California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

24
California CD25 Immigration Survey October 28 th – 29 th , 2013

description

Magellan Strategies public releases of the results of a 687n autodial survey of likely 2014 general election voters in California Congressional District 23 regarding the opinion of Immigration reform. Conducted on October 28th - 29th, 2013

Transcript of California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Page 1: California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

California CD25 Immigration

SurveyOctober 28th – 29th, 2013

Page 2: California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the results of a 726n autodial survey of likely 2014

general election voters in California Congressional District

25. This survey was commissioned by America’s Voice. The interviewing was

conducted October 28th - 29th, 2013. This survey has a margin of error of +/-3.63% at the 95 percent confidence interval.

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McKeonImage Rating

Page 4: California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Congressman Howard “Buck” McKeon?

47%

30%

16%

7%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE

HEARD OF, NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF

MEN WOMEN

45%48%

35%

26%

13%18%

7% 8%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE

HEARD OF, NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

71%

18%

37%

11%

54%

34%

13%17% 19%

4%10% 10%

Page 5: California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Congressman Howard “Buck” McKeon?

47%

30%

16%

7%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF, NO OPINION

NEVER HEARD OF

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

36%

49%46% 46%

53%

46%

34%29% 28%

24%

9% 8%

15%21%

17%

9% 8%10%

5% 7%

Page 6: California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Congressman Howard “Buck” McKeon?

47%

30%

16%

7%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE

HEARD OF, NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF

WHITE HISPANIC

49% 47%

27%

39%

17%

9%7%5%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE

HEARD OF, NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF

Page 7: California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Voter Opinion on Immigration

Reform

Page 8: California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status.  If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?

73%

23%4%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE

MEN WOMEN

42% 42%

29%32%

18%

10%9% 9%2%7%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT

STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

UNSURE

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

30%

57%

44%

35%

28%25%

18%

7%

16%12%

5% 8%5% 3% 7%

Page 9: California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status.  If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?

73%

23%

4%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

50%

39%44%

40%39%

27%31%

27%33% 34%

9%

21%

13% 16%12%12%

6% 8% 8%11%

2%4% 8% 3% 4%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE

Page 10: California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status.  If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?

73%

23%4%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE

WHITE HISPANIC

39%

50%

32%

28%

14%13%

10%7%

5% 3%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT

STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

UNSURE

Page 11: California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Voter Opinion on Immigration

Reform

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Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?

69%

27% 4%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE

MEN WOMEN

38%41%

31% 29%

20%13%

10% 12%2%

6%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSEUNSURE

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

41% 40%35%

32%27% 28%

14% 16%

23%

10% 13% 10%3% 5% 4%

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Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?

69%

27%

4%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

32%

41%

49%

37%36%

31%

19%

26%30%

37%

21%24%

15% 17%

10%11% 12% 10% 11% 13%

6% 4% 1% 5% 4%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE

Page 14: California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?

69%

27% 4%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE

WHITE HISPANIC

37%

50%

34%

18%

15% 15%

11%12%

3% 5%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSEUNSURE

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Voter Opinion on Bi-Partisan Plan

~Image of McKeon

Page 16: California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If your Congressman Howard “Buck” McKeon worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Howard “Buck” McKeon , or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?

41%

23%

31%5%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE

TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE

UNSURE

MEN WOMEN

30% 28%

12% 11%13% 14%

10% 9%

30% 31%

4% 7%

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE

MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

35%

23%

27%

9%

15%

12%13%

12%

18%

9%12%

5%

31% 31%30%

3%

7% 9%

Page 17: California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If your Congressman Howard “Buck” McKeon worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Howard “Buck” McKeon , or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?

41%

23%

31%5%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

30%

36%34%

23%27%

8%

13% 14%11%

12%18%

22%

11%

14%

10%7%3% 9%

11% 12%

35%

20%

28%

35%32%

2% 6% 4% 7% 7%

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCE UNSURE

Page 18: California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If your Congressman Howard “Buck” McKeon worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Howard “Buck” McKeon , or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?

41%

23%

31%5%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE

TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE

UNSURE

WHITE HISPANIC

28%

35%

14%

8%

14% 10%10% 7%

29%

35%

5% 5%

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE

MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE

Page 19: California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Voter Opinion on Path to

Citizenship

Page 20: California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider a series of immigration-related legislation. Some members of Congress support a bill that would provide legal status for undocumented immigrants, but not a real chance at earning citizenship. While, other members of Congress prefer a bill that would provide legal status for undocumented immigrants but also require them pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait thirteen years to become eligible for citizenship. Which of these two options do you agree with more?

61%

20%

19%

PATH TO CITIZENSHIPLEGAL STATUS, NO CITIZENSHIPUNSURE NO OPINION

MEN WOMEN

59%62%

23%16%18% 21%

PATH TO CITIZENSHIP LEGAL STATUS, NO CITIZENSHIP

UNSURE NO OPINION

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

60%65%

55%

21% 16%23%

19%

19%22%

Page 21: California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider a series of immigration-related legislation. Some members of Congress support a bill that would provide legal status for undocumented immigrants, but not a real chance at earning citizenship. While, other members of Congress prefer a bill that would provide legal status for undocumented immigrants but also require them pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait thirteen years to become eligible for citizenship. Which of these two options do you agree with more?

61%20%

19%

PATH TO CITIZENSHIP LEGAL STATUS, NO CITIZENSHIP UNSURE NO OPINION

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

57%61%

65% 64%

56%

23% 27%17% 17% 19%20%

12%18% 18%

26%

Page 22: California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider a series of immigration-related legislation. Some members of Congress support a bill that would provide legal status for undocumented immigrants, but not a real chance at earning citizenship. While, other members of Congress prefer a bill that would provide legal status for undocumented immigrants but also require them pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait thirteen years to become eligible for citizenship. Which of these two options do you agree with more?

61%

20%

19%

PATH TO CITIZENSHIPLEGAL STATUS, NO CITIZENSHIPUNSURE NO OPINION

WHITE HISPANIC

62% 62%

18%

26%20%

12%

PATH TO CITIZENSHIPLEGAL STATUS, NO CITIZENSHIPUNSURE NO OPINION

Page 23: California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Demographics

Page 24: California Congressional District 25 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Demographics

52%

48%

Female Male

47%

34%

19%

Republican Democrat IndependentWhite Hispanic Black Other

65%

21%

7% 7%

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

13%12%

25% 25% 25%