 2013;369:1327; 3. Green JB et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:232; 4, EASD Berlin 2018

    Demonstration of CV Safety in DPP-4 inhibitor CVOTs

    13

    Randomisation 1 2 3Median follow-up (years)

    EXAMINE2

    T2D + ACS

    HbA1c 6.5–11.0%

    N=5380

    HR 0.96

    (upper CI‡ 1.16)

    p

  • 2. SUPERIORITY

    1. SAFETYCVOT

    Superiority to placebo for their primary cardiovascular (CV) composite end pointWhat have

    we learnt?

  • EMPA-REG OUTCOMES – 3P MACE outcome

    Cumulative incidence function. MACE, Major Adverse Cardiovascular Event;

    HR, hazard ratio. * Two-sided tests for superiority were conducted (statistical significance was indicated if p≤0.0498)

    HR= 0.86(95% CI 0.74 -0.99)

    P=0.019*

  • Study name SGLT2 inhibitor Placebo

    3P-MACE

    HR (95% CI) HR (95% CI) P-value

    EMPA-REG

    OUTCOME®1,437.4 43.9 0.86 (0.74, 0.99) 0.04

    CANVAS

    Program2,426.9 31.5 0.86 (0.75, 0.97) 0.02

    DECLARE-TIMI

    533,422.6 47.2 0.93 (0.84, 1.03) 0.17

    Pooled analysis (all SGLT2 inhibitors) 0.89 (0.83, 0.96) 0.0014

    SGLT2 inhibitors in CVOT — 3P-MACE outcomes

    1. Zinman et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:2117–28. 2. Neal et al. N Engl J Med. 2017;377:644–57. 3. Wiviott et al. N Engl J Med 2018;

    doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1812389. 4. Zelniker et al. Lancet 2018;doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32590-X.

    0.5 2.51

    Events per 1,000 PY

    Favours treatment Favours placebo

  • Study name SGLT2 inhibitor Placebo

    3P-MACE

    HR (95% CI) HR (95% CI) P-value

    Patients with ASCVD

    EMPA-REG OUTCOME®1,4 37.4 43.9 0.86 (0.74, 0.99)

    CANVAS Program2,4 34.1 41.3 0.82 (0.72, 0.95)

    DECLARE-TIMI 533,4 36.8 41.0 0.90 (0.79, 1.02)

    Pooled analysis (all SGLT2 inhibitors) 0.86 (0.80, 0.93) 0.0002

    Patients with multiple risk factors

    CANVAS Program2,4 15.8 15.5 0.98 (0.74, 1.30)

    DECLARE-TIMI 533,4 13.4 13.3 1.01 (0.86, 1.20)

    Pooled analysis (all SGLT2 inhibitors) 1.00 (0.87, 1.16) 0.98

    3-P MACE stratified by the presence or absence of ASCVD

    1. Zinman et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:2117–28. 2. Neal et al. N Engl J Med. 2017;377:644–57. 3. Wiviott et al. N Engl J Med 2018DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1812389.

    4. Zelniker et al. Lancet 2016;10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32590-X

    Events per 1,000 PY

    0.5 2.5

    3P-MACE, 3-point major adverse cardiovascular event; ASCVD, atherosclerotic CV disease, CI, confidence interval; CV, cardiovascular; HR, hazard ratio; PY, patient-year; SGLT2, sodium–glucose transporter 2.

    Favours treatment Favours placebo

    1

    P-value for subgroup differences: 0.05

  • GLP-1 receptor agonists — 3P-MACE outcomes1–5

    1. Pfeffer et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:2247–57. 2. Marso et al. N Engl J Med 2016;375:311–22. 3. Marso et al. N Engl J Med. 2016 Nov 10;375:1834–1844. 4.

    Holman et al. N Engl J Med 2017;377:1228–39. 5. Hernandez et al. Lancet 2018;392:1519–29.

    338 /4731 (7.1%) 428/4732 (9.0%) 0.78 0.68 0.90 0.001

    0.5 21

    3P-MACE, 3-point major adverse cardiovascular event; CI, confidence interval; GLP-1, glucagon-like peptide-1.

    HARMONY investigated an agent that has now been discontinued (albiglutide)

  • 1. SAFETY

    2. SUPERIORITY

    3. NEW SIGNALS

    CVOT

    What have

    we gained?

  • New positive signals emerging from CVOTs

    1. Scirica et al. N Engl J Med 2013;369:1317–26. 2. Green et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:232–42. 3. Schaffer et al Dermatology 2017;233:401–403 4. Marso et al. N Engl J Med 2016 Nov

    10;375:1834–44. 5. Marso et al. N Engl J Med 2016;375:311–22. 6. Holman et al. N Engl J Med 2017;377:1228–39. 6. Neal et al. N Engl J Med 2017;377:644–57. 7. Zinman et al. N Engl J Med

    2015;373:2117–28. 8. Sung et al. J Clin & Transl Endocrinol 2018;13:46–7. 9. Cefalu et al. Lancet 2013;382:941–50. 10. Akuta et al. Hepatology Communications 2017;1:46–52.

    Heart failure?1,2

    Pancreatitis1,2

    Pemphigoid3

    Fracture?6–8

    Amputation?6–8

    Retinopathy?4,5 CV Death6,7

    Heart Failure6,7

    Renal6,7

    Fatty Liver9,10 CV Death?4,5

    CV, cardiovascular; CVOT, CV outcomes trial; DPP-4, dipeptidyl peptidase-4; GLP-1,RA glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists; SGLT2, sodium–glucose transporter 2.

    SGLT2 inhibitors

    GLP-1 RA

    DON’T LIKE LIKE

  • EMPA-REG OUTCOMES – CV Death

  • Study name SGLT2 inhibitor Placebo

    CV death

    HR (95% CI) HR (95% CI) P-value

    Patients with ASCVD

    EMPA-REG OUTCOME®1,4 12.4 20.2 0.62 (0.49, 0.77)

    CANVAS Program2,4 14.8 16.8 0.86 (0.70, 1.06)

    DECLARE-TIMI 533,4 10.9 11.6 0.94 (0.76, 1.18)

    Pooled analysis (all SGLT2 inhibitors) 0.80 (0.71, 0.91) 0.0005

    Patients with multiple risk factors

    CANVAS Program2,4 6.5 6.2 0.93 (0.60, 1.43)

    DECLARE-TIMI 533,4 4.4 4.1 1.06 (0.79, 1.42)

    Pooled analysis (all SGLT2 inhibitors) 1.02 (0.80, 1.30) 0.89

    CV death – a clear difference between SGLT2 inhibitors

    1. Zinman et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:2117–28. 2. Neal et al. N Engl J Med. 2017;377:644–57. 3. Wiviott et al. N Engl J Med 2018;doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1812389.

    4. Zelniker et al. Lancet 2018;doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32590-X.

    0.5 2.5

    ASCVD, atherosclerotic CVD, CI, confidence interval; CV, cardiovascular, CVD, CV disease; HR, hazard ratio; PY, patient-year; SGLT2, sodium–glucose transporter 2.

    Favours treatment Favours placebo

    1

    Events per 1,000 PY

    P-value for subgroup differences: 0.31

  • 122/4731 (2.6%) 130/4732 (2.7%) 0.93 0.73 1.19 0.578

    1. Pfeffer et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:2247–57. 2. Marso et al. N Engl J Med 2016;375:311–22. 3. Marso et al. N Engl J Med. 2016 Nov 10;375:1834–1844. 4.

    Holman et al. N Engl J Med 2017;377:1228–39. 5. Hernandez et al. Lancet 2018;392:1519–29.

    0.5 21

    3P-MACE, 3-point major adverse cardiovascular event; CI, confidence interval; GLP-1, glucagon-like peptide-1.

    HARMONY investigated an agent that has now been discontinued (albiglutide)

    CV death – a difference between GLP-1 receptor agonists?1–5

  • Study name SGLT2 inhibitor Placebo

    All-cause mortality

    HR (95% CI) HR (95% CI) P-value

    EMPA-REG

    OUTCOME®1,419.4 28.6 0.68 (0.57, 0.82)

  • Number needed to treat to prevent one patient death

    Simvastatin 40mgfor 5 years

    T2DM + CV RISK

    T2DM + CVD

    OR HIGH RISK

    Ramipril 10mgfor 4.5 years

    Empagliflozin for 2.6 years

    HOPE1 HPS2 EMPA-REG3 LEADER4

    1. Lancet. 2000 Jan 22;355(9200):253-9.2. Collins et al Lancet. 2003 Jun 14;361(9374):2005-16.

    3. Marso SP et al. N Engl J Med 2016;375:311 4. Zinman et al. N Engl J Med. 2015 Nov 26;373(22):2117-28.

    T2DM with CVD

    Liraglutide for 3.8 years

    T2DM + CVD

    OR HIGH RISK

  • Differences in mean survival by age with empagliflozin vs placebo

    A sixty year old may expect to live

    2.5 years longer on average

    Long-Term Benefit of Empagliflozin on Life Expectancy in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Established Cardiovascular Disease, Volume: 138, Issue: 15, Pages: 1599-1601, DOI: (10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.118.033810)

  • Study name SGLT2 inhibitor Placebo

    HHF

    HR (95% CI) HR (95% CI) P-value

    Patients with ASCVD

    EMPA-REG OUTCOME®1,4 9.4 14.5 0.65 (0.50, 0.85)

    CANVAS Program2,4 7.3 11.3 0.68 (0.51, 0.90)

    DECLARE-TIMI 533,4 11.1 14.1 0.78 (0.63, 0.97)

    Pooled analysis (all SGLT2 inhibitors) 0.71 (0.62, 0.82)

  • Study name SGLT2 inhibitor Placebo

    All-cause mortality

    HR (95% CI) HR (95% CI) P-value

    EMPA-REG

    OUTCOME®1,46.3 11.5 0.54 (0.40, 0.75)

  • CV Death?4,5

    New negative signals emerging from CVOTs

    1. Scirica et al. N Engl J Med 2013;369:1317–26. 2. Green et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:232–42. 3. Schaffer et al Dermatology 2017;233:401–403 4. Marso et al. N Engl J Med 2016 Nov 10;375:1834–44. 5. Marso et al. N Engl J Med

    2016;375:311–22. 6. Holman et al. N Engl J Med 2017;377:1228–39. 6. Neal et al. N Engl J Med 2017;377:644–57. 7. Zinman et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:2117–28. 8. Sung et al. J Clin & Transl Endocrinol 2018;13:46–7. 9. Cefalu et

    al. Lancet 2013;382:941–50. 10. Akuta et al. Hepatology Communications 2017;1:46–52.

    Heart failure?1,2

    Pancreatitis1,2

    Pemphigoid3

    Fracture?6–8

    Amputation?6–8

    Retinopathy?4,5 CV Death6,7

    Heart Failure6,7

    Renal6,7

    Fatty Liver9,10

    DPP-4 inhibitors

    CV, cardiovascular; CVOT, CV outcomes trial; DPP-4, dipeptidyl peptidase-4; GLP-1, glucagon-like peptide-1; SGLT2, sodium–glucose transporter 2.

    SGLT2 inhibitors

    GLP-1 RA

    DON’T LIKE LIKE

  • Trial

    n event/N analyzed (%)

    HR (95% CI) p-valueTrial drug Placebo

    SAVOR-TIMI 53*1

    (Saxagliptin)289/8280 (3.5) 228/8212 (2.8) 1.27 (1.07, 1.51) 0.007

    EXAMINE*2

    (Alogliptin)106/2701 (3.9) 89/2679 (3.3) 1.19 (0.90, 1.58) 0.22

    TECOS†3

    (Sitagliptin)228/7332 (3.1) 229/7339 (3.1) 1.00 (0.83, 1.20) 0.98

    CARMELINA4

    (Linagliptin) 209/3494 226/3485 0.90 (0.74, 1.08) 0.26

    Hospitalisation for Heart Failure

    0,5 1 2

    Favours trial drug Favours placebo

  • Trial

    n event/N analysed (%)

    OR (95% CI) p-valueTrial drug Placebo

    SAVOR-TIMI 53

    (Saxagliptin)17/8280 (0.2) 9/8212 (0.1) 1.88 (0.84, 4.21) 0.128

    EXAMINE

    (Alogliptin)12/2701 (0.4) 8/2679 (0.3) 1.49 (0.61, 3.65) 0.383

    TECOS

    (Sitagliptin)23/7257 (0.3) 12/7266 (0.2) 1.92 (0.96, 3.87) 0.067

    CARMELINA4

    (Linagliptin) 17/3494 9/3485 1.88 (0.84, 4.22) 0.12

    0,25 1 4

    CVOT, cardiovascular outcomes trial; DPP-4, dipeptidyl peptidase-4; OR, odds ratio

    Tkáč I & Raz I. Diabetes Care 2017;40:284

    Acute Pancreatitis

    Decreased risk Increased risk

  • 1. SAFETY

    2. SUPERIORITY

    3. NEW SIGNALS

    4. NEW HYPOTHESES FOR

    NEW TARGETED TRIALS

    CVOT

    What have

    we gained?

  • EMPEROR-Preserved1 EMPEROR-Reduced2 Dapa-HF3 DELIVER4 SOLOIST-WHF5,6

    Intervention Empagliflozin Empagliflozin Dapagliflozin Dapagliflozin Sotagliflozin

    Sample size 4126* 2850* 4695* 4700 4000*4 (~6667)5

    Heart

    failure

    criteria

    HFpEF (LVEF >40%) HFrEF (LVEF ≤40%) HFrEF (LVEF ≤40%) HFpEF (LVEF >40%) and

    structural heart disease) and

    NYHA II−IV

    Primary

    endpoint

    • Time to first event of adjudicated CV death

    or adjudicated HHF

    • Time to first occurrence of

    CV death, HHF or urgent

    HF visit

    • Time to first occurrence of

    CV death, HHF or urgent

    HF visit

    • Time to first event of

    CV death or HHF (both

    EF

  • SGLT2 inhibitor trials primarily focused on CKD/DKD

    *The IDMC of the trial has recommended to stop the trial early based on the achievement of pre-specified efficacy criteria at the time of a planned interim analysis3

    1. Jardine MJ et al. Am J Nephrol 2017;46:462; 2. ClinicalTrials.gov. NCT02065791; 3. Janssen Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Press release. 2018. www.jnj.com/phase-3-credence-renal-outcomes-trial-of-invokana-

    canagliflozin-is-being-stopped-early-for-positive-efficacy-findings; 4. ClinicalTrials.gov. NCT03036150; 5. ClinicalTrials.gov. NCT03594110 (all accessed September 2018)

    CREDENCE1−3 Dapa-CKD4 EMPA-KIDNEY5

    Study drug Canagliflozin vs placebo Dapagliflozin vs placebo Empagliflozin vs placebo

    Population

    DKD including

    ✓ T2D

    x Non-DM

    x T1D

    CKD including

    ✓ T2D

    ✓ Non-DM

    x T1D

    CKD including

    ✓ T2D

    ✓ Non-DM

    ✓ T1D

    Sample size 4401 4000 ~5000

    Key inclusion criteriaeGFR ≥30 to 300 mg/g

    eGFR ≥25 to ≤75 ml/min/1.73 m2

    and UACR ≥200–≤5000 mg/g

    eGFR ≥20 to

  • 1. SAFETY

    2. SUPERIORITY

    3. NEW SIGNALS

    4. NEW TRIALS

    5. APPLICABILITY & RWE

    CVOT

    What have

    we gained?

  • Randomised controlled trials vs real-world data

    1. The Association of the British Pharmaceutical Industry (ABPI), 2011. [http://www.abpi.org.uk/media/1378/vision-for-real-world-data.pdf]. Accessed Oct 2018. 2. Peperell et al.

    Value Health 2012;15:A460–1. 3. Luce et al. Milbank Q 2010;88:256–76.

    Ever-increasing role in decisions that affect

    patients’ access to therapies2

    Can it work?3

    Randomised controlled trials Real-world data

    Does it work?3

    Real-world data are collected outside the controlled constraints of

    conventional randomised clinical trials to evaluate what is happening in

    normal clinical practice.1

  • RWE can support CVOT data

    1. Zinman et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:2117–28. 2. Neal et al. N Engl J Med 2017;377:644–57. 3. Kosiborod et al. Circulation. 2017;136:249–59.

    0.5 21

    Trial N Number of events HR (95% CI)

    HHF

    EMPA-REG OUTCOME®* 7,020 221 0.65 (0.50–0.85)

    CANVAS Program* 10,142 243 0.67 (0.52–0.87)

    CVD-REAL† 196,802 423 0.61 (0.51–0.73)

    HHF or death

    EMPA-REG OUTCOME®* 7,020 463 0.66 (0.55–0.79)

    CANVAS Program* 10,142 652 0.78 (0.67–0.91)

    CVD-REAL† 215,622 1,983 0.54 (0.48–0.60)

    Favours SGLT2 inhibitors

  • EMPRISE® study design

    1. ClinicalTrials.gov [NCT03363464]. 2. Boehringer Ingelheim. Data on file, 2018.

    1:1 Propensity score

    matching between

    patients on empagliflozin

    and DPP-4i

    Patients with T2D

    New users of empagliflozin

    New users of DPP-4i

    =

    DPP-4i, dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor; SGLT2, sodium–glucose transporter 2 inhibitor; T2D, type 2 diabetes.

    Key inclusion criteria*1

    • Adults aged ≥18 years

    • Initiation of empagliflozin or a DPP-4i between

    August 2014 and August 2019

    • Patients with T2D (claims in the 12 months prior to entry)

    Key exclusion criteria*1,2

    • Concomitant SGLT2i and DPP-4i at treatment initiation

    • Use of either SGLT2i or DPP-4i class in the 12 months

    preceding cohort entry (switchers)

    • Patients with

  • Beneficial HHF outcomes with empagliflozin in RWE from EMPRISE®

    1. Zinman et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:2117–28. 2. Patorno et al. AHA 2018;poster 1112.

    Study

    Empagliflozin Comparator

    HR (95% CI)

    n event/N

    analysed

    (%)

    Rate/

    1000 PY

    n event/N

    analysed

    (%)

    Rate/

    1000 PY

    EMPA-REG OUTCOME®1

    (empagliflozin vs placebo)

    126/4,687

    (2.7)9.4

    95/2,333

    (4.1)14.5

    0.65

    (0.50, 0.85)

    EMPRISE®2

    (empagliflozin vs DPP-4 inhibitors)

    Broad HHF83/17,539

    (0.5)10.5

    150/17,539

    (0.9)19.9

    0.56

    (0.43, 0.73)

    Without CVD 17/13,243 2.8 47/13,243 8.30.35

    (0.20, 0.61)

    With CVD 63/4,217 35.2 120/4,217 68.00.53

    (0.39, 0.72)

    Direct comparison of studies should be interpreted with caution due to differences in study design, populations and methodology; definitions of HHF vary between studies.

    CI, confidence interval; CVD, cardiovascular disease; DPP-4, dipeptidyl peptidase-4; HHF, hospitalisation for heart failure; HR, hazard ratio; PY, patient-years.

    0,125 0,25 0,5 1 2

    Favours

    empagliflozin

    Favours

    comparator

  • 1. SAFETY

    2. SUPERIORITY

    3. NEW SIGNALS

    4. NEW TRIALS

    5. APPLICABILITY & RWE

    6. CHANGED PRACTICE

    CVOT

    What has

    changed?

  • ADA–EASD

    Guidelines

    (2018)

    CONSENSUS RECOMMENDATION

    Davies et al. Diabetologia 2018;doi:10.1007/s00125-018-4729-5.

  • Davies et al. Diabetologia 2018;doi:10.1007/s00125-018-4729-5.

    ADA–EASD

    Guidelines

    (2018)

    CONSENSUS RECOMMENDATION

  • Since the publication of CVOT data, how has the approach to

    T2D treatment changed? Have we shifted our focus?

    What was the approach for T2D treatment

    before the availability of CVOT results?

    How have CVOT results influenced the treatment of patients with T2D?

    1. Scheen. Nat Rev Cardiol 2016;13:509–10. 2. Schernthaner et al. Ther Clin Risk Manag 2017;13:69–79. 3. Perseghin & Solini. Cardiovasc Diabetol

    2016;15:85. 4. Schernthaner et al. Cardiovasc Diabetol 2017;16:137.

    A historical lack of

    evidence for CV

    outcomes with different

    therapies meant that

    treatment focused mainly

    on glucose lowering1The CVOT results have demonstrated

    the potential to reduce CV risk

    - and highlighted its importance2

    The new data has enabled a shift to

    evidence-based prescribing, where

    glucose lowering is still important, but

    sits alongside CV outcomes1,2

    CV, cardiovascular; CVOT; CV outcomes trial; T2D, type 2 diabetes.

  • 1. SAFETY/ NON-INFERIORITY

    2. SUPERIORITY

    3. NEW SIGNALS

    4. NEW HYPOTHESES & TRIALS

    5. APPLICABILITY & RWE

    6. CHANGED PRACTICE

    CVOT

    legacy