Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3 rd edn OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Портпарол Стејт...

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3 rd edn OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Portparol Stejt Dipartme nta dao ostavku Srpsla vlada uvodi jednoumlje

Transcript of Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3 rd edn OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Портпарол Стејт...

Page 1: Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3 rd edn OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Портпарол Стејт департмента поднео оставку Portparol Stejt Dipartmenta dao ostavku

Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

Портпарол Стејт департмента поднео оставку

                                                                 

Portparol Stejt Dipartmenta dao ostavku

Srpsla vlada uvodi jednoumlje

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

• Economic policy principles–1. small doses

–2. of the same measure

–Then people can addapt

– brings certainty

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

Labour market

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

What is the price of 1 hour of leasure

Equal to w

Robinson Crusoe

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

Available working hours

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

• l hours of leasure have a value

• ‚

)()( llwzaradićaillradića

Cllwzaradiillradi

)()(

Cllearnsillworks

))(

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

Ako se promeni realna zarada

leasure

Cllearnsillworks

))(

work

con

sum

pti

on

Page 9: Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3 rd edn OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Портпарол Стејт департмента поднео оставку Portparol Stejt Dipartmenta dao ostavku

Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

Rea

lna

nadn

ica

rad

Out

put

(Y)

rad

RA

= wslope

MPL

Figure 4.05

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

• What is maximal consumption

leasure

Cllearnsillworks

))(

work

con

sum

pti

on

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

Kada je dokolica l =0, onda je

lwC

It is here, were Crusoe works all the time

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

How does Crusoe react to a rise in real wage

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

Will he work more or less?

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

1870 1913 1938 1973 1992 2000

Annual hours worked per person

France 2,945 2,588 1,848 1,771 1,542 1,517Germany 2,941 2,584 2,316 1,804 1,563 1,469UK 2,984 2,624 2,267 1,688 1,491 1,491USA 2,964 2,605 2,062 1,717 1,589 1,660Sweden 2,945 2,588 2,204 1,571 1,515 1,588

Real wage (index: 1870 = 100)

France 100 205 335 1,048 1,417 1,434Germany 100 185 285 944 1,178 1,222UK 100 157 256 439 640 733USA 100 189 325 596 659 737Sweden 100 270 521 1,228 1,493 1,727

1870 1913 1938 1973 1992 2000

France 2,945 2,588 1,848 1,771 1,542 1,517Germany 2,941 2,584 2,316 1,804 1,563 1,469UK 2,984 2,624 2,267 1,688 1,491 1,491USA 2,964 2,605 2,062 1,717 1,589 1,660Sweden 2,945 2,588 2,204 1,571 1,515 1,588

Real wage (index: 1870 = 100)

France 100 205 335 1,048 1,417 1,434Germany 100 185 285 944 1,178 1,222UK 100 157 256 439 640 733USA 100 189 325 596 659 737Sweden 100 270 521 1,228 1,493 1,727

We observe income effect in the long run

Real watge 8-17xHours halved .

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

Technical progress and employment

Working age and unemployment

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

• Economics in 1 lesson

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

š

• Šta what is good for GM is good for America!

• We protect our agriculture

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

Examples of full employment without reaching potential output

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

• Concentration camps

• Tribal community

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

Individual labor supply in hours

Aggregate in men-hours

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

Supply demand

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

Interpretation of unemployment supply

demand

hours

Rea

l wag

e

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

ravnotežna realna zarada w je preniska da bi svi radnici odustali od dokolice: neki bi želeli da rade nepuno radno vreme, drugi opet ni toliko

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

Nevoljna nezaposlenost ipak postoji...• waGE RIGIDITY

supply

demand

hours

Rea

l wag

e

Page 26: Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3 rd edn OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Портпарол Стејт департмента поднео оставку Portparol Stejt Dipartmenta dao ostavku

Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

- TRADE UNIONS

- MINIMUM WAGES

- EFFICIENT WAGES

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

• COLLECTIVE LABOR SUPPLY

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

• WHY DO TRADE UNIONS INSIST ON WAGES WHILE UNEMPLOYMENT GROWS?

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

• Odgovor–Zaposleni traže rast (sopstvenih)

realnih zarada, po cenu rasta nezaposlenosti (ali ne sopstvene).

– oni su insajderi

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

• IT CANNOT GO TOO FAR–THEY COULD LOOSE JOBS

–COULD LOOSE MEMBERSHIP

–LOOSE POLITICAL POWER

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

STOPE NEZAPOSLENOSTI U RAZVIJENIM ZEMLJAMA London December 14, 2009, 21:33 IST

OECD unemployment rate for the area was 8.8 per cent in October,

0.1 percentage point higher than the previous month.

Japan saw an unemployment rate of 5.1 per cent in October.

US 10% in November 2009. In the previous month, the unemployment rate

had touched a 26-year-high of 10.2 per cent.

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

• http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_unemployment_rate

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

Page 38: Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3 rd edn OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Портпарол Стејт департмента поднео оставку Portparol Stejt Dipartmenta dao ostavku

Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

Page 39: Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3 rd edn OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Портпарол Стејт департмента поднео оставку Portparol Stejt Dipartmenta dao ostavku

Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

Page 41: Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3 rd edn OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Портпарол Стејт департмента поднео оставку Portparol Stejt Dipartmenta dao ostavku

Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

• Mean and medijan

• France, Belgium, HollAND miminmum wages prevail

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

Page 44: Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3 rd edn OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Портпарол Стејт департмента поднео оставку Portparol Stejt Dipartmenta dao ostavku

Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

Remember, 50% of high school seniors do not go to collegejanitor – domar ($13/hour)a delivery truck driver ($14/hour), a retail store assistant manager ($18/hour), automobile mechanic ($20/hour), fire fighter ($24/hour),  a nurse ($25/hour), a department store buyer ($28/hour), an automobile salesman ($32/hour with commissions), and an IT project manager ($41/hour).What is the mean (average) wage of these 9? It is easy to calculate: add up the wages and divide by 9:13+14+18+20+24+25+28+32+41 = 215mean wage = 215 / 9 = $23.90/hourThe median is $24/hour. The fire fighter earns the middle wage: 1/2 are lower, and 1/2 are higher. For this particular sample, the mean and median give a similar answer for what a "typical" person on that team now earns.Now let's look at Stephon's hourly wage.

Page 45: Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3 rd edn OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Портпарол Стејт департмента поднео оставку Portparol Stejt Dipartmenta dao ostavku

Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

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Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

Page 47: Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3 rd edn OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Портпарол Стејт департмента поднео оставку Portparol Stejt Dipartmenta dao ostavku

Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

–Unemployment bennefits trap

Page 48: Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3 rd edn OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Портпарол Стејт департмента поднео оставку Portparol Stejt Dipartmenta dao ostavku

Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

• hysteresia

Page 49: Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3 rd edn OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Портпарол Стејт департмента поднео оставку Portparol Stejt Dipartmenta dao ostavku

Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

8.68.76.2+

---

6.15.44.6

Page 50: Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3 rd edn OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Портпарол Стејт департмента поднео оставку Portparol Stejt Dipartmenta dao ostavku

Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

1970=100

Figure 4.16 (a)

Euro-zone employment

Real wages in the Euro-zone

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Employment in USA

Real wages in USA

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

• Zaposlenost u SAD

• plate u SAD

• plate u Evrozoni

Zaposlenost u Evrozoni

Page 51: Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3 rd edn OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Портпарол Стејт департмента поднео оставку Portparol Stejt Dipartmenta dao ostavku

Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

• Francuska

• Greece

Page 52: Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3 rd edn OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Портпарол Стејт департмента поднео оставку Portparol Stejt Dipartmenta dao ostavku

Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

• Social security network

Page 53: Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3 rd edn OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Портпарол Стејт департмента поднео оставку Portparol Stejt Dipartmenta dao ostavku

Burda & Wyplosz Macroeconomics 3rd ednOXFORDUNIVERSITY PRESS

Figure 4.14

LABOR MARKET MAP

Employed unemployed

Out of contingent

Found job

fired

Retreat to unemploym

discouragedretired

Change of job

New entries

Unsuccesfull entries