CAPITOLO 1 - aci.it · capitolo 1 analisi dell’anzianita’ del parco veicoli ... oltre 20 15.284...

CAPITOLO 1

ANALISI DELL’ANZIANITA’ DEL PARCO VEICOLI

IN ITALIA AL 31/12/2011

Tab.I.1

ANZIANITA' 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0-1 4.034 4.482 3.646 2.896 3.307 3.574 3.242 3.234 3.566 2.633 3.213 2.8001-2 5.459 5.305 5.749 4.821 4.116 4.590 4.647 4.793 4.111 4.374 3.294 4.1192-3 4.585 5.496 5.232 5.867 4.953 4.179 4.766 5.225 4.831 4.256 4.481 3.2683-4 3.957 4.583 5.357 5.291 5.857 4.962 4.307 5.119 5.234 4.845 4.283 4.2294-5 3.434 3.954 4.508 5.361 5.280 5.847 4.979 4.666 5.117 5.233 4.844 4.5345-6 2.630 3.428 3.864 4.490 5.342 5.267 5.912 5.213 4.671 5.108 5.237 4.9056-7 1.926 2.620 3.336 3.850 4.472 5.305 5.249 6.179 5.199 4.668 5.114 5.2407-8 1.889 1.913 2.567 3.312 3.825 4.448 5.267 5.362 6.153 5.218 4.660 5.0808-9 2.881 1.879 1.869 2.556 3.304 3.802 4.411 5.312 5.341 6.130 5.194 4.6399-10 3.436 2.875 1.850 1.850 2.551 3.287 3.770 4.420 5.280 5.331 6.090 5.144

10-11 4.280 3.408 2.817 1.831 1.835 2.528 3.262 3.791 4.343 5.225 5.302 5.99511-12 4.128 4.240 3.375 2.763 1.810 1.821 2.493 3.278 3.710 4.265 5.172 5.24312-13 4.314 4.075 4.173 3.354 2.685 1.783 1.773 2.485 3.230 3.639 4.194 5.05413-14 3.902 4.262 4.004 4.120 3.288 2.631 1.755 1.744 2.459 3.164 3.548 4.09914-15 3.456 3.859 4.183 3.911 4.049 3.241 2.569 1.729 1.714 2.418 3.031 3.39815-16 4.091 3.376 3.746 4.021 3.814 3.917 3.107 2.419 1.683 1.656 2.364 2.92016-17 3.797 3.951 3.192 3.599 3.785 3.675 3.713 3.002 2.312 1.634 1.618 2.29417-18 3.008 3.570 3.735 3.039 3.439 3.560 3.535 3.497 2.863 2.237 1.577 1.53918-19 3.970 2.767 3.279 3.407 2.851 3.197 3.362 3.353 3.291 2.716 2.143 1.50019-20 3.495 3.463 2.454 2.896 3.065 2.571 2.895 3.013 3.106 3.140 2.518 1.988

TOTALE FINO A 20 72.672 73.506 72.936 73.235 73.628 74.185 75.014 77.834 78.214 77.890 77.877 77.988OLTRE 20 15.284 16.352 18.780 19.466 19.246 20.252 21.085 18.585 19.383 20.834 22.018 22.450

TOTALE 87.956 89.858 91.716 92.701 92.874 94.437 96.099 96.419 97.597 98.724 99.895 100.438

CONSISTENZA PARCO AUTOBUS SECONDO L'ANNO DI PRIMA IMMATRICOLAZIONE(Valori empirici)

Tab.I.2

ANZIANITA' 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0-1 4.034 4.482 3.646 2.896 3.307 3.574 3.242 3.234 3.566 2.633 3.213 2.8001-2 5.459 4.038 4.487 3.650 2.899 3.311 3.578 3.246 3.238 3.570 2.636 3.2172-3 4.585 5.470 4.047 4.496 3.658 2.905 3.318 3.585 3.252 3.244 3.577 2.6413-4 3.957 4.595 5.482 4.055 4.506 3.665 2.911 3.325 3.593 3.259 3.251 3.5854-5 3.434 3.961 4.600 5.488 4.060 4.511 3.669 2.915 3.328 3.597 3.263 3.2555-6 2.630 3.431 3.958 4.596 5.483 4.056 4.507 3.666 2.912 3.325 3.594 3.2606-7 1.926 2.629 3.429 3.956 4.593 5.481 4.054 4.505 3.664 2.911 3.324 3.5927-8 1.889 1.919 2.619 3.417 3.941 4.576 5.460 4.039 4.488 3.651 2.900 3.3118-9 2.881 1.879 1.909 2.605 3.399 3.921 4.553 5.432 4.018 4.465 3.632 2.8859-10 3.436 2.864 1.868 1.898 2.590 3.379 3.898 4.526 5.400 3.994 4.438 3.610

10-11 4.280 3.403 2.836 1.850 1.879 2.565 3.346 3.860 4.482 5.347 3.956 4.39511-12 4.128 4.231 3.363 2.803 1.829 1.857 2.535 3.307 3.815 4.430 5.286 3.91012-13 4.314 4.060 4.161 3.308 2.757 1.798 1.827 2.494 3.253 3.753 4.357 5.19913-14 3.902 4.238 3.989 4.088 3.250 2.709 1.767 1.795 2.450 3.196 3.687 4.28114-15 3.456 3.817 4.146 3.902 3.999 3.179 2.650 1.728 1.756 2.396 3.126 3.60615-16 4.091 3.340 3.689 4.007 3.771 3.865 3.073 2.561 1.671 1.697 2.316 3.02216-17 3.797 3.929 3.208 3.543 3.849 3.622 3.712 2.951 2.460 1.604 1.630 2.22517-18 3.008 3.616 3.742 3.055 3.374 3.665 3.449 3.535 2.810 2.343 1.528 1.55218-19 3.970 2.819 3.389 3.507 2.864 3.162 3.435 3.233 3.313 2.634 2.196 1.43219-20 3.495 3.602 2.558 3.075 3.182 2.598 2.869 3.117 2.933 3.006 2.390 1.992


TOTALE 87.956 88.676 89.906 89.662 88.436 88.653 88.939 85.638 85.786 85.890 86.316 86.219

CONSISTENZA PARCO AUTOBUS SECONDO L'ANNO DI PRIMA IMMATRICOLAZIONE(Valori teorici)

AUTOBUS

Consistenza parco veicoli: Confronto tra valori medi empirici e teorici nel periodo 2000-2011

Curva di perequazione delle probabilità medie empiriche del periodo 2000-2011

2.000

2.500

3.000

3.500

4.000

4.500

5.000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

Graf. 1

valori medi teorici

valori medi empirici

y = 0,0005x2 - 0,0025x + 0,0009R2 = 0,9459

-0,02

0

0,02

0,04

0,06

0,08

0,1

Graf.2

Tab.I.3

ANZIANITA' 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0-1 200.273 155.676 195.636 190.789 208.513 206.136 198.913 157.430 160.684 150.7191-2 223.713 284.706 202.664 214.297 207.424 223.357 217.344 206.768 163.773 166.6222-3 206.171 224.504 287.627 203.529 213.318 204.838 220.349 215.528 204.996 161.5423-4 165.386 204.691 223.462 286.781 200.603 208.124 198.845 216.347 211.751 197.1474-5 147.650 163.511 202.307 220.967 281.854 194.465 201.117 193.832 211.231 210.5995-6 117.732 145.838 161.277 199.760 216.645 272.540 187.708 196.589 188.834 205.6026-7 120.061 115.483 143.105 158.667 195.335 209.949 262.526 182.503 191.864 183.8987-8 113.970 117.858 113.046 139.815 155.270 189.975 203.232 254.676 177.740 186.6598-9 92.727 111.444 115.240 110.373 133.977 150.593 184.227 198.213 246.749 172.3739-10 86.908 88.782 108.389 111.978 107.004 126.418 145.312 179.556 191.936 238.380

10-11 112.595 82.156 85.424 104.690 108.047 102.334 120.562 134.829 172.177 184.58911-12 116.096 106.247 78.404 82.230 100.669 102.006 97.605 111.610 126.326 165.12212-13 122.372 109.185 100.327 74.640 78.536 93.041 95.802 89.781 103.874 120.99213-14 117.371 115.135 102.414 95.170 70.580 72.388 86.414 88.353 83.479 98.91714-15 100.820 110.951 107.707 96.996 89.716 64.820 66.840 79.791 82.173 79.13715-16 83.090 94.331 103.415 101.644 91.446 82.284 59.657 61.897 74.801 78.01316-17 60.417 77.529 86.926 97.801 95.587 83.965 75.736 55.220 57.942 71.13917-18 53.037 56.173 70.570 81.742 91.859 87.970 77.773 70.122 51.713 55.04718-19 47.321 49.212 50.670 66.147 76.376 84.865 81.545 72.305 65.726 49.08219-20 43.051 43.954 43.568 47.518 61.757 70.319 78.832 76.144 67.926 62.421

TOTALE FINO A 20 2.330.761 2.457.366 2.582.178 2.685.534 2.784.516 2.830.387 2.860.339 2.841.494 2.835.695 2.838.000OLTRE 20 287.915 313.433 284.665 316.001 342.690 380.208 425.862 479.733 530.474 575.372

TOTALE 2.618.676 2.770.799 2.866.843 3.001.535 3.127.206 3.210.595 3.286.201 3.321.227 3.366.169 3.413.372

CONSISTENZA PARCO AUTOCARRI MERCI FINO A 3,5 TONN. SECONDO L'ANNO DI PRIMA IMMATRICOLAZIONE

(Valori empirici)

Tab.I.4

ANZIANITA' 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0-1 200.273 155.676 195.636 190.789 208.513 206.136 198.913 157.430 160.684 150.7191-2 223.713 199.131 154.789 194.521 189.702 207.324 204.961 197.779 156.533 159.7682-3 206.171 222.644 198.180 154.049 193.592 188.795 206.334 203.982 196.835 155.7853-4 165.386 202.581 218.768 194.729 151.367 190.221 185.508 202.741 200.430 193.4074-5 147.650 162.264 198.757 214.638 191.053 148.509 186.630 182.006 198.914 196.6475-6 117.732 144.355 158.643 194.322 209.848 186.790 145.196 182.466 177.945 194.4766-7 120.061 114.831 140.799 154.735 189.534 204.678 182.188 141.619 177.970 173.5617-8 113.970 117.041 111.943 137.257 150.842 184.766 199.529 177.605 138.056 173.4938-9 92.727 110.726 113.709 108.756 133.350 146.549 179.507 193.850 172.550 134.1269-10 86.908 89.521 106.897 109.777 104.996 128.739 141.481 173.300 187.147 166.583

10-11 112.595 83.014 85.510 102.108 104.859 100.292 122.971 135.142 165.536 178.76211-12 116.096 106.862 78.787 81.156 96.909 99.520 95.185 116.710 128.261 157.10712-13 122.372 109.176 100.492 74.091 76.318 91.132 93.588 89.511 109.753 120.61613-14 117.371 114.593 102.236 94.104 69.381 71.467 85.339 87.638 83.821 102.77614-15 100.820 109.725 107.128 95.576 87.974 64.862 66.811 79.780 81.929 78.36115-16 83.090 94.150 102.466 100.041 89.253 82.154 60.571 62.391 74.502 76.50916-17 60.417 77.478 87.791 95.545 93.283 83.224 76.605 56.479 58.177 69.47017-18 53.037 56.245 72.128 81.729 88.948 86.842 77.478 71.315 52.579 54.16018-19 47.321 49.316 52.299 67.067 75.995 82.707 80.749 72.042 66.312 48.89019-20 43.051 43.946 45.799 48.569 62.284 70.575 76.808 74.990 66.904 61.582


TOTALE 2.618.676 2.676.709 2.717.421 2.809.560 2.910.691 3.005.491 3.092.214 3.138.510 3.185.311 3.222.170

CONSISTENZA PARCO AUTOCARRI MERCI FINO A 3,5 TONN. SECONDO L'ANNO DI PRIMA IMMATRICOLAZIONE

(Valori teorici)

AUTOCARRI MERCI FINO A 3,5 TONN. DI PTT

Consistenza parco veicoli: Confronto dei valori medi empirici e teorici nel periodo 2002-2011


0

50.000

100.000

150.000

200.000

250.000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

Graf. 3

Valori medi empirici

Valori medi teorici

y = 0,0041x + 0,0056R2 = 0,949

0,00

0,03

0,06

0,09Graf. 4

Tab.I.5

ANZIANITA' 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0-1 14.115 11.427 13.628 13.397 13.143 13.240 14.661 8.308 7.655 8.0361-2 23.195 25.085 18.678 20.107 19.173 18.107 16.315 17.651 10.602 10.0682-3 23.684 23.706 25.949 19.314 20.577 19.493 18.286 16.459 17.767 9.9493-4 20.145 23.707 23.798 26.160 19.430 20.593 19.488 18.340 16.435 16.0844-5 16.835 20.077 23.658 23.815 26.115 19.258 20.388 19.435 18.325 17.8435-6 12.864 16.737 19.974 23.577 23.599 25.785 19.002 20.268 19.380 18.8566-7 15.199 12.792 16.690 19.892 23.346 23.229 25.417 18.876 20.165 19.4207-8 15.044 15.092 12.736 16.566 19.636 22.942 22.842 25.208 18.730 20.1588-9 11.472 14.918 14.964 12.647 16.346 19.233 22.577 22.589 25.027 18.6189-10 11.587 11.369 14.798 14.836 12.427 16.007 18.897 22.296 22.324 24.851

10-11 17.112 11.432 11.259 14.608 14.568 12.157 15.665 18.625 22.015 22.15711-12 18.854 16.881 11.282 11.124 14.288 14.165 11.846 15.442 18.336 21.76812-13 22.184 18.497 16.486 11.081 10.919 13.919 13.798 11.631 15.180 18.03613-14 28.104 21.789 18.033 16.141 10.810 10.651 13.490 13.456 11.386 14.89514-15 28.173 27.254 21.102 17.589 15.676 10.540 10.353 13.151 13.106 11.14815-16 26.897 27.119 25.866 20.556 16.917 15.206 10.193 10.117 12.825 12.76316-17 21.602 25.743 25.545 24.617 19.717 16.308 14.737 9.941 9.909 12.53017-18 21.163 20.536 23.972 24.287 23.719 18.893 15.649 14.305 9.710 9.64718-19 20.969 20.199 18.904 22.576 23.184 22.576 18.030 15.092 13.868 9.38319-20 20.023 20.021 18.401 17.849 21.415 22.065 21.429 17.395 14.561 13.477

TOTALE FINO A 20 389.221 384.381 375.723 370.739 365.005 354.367 343.063 328.585 317.306 309.687OLTRE 20 289.363 295.723 260.067 265.466 268.962 276.177 283.946 293.230 298.364 299.070

TOTALE 678.584 680.104 635.790 636.205 633.967 630.544 627.009 621.815 615.670 608.757

CONSISTENZA PARCO AUTOCARRI MERCI OLTRE 3,5 TONN. SECONDO L'ANNO DI PRIMA IMMATRICOLAZIONE

(Valori empirici)

Tab.I.6

ANZIANITA' 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0-1 14.115 11.427 13.628 13.397 13.143 13.240 14.661 8.308 7.655 8.0361-2 23.195 14.166 11.468 13.677 13.445 13.190 13.288 14.714 8.338 7.6832-3 23.684 23.209 14.174 11.475 13.685 13.453 13.198 13.296 14.723 8.3433-4 20.145 23.627 23.153 14.140 11.447 13.652 13.421 13.167 13.264 14.6874-5 16.835 20.036 23.500 23.028 14.064 11.386 13.579 13.349 13.095 13.1925-6 12.864 16.781 19.971 23.424 22.954 14.018 11.349 13.535 13.305 13.0536-7 15.199 12.776 16.665 19.834 23.262 22.796 13.922 11.271 13.442 13.2147-8 15.044 15.061 12.659 16.513 19.653 23.051 22.588 13.795 11.168 13.3198-9 11.472 14.881 14.897 12.522 16.334 19.440 22.800 22.343 13.645 11.0479-10 11.587 11.329 14.695 14.711 12.365 16.130 19.197 22.515 22.064 13.475

10-11 17.112 11.418 11.163 14.480 14.496 12.185 15.894 18.916 22.186 21.74111-12 18.854 16.818 11.221 10.971 14.231 14.247 11.975 15.621 18.591 21.80512-13 22.184 18.473 16.478 10.995 10.750 13.944 13.959 11.733 15.305 18.21613-14 28.104 21.671 18.046 16.097 10.740 10.501 13.621 13.636 11.462 14.95114-15 28.173 27.354 21.092 17.564 15.667 10.454 10.221 13.257 13.272 11.15615-16 26.897 27.268 26.475 20.415 17.000 15.164 10.118 9.892 12.832 12.84616-17 21.602 25.925 26.283 25.519 19.677 16.386 14.616 9.752 9.535 12.36817-18 21.163 20.726 24.874 25.217 24.484 18.879 15.721 14.023 9.357 9.14818-19 20.969 20.170 19.753 23.706 24.033 23.335 17.993 14.983 13.365 8.91819-20 20.023 19.946 19.186 18.789 22.550 22.861 22.196 17.115 14.252 12.713

TOTALE FINO A 20 389.221 373.059 359.382 346.474 333.981 318.309 304.316 285.221 270.856 259.910OLTRE 20 289.363 295.723 260.067 265.466 268.962 276.177 283.946 293.230 298.364 299.070

TOTALE 678.584 668.782 619.449 611.940 602.943 594.486 588.262 578.451 569.220 558.980

CONSISTENZA PARCO AUTOCARRI MERCI OLTRE 3,5 TONN. SECONDO L'ANNO DI PRIMA IMMATRICOLAZIONE

(Valori teorici)

AUTOCARRI MERCI OLTRE 3,5 TONN. DI PTT



0

5.000

10.000

15.000

20.000

25.000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20


Valori medi teorici

Graf. 5

y = 0,003x - 0,0066R2 = 0,9304

-0,02

0,00

0,02

0,04

0,06Graf. 6

Tab.I.7

ANZIANITA' 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0-1 214.388 167.103 209.264 204.186 221.656 219.376 213.574 165.738 168.339 158.7551-2 246.908 309.791 221.342 234.404 226.597 241.464 233.659 224.419 174.375 176.6902-3 229.855 248.210 313.576 222.843 233.895 224.331 238.635 231.987 222.763 171.4913-4 185.531 228.398 247.260 312.941 220.033 228.717 218.333 234.687 228.186 213.2314-5 164.485 183.588 225.965 244.782 307.969 213.723 221.505 213.267 229.556 228.4425-6 130.596 162.575 181.251 223.337 240.244 298.325 206.710 216.857 208.214 224.4586-7 135.260 128.275 159.795 178.559 218.681 233.178 287.943 201.379 212.029 203.3187-8 129.014 132.950 125.782 156.381 174.906 212.917 226.074 279.884 196.470 206.8178-9 104.199 126.362 130.204 123.020 150.323 169.826 206.804 220.802 271.776 190.9919-10 98.495 100.151 123.187 126.814 119.431 142.425 164.209 201.852 214.260 263.231

10-11 129.707 93.588 96.683 119.298 122.615 114.491 136.227 153.454 194.192 206.74611-12 134.950 123.128 89.686 93.354 114.957 116.171 109.451 127.052 144.662 186.89012-13 144.556 127.682 116.813 85.721 89.455 106.960 109.600 101.412 119.054 139.02813-14 145.475 136.924 120.447 111.311 81.390 83.039 99.904 101.809 94.865 113.81214-15 128.993 138.205 128.809 114.585 105.392 75.360 77.193 92.942 95.279 90.28515-16 109.987 121.450 129.281 122.200 108.363 97.490 69.850 72.014 87.626 90.77616-17 82.019 103.272 112.471 122.418 115.304 100.273 90.473 65.161 67.851 83.66917-18 74.200 76.709 94.542 106.029 115.578 106.863 93.422 84.427 61.423 64.69418-19 68.290 69.411 69.574 88.723 99.560 107.441 99.575 87.397 79.594 58.46519-20 63.074 63.975 61.969 65.367 83.172 92.384 100.261 93.539 82.487 75.898


TOTALE 3.297.260 3.450.903 3.502.633 3.637.740 3.761.173 3.841.139 3.913.210 3.943.042 3.981.839 4.022.129

CONSISTENZA PARCO AUTOCARRI MERCI SECONDO L'ANNO DI PRIMA IMMATRICOLAZIONE

(Valori empirici)

Tab.I.8

ANZIANITA' 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0-1 214.388 167.103 209.264 204.186 221.656 219.376 213.574 165.738 168.339 158.7551-2 246.908 213.359 166.301 208.260 203.206 220.592 218.323 212.549 164.942 167.5312-3 229.855 246.066 212.631 165.734 207.549 202.513 219.840 217.579 211.824 164.3803-4 185.531 226.040 241.982 209.102 162.983 204.104 199.151 216.191 213.967 208.3084-5 164.485 182.414 222.242 237.917 205.589 160.245 200.675 195.806 212.559 210.3725-6 130.596 161.094 178.654 217.661 233.012 201.351 156.942 196.539 191.770 208.1776-7 135.260 127.602 157.401 174.558 212.671 227.670 196.735 153.343 192.033 187.3737-8 129.014 132.072 124.594 153.691 170.444 207.658 222.304 192.098 149.729 187.5078-9 104.199 125.576 128.553 121.274 149.596 165.902 202.125 216.380 186.979 145.7399-10 98.495 100.844 121.532 124.413 117.369 144.778 160.560 195.616 209.412 180.958

10-11 129.707 94.418 96.670 116.502 119.263 112.511 138.786 153.914 187.519 200.74411-12 134.950 123.624 89.990 92.136 111.038 113.671 107.235 132.277 146.696 178.72512-13 144.556 127.564 116.858 85.065 87.093 104.961 107.449 101.365 125.037 138.66713-14 145.475 136.132 120.130 110.048 80.108 82.018 98.845 101.188 95.459 117.75114-15 128.993 136.784 128.000 112.954 103.474 75.322 77.118 92.939 95.143 89.75615-16 109.987 121.134 128.451 120.202 106.072 97.170 70.733 72.420 87.277 89.34616-17 82.019 103.128 113.581 120.441 112.706 99.458 91.111 66.323 67.904 81.83517-18 74.200 76.782 96.543 106.328 112.750 105.509 93.107 85.293 62.088 63.56818-19 68.290 69.347 71.760 90.229 99.374 105.376 98.609 87.018 79.715 58.02719-20 63.074 63.771 64.758 67.011 84.258 92.798 98.403 92.083 81.259 74.440


TOTALE 3.297.260 3.344.011 3.334.627 3.419.178 3.511.864 3.599.369 3.681.431 3.719.621 3.758.488 3.786.401

CONSISTENZA PARCO AUTOCARRI MERCI SECONDO L'ANNO DI PRIMA IMMATRICOLAZIONE

(Valori teorici)

AUTOCARRI MERCI TOTALI



0

50.000

100.000

150.000

200.000

250.000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

Graf. 7

Valori medi teorici


y = 0,0038x + 0,005R2 = 0,9527

0,00

0,02

0,04

0,06

0,08Graf. 8

Tab.I.9

ANZIANITA' 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0-1 1.442.085 1.393.406 1.153.037 1.049.845 940.940 909.757 947.990 1.023.404 905.222 782.755 719.576 698.7071-2 1.660.947 1.626.565 1.584.124 1.352.512 1.186.114 949.281 908.323 937.735 1.005.386 890.978 775.898 716.9672-3 1.827.745 1.647.253 1.620.060 1.576.500 1.348.083 1.175.718 941.840 898.255 921.863 993.881 878.689 767.6153-4 1.932.873 1.809.133 1.634.314 1.607.102 1.564.226 1.330.555 1.160.912 930.751 884.434 912.074 982.909 865.4514-5 1.366.615 1.909.414 1.792.004 1.617.607 1.590.287 1.541.362 1.310.611 1.144.801 916.245 873.870 900.970 971.8885-6 1.429.141 1.344.277 1.889.452 1.771.340 1.594.268 1.564.046 1.512.506 1.285.920 1.122.748 904.300 861.783 890.9676-7 1.380.862 1.402.255 1.323.804 1.863.416 1.737.727 1.557.226 1.527.065 1.473.844 1.253.581 1.104.284 889.721 850.4697-8 1.380.924 1.350.658 1.376.501 1.295.834 1.819.894 1.685.200 1.505.228 1.478.755 1.427.236 1.226.520 1.080.421 875.4888-9 1.903.397 1.343.310 1.319.061 1.340.543 1.248.473 1.752.037 1.612.386 1.438.900 1.424.241 1.386.668 1.191.219 1.056.6649-10 1.716.674 1.819.611 1.298.925 1.271.189 1.278.397 1.178.779 1.664.246 1.521.387 1.369.192 1.377.032 1.332.601 1.155.73410-11 1.611.735 1.576.250 1.712.854 1.233.671 1.193.388 1.189.911 1.090.419 1.550.837 1.427.985 1.234.950 1.298.433 1.274.72811-12 1.441.138 1.451.766 1.405.669 1.582.408 1.130.195 1.094.334 1.086.302 980.223 1.444.520 1.269.052 1.133.018 1.232.00112-13 1.128.008 1.266.091 1.253.794 1.232.379 1.398.540 1.010.371 983.353 944.612 862.076 1.254.075 1.142.537 1.057.64613-14 844.380 967.968 1.069.956 1.094.272 1.037.689 1.214.867 888.625 824.815 822.581 739.221 1.120.116 1.053.82314-15 667.444 712.670 801.397 898.586 889.836 870.269 1.042.869 730.667 709.594 695.261 646.527 1.017.30115-16 540.981 553.431 581.521 665.974 739.754 747.583 729.530 841.983 621.972 596.656 606.886 579.92816-17 435.119 435.614 446.817 483.105 542.344 621.168 620.217 585.068 714.736 520.259 519.863 538.31017-18 377.698 340.479 345.694 369.277 391.032 455.079 516.815 505.855 498.474 600.949 453.088 459.99818-19 313.075 296.626 276.514 284.518 294.933 331.312 380.965 425.881 431.626 426.373 527.288 401.38819-20 288.141 254.706 244.808 229.709 220.561 251.776 280.467 318.892 366.455 375.527 380.325 471.475

TOTALE FINO A 20 23.688.982 23.501.483 23.130.306 22.819.787 22.146.681 21.430.631 20.710.669 19.842.585 19.130.167 18.164.685 17.441.868 16.936.548OLTRE 20 2.505.615 2.572.300 2.628.369 2.701.886 1.953.570 2.094.653 2.202.980 2.337.800 2.522.455 2.746.399 2.987.761 3.226.609

TOTALE 26.194.597 26.073.783 25.758.675 25.521.673 24.100.251 23.525.284 22.913.649 22.180.385 21.652.622 20.911.084 20.429.629 20.163.157

CONSISTENZA PARCO AUTOVETTURE A BENZINA SECONDO L'ANNO DI PRIMA IMMATRICOLAZIONE

(Valori empirici)

Tab.I.10

ANZIANITA' 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0-1 1.442.085 1.393.406 1.153.037 1.049.845 940.940 909.757 947.990 1.023.404 905.222 782.755 719.576 698.7071-2 1.660.947 1.428.116 1.379.908 1.141.868 1.039.675 931.825 900.944 938.807 1.013.490 896.453 775.173 712.6062-3 1.827.745 1.641.082 1.411.035 1.363.405 1.128.211 1.027.241 920.681 890.169 927.579 1.001.369 885.732 765.9023-4 1.932.873 1.804.448 1.620.164 1.393.050 1.346.026 1.113.831 1.014.147 908.945 878.823 915.756 988.605 874.4424-5 1.366.615 1.907.171 1.780.454 1.598.621 1.374.526 1.328.128 1.099.020 1.000.662 896.859 867.137 903.579 975.4605-6 1.429.141 1.345.024 1.877.039 1.752.324 1.573.364 1.352.810 1.307.145 1.081.656 984.852 882.689 853.437 889.3036-7 1.380.862 1.400.546 1.318.112 1.839.483 1.717.263 1.541.883 1.325.742 1.280.991 1.060.014 965.147 865.028 836.3617-8 1.380.924 1.344.995 1.364.168 1.283.875 1.791.704 1.672.659 1.501.834 1.291.307 1.247.718 1.032.481 940.078 842.5608-9 1.903.397 1.334.126 1.299.415 1.317.938 1.240.366 1.730.985 1.615.975 1.450.939 1.247.547 1.205.435 997.492 908.2209-10 1.716.674 1.821.895 1.277.000 1.243.775 1.261.505 1.187.254 1.656.866 1.546.779 1.388.811 1.194.127 1.153.819 954.77910-11 1.611.735 1.601.357 1.699.509 1.191.218 1.160.225 1.176.764 1.107.501 1.545.566 1.442.875 1.295.518 1.113.912 1.076.31111-12 1.441.138 1.476.971 1.467.460 1.557.406 1.091.615 1.063.213 1.078.369 1.014.898 1.416.334 1.322.230 1.187.194 1.020.77312-13 1.128.008 1.289.242 1.321.298 1.312.790 1.393.255 976.558 951.151 964.709 907.928 1.267.053 1.182.867 1.062.06313-14 844.380 989.285 1.130.691 1.158.804 1.151.343 1.221.912 856.461 834.178 846.069 796.271 1.111.230 1.037.39814-15 667.444 727.435 852.271 974.092 998.312 991.884 1.052.679 737.843 718.646 728.890 685.988 957.32715-16 540.981 568.174 619.242 725.511 829.214 849.832 844.359 896.113 628.102 611.760 620.481 583.96016-17 435.119 457.602 480.604 523.801 613.692 701.411 718.851 714.222 757.999 531.296 517.472 524.84917-18 377.698 369.571 388.667 408.204 444.894 521.243 595.748 610.561 606.629 643.812 451.259 439.51918-19 313.075 323.129 316.176 332.513 349.227 380.616 445.934 509.675 522.347 518.984 550.794 386.06219-20 288.141 271.344 280.058 274.032 288.191 302.678 329.883 386.494 441.739 452.722 449.807 477.377


TOTALE 26.194.597 26.067.219 25.664.679 25.144.441 23.687.118 23.077.137 22.474.260 21.965.719 21.362.038 20.658.283 19.941.284 19.250.587

CONSISTENZA PARCO AUTOVETTURE A BENZINA SECONDO L'ANNO DI PRIMA IMMATRICOLAZIONE

(Valori teorici)

AUTOVETTURE A BENZINA



0

400.000

800.000

1.200.000

1.600.000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20


Valori medi teorici

Graf. 9

y = -0,0001x3 + 0,0038x2 - 0,0226x + 0,041R2 = 0,9858

0

0,06

0,12

0,18Graf. 10

Tab.I.11

ANZIANITA' 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0-1 755.791 792.458 873.204 998.504 1.365.187 1.353.625 1.422.526 1.443.328 1.132.047 950.977 937.819 994.3631-2 725.706 865.305 936.273 1.057.344 1.187.158 1.413.219 1.389.177 1.431.258 1.457.350 1.131.132 952.648 943.3582-3 562.962 721.869 862.404 935.310 1.053.486 1.183.836 1.407.966 1.376.411 1.418.972 1.443.943 1.118.239 943.6283-4 428.965 558.977 716.109 857.535 923.874 1.040.363 1.166.027 1.380.678 1.351.004 1.397.792 1.425.176 1.099.9394-5 277.457 425.492 554.161 709.509 847.068 911.092 1.021.634 1.137.938 1.351.317 1.329.606 1.375.719 1.405.3335-6 158.488 274.774 421.322 548.186 700.266 835.513 893.839 994.200 1.110.217 1.331.746 1.309.433 1.355.8806-7 128.087 156.354 271.174 416.031 538.824 687.197 815.721 861.799 961.391 1.087.963 1.306.260 1.285.9417-8 116.355 125.737 153.674 266.588 406.236 523.973 664.420 778.878 824.116 934.928 1.058.484 1.275.1638-9 149.078 113.391 122.795 150.357 257.802 391.609 499.779 625.398 738.436 793.702 899.656 1.023.0379-10 90.946 143.852 109.597 119.189 143.654 245.244 369.545 462.417 585.299 705.066 756.601 859.745

10-11 104.106 84.384 137.009 105.079 111.936 134.942 227.035 336.857 425.957 536.361 660.656 713.18211-12 163.386 95.123 77.357 127.619 95.983 103.197 123.580 200.459 307.524 383.271 494.371 617.91512-13 201.952 146.077 86.125 69.603 115.177 86.509 93.164 107.279 177.130 271.213 346.132 456.78813-14 205.641 178.851 129.054 77.399 61.587 102.562 76.538 79.710 94.347 156.030 242.833 315.66614-15 166.671 182.643 157.542 113.737 66.806 56.432 90.156 64.774 69.695 82.697 139.240 218.62815-16 144.819 149.633 161.875 139.208 95.518 61.787 51.415 76.300 56.320 60.830 74.229 125.29116-17 121.978 131.131 134.604 144.711 114.077 88.541 56.629 46.274 66.921 49.353 54.552 66.72217-18 73.681 111.953 119.397 122.487 112.660 107.691 81.261 51.707 42.624 59.170 44.481 49.07118-19 69.918 69.218 104.234 109.667 90.025 107.913 99.879 75.070 48.076 39.797 54.212 40.39819-20 55.020 67.095 66.010 97.433 75.923 88.056 100.533 93.692 70.680 45.357 38.101 50.133

TOTALE FINO A 20 4.701.007 5.394.317 6.193.920 7.165.496 8.363.247 9.523.301 10.650.824 11.624.427 12.289.423 12.790.934 13.288.842 13.840.181OLTRE 20 96.502 147.585 209.704 267.647 209.025 287.592 356.284 440.827 518.561 574.832 611.264 644.720

TOTALE 4.797.509 5.541.902 6.403.624 7.433.143 8.572.272 9.810.893 11.007.108 12.065.254 12.807.984 13.365.766 13.900.106 14.484.901

CONSISTENZA PARCO AUTOVETTURE A GASOLIO SECONDO L'ANNO DI PRIMA IMMATRICOLAZIONE

(Valori empirici)

Tab.I.12

ANZIANITA' 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0-1 755.791 792.458 873.204 998.504 1.365.187 1.353.625 1.422.526 1.443.328 1.132.047 950.977 937.819 994.3631-2 725.706 745.361 781.522 861.154 984.725 1.346.347 1.334.945 1.402.895 1.423.410 1.116.425 937.854 924.8772-3 562.962 721.241 740.776 776.714 855.856 978.667 1.338.065 1.326.732 1.394.264 1.414.653 1.109.556 932.0843-4 428.965 555.666 711.894 731.175 766.648 844.764 965.983 1.320.723 1.309.538 1.376.195 1.396.319 1.095.1774-5 277.457 422.691 547.539 701.482 720.481 755.435 832.409 951.855 1.301.407 1.290.385 1.356.067 1.375.8985-6 158.488 273.140 416.115 539.020 690.568 709.272 743.682 819.458 937.045 1.281.159 1.270.308 1.334.9696-7 128.087 155.253 267.565 407.621 528.018 676.473 694.795 728.502 802.732 917.919 1.255.009 1.244.3807-8 116.355 124.547 150.963 260.171 396.357 513.427 657.780 675.595 708.371 780.549 892.554 1.220.3298-9 149.078 112.078 119.969 145.413 250.607 381.787 494.553 633.599 650.759 682.331 751.856 859.7439-10 90.946 141.994 106.752 114.268 138.504 238.699 363.645 471.053 603.492 619.837 649.909 716.130

10-11 104.106 84.927 132.597 99.687 106.706 129.338 222.902 339.579 439.879 563.553 578.816 606.89811-12 163.386 95.264 77.714 121.335 91.221 97.643 118.353 203.970 310.738 402.519 515.689 529.65612-13 201.952 146.550 85.448 69.706 108.833 81.821 87.582 106.157 182.953 278.719 361.042 462.55113-14 205.641 179.022 129.911 75.746 61.792 96.476 72.531 77.638 94.104 162.180 247.073 320.05014-15 166.671 181.314 157.844 114.543 66.785 54.482 85.063 63.951 68.453 82.972 142.994 217.84415-16 144.819 147.420 160.372 139.613 101.313 59.072 48.189 75.238 56.564 60.547 73.388 126.47816-17 121.978 129.165 131.486 143.037 124.522 90.362 52.686 42.980 67.105 50.450 54.002 65.45617-18 73.681 109.756 116.223 118.311 128.705 112.045 81.308 47.407 38.674 60.382 45.395 48.59118-19 69.918 67.123 99.987 105.879 107.781 117.250 102.073 74.071 43.188 35.232 55.007 41.35519-20 55.020 64.549 61.968 92.309 97.748 99.504 108.246 94.234 68.383 39.871 32.526 50.783


TOTALE 4.797.509 5.397.106 6.079.553 6.883.337 7.901.381 9.024.080 10.183.598 11.339.794 12.151.669 12.741.687 13.274.450 13.812.330

CONSISTENZA PARCO AUTOVETTURE A GASOLIO SECONDO L'ANNO DI PRIMA IMMATRICOLAZIONE

(Valori teorici)

AUTOVETTURE A GASOLIO



0

400.000

800.000

1.200.000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20


Valori medi teorici

Graf. 11

y = -0,0001x3 + 0,0035x2 - 0,0152x + 0,0256R2 = 0,9815

0,00

0,04

0,08

0,12

Graf. 12

Tab.I.13

ANZIANITA' 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0-1 19.893 15.781 7.055 7.033 14.914 31.433 45.581 97.728 177.890 483.162 349.704 94.2761-2 31.713 33.093 21.536 12.855 13.159 22.414 45.612 62.341 121.538 195.832 492.323 350.6932-3 40.445 38.592 36.035 24.161 16.169 20.551 28.207 51.170 73.298 127.899 201.786 493.5193-4 55.211 49.068 41.286 37.666 27.861 25.226 28.053 32.777 58.901 77.648 132.967 206.1734-5 58.335 66.242 52.849 43.313 41.787 36.717 32.705 32.168 39.275 62.838 81.657 137.0945-6 74.510 68.349 70.626 55.114 47.489 50.306 45.961 37.737 40.028 42.928 66.324 83.5016-7 81.613 85.178 72.366 71.944 59.922 57.012 60.062 52.188 47.105 44.457 46.354 66.8877-8 80.990 90.291 88.866 72.757 76.806 69.646 67.060 65.840 62.330 51.984 48.273 46.9878-9 140.879 88.409 92.116 88.383 75.877 85.192 79.032 72.213 75.252 67.730 55.912 48.6439-10 177.735 148.672 88.566 89.028 89.695 80.686 91.648 82.317 79.946 79.997 71.440 55.858

10-11 182.973 180.358 143.703 79.370 86.633 91.153 82.386 91.383 87.503 79.316 81.675 70.16711-12 154.846 178.771 168.092 113.639 77.531 83.424 89.690 78.474 93.268 83.744 78.223 79.06912-13 111.621 145.446 160.175 124.335 115.244 71.857 78.807 82.279 74.862 85.223 79.542 74.52813-14 74.168 100.589 126.604 108.894 125.552 105.998 65.129 69.775 76.710 66.638 78.834 74.23214-15 55.647 64.792 84.828 105.403 112.062 112.455 94.778 55.813 63.606 66.958 59.421 71.47415-16 43.796 47.213 52.600 69.480 87.371 99.242 98.704 80.474 49.404 54.896 59.374 53.25716-17 32.517 36.717 37.810 42.452 56.671 75.133 84.848 82.954 70.440 42.274 48.374 52.44917-18 26.671 26.545 29.638 30.249 33.938 48.579 64.411 71.872 72.004 59.986 37.073 42.61118-19 21.333 22.093 21.800 23.950 24.025 29.403 41.851 55.314 62.274 61.560 52.671 32.75219-20 21.849 18.320 18.547 17.836 18.751 21.062 25.722 36.287 48.578 54.245 54.511 47.144


TOTALE 1.591.709 1.623.344 1.543.854 1.355.630 1.300.624 1.331.308 1.376.525 1.434.458 1.644.577 2.094.940 2.421.576 2.465.242

CONSISTENZA PARCO AUTOVETTURE CON ALTRE ALIMENTAZIONI SECONDO L'ANNO DI PRIMA IMMATRICOLAZIONE

(Valori empirici)

Tab.I.14

ANZIANITA' 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0-1 19.893 15.781 7.055 7.033 14.914 31.433 45.581 97.728 177.890 483.162 349.704 94.2761-2 31.713 23.175 18.385 8.219 8.193 17.375 36.619 53.102 113.853 207.242 562.884 407.4052-3 40.445 36.908 26.971 21.396 9.565 9.536 20.221 42.618 61.800 132.502 241.188 655.0843-4 55.211 46.690 42.606 31.136 24.700 11.042 11.008 23.343 49.198 71.342 152.961 278.4284-5 58.335 62.830 53.133 48.486 35.433 28.108 12.566 12.527 26.564 55.987 81.187 174.0695-6 74.510 65.090 70.106 59.286 54.100 39.536 31.363 14.021 13.978 29.640 62.471 90.5886-7 81.613 81.141 70.883 76.345 64.562 58.915 43.054 34.155 15.269 15.222 32.278 68.0307-8 80.990 86.412 85.913 75.051 80.834 68.358 62.380 45.586 36.163 16.167 16.117 34.1768-9 140.879 83.128 88.693 88.181 77.033 82.968 70.163 64.026 46.789 37.118 16.594 16.5429-10 177.735 139.893 82.546 88.072 87.563 76.493 82.388 69.672 63.578 46.462 36.858 16.478

10-11 182.973 176.819 139.172 82.121 87.618 87.112 76.099 81.963 69.313 63.251 46.222 36.66811-12 154.846 174.790 168.911 132.948 78.448 83.700 83.216 72.696 78.297 66.213 60.422 44.15512-13 111.621 142.856 161.255 155.832 122.653 72.374 77.219 76.772 67.067 72.235 61.086 55.74313-14 74.168 99.987 127.966 144.448 139.590 109.870 64.830 69.170 68.771 60.077 64.706 54.71914-15 55.647 66.132 89.153 114.101 128.797 124.465 97.965 57.806 61.676 61.319 53.567 57.69515-16 43.796 47.815 56.825 76.606 98.043 110.670 106.948 84.178 49.670 52.996 52.689 46.02816-17 32.517 37.078 40.481 48.109 64.856 83.005 93.696 90.544 71.266 42.052 44.867 44.60817-18 26.671 27.379 31.220 34.085 40.508 54.609 69.890 78.892 76.238 60.006 35.408 37.77818-19 21.333 22.601 23.201 26.456 28.884 34.326 46.276 59.225 66.853 64.605 50.850 30.00519-20 21.849 18.323 19.412 19.927 22.723 24.808 29.482 39.746 50.868 57.419 55.488 43.674


TOTALE 1.591.709 1.573.654 1.532.645 1.475.606 1.368.185 1.322.523 1.287.243 1.311.124 1.435.467 1.900.641 2.322.684 2.570.078

CONSISTENZA PARCO AUTOVETTURE CON ALTRE ALIMENTAZIONI SECONDO L'ANNO DI PRIMA IMMATRICOLAZIONE

(Valori teorici)

AUTOVETTURE CON ALTRE ALIMENTAZIONI



0

40.000

80.000

120.000

160.000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20


Valori medi teorici

Graf. 13

y = -0,0002x3 + 0,0053x2 - 0,0133x - 0,1568R2 = 0,996

-0,2

-0,15

-0,1

-0,05

0

0,05

0,1

0,15

0,2Graf. 14

Tab.I.15

ANZIANITA' 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0-1 2.217.769 2.201.645 2.033.296 2.055.382 2.321.041 2.294.815 2.416.097 2.564.460 2.215.159 2.216.894 2.007.099 1.787.3461-2 2.418.366 2.524.963 2.541.933 2.422.711 2.386.431 2.384.914 2.343.112 2.431.334 2.584.274 2.217.942 2.220.869 2.011.0182-3 2.431.152 2.407.714 2.518.499 2.535.971 2.417.738 2.380.105 2.378.013 2.325.836 2.414.133 2.565.723 2.198.714 2.204.7623-4 2.417.049 2.417.178 2.391.709 2.502.303 2.515.961 2.396.144 2.354.992 2.344.206 2.294.339 2.387.514 2.541.052 2.171.5634-5 1.702.407 2.401.148 2.399.014 2.370.429 2.479.142 2.489.171 2.364.950 2.314.907 2.306.837 2.266.314 2.358.346 2.514.3155-6 1.662.139 1.687.400 2.381.400 2.374.640 2.342.023 2.449.865 2.452.306 2.317.857 2.272.993 2.278.974 2.237.540 2.330.3486-7 1.590.562 1.643.787 1.667.344 2.351.391 2.336.473 2.301.435 2.402.848 2.387.831 2.262.077 2.236.704 2.242.335 2.203.2977-8 1.578.269 1.566.686 1.619.041 1.635.179 2.302.936 2.278.819 2.236.708 2.323.473 2.313.682 2.213.432 2.187.178 2.197.6388-9 2.193.354 1.545.110 1.533.972 1.579.283 1.582.152 2.228.838 2.191.197 2.136.511 2.237.929 2.248.100 2.146.787 2.128.3449-10 1.985.355 2.112.135 1.497.088 1.479.406 1.511.746 1.504.709 2.125.439 2.066.121 2.034.437 2.162.095 2.160.642 2.071.337

10-11 1.898.814 1.840.992 1.993.566 1.418.120 1.391.957 1.416.006 1.399.840 1.979.077 1.941.445 1.850.627 2.040.764 2.058.07711-12 1.759.370 1.725.660 1.651.118 1.823.666 1.303.709 1.280.955 1.299.572 1.259.156 1.845.312 1.736.067 1.705.612 1.928.98512-13 1.441.581 1.557.614 1.500.094 1.426.317 1.628.961 1.168.737 1.155.324 1.134.170 1.114.068 1.610.511 1.568.211 1.588.96213-14 1.124.189 1.247.408 1.325.614 1.280.565 1.224.828 1.423.427 1.030.292 974.300 993.638 961.889 1.441.783 1.443.72114-15 889.762 960.105 1.043.767 1.117.726 1.068.704 1.039.156 1.227.803 851.254 842.895 844.916 845.188 1.307.40315-16 729.596 750.277 795.996 874.662 922.643 908.612 879.649 998.757 727.696 712.382 740.489 758.47616-17 589.614 603.462 619.231 670.268 713.092 784.842 761.694 714.296 852.097 611.886 622.789 657.48117-18 478.050 478.977 494.729 522.013 537.630 611.349 662.487 629.434 613.102 720.105 534.642 551.68018-19 404.326 387.937 402.548 418.135 408.983 468.628 522.695 556.265 541.976 527.730 634.171 474.53819-20 365.010 340.121 329.365 344.978 315.235 360.894 406.722 448.871 485.713 475.129 472.937 568.752


TOTALE 32.583.815 33.239.029 33.706.153 34.310.446 33.973.147 34.667.485 35.297.282 35.680.097 36.105.183 36.371.790 36.751.311 37.113.300

CONSISTENZA PARCO AUTOVETTURE TOTALI SECONDO L'ANNO DI PRIMA IMMATRICOLAZIONE

(Valori empirici)

Tab.I.16

ANZIANITA' 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0-1 2.217.769 2.201.645 2.033.296 2.055.382 2.321.041 2.294.815 2.416.097 2.564.460 2.215.159 2.216.894 2.007.099 1.787.3461-2 2.418.366 2.211.337 2.195.260 2.027.399 2.049.421 2.314.310 2.288.160 2.409.090 2.557.023 2.208.735 2.210.465 2.001.2782-3 2.431.152 2.406.394 2.200.390 2.184.393 2.017.363 2.039.276 2.302.853 2.276.833 2.397.164 2.544.365 2.197.801 2.199.5223-4 2.417.049 2.407.515 2.382.998 2.178.997 2.163.155 1.997.749 2.019.449 2.280.463 2.254.696 2.373.858 2.519.627 2.176.4324-5 1.702.407 2.389.840 2.380.413 2.356.172 2.154.467 2.138.804 1.975.260 1.996.715 2.254.792 2.229.314 2.347.135 2.491.2635-6 1.662.139 1.680.668 2.359.322 2.350.016 2.326.084 2.126.955 2.111.491 1.950.036 1.971.218 2.225.998 2.200.846 2.317.1626-7 1.590.562 1.634.060 1.652.276 2.319.465 2.310.316 2.286.789 2.091.024 2.075.821 1.917.094 1.937.917 2.188.394 2.163.6677-8 1.578.269 1.554.351 1.596.858 1.614.659 2.266.659 2.257.718 2.234.727 2.043.419 2.028.562 1.873.448 1.893.798 2.138.5728-9 2.193.354 1.529.993 1.506.806 1.548.013 1.565.270 2.197.326 2.188.659 2.166.370 1.980.914 1.966.512 1.816.143 1.835.8709-10 1.985.355 2.102.713 1.466.765 1.444.537 1.484.041 1.500.585 2.106.522 2.098.212 2.076.845 1.899.053 1.885.246 1.741.090

10-11 1.898.814 1.859.578 1.969.502 1.373.842 1.353.022 1.390.024 1.405.519 1.973.068 1.965.286 1.945.272 1.778.743 1.765.81111-12 1.759.370 1.738.414 1.702.493 1.803.130 1.257.789 1.238.727 1.272.603 1.286.790 1.806.396 1.799.271 1.780.948 1.628.48612-13 1.441.581 1.563.483 1.544.860 1.512.938 1.602.371 1.117.748 1.100.808 1.130.913 1.143.520 1.605.273 1.598.941 1.582.65813-14 1.124.189 1.255.850 1.362.046 1.345.823 1.318.014 1.395.924 973.739 958.982 985.208 996.190 1.398.452 1.392.93614-15 889.762 961.351 1.073.940 1.164.754 1.150.881 1.127.100 1.193.725 832.693 820.074 842.501 851.892 1.195.88715-16 729.596 753.849 814.503 909.894 986.836 975.082 954.934 1.011.382 705.498 694.806 713.807 721.76416-17 589.614 614.645 635.077 686.174 766.537 831.356 821.454 804.480 852.034 594.344 585.336 601.34417-18 478.050 496.781 517.871 535.086 578.138 645.848 700.462 692.118 677.817 717.884 500.766 493.17718-19 404.326 405.775 421.674 439.576 454.188 490.731 548.204 594.561 587.479 575.340 609.349 425.05719-20 365.010 347.465 348.710 362.373 377.757 390.314 421.718 471.108 510.946 504.860 494.428 523.655


TOTALE 32.583.815 32.954.416 33.131.890 33.319.926 32.765.113 33.253.245 33.812.949 34.539.496 34.919.104 35.278.691 35.423.380 35.338.236

CONSISTENZA PARCO AUTOVETTURE TOTALI SECONDO L'ANNO DI PRIMA IMMATRICOLAZIONE(Valori teorici)

AUTOVETTURE TOTALI



0

500.000

1.000.000

1.500.000

2.000.000

2.500.000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20


Valori medi teorici

Graf. 15

y = -0,0002x3 + 0,0043x2 - 0,0228x + 0,0354R2 = 0,9889

0

0,06

0,12

0,18Graf. 16

Tab.I.17

ANZIANITA' 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0-1 445.773 357.861 326.759 336.369 401.218 415.960 439.177 429.788 402.453 404.602 306.685 254.7451-2 371.065 513.750 410.918 379.538 390.644 407.484 415.833 434.994 425.408 399.020 401.233 303.8462-3 235.942 370.396 513.126 409.974 380.018 390.810 404.669 410.117 428.985 420.336 394.285 396.0313-4 120.956 234.238 367.687 509.149 406.534 376.893 387.427 398.659 403.495 422.996 414.517 387.0514-5 87.409 119.879 231.814 363.652 502.994 401.329 371.487 380.629 390.505 396.786 415.717 406.5815-6 75.493 86.042 118.559 228.517 358.022 494.497 393.948 362.237 371.161 382.427 389.004 405.5976-7 67.096 74.230 84.647 116.824 223.986 350.763 479.472 381.684 350.658 360.248 373.230 379.1457-8 71.499 65.825 72.751 82.900 114.490 218.300 340.977 460.468 367.781 336.237 350.065 362.1668-9 92.181 69.895 64.255 71.129 80.977 111.599 210.766 326.218 440.665 349.886 324.621 338.2549-10 91.659 89.749 68.108 62.624 68.343 78.691 107.983 199.989 311.509 413.366 336.879 312.747

10-11 86.295 87.904 87.219 66.309 59.926 66.788 76.029 102.720 189.865 293.066 395.151 323.69511-12 80.385 83.201 84.580 84.587 62.918 58.587 64.383 72.204 97.880 179.316 280.912 378.41112-13 78.000 77.116 80.149 81.452 79.269 61.334 56.488 60.832 68.958 93.508 172.298 269.46413-14 78.998 74.619 73.935 77.109 75.184 76.945 59.034 53.660 58.066 66.042 90.567 165.68114-15 116.700 75.552 71.482 70.969 70.245 72.847 74.057 56.172 51.307 55.734 64.116 87.76215-16 132.368 111.684 72.318 68.590 63.334 67.864 69.902 70.224 53.693 49.465 54.295 62.26416-17 138.226 126.605 107.008 69.406 60.376 61.183 64.993 66.186 67.199 51.844 48.212 52.83617-18 142.524 132.383 121.393 103.013 60.430 58.272 58.501 61.743 63.256 64.944 50.548 47.08818-19 146.410 137.017 127.386 117.195 89.595 58.385 55.891 55.693 59.041 61.007 63.468 49.44219-20 128.332 141.121 132.466 123.201 101.113 87.062 56.154 53.520 53.595 57.210 59.630 62.128

TOTALE FINO A 20 2.787.311 3.029.067 3.216.560 3.422.507 3.649.616 3.915.593 4.187.171 4.437.737 4.655.480 4.858.040 4.985.433 5.044.934OLTRE 20 588.471 703.239 833.032 953.440 925.028 1.022.766 1.101.647 1.152.522 1.203.614 1.260.058 1.319.599 1.383.542

TOTALE 3.375.782 3.732.306 4.049.592 4.375.947 4.574.644 4.938.359 5.288.818 5.590.259 5.859.094 6.118.098 6.305.032 6.428.476

CONSISTENZA PARCO MOTOCICLI SECONDO L'ANNO DI PRIMA IMMATRICOLAZIONE(Valori empirici)

Tab.I.18

ANZIANITA' 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0-1 445.773 357.861 326.759 336.369 401.218 415.960 439.177 429.788 402.453 404.602 306.685 254.7451-2 371.065 443.544 356.072 325.125 334.687 399.212 413.880 436.981 427.639 400.441 402.579 305.1522-3 235.942 368.540 440.526 353.649 322.913 332.410 396.496 411.064 434.008 424.729 397.716 399.8403-4 120.956 233.267 364.362 435.532 349.640 319.252 328.641 392.000 406.404 429.087 419.914 393.2074-5 87.409 119.192 229.865 359.048 429.179 344.540 314.596 323.848 386.283 400.476 422.829 413.7895-6 75.493 85.772 116.959 225.559 352.322 421.140 338.086 308.702 317.781 379.047 392.974 414.9086-7 67.096 73.709 83.745 114.195 220.228 343.996 411.187 330.096 301.407 310.271 370.089 383.6877-8 71.499 65.218 71.646 81.401 110.999 214.065 334.368 399.679 320.857 292.971 301.588 359.7318-9 92.181 69.193 63.115 69.335 78.775 107.419 207.161 323.584 386.788 310.509 283.522 291.8619-10 91.659 88.753 66.620 60.768 66.757 75.846 103.424 199.457 311.551 372.405 298.962 272.979

10-11 86.295 88.018 85.227 63.973 58.354 64.105 72.833 99.316 191.533 299.173 357.610 287.08511-12 80.385 82.763 84.416 81.739 61.355 55.965 61.481 69.852 95.251 183.695 286.930 342.97512-13 78.000 77.002 79.281 80.863 78.300 58.773 53.610 58.894 66.913 91.243 175.965 274.85613-14 78.998 74.639 73.685 75.865 77.379 74.926 56.241 51.300 56.357 64.030 87.312 168.38314-15 116.700 75.579 71.409 70.496 72.582 74.030 71.683 53.807 49.080 53.918 61.259 83.53315-16 132.368 111.452 72.181 68.198 67.326 69.318 70.702 68.460 51.388 46.873 51.493 58.50416-17 138.226 126.296 106.340 68.870 65.070 64.237 66.138 67.458 65.320 49.030 44.723 49.13117-18 142.524 131.881 120.499 101.459 65.708 62.083 61.289 63.102 64.362 62.321 46.780 42.67018-19 146.410 136.203 126.032 115.155 96.959 62.794 59.329 58.571 60.304 61.507 59.557 44.70519-20 128.332 140.278 130.499 120.754 110.332 92.898 60.164 56.845 56.118 57.778 58.932 57.063

TOTALE FINO A 20 2.787.311 2.949.162 3.069.236 3.208.352 3.420.083 3.652.969 3.920.487 4.202.805 4.451.796 4.694.109 4.827.419 4.898.806OLTRE 20 588.471 703.239 833.032 953.440 925.028 1.022.766 1.101.647 1.152.522 1.203.614 1.260.058 1.319.599 1.383.542

TOTALE 3.375.782 3.652.401 3.902.268 4.161.792 4.345.111 4.675.735 5.022.134 5.355.327 5.655.410 5.954.167 6.147.018 6.282.348

CONSISTENZA PARCO MOTOCICLI SECONDO L'ANNO DI PRIMA IMMATRICOLAZIONE(Valori teorici)

MOTOCICLI



0

150.000

300.000

450.000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

Graf. 17


Valori medi teorici

y = -0,0002x2 + 0,0062x - 0,001R2 = 0,9925

0,00

0,01

0,02

0,03

0,04

0,05

Graf. 18

Tab.I.19

ANZIANITA' 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0-1 10.011 9.316 8.055 6.937 8.802 9.290 9.727 10.434 11.700 5.380 5.862 7.4551-2 12.198 13.332 13.208 12.980 10.727 12.605 13.230 13.064 12.514 14.454 6.907 7.5992-3 8.726 12.223 13.442 13.352 13.365 10.996 12.787 13.285 13.061 12.498 14.395 6.2573-4 6.560 8.666 12.169 13.388 13.312 13.323 10.924 12.552 13.182 13.030 12.289 13.3694-5 7.905 6.483 8.536 11.962 13.131 13.057 12.880 10.411 12.259 13.071 12.842 13.1075-6 7.445 7.764 6.344 8.331 11.596 12.560 12.189 11.825 9.942 11.848 12.716 12.8116-7 4.478 7.296 7.581 6.138 7.974 11.068 11.450 10.847 11.010 9.432 11.336 12.3307-8 3.762 4.292 7.135 7.309 5.788 7.490 9.977 10.234 9.887 10.444 8.998 10.8208-9 4.777 3.639 4.203 6.832 6.828 5.385 6.859 9.046 9.321 9.301 10.014 8.6019-10 5.287 4.574 3.510 3.990 6.285 6.268 4.824 6.075 8.033 8.634 8.651 9.476

10-11 6.017 5.035 4.393 3.326 3.594 5.734 5.614 4.263 5.321 7.406 7.976 8.00711-12 6.001 5.702 4.814 4.116 2.990 3.233 5.094 4.924 3.662 4.886 6.914 7.38412-13 4.855 5.653 5.451 4.467 3.667 2.680 2.873 4.491 4.249 3.348 4.495 6.31013-14 3.942 4.492 5.350 5.042 3.932 3.268 2.352 2.529 3.800 3.867 3.088 4.05614-15 2.676 3.624 4.254 4.898 4.390 3.507 2.859 2.077 2.142 3.362 3.584 2.78815-16 2.286 2.472 3.425 3.859 4.226 3.878 3.079 2.480 1.789 1.926 3.102 3.25316-17 1.964 2.117 2.311 3.116 3.293 3.724 3.387 2.677 2.128 1.617 1.789 2.82817-18 1.876 1.788 1.973 2.110 2.682 2.895 3.233 2.920 2.315 1.905 1.482 1.61218-19 1.998 1.737 1.666 1.801 1.802 2.370 2.534 2.851 2.541 2.069 1.753 1.36019-20 2.144 1.827 1.625 1.507 1.539 1.605 2.087 2.229 2.489 2.276 1.897 1.602


TOTALE 115.958 124.149 132.622 139.402 142.413 148.173 151.704 153.912 157.007 157.807 158.289 159.766

CONSISTENZA PARCO MOTRICI PER SEMIRIMORCHI SECONDO L'ANNO DI PRIMA IMMATRICOLAZIONE

(Valori empirici)

Tab.I.20

ANZIANITA' 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0-1 10.011 9.316 8.055 6.937 8.802 9.290 9.727 10.434 11.700 5.380 5.862 7.4551-2 12.198 10.002 9.308 8.048 6.931 8.794 9.282 9.718 10.425 11.689 5.375 5.8572-3 8.726 12.192 9.997 9.303 8.044 6.928 8.790 9.277 9.714 10.420 11.684 5.3733-4 6.560 8.611 12.032 9.866 9.181 7.938 6.837 8.674 9.155 9.586 10.283 11.5314-5 7.905 6.475 8.500 11.877 9.739 9.063 7.836 6.748 8.563 9.037 9.462 10.1505-6 7.445 7.622 6.243 8.196 11.452 9.390 8.738 7.555 6.507 8.256 8.714 9.1246-7 4.478 7.068 7.236 5.927 7.781 10.872 8.915 8.296 7.173 6.177 7.838 8.2737-8 3.762 4.212 6.648 6.806 5.575 7.319 10.226 8.385 7.803 6.747 5.810 7.3738-9 4.777 3.542 3.966 6.260 6.409 5.250 6.891 9.629 7.895 7.347 6.353 5.4719-10 5.287 4.422 3.279 3.671 5.794 5.932 4.859 6.379 8.912 7.308 6.800 5.880

10-11 6.017 4.854 4.060 3.010 3.370 5.320 5.446 4.461 5.857 8.183 6.710 6.24411-12 6.001 5.493 4.431 3.706 2.748 3.077 4.856 4.972 4.073 5.346 7.470 6.12512-13 4.855 5.452 4.990 4.026 3.367 2.497 2.795 4.412 4.517 3.700 4.857 6.78613-14 3.942 4.373 4.910 4.494 3.626 3.032 2.248 2.517 3.973 4.068 3.332 4.37414-15 2.676 3.535 3.921 4.403 4.030 3.251 2.719 2.016 2.257 3.563 3.648 2.98815-16 2.286 2.398 3.168 3.514 3.946 3.612 2.914 2.437 1.807 2.023 3.193 3.26916-17 1.964 2.047 2.148 2.837 3.147 3.534 3.234 2.609 2.182 1.618 1.812 2.86017-18 1.876 1.750 1.824 1.914 2.528 2.804 3.149 2.882 2.325 1.945 1.442 1.61518-19 1.998 1.683 1.570 1.636 1.717 2.268 2.516 2.825 2.585 2.086 1.744 1.29419-20 2.144 1.791 1.508 1.407 1.467 1.539 2.033 2.255 2.532 2.317 1.870 1.564


TOTALE 115.958 118.955 120.972 121.780 122.142 124.944 127.756 131.180 135.617 133.850 132.458 132.343

CONSISTENZA PARCO MOTRICI PER SEMIRIMORCHI SECONDO L'ANNO DI PRIMA IMMATRICOLAZIONE

(Valori teorici)

MOTRICI PER SEMIRIMORCHI



0

3.000

6.000

9.000

12.000

15.000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

Graf.19


Valori medi teorici

y = -0,0005x2 + 0,0152x - 0,018R2 = 0,9891

-0,04

0,00

0,04

0,08

0,12Graf.19

CAPITOLO 1 - aci.it · capitolo 1 analisi dell’anzianita’ del parco veicoli ... oltre 20 15.284...

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Transcript of CAPITOLO 1 - aci.it · capitolo 1 analisi dell’anzianita’ del parco veicoli ... oltre 20 15.284...