California CD22 Immigration

SurveyOctober 7th – 8th, 2013

Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the results of a 687n

autodial and cell phone survey of likely 2014 general election

voters in California Congressional District 22. This survey was commissioned by

America’s Voice. The interviewing was conducted October 7th - 8th, 2013. This

survey has a margin of error of +/-3.73% at the 95 percent

confidence interval.

Democrats in Congress Image

Rating

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Democrats in Congress?

36%

53%

11%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLEUNSURE

MEN WOMAN

34% 37%

57%49%

9% 14%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE UNSURE

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

40%

32%

21%

45%

37%38%

58%63%

52% 52%

23%

10%16%

3%11%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Democrats in Congress?

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

17%

70%

26%

76%

17%

49%

7% 13%24%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE UNSURE

WHITE HISPANIC

31%41%

62%

40%

7%

19%

36%

53%

11%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLEUNSURE

Republicans in Congress Image

Rating

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Republicans in Congress?

35%

54%

11%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLEUNSURE

MEN WOMAN

41%

30%

50%57%

9% 13%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE UNSURE

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

34% 31%

43%

31%36%

49%56%

47%

65%

51%

16% 14%10% 4%

13%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Republicans in Congress?

35%

54%

11%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLEUNSURE

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

54%

8%

28%35%

82%

60%

11% 11% 12%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE UNSURE

WHITE HISPANIC

40%

31%

52% 53%

8%17%

Voter Opinion on Immigration

Reform

Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status.  If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?

74%

20% 6%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE

MEN WOMAN

45% 45%

26%32%

13%7%

11%9%5% 8%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT

STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

UNSURE

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

47%

38%41%

48% 47%

21%

33%28%

34%

28%

16% 14%

8%8%

8%13%

5%

13%

5%

11%

3%9% 10% 5% 6%

Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status.  If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?

74%

20% 6%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

41%53%

42%

31% 30%19%

12%4%

17%11% 6% 12%5% 7%

10%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSEUNSURE

WHITE HISPANIC

43%50%

36%

18%

7% 14%9% 11%6% 7%

Voter Opinion on Bi-Partisan

Immigration Reform

If Republicans and Democrats came together to pass a bipartisan immigration reform plan that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of the Republicans in Congress, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of the Republicans in Congress?

57%

17%

24%

2%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLETOTAL LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCEUNSURE

MEN WOMAN

34%

27%25%

29%

8% 8%10% 9%

23% 25%

3%

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE

MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

26%

40%

29% 29% 30%

16%

21%

25%

31%32%

12%

5% 6% 9% 8%5%

1% 5%

13% 13%

41%

29% 33%

18%

13%

4% 1%1%

3%

If Republicans and Democrats came together to pass a bipartisan immigration reform plan that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of the Republicans in Congress, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of the Republicans in Congress?

57%

17%

24%

2%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLETOTAL LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCEUNSURE

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

38%

17%

32%

26%

33%

18%

6% 9%12%

7%12%

11%

21%28% 26%

2% 2%1%

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE

MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE

WHITE HISPANIC

31% 31%

29%

22%

4%

13%9% 10%

24% 22%

2% 1%

Again, if Republicans and Democrats came together to pass the same bipartisan immigration reform plan that I just mentioned to you, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of the Democrats in Congress, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of the Democrats in Congress?

66%

18%

13%

3%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLETOTAL LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCEUNSURE

MEN WOMAN

33% 33%32%

34%

11% 8%10% 8%

12% 13%

3% 4%

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE

MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

22%

36%

26%

36% 37%

31% 31%

38%

32% 32%

17%

6%5%

10%9%

12%9%

6%8%

11%

18% 17% 17%

12%

7%1% 8%

2% 4%

Again, if Republicans and Democrats came together to pass the same bipartisan immigration reform plan that I just mentioned to you, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of the Democrats in Congress, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of the Democrats in Congress?

66%

18%

13%

3%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLETOTAL LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCEUNSURE

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

26%

45%

29%

36%29% 30%

11%3%

13%11% 4% 13%

12% 15%11%

3% 4% 4%

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE

MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE

WHITE HISPANIC

27%

42%

37%

26%

7%

11%10%9%

15%

8%3% 4%

Voter Opinion on Immigration

Reform

Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?

69%

25% 6%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE

UNSURE

MEN WOMAN

40%

33%30%36%

14% 11%11%14%

5% 6%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT

STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

UNSURE

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

42%

35%

44%

33% 32%

43%

27%31% 32% 33%

9%

22%

6%

15%12%

3%

11% 11% 13%

18%

2%5% 8% 6% 5%

Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

38%

31%

43%

33%34%

30%

12% 13%15%

11%

18%

8%6% 4% 4%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT

STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

UNSURE

WHITE HISPANIC

34%

39%

34% 33%

11%13%

16%

9%

4% 5%

69%

25% 6%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE

UNSURE

Voter Opinion on Nunes Support

for Reform

If your Congressman Devin Nunes sponsored an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you be more or less likely to vote for Devin Nunes or would it not make a difference in your decision to vote for Devin Nunes?

35%

20%

41%

4%

MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY

NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE

MEN WOMAN

38%

33%

17%23%

44%

38%

2% 7%

MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELYNO DIFFERENCE UNSURE

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

54%

36%

29%32% 33%

10%

23%

14%

25%23%

33%

37%

53%

41%37%

3% 5% 4% 3%6%

If your Congressman Devin Nunes sponsored an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you be more or less likely to vote for Devin Nunes or would it not make a difference in your decision to vote for Devin Nunes?

35%

20%

41%

4%

MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY

NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

41%

24%

39%

17%

26%

16%

38%

45%

39%

3% 6% 6%

MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELYNO DIFFERENCE UNSURE

WHITE HISPANIC

38%33%

18%23%

40% 39%

4% 5%

Voter Opinion on Speaker Boehner

Allowing a Vote on Immigration

Reform

As you may know, a majority of members in the U.S. House of Representatives have stated they support an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship.However, the Speaker of the House, Republican John Boehner has said he will not allow the House to vote on the bill unless a majority of Republican members support it. Do you think Speaker Boehner should let the members of Congress have a yes or no vote on the immigration reform plan or should he put the vote on hold until a majority of Republican members agree to support the plan?

56%

32%

12%

VOTE NOW HOLD UNTIL MAJORITY

UNSURE

MEN WOMAN

63%

49%

29% 34%

8% 17%

VOTE NOW HOLD UNTIL MAJORITYUNSURE

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

51%55%

42%

69%

57%

41%36%

44%

21%26%

8% 10%14%

10%17%

As you may know, a majority of members in the U.S. House of Representatives have stated they support an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship.However, the Speaker of the House, Republican John Boehner has said he will not allow the House to vote on the bill unless a majority of Republican members support it. Do you think Speaker Boehner should let the members of Congress have a yes or no vote on the immigration reform plan or should he put the vote on hold until a majority of Republican members agree to support the plan?

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

43%

76%

55%

44%

12%

31%

13% 12% 14%

VOTE NOW HOLD UNTIL MAJORITYUNSURE

WHITE HISPANIC

55% 58%

31% 33%

14% 9%

56%

32%

12%

VOTE NOW HOLD UNTIL MAJORITY

UNSURE

Demographics

Demographics

52%

48%

Female Male

54%3

3%

13%

Republican Democrat IndependentWhite Hispanic Black Asian Other Refused

57%

35%

1% 5%1% 1%

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Refused

13% 13%

19%

23%

32%