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CAP Event - Lessons from Egypt: Using Social Media to Map the Future Political Landscape
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presentation for enter for American Progress March 22, 2011 John Kelly, Ph.D. Chief Scientist Social Media and Future Politics: A Focus on Egypt
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John Kelly
Transcript of CAP Event - Lessons from Egypt: Using Social Media to Map the Future Political Landscape
presentation forCenter for American Progress
March 22, 2011
John Kelly, Ph.D. Chief Scientist
Social Media and Future Politics: A Focus on Egypt
Part 1:
The Evidence is There
Egyptian Weblog Descriptions:
• This is the blog of an Egyptian engineering student. He does not take himself very seriously, and describes himself as a normal person in his profile. His is critical of the Egyptian government, and singles out the popular Egyptian singer Amr Diab for criticism because he apparently performed for the Mubarak family.
• This is the blog of a young Egyptian medical student who rages at the government of Egypt and the country's social ills. She writes angrily about sexual harassers, expresses her hatred for Hosni and Gamal Mubarak, and supports uprisings and strikes in the country.
• This is the blog of an Egyptian whose interest is computers, the Internet, and programming. He promotes contributing to Arabic Wikipedia and writes about how he prefers to blog than work while at his office. Although most of his blog is apolitical, he promoted the general strikes in Egypt when they occurred, supporting the anti-Mubarak opposition.
Egyptian Weblog Descriptions:
• This is the blog of a radical Egyptian socialist who writes about the turbulent workers' strike in Mahalla al-Kubra, union activism, and organizing peasants. He writes a lot about his opposition to Mubarak, torture in Egyptian prisons, and the need to end capitalism.
• This is the blog of an Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood member called Baheb Misr, or "I love Egypt." The blogger is relentlessly critical of Mubarak, who he calls Abu al-Fasad, or "Father of Corruption," the kind of statement that could get a print journalist jailed.
• This Egyptian blogger calls herself "Wahida Masriya," or "One Egyptian." She is a leftist associated with the Kifaya movement, and has the Kifaya slogan "down with Mubarak" emblazoned in her profile. She writes in support of feminism, against torture, and also speaks favorably of coalescing with the Muslim Brotherhood against the government.
Part 1:
The Evidence is There
Part 1:
The Evidence is There
…and was there already by 2008
Part 2:
Network Topology >> Political Landscape
Proximity Clusters:
Attentive Clusters:
Arabic Blogosphere:
Major Zones:
Egyptian Blogosphere
Egypt Focus:
Egypt Focus:
Human Rights/Kefaya
Egypt Focus:
Secular Leftist
Egypt Focus:
Muslim Brotherhood
Egypt Focus:
Islam Women
Egypt Focus:
Literary/Poetic Women
Egypt Focus:
Human Rights/Kefaya
Secular Leftist
Muslim Brotherhood
Culture/Family
Time Reports:
10/31/0
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"ElBaradei"
Secular LeftistPoetryPoetic/ReligiousNews AttentiveMuslim BrotherhoodMixLiterary/ Women/ PoeticIslam/RadIslam FemaleHuman Rights - KefayaFamilyCultrue/Family
10/31/0
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11/5/0
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11/10/0
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11/15/0
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11/20/0
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11/25/0
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11/30/0
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12/5/0
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12/10/0
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12/20/0
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12/25/0
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1/9/0
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1/14/0
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2/3/0
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"Khaled Said"
Secular LeftistPoetryPoetic/ReligiousNews AttentiveMuslim BrotherhoodMixLiterary/ Women/ PoeticIslam/RadIslam FemaleHuman Rights - KefayaFamilyCultrue/Family
Iranian Blogosphere:
mixed networks
Conservative Politics
Poetry
Religious Youth
CyberShi’a
Opposition
Reformist
Egyptian vs. Iranian Networks:
Egyptian Blogosphere
IranianBlogosphere
Arabic vs. Iranian Networks:
Egyptian Blogosphere
IranianBlogosphere
Strong division between secular and Islamist cultural and political zones.
Two sides deeply antagonistic.
Secular/Opposition
Islamist/Pro-Government
Arabic vs. Iranian Networks:
Egyptian Blogosphere
IranianBlogosphere
Multiple ideological/political groups integrated via culture/family-oriented clusters. All sides opposed Mubarak, used “bridging” language.
Culture/Family
Political/Ideological Groupings
Part 3:
Bridges vs. Bases:the importance, and limitations of core elites
Attentive Clusters:
“English Bridge”
Arabic Uprising Followers NetTwitter Networks
Twitter hashtags #tunisia
Twitter hashtags #iranelection
Twitter hashtags #bahrain
Twitter hashtags #jordan
Twitter hashtags #tahrir
Arabic Uprising Followers Net
Bahrain
Egypt
Jordan
Tunisia
Transnational Elite
Iran
Twitter Networks
Takeaways
Key points:
• Online coalition among ideologically diverse Egyptians was evident years before events of 2011.
• Social media network topology reflects political landscape, can reveal evolving political forces.
• Outside observers must be mindful of the difference between transnational social media elites and local “base” populations.
presentation forCenter for American Progress
March 22, 2011
John Kelly, Ph.D. Chief Scientist
Social Media and Future Politics: A Focus on Egypt
presentation forCenter for American Progress
March 22, 2011
John Kelly, Ph.D. Chief Scientist
Social Media and Future Politics: A Focus on Egypt
