Capital Markets Day 2015 · Welcome to the Randstad Capital Markets Day: Networking lunch with...
Transcript of Capital Markets Day 2015 · Welcome to the Randstad Capital Markets Day: Networking lunch with...
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Capital Markets Day 2015
program
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015 2
Tuesday, November 17 2015
1200 Welcome to the Randstad Capital Markets Day: Networking lunch with senior management
1300 Randstad Group strategy update Jacques van den Broek, CEO
1430 coffee break
1540 “Big Data” exploitation Christophe Montagnon, France CIO
1650 Wrap-up Jacques van den Broek, CEO
1800 End of event
1345 Financial strategy Robert Jan van de Kraats, CFO
1500 From staffing to integrated talent solutions Linda Galipeau, Executive Board member
1610 Trends in global clients and delivery models Chris Heutink, Executive Board member
1700 Drinks
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to watch the video currently being shown at our Capital Markets Day in London click on 'Randstad Videos'
then click on the first video 'The changing world - Randstad Capital Markets Day' you can watch it from this screen or you can open it on YouTube once the video is finished, please return to the tab 'Slides'
the presentation will continue where you left off
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015
Capital Markets Day
Capital Markets Day London November 17th 2015
Jacques van den Broek, CEO
disclaimer & definitions
Certain statements in this document concern prognoses about the future financial condition, risks, investment plans, productivity and the results of operations of Randstad Holding and its operating companies as well as certain trends, plans and objectives. Obviously, such prognoses involve risks and a degree of uncertainty since they concern future events and depend on circumstances that will apply then. Many factors may contribute to the actual results and developments differing from the prognoses made in this document. These factors include, but are not limited to, general economic conditions, a shortage on the job market, changes in the demand for (flexible) personnel, achievement of cost savings, changes in the business mix, changes in legislation (particularly in relation to employment, staffing and tax laws), the role of industry regulators, future currency and interest fluctuations, our ability to identify relevant risks and mitigate their impact, the availability of credit on financially acceptable terms, the successful completion of company acquisitions and their subsequent integration, successful disposals of companies and the rate of technological developments. These prognoses therefore apply only on the date on which this document was compiled.
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EBITA: operating profit before amortization and impairment acquisition-related intangible assets and goodwill, badwill, integration costs and one-offs.
organic growth is measured excluding the impact of currency effects, acquisitions, disposals and reclassifications.
diluted EPS is measured before amortization and impairment acquisition-related intangible assets and goodwill, badwill, integration costs and one-offs.
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015 5
agenda
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015 6
changing global HR landscape
update on our strategy total talent architecture (TTA)
talent management
technology & innovation
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the world around is changing…..
There are Key forces shaping the global talent & HR landscape….. Economics, demographics, human relationships & preferences, regulations, technology, automization & data-driven services
….Randstad is adapting the way we approach our clients, candidates to differentiate and outperform the competition
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015
market dynamics creating a complex landscape
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015 8
Specialization: Clients are more willing to pay higher fees for specialist skilled staff in short supply.
Outsourcing: Clients are more open to outsource tasks into BPO/SOW/packages
Large and Complex: Clients require more
sophisticated solutions to manage workforce
recruitment better and more cost effectively.
Low-cost disruption: Clients and small agencies have access to technology platforms that offer an
alternative to recruit differently
e.g: Adecco Manpower Randstad
Traditional agency model
strategic roadmap
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driven by best people, strong concepts, excellent execution and superior brands shape the world of work • optimal workforces for
clients • the best jobs for
candidates
grow to 5-6% EBITA • profitable growth • improve margin • increase productivity
HR technology • being the most agile integrator of
technology & services in our industry
Randstad Innovation Fund • capturing trends & future business in
HR technology
M&A, seamless fit integrations • strategic fit • value creation • manageability
Total Talent Architecture, World Class Customer Experience • creating quantifiable business impact addressing the entire
workforce of our clients
Activity-Based Field Steering • driving commercial excellence;
brand strength, leads and conversion
World League People, at the right place, at the right time • optimized organization structure • high performance culture & people engagement • continuous process improvement
Org
TTA
Tech
ABFS
M&A
today
goals
Talent management, unique candidate engagement • optimal integration of technology and touch • leader in speed to match and quality of hire • foster talent engagement and communities
Talent
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015
strategic roadmap
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015 10
activity based field steering
Org
TTA
Tech
ABFS
M&A
today
goals
Talent
shape the world of work • optimal workforces for
clients • the best jobs for
candidates
grow to 5-6% EBITA • profitable growth • improve margin • increase productivity
Activity levels up + 14% YTD (2014: >30%) • Productivity (GP/FTE) up 4% YTD • Perm grew 14% YTD • SME picking up in NL, FR & Ger
strategic roadmap
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organization
Org
TTA
Tech
ABFS
M&A
today
goals
Talent
shape the world of work • optimal workforces for
clients • the best jobs for
candidates
grow to 5-6% EBITA • profitable growth • improve margin • increase productivity
• € 60-70m cost savings on track (2015-16) • New Sourceright EMEA organization in
place • Vertical approach in Professionals • New IT strategy
strategic roadmap
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total talent architecture
Org
TTA
Tech
ABFS
M&A
today
goals
Talent
• TTA implemented in 10 countries • Growth in MSP (+ 31%) & RPO (+ 24%) • Inhouse surpassed € 1b revenue in Q2
shape the world of work • optimal workforces for
clients • the best jobs for
candidates
grow to 5-6% EBITA • profitable growth • improve margin • increase productivity
the time for TTA is now
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015 13
10 countries
130 trained
100+ clients approached
100+ targeted in near future
TTA status now
Total Talent Architecture – core tenants
connecting client talent
landscape to Randstad concepts
relationship/entry level is key success determinant
initiates with business strategy
benchmarking, best practices, and Randstad insights inform roadmap
key anchor concepts – Randstad Sourceright (MSP/RPO) & Inhouse
strategic roadmap
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015 14
talent management
Org
Tech
ABFS
M&A
today
goals
TTA
Talent
• State of the art in talent attrition: • Sourcing Centers (Hungary, India &
Malaysia) • Talent engagement programs • End-to-end marketing
shape the world of work • optimal workforces for
clients • the best jobs for
candidates
grow to 5-6% EBITA • profitable growth • improve margin • increase productivity
Randstad recruiting centers
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Birmingham sourcing pre-screening & assessment interview & selection candidate care offer management onboarding reporting supports EMEA (all OpCos)
Budapest sourcing pre-screening & assessment interview & selection candidate care offer management onboarding reporting supports EMEA (all OpCos)
Kuala Lumpur sourcing reporting candidate care supports APAC
Seattle recruitment admin interview scheduling offer management onboarding candidate care supports RPO NA
Hyderabad sourcing interview & selection reporting candidate care reporting supports NA(all OpCos)
from recruiting to talent engagement
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Seeking
Know Nothing
Very Passive Not interested
How much we know about the candidate
Cand
idat
e Se
ekin
g?
Source
Match
CULTIVATE
Know Everything
Attract
strategic roadmap
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technology
Org
ABFS
M&A
today
goals
TTA
Talent
Tech
• Randstad Innovation Fund (RIF): 7 investments made to date
• Career Transition – RiseSmart • Business systems development /
Innovation • Sales Navigator • “Big Data” matching tool • Hackathon
shape the world of work • optimal workforces for
clients • the best jobs for
candidates
grow to 5-6% EBITA • profitable growth • improve margin • increase productivity
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to watch the video currently being shown at our Capital Markets Day in London click on 'Randstad Videos'
then click on the second video 'Hackathon Randstad NL' you can watch it from this screen or you can open it on YouTube once the video is finished, please return to the tab 'Slides'
the presentation will continue where you left off
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015
business models are evolving
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traditional staffing traditional model matches clients with the local candidates
with limited value added services
$400B+ industry with limited growth (=GDP)
hybrid model Randstad delivers multiple tools to both clients and
candidates which help in increasing efficiency and engagement
online platform digital platforms provide intermediation between clients
and candidates which may include matching, billing, compliance, etc.
$3B market (2014), with projected CAGR > 40%* (2020)
digital experience with a recruitment platform
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strategic roadmap
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mergers & acquisitions
Org
TTA
Tech
ABFS
M&A
today
goals
Talent
• Leverage ratio at 0.5 • Bolt-on acquisitions
• Professionals • Scale – top 3 in any
market • No additional Geos • Niche additions to service
offering portfolio
shape the world of work • optimal workforces for
clients • the best jobs for
candidates
grow to 5-6% EBITA • profitable growth • improve margin • increase productivity
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Randstad’s most recent acquisition (September 2015)
Reduced outplacement spend and Unemployment Tax
Putting people back to work 60% faster than US national average
Improved Employer Brand Protection
RiseSmart’s scalable outplacement model provides a lower cost structure with technology-driven solutions including a job and network matching technology and a virtual coach
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to watch the video currently being shown at our Capital Markets Day in London click on 'Randstad Videos'
then click on the third video 'RiseSmart animation' you can watch it from this screen or you can open it on YouTube once the video is finished, please return to the tab 'Slides'
the presentation will continue where you left off
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015
financial strategy
Capital Markets Day London November 17th 2015
Robert Jan van de Kraats, CFO
agenda
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015 25
current trading
funnel update – where do we stand?
capital allocation/ dividend policy update
current trading
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015 26
7.7% revenue growth in October (vs. 5.7% in September)
Q3 revenue growth was 5.4%
Gross profit growth in October was 8.4% (+5.8% in Q3)
Perm fees up 9% (vs. 13% in Q3)
volume trend in November so far appears to be in line with October
North America +5% (vs. +4% in Q3 and Sept)
US business up 6% (+5% in Q3)
European countries up 8% (vs. +5% in Q3)
France +8% (vs. 3% in Q3)
Netherlands +10%, in line with Q3
Belgium +10% (vs. +1% in Q3)
Iberia +14% (vs. +8% in Q3)
Italy +26% (vs . +20% in Q3)
Germany +2% in line with Q3
Q4: minor (sequential) increase to SG&A as per outlook
agenda
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current trading
funnel update – where do we stand?
capital allocation/ dividend policy update
targets within reach
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015 28
growth &
activities +14% YTD, productivity (GP/FTE) +4% YTD
Perm/SME double-digit, competitive market
on track, though 8Qs of low growth
on track, more to come
L4Q15 at 4.4%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
1Q02 2Q03 3Q04 4Q05 1Q07 2Q08 3Q09 4Q10 1Q12 2Q13 3Q14
8Q's of low-mid single digit growth
organic growth in a historical context
consistent mid-single digit topline growth Europe still ~20% below peak
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topline growth
USA above peak and still growing Opportunity in EM remains
strong relative performance
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topline growth
-10,0%
-5,0%
0,0%
5,0%
10,0%
15,0%
Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15
The Netherlands
Randstad Market (ABU)
-15,0%
-10,0%
-5,0%
0,0%
5,0%
Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15
France
Randstad Market (Prism)
-10,0%
-5,0%
0,0%
5,0%
10,0%
Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15
USA
Randstad Market (ASA)
field productivity
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ABFS
addresses largest component of our operating expenses
PE field staff
ABFS
management layers, span of control, support staff ratio
further centralization of sourcing and delivery models
PE HO staff
accommodation, IT, marketing & general costs
OPEX FY
€2.5bn
~60%
~40%
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%3Q
12
4Q12
1Q13
2Q13
3Q13
4Q13
1Q14
2Q14
3Q14
4Q14
1Q15
2Q15
3Q15
Gross Profit Personnel expenses
what has ABFS brought us so far?
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productivity trend – YOY growth for GP & PE field
ABFS
conversion of activities
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growth in commercial activities vs. productivity (GP/FTE Field)
ABFS
activity levels up to +14% YTD (2014 >30%), productivity (GP/FTE) up 4%
70%
80%
90%
100%
110%
120%
130%
140%
150%
160%
90% 95% 100% 105% 110% 115%
acti
vity
gro
wth
vs
LY
GP/FTE field growth vs LY
conversions activities OPCO’s staffing & professionals activity growth vs productivity growth YTD
perm: a major opportunity
In 2014 perm made up 10.0% (Q3’15; 10.5% or 12.9% Inc. RPO) of group GP (~12% in 2007) We have the potential to double in established markets Strategic focus paying off as we outgrow our peer group
average
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015 34
business mix
Chin
a
UK
AUS
grou
p
US
staf
fing
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
perm as % of GP
primarily established temp markets
embryonic/developing markets
1 revenue includes perm + RPO 2 Competitors; Page group, Hays, Adecco, Manpower & Robert Half
YTD perm growth
13%
15%
16%
avg growth competitors
1
2
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
France
The NetherlandsGermany
Iberia
% of GP growth (2013-15*)
perm growing double-digit
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business mix
€ 60-70M cost savings in 2015-16
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cost
~€ 50M realized so far (annualized) mainly in HO/BO functions
PE field staff
span control and field support
PE HO staff
accommodation, IT, marketing & general costs
OPEX FY
€2.5bn
~60%
~40%
internal HO benchmark sustainable reductions
size and location of branches digitization procurement
next steps are taken...
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015 37
cost
IT costs (~10% of SG&A) should come down 20% over time
PE field staff
PE HO staff
accommodation, IT, marketing & general costs
OPEX FY
€2.5bn
~60%
~40%
increase in business systems which drive GP
create global IT infrastructure SSC utilize purchasing power in generic IT
(telco, networks and hardware)
Support function benchmark continues
benchmarking continues
agenda
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015 38
current trading
funnel update – where do we stand?
capital allocation/ dividend policy update
solid free cash flow & conservative leverage ratio
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015 39
-
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
3,0
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Free cash flow (€M) Leverage Ratio
stra
tegi
c ta
rget
capital allocation priorities
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015 40
1 investments in organic growth
3 dividend
4 share buybacks
5 special dividend
2 M&A activity
invest in tech / innovation
payout of 40-50% of adjusted EPS
anti-dilution measures when financial position allows for
potentially when net cash for a longer period
bolt on (supplement current geographical mix, strengthen professionals
invest FTE in growth markets
optional dividend based on current leverage ratio of 0.5
not being considered currently
strategic M&A not likely
dividend policy
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015 41
proposal to pay full cash dividend for year 2015
dividend policy since 2013: payout of 40-50% of adjusted EPS optional dividend: leverage ratio < 2.0x: optional dividend leverage ratio < 2.5x: optional dividend with premium on stock dividend leverage ratio > 2.5x: stock dividend anti-dilution measures when financial position allows for it: performance share plans optional dividend
dividend policy 2007-2012: €1.25 cash per ordinary share payout ratio between 30% and 60% of adjusted EPS (amortization, etc) financial position must allow for it
dividend policy until 2006: 40% of net income (basic EPS), cash only
key criteria when considering an acquisition
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015 42
randstad perspective
1 strengthens our strategic position
2 provides significant value creation 3 manageability
create base for growth in existing markets (support global clients, high growth markets)
professionals is the preferred growth segment (profitability and market growth)
increases our market share (“Big is beautiful”, density of network is critical)
create an entry point into new markets through diversification
acquire capabilities in outsourcing/SOW space
minimum size of € 100M revenue (or at least 80 FTE’s when in small markets)
DCF valuation for entire business cycle (different scenarios to be considered); Considerable cost synergies give best safety net in worst case scenario
cost synergies identified and valued (including the costs to realize and possible loss of revenue)
tax and revenue synergies to be treated separately from valuation
EVA positive within 3 years, including post-deal tracking
agreed price negotiation framework before first indicative offer
management selected and approved integration plan prior to closing the transaction
we have sufficient understanding of the target and its business environment (Due diligence with the involvement of all disciplines and business people)
OPCO concept needs to be proven prior considering local acquisitions
OPCO management able to deal with acquisition and integration and the target has a good cultural fit and strong management
aiming for leading positions
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015 43
US has largest HR services industry worldwide
source: various staffing associations et al., Randstad estimates
2014
rand
stad
mar
ket
posi
tion
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
India
Iberia
Switzerland
Brazil
Italy
Canada
Belgium
Australia
Netherlands
France
Germany
United Kingdom
Japan
USA #3
#6
top 5
#1
#1
#6
#1
#1
top 5
top 10
#3
#1
#2
#3
M&A: easy to buy, difficult to make it successful
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015 44
challenging to manage emotions
November 17, 2015 Capital Markets Day 2015 45