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    INDIAN INSTITUTE OFBANKING & FINANCE

    RISK MANAGEMENT

    MODULE C & D

    BYM.Ravindran

    [email protected]

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    Syllabus

    Module C: Treasury Management:Treasury management; concepts and functions; instruments in the

    treasury market; development of new financial products; control

    and supervision of Treasury management; linkage of domestic

    operations with foreign operations.

    Asset-liability management; Interest rate risk; interest rate futures;

    stock options; debt instruments; bond portfolio strategy; risk

    control and hedging instruments.

    InvestmentsTreasury billsMoney markets instruments such

    as CDs, CPs, IBPs; Securitisation and Forfaiting; Refinance andrediscounting facilities.

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    Syllabus

    Module D: Capital Management and ProfitPlanning

    Prudential Norms- Capital Adequacy-Basel II-

    Asset Classification-provisioning Profit and Profitability-Historical Perspective of

    the Approach of Banks to profitability-Effects ofNPA on profitability-A profitability Model-Shareholders value Maximization & EVA-ProfitPlanning-Measures to improve profitability

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    RISK MANAGEMENTModule C-Treasury

    Management

    Treasury Products

    Treasury Risk Management

    Derivative Products

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    Integrated Treasury

    Integrated Treasury refers to integration ofmoney market, securities market and foreignexchange operations.-Meeting reserve requirements

    -Efficient merchant services-Global cash management-Optimizing profit by exploiting marketopportunities in forex market, money market

    and securities market-Risk management-Assisting bank management in ALM

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    Treasury

    Function Responsible for

    Frontoffice

    Dealing

    Mid-

    Office

    Risk management,

    accounting andmanagementinformation

    Back

    office

    Confirmations,

    settlement andreconciliation

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    FRONT OFFICE

    BACK OFFICEMID OFFICE

    Dealing

    MIS

    settlement

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    Treasury

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    Money Market

    Certificate of Deposit (CD)

    Commercial Paper (C.P)

    Inter Bank Participation Certificates Inter Bank term Money

    Treasury Bills

    Call Money

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    Certificate of Deposit

    CDs are short-term borrowings in the form ofUsance Promissory Notes having a maturity ofnot less than 15 days up to a maximum of one

    year. CD is subject to payment of Stamp Duty under

    Indian Stamp Act, 1899 (Central Act)

    They are like bank term deposits accounts.Unlike traditional time deposits these are freelynegotiable instruments and are often referred toas Negotiable Certificate of Deposits

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    Features of CD

    CDs can be issued by all scheduled commercialbanks except RRBs

    Minimum period 15 days

    Maximum period 1 year

    Minimum Amount Rs 1 lac and in multiples ofRs. 1 lac

    CDs are transferable by endorsement CRR & SLR are to be maintained

    CDs are to be stamped

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    Commercial Paper

    Commercial Paper (CP) is an unsecuredmoney market instrument issued in theform of a promissory note.

    Who can issue Commercial Paper (CP)Highly rated corporate borrowers, primary

    dealers (PDs) and satellite dealers (SDs)

    and all-India financial institutions (FIs)

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    Eligibility for issue of CP

    a) the tangible net worth of the company, as per thelatest audited balance sheet, is not less than Rs. 4

    crore;b) (b) the working capital (fund-based) limit of the

    company from the banking system is not less thanRs.4 crore

    c) and the borrowal account of the company isclassified as a Standard Asset by the financingbank/s.

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    Rating Requirement

    All eligible participants should obtain the creditrating for issuance of Commercial Paper

    Credit Rating Information Services of India Ltd.(CRISIL)

    Investment Information and Credit RatingAgency of India Ltd. (ICRA)

    Credit Analysis and Research Ltd. (CARE) Duff & Phelps Credit Rating India Pvt. Ltd. (DCR

    India) The minimum credit rating shall be P-2 of

    CRISIL or such equivalent rating by otheragencies

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    Maturity

    CP can be issued for maturities between aminimum of 15 days and a maximum uptoone year from the date of issue.

    If the maturity date is a holiday, thecompany would be liable to makepayment on the immediate preceding

    working day.

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    To whom issued

    CP is issued to and held by individuals,banking companies, other corporatebodies registered or incorporated in India

    and unincorporated bodies, Non-ResidentIndians (NRIs) and Foreign InstitutionalInvestors (FIIs).

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    Repo

    Uses of RepoIt helps banks to invest surplus cashIt helps investor achieve money market returns

    with sovereign risk.It helps borrower to raise funds at better rates

    An SLR surplus and CRR deficit bank can use theRepo deals as a convenient way of adjusting

    SLR/CRR positions simultaneously.RBI uses Repo and Reverse repo as instrumentsfor liquidity adjustment in the system

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    Meaning of Repo

    It is a transaction in which two parties agree tosell and repurchase the same security. Undersuch an agreement the seller sells specifiedsecurities with an agreement to repurchase thesame at a mutually decided future date and aprice

    The Repo/Reverse Repo transaction can only bedone at Mumbai between parties approved byRBI and in securities as approved by RBI(Treasury Bills, Central/State Govt securities).

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    Coupon rate and Yield

    The difference between coupon rate andyield arises because the market price of asecurity might be different from the face

    value of the security. Since couponpayments are calculated on the face value,the coupon rate is different from the

    implied yield.

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    Example

    10% Aug 2015 10 year Govt Bond

    Face Value RS.1000

    Market Value Rs.1200 In this case Coupon rate is 10%

    Yield is 8.33%

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    Call Money Market

    The call money market is an integral part ofthe Indian Money Market, where the day-to-day surplus funds (mostly of banks) are

    traded. The loans are of short-termduration varying from 1 to 14 days.

    The money that is lent for one day in thismarket is known as "Call Money", and if itexceeds one day (but less than 15 days) itis referred to as "Notice Money".

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    Call Money Market

    Banks borrow in this market for thefollowing purpose

    To fill the gaps or temporary mismatches

    in funds To meet the CRR & SLR mandatory

    requirements as stipulated by the Central

    bank To meet sudden demand for funds arising

    out of large outflows.

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    Factors influencing interestrates

    The factors which govern the interest rates aremostly economy related and are commonlyreferred to as macroeconomic factors. Some ofthese factors are:

    1) Demand for money2) Government borrowings3) Supply of money4) Inflation rate

    5) The Reserve Bank of India and the Governmentpolicies which determine some of the variablesmentioned above.

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    Gilt edged securities

    The term government securities encompass allBonds & T-bills issued by the Central

    Government, and state governments. Thesesecurities are normally referred to, as "gilt-edged" as repayments of principal as well asinterest are totally secured by sovereign

    guarantee.

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    Treasury Bills

    Treasury bills, commonly referred to as T-Billsare issued by Government of India against theirshort term borrowing requirements with

    maturities ranging between 14 to 364 days.All these are issued at a discount-to-face value.For example a Treasury bill of Rs. 100.00 facevalue issued for Rs. 91.50 gets redeemed at the

    end of it's tenure at Rs. 100.00.

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    Who can invest in T-Bill

    Banks, Primary Dealers, StateGovernments, Provident Funds, FinancialInstitutions, Insurance Companies, NBFCs,FIIs (as per prescribed norms), NRIs &OCBs can invest in T-Bills.

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    What is auction of Securities

    Auction is a process of calling of bids withan objective of arriving at the market price.It is basically a price discovery mechanism

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    Debenture

    A Debenture is a debt security issued by acompany (called the Issuer), which offersto pay interest in lieu of the money

    borrowed for a certain period. These are long-term debt instruments

    issued by private sector companies. Theseare issued in denominations as low as Rs1000 and have maturities rangingbetween one and ten years.

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    Difference between debenture andbond

    Long-term debt securities issued by theGovernment of India or any of the StateGovernments or undertakings owned by

    them or by development financialinstitutions are called as bonds.Instruments issued by other entities are

    called debentures.

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    Current yield

    This is the yield or return derived by the investoron purchase of the instrument (yield related topurchase price)It is calculated by dividing the coupon rate bythe purchase price of the debenture. For e. g: Ifan investor buys a 10% Rs 100 debenture of

    ABC company at Rs 90, his current Yield on the

    instrument would be computed as:Current Yield = (10%*100)/90 X 100 , That is11.11% p.a.

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    Primary Dealers & SatelliteDealers

    Primary Dealers can be referred to as MerchantBankers to Government of India, comprising the

    first tier of the government securities market.Satellite Dealers work in tandem with thePrimary Dealers forming the second tier of themarket to cater to the retail requirements of the

    market.

    These were formed during the year 1994-96 tostrengthen the market infrastructure

    What role do Primary Dealers

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    What role do Primary Dealersplay?

    The role of Primary Dealers is to;(i) commit participation as Principals inGovernment of India issues through

    bidding in auctions(ii) provide underwriting services(iii) offer firm buy - sell / bid ask quotes

    for T-Bills & dated securities(v) Development of Secondary DebtMarket

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    OMO

    OMO or Open Market Operations is amarket regulating mechanism oftenresorted to by Reserve Bank of India.

    Under OMO Operations Reserve Bank ofIndia as a market regulator keeps buyingor/and selling securities through it's openmarket window. It's decision to sell or/and

    buy securities is influenced by factors suchas overall liquidity in the system,

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    YIELD CURVE

    The relationship between time and yieldon a homogenous risk class of securities is

    called the Yield Curve. The relationshiprepresents the time value of money -showing that people would demand apositive rate of return on the money theyare willing to part today for a payback intothe future

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    SHAPE OF YIELD CURVE

    A yield curve can be positive, neutral or flat. Apositive yield curve, which is most natural, is whenthe slope of the curve is positive, i.e. the yield at thelonger end is higher than that at the shorter end of the

    time axis. This results, as people demand highercompensation for parting their money for a longertime into the future. A neutral yield curve is thatwhich has a zero slope, i.e. is flat across time. T his

    occurs when people are willing to accept more or lessthe same returns across maturities. The negative yieldcurve (also called an inverted yield curve) is one ofwhich the slope is negative, i.e. the long term yield is

    lower than the short term yield

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    LIBOR

    LIBOR stands for the London Interbank OfferedRate and is the rate of interest at which banksborrow funds from other banks, in marketablesize, in the London interbank market.

    LIBOR is the most widely used "benchmark" orreference rate for short term interest rates. It is

    compiled by the British Bankers Association as afree service and released to the market at about11.00[London time] each day.

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    CRR & SLR

    The minimum and maximum levels of CRR areprescribed at 3% and 20% of demand and termliabilities (DTL) of the bank, respectively, under

    Reserve Bank of India Act of 1934. Theminimum and maximum SLR are prescribed at25% and 40% of DTL respectively, underBanking Regulation Act of 1949. The CRR and

    SLR are to be maintained on fortnightly basis.The RBI is authorized to increase or decreasethe CRR and SLR at its discretion.

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    Demand and Time Liabilities

    Main components of DTL are:

    Demand deposits (held in current and savingsaccounts, margin money for LCs, overdue fixeddeposits etc.)

    Time deposits (in fixed deposits, recurring deposits,reinvestment deposits etc.)

    Overseas borrowings

    Foreign outward remittances in transit (FC liabilitiesnet of FC assets)

    Other demand and time liabilities (accrued interest,credit balances in suspense account etc. )

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    SLR

    SLR is to be maintained in the form of thefollowing assets:

    Cash balances (excluding balancesmaintained for CRR)

    Gold (valued at price not exceedingcurrent market price)

    Approved securities valued as per normsprescribed by RBI.

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    VaR

    Value at Risk (VaR) is the most probable lossthat we may incur in normal market conditionsover a given period due to the volatility of afactor, exchange rates, interest rates or

    commodity prices. The probability of loss isexpressed as a percentage VaR at 95%confidence level, implies a 5% probability ofincurring the loss; at 99% confidence level the

    VaR implies 1% probability of the stated loss.The loss is generally stated in absolute amountsfor a given transaction value (or value of ainvestment portfolio).

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    VaR

    The VaR is an estimate of potential loss, always for a givenperiod, at a given confidence level.. A VaR of 5p in USD /INR rate for a 30- day period at 95% confidence levelmeans that Rupee is likely to lose 5p in exchange valuewith 5% probability, or in other words, Rupee is likely todepreciate by maximum 5p on 1.5 days of the period(30*5% ) . A VaR of Rs. 100,000 at 99% confidence levelfor one week for a investment portfolio of Rs. 10,000,000similarly means that the market value of the portfolio is

    most likely to drop by maximum Rs. 100,000 with 1%probability over one week, or , 99% of the time theportfolio will stand at or above its current value.

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    Exchange Rate Quotation

    Exchange Quotations :

    There are two methods

    Exchange rate is expressed as the price per unit offoreign currency in terms of the home currency is known

    as theHome currency quotation or Direct Quotation Exchange rate is expressed as the price per unit of home

    currency in terms of the foreign currency is known astheForeign Currency Quotation or Indirect Quotation

    Direct Quotation is used in New York and other foreignexchange markets and Indirect Quotation is used inLondon foreign exchange market.

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    Principles

    Direct Quotation: Buy Low, Sell High:

    The prime motive of any trader is to make profit. Bypurchasing the commodity at lower price and selling it ata higher price a trader earns the profit. In foreign

    exchange, the banker buys the foreign currency at alesser price and sells it at a higher price.

    Indirect Quotation: Buy High, Sell Low:

    A trader for a fixed amount of investment would acquiremore units of the commodity when he purchases and forthe same amount he would part with lesser units of thecommodity when he sells.

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    Spot and Forward Transactions

    A Bank agrees to buy from B Bank USD100000. The actual exchange ofcurrencies i.e. payment of rupees andreceipt of US Dollars, under the contractmay take place :

    on the same day or

    two days later or

    some day later, say after a month.

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    Interpretation of Quotation

    The market quotation for a currency consists ofthe spot rate and the forward margin. Theoutright forward rate has to be calculated by

    loading the forward margin into the spot rate.For example US Dollar is quoted as under in theinter-bank market on a given day as under :

    Spot 1 USD = Rs.44.1000/1300

    Spot/November 0200/0500

    Spot/December 1500/1800

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    TT Buying Rate

    TT Buying Rate (TT stands for TelegraphicTransfer)

    This is the rate applied when the transaction

    does not involve any delay in realization of theforeign exchange by the bank. In otherwords, the nostro account of the bank wouldalready have been credited. The rate is

    calculated by deducting from the inter-bankbuying rate the exchange margin asdetermined by the Bank.

    Bill B i R

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    Bills Buying Rate

    This is the rate to be applied when aforeign bill is purchased. When a bill ispurchased, the proceeds will be realized

    by the Bank after the bill is presented tothe drawee at the overseas center. In thecase of a usance bill the proceeds will be

    realized on the due date of the bill whichincludes the transit period and the usanceperiod of the bill.

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    Problem

    You would like to import machinery from USAworth USD 100000

    to be payable to the overseas supplier on 31st Oct

    [a] Spot Rate USD = Rs.45.8500/8600

    Forward PremiumSeptember 0.2950/3000

    October 0.5400/5450

    November 0.7600/7650

    [b] exchange margin 0.125%[c] Last two digits in multiples of nearest 25 paise

    Calculate the rate to be quoted by the bank ?

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    Solution

    This is an example Forward Sale Contract .Inter Bank Spot Selling Rate Rs. 45.8600

    Add Forward Margin .5450

    --------------

    46.4050

    Add Exchange Margin .0580

    ---------------

    Forward Rate 46.4630Rounded Off to multiple of 25 paise Rs.46.4625

    Amount Payable to the bank Rs.46,46,250

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    Swap

    A swap agreement between two partiescommits each counterparty to exchangean amount of funds, determined by a

    formula, at regular intervals, until theswap expires.

    In the case of a currency swap, there is an

    initial exchange of currency and a reverseexchange at maturity.

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    Mechanics

    Firm A needs fixed rate loan AAA rated

    Firm B needs floating rate -A rated

    Firm A enjoys an absolute advantageinboth credit markets.

    11%9%

    LIBOR+0.0%

    LIBOR

    +1%

    Firm A Firm B

    Fixed-rate

    finance

    Floating-rate

    finance

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    Mechanics

    STEP !

    Firm A will borrow at Fixed rate 9%

    Firm B will borrow at floating rate (LIBOR +1)%

    STEP 2Firm A will pay Floating rate [LIBOR] to Firm B

    Firm B will Pay Fixed rate [9.5%] only

    GainNet interest cost LIBOR- .5%

    Net Interest cost 9+[ 1%+0.5%]=10.5%

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    Mechanics

    Gain

    A B

    Borrows at9.0%fixed

    for 7 years

    Borrows atLIBOR + 1%

    floatingfor 7 years

    9.5%

    LIBOR

    Interest payments to eachother in yearst1 tot7.