By Pablo Suarez Red Cross / Red Crescent Climate Centre PARTICIPATORY! (EXPECT CONFUSION) Paying for...

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PARTICIPATORY! (EX PECT CONFUSION) Paying for Predictions A game on information, decisions and consequences

Transcript of By Pablo Suarez Red Cross / Red Crescent Climate Centre PARTICIPATORY! (EXPECT CONFUSION) Paying for...

Page 1: By Pablo Suarez Red Cross / Red Crescent Climate Centre PARTICIPATORY! (EXPECT CONFUSION) Paying for Predictions A game on information, decisions and consequences.

by

Pabl

o

Suarez

Red Cross / Red Crescent Climate Centre

PARTICIPATORY!

(EXPECT CONFUSION)

Paying for PredictionsA game on information, decisions and consequences

Page 2: By Pablo Suarez Red Cross / Red Crescent Climate Centre PARTICIPATORY! (EXPECT CONFUSION) Paying for Predictions A game on information, decisions and consequences.

1. Game = simplified representation of reality (No questioning of game rules)

2. Decisions are individual(But consultation with team is encouraged)

3. You win or lose beans (Beans cannot be shared - Start with 10)

GROUND RULES

Page 3: By Pablo Suarez Red Cross / Red Crescent Climate Centre PARTICIPATORY! (EXPECT CONFUSION) Paying for Predictions A game on information, decisions and consequences.

Losers: Need more beans than you have? you have a humanitarian crisis!

(receive a red stone each time)

Winner: Most beans

Winning Team: Fewest “humanitarian crises” (red stones)

If a tie, team with most total beans

WINNERS & LOSERS

Page 4: By Pablo Suarez Red Cross / Red Crescent Climate Centre PARTICIPATORY! (EXPECT CONFUSION) Paying for Predictions A game on information, decisions and consequences.

Local Climate in Regional Context

765 10 11 1298432

Regional

Local

Flood if 10+(~16% chance)

Page 5: By Pablo Suarez Red Cross / Red Crescent Climate Centre PARTICIPATORY! (EXPECT CONFUSION) Paying for Predictions A game on information, decisions and consequences.

YOU

(RED CROSS WORKER)

Stand up for Flood Preparedness:Pay 1 bean before rainsEarly Action

Wait & See

Stay sitting (doing non-disaster tasks): Pay nothing

Page 6: By Pablo Suarez Red Cross / Red Crescent Climate Centre PARTICIPATORY! (EXPECT CONFUSION) Paying for Predictions A game on information, decisions and consequences.
Page 7: By Pablo Suarez Red Cross / Red Crescent Climate Centre PARTICIPATORY! (EXPECT CONFUSION) Paying for Predictions A game on information, decisions and consequences.

No problem

: No

problem

: Pay 4

Not enough beans to pay? Crisis!

Early Action

Wait & See

No disaster ?

Flood ?

Page 8: By Pablo Suarez Red Cross / Red Crescent Climate Centre PARTICIPATORY! (EXPECT CONFUSION) Paying for Predictions A game on information, decisions and consequences.

LET’SPLAY!

Two practice rounds

PLAY!

Page 9: By Pablo Suarez Red Cross / Red Crescent Climate Centre PARTICIPATORY! (EXPECT CONFUSION) Paying for Predictions A game on information, decisions and consequences.

The bid: 1. Put as many beans in the bowl as you want to invest

2. By end of countdown, bring bowl to front

Highest bidders: Team can see regional die before decision, throughout game (receives

transparent cup). Facilitator keeps beans

Other teams: Recover your beans

BID FOR A REGIONAL FORECASTHalf of the teams will have info about likely rains

Page 10: By Pablo Suarez Red Cross / Red Crescent Climate Centre PARTICIPATORY! (EXPECT CONFUSION) Paying for Predictions A game on information, decisions and consequences.

A. Your Team: _______________________

B. Contribute to the Forecast bid: _________ beans

C. Did your team win the forecast bid? Yes / No

Note: Maybe manuscript for Nature CC

Page 11: By Pablo Suarez Red Cross / Red Crescent Climate Centre PARTICIPATORY! (EXPECT CONFUSION) Paying for Predictions A game on information, decisions and consequences.

BID FOR DISASTER RISK REDUCTIONOne team will reduce impact of future extremes

Bid: 1. Put as many beans in the bowl as you want to invest

2. By end of countdown, bring bowl to front

Highest bidder: Facilitator keeps beans.

: If and then , pay only 2 beans

Other teams: Recover your beans

Wait & SeeFlood

Page 12: By Pablo Suarez Red Cross / Red Crescent Climate Centre PARTICIPATORY! (EXPECT CONFUSION) Paying for Predictions A game on information, decisions and consequences.
Page 13: By Pablo Suarez Red Cross / Red Crescent Climate Centre PARTICIPATORY! (EXPECT CONFUSION) Paying for Predictions A game on information, decisions and consequences.