Building a Fixed Risk Strategy

download Building a Fixed Risk Strategy

of 6

Transcript of Building a Fixed Risk Strategy

  • 8/3/2019 Building a Fixed Risk Strategy

    1/6

    WHiCH tYPe of ProDUCt

    is for me?

    s, yu h dcdd h yu w h chc pplly

    hh u, d l h h, yu h ccp

    h pbly l l . th b yu u

    Ld Pduc, bu hw d yu ch bw

    Cd W, tub d sup10? o wy l

    h pduc cply v h pw .

    take a simPLe vieW WitH sUPer10

    sup10 by h pl h h pduc. thy ubl wh 3-6 h w h l

    dc udly . th pyu dpd

    h cul pc h udly; ju h d

    p-dd B Ll huhu h whl pd

    h .

    Ch whch h yu ju dcd

    whh h udly wll y hh, y lw y

    wh . rdl whch yp yu ch, h

    pl pyu py lwy 10 p u yu w

    cly wh yu d . t 10 p u bc h

    d h 3-6 h , h udly

    ply h d B Ll, p B Ll

    h c r sup10. i uch B Ll y p, h pduc c u d yu l yu l

    dly.

    th l sup10 bd ld h ftse 100

    id. th ub sy Hh, sy Lw d r

    pduc ch udly, ll wh d B Ll.

    th cl h udly B Ll, h chp

    h pduc, d h h hh h u. Hw,

    yu h pc, h pl u l cpd h

    pl , yu h b cbl h h udly

    wll h h ll. Yu chc wll dpd hw uch

    yu w .

    Super10s

    Turbo

    Covered

    Warrants

    leVel

    ofgearing

    sophistiCation

    Ben thompson Building a fixed risk trading strategy

    The single most important factor when deciding your trading strategy is your market view; what do you

    expect to happen? Once you have decided that, the process of selecting a product is almost entirely

    driven by your appetite for risk, and how sophisticated you want to get with your product. This may all

    sound very simple but with 85 different underlying markets and 688 products split across our range of

    Covered Warrants, Turbos and Super10s, its not always easy to steer your way through this vast world

    of choice. In this article we hope to break down that choice and make it easier for you to find a product

    that reflects your view and risk appetite.

    BUILDING A

    FIXED RISKTRADING

    STRATEGY

  • 8/3/2019 Building a Fixed Risk Strategy

    2/6

    Leverage a rising or

    faLLing market WitH tUrBos

    Ul sup10 wh h u

    d, tub c

    uld pyu bd hw h

    udly h d l

    p-dd s Pc. th

    w yp ch ; L tubwhch wll pyu bd

    hw h udly h b

    h s Pc, d sh tub whch

    wll pyu bd hw

    h udly h ll blw h s

    Pc. s yu pc h udly

    l wy, d yu d w

    y l h u h yu culd

    plly , yu y cd

    tub d chc.

    tub b g whch

    lly h yu c buy

    pu udly

    c h c buy h

    dcly. f pl, tub y

    b ld aBC Cpy whch

    culy d pc 1.00.

    th pc h tub y b ju 20p,

    bu wll b ully h ull

    aBC Cpy h

    pc. s pl, aBC Cpy

    c lu by 10p, wll h

    tub. i h c 10% c

    h lu aBC Cpy h

    ld 50% h lu

    h tub. th lly d

    ll 5. th w

    p dwd h.

    fly, yu d cully w h

    aBC Cpy. scdly, w

    yu . shuld aBC Cpy

    ll 10%, h tub wuld l 50%

    lu. iply, h h kc

    ou ll, yu c l h

    yu d bcu h tub ply

    p wh lu h kc ou

    ll uchd.

    Wh hh lu

    udly uch id l h

    ftse 100, pccl pd

    pu h ull lu h d

    bcu h tub wuld b

    p. id, h tub cl

    dw pu by u w

    Py. i h c idc, h Py

    u ypclly 1000, whch

    h yu wuld d buy 1000 u

    h tub pu u

    h id. i pccl ,

    h w h dd y dc

    bw h s Pc d Udly

    pc by 1000 d

    h p l h pduc.

    PUtting it into PraCtiCe

    s, yh wh yu

    w; whch udly yu

    d , wh d yu pc

    hpp, d hw l d yu h

    wll ? f c, yu y

    cp h h ftse 100 id

    c ll 5,600

    by Dcb. f h yu h

    udly, pcd uc (

    h ftse), pd d

    ll 5,600. L h tub lbl h 6h ocb,

    h h L ftse tub h

    p h 16h Dcb d culd

    u h w.

    a yu c h bl h

    p, h cl h kc ou

    ll h udly ll, h

    chp h tub, d h hh h

    pl pyu. f pl, t367

    h s Ll 4,500 d c

    0.7574 bd h ftse 100 id

    ll 5,202.81*. i yu cc d

    h ftse 100 id cl 5,600

    h 16h Dcb, 7.63%,

    t367 wll pyu 1.10,

    45.23%. Bcu h

    L tub, w clcul h pyu

    by ubc h s Pc (4,500)

    h Udly id Ll (5,600)d dd by Py (1000): 5,600

    4,500 / 1000 = 1.10.

    W c cp h t369 whch

    h s Pc 4,800. th

    uch pduc bcu h ftse

    100 id ly h ll 7.74% b

    h h kc ou ll d h

    pduc p whl. Hw,

    cpd h

    ddl by uch lw pc.

    Wh h ftse 100 id d

    5,202.81, ch u t369 0.4840,

    ublly lw h t367. a uch,

    h pl pyu t369 bd

    u pl wh h ftse 100 id

    cl 5,600 h 16h Dcb

    0.80 (5,600 4,800 / 1000 = 0.800),

    p 0.3160 (0.800 0.4840 =0.3160) p u 65.29%.

    th y p h h c

    ch tub bd h ddul

    / wd pl. Yu

    d yu culd b u, bu

    yu l h uch hh chc

    l yu y .

    Underlying Type Strike KO Expiry Parity EPIC ISIN

    ftse 100 L 4,500 4,500 16 Dc 11 1000 t367 CWn8138J7474

    ftse 100 L 4,600 4,600 16 Dc 11 1000 t368 CWn8138J7391

    ftse 100 L 4,800 4,800 16 Dc 11 1000 t369 CWn8138J7219

    Building a fixed risk trading strategy Ben thompson

    *a 6h ocb, 2011

  • 8/3/2019 Building a Fixed Risk Strategy

    3/6

  • 8/3/2019 Building a Fixed Risk Strategy

    4/6

    apply h yu d y

    lly pl. i yu h h h

    udly , yu

    huld b l h Cll

    Cd W. Hw, yu w

    Bh, l h

    Pu Cd W. th

    lly ub Cd W

    ch udly , d yu wlld ch wh s Pc

    h u yu w hw h

    udly wll . f

    Cd W h udly

    pc ldy b h s Pc

    Cll W, blw h s Pc

    Pu W, h d b

    i h my bcu hy pd

    h p, yu wuld c pyu.

    th u by whch h Cd

    W i h my d b

    ic vlu.

    m pcd wh

    ppd y l

    Cd W wh h Udly

    a h blw h s

    Pc h c Cll W,

    b h s Pc h c

    Pu W. W cll h a h

    my d ou h my Cd

    W. typclly, h uh hCd W ou h my,

    h chp h W d h hh

    h ll g. Hw, w

    w l, hh

    hh d cd chc

    l yu y. i p

    lc lc pc. Ch

    Cd W wh pc h

    yu w h wll b lly

    ch, ully b uccul

    d. th bl blw u h

    d ic vlu h

    Cll Cd W y hld.

    L y h, ll Cd

    W cd qul. s

    ch h

    udly pc h h. th

    wy chc h l h Dl

    yu ch Cd W. thlw h dl, h l h

    Cd W wll b ch

    h pc h Udly a. th

    bh d chp. my

    l Dl lu bw

    30% 60% cll d bw -30%

    -60% pu.

    DESCRIPTION CALL WARRANT PUT WARRANT INTRINSIC VALUE PAYOUT AT EXPIRY

    i h my sp > s s > sp Y Y

    a h my sp = s sp = s n n

    ou h my sp < s sp > s n n

    Building a fixed risk trading strategy Ben thompson

  • 8/3/2019 Building a Fixed Risk Strategy

    5/6

    th cd p Cd W

    pc t vlu, whch cd by

    h u b h Cd

    W p. i yu hld

    Cd W d h udly

    h w h w w dy, h cd

    w pc l lly dc

    h by c h cd w

    h l l by clly cbl

    u, h cd w h

    dd. th c w

    dcy. t dcy hh

    h dd ou h my cd

    w d lw l dd i h

    my cd w.

    s wh c ch Cd

    W, h bu yu wd h whch yu h

    wll ccu. th ulply h

    by l 2 3 d d

    ubl s D yu pduc.

    th wll hlp duc h c

    dcy h cpd h

    .

    timing YoUr CovereD Warrants traDe

    epy

    timevalue

    t

    tHe imPaCt of imPLieD voLatiLitY

    ipld lly u hw c udly pc lly b. a w chly cpy

    pl d b hhly ll, wh dl cpy d b l ll. glly, bh cll d pu,

    h hh h cpd lly ll (pld lly), h p h Cd W. th bcu h pc

    Cd W lc h pbbly p i h my.

    ANTICIPATED IMPLIED VOLATILITY LEVEL CALL PRICE PUT PRICE

    Udly pld lly c ic ic

    Udly pld lly dc Dc Dc

    Yu huld cd whh yu h h bc , l c h h wll

    c h pc yu Cd W.

    Ben thompson Building a fixed risk trading strategy

  • 8/3/2019 Building a Fixed Risk Strategy

    6/6

    CHeCk tHe risk

    all h c wll c h pc h Cd W

    d h h ll h Cd W

    wll pd. Yu d b cul ch Cd

    W whch hhly d, w bh

    wy d huld b dc h

    dc c. Wh ch CdW yu c d ll h pduc chcc l

    www.ldpduc.c.u, clud h pduc cd,

    s Pc, Dl d ec g. Yu c u ll h

    c d Cd W h u yu w.

    Yu wll l d Cd W ul u wb

    whch c hlp llu wh wll plly hpp

    h Cd W lu yu w ply u. U h

    ul udd hw ch h udly

    pc, lly d wll c Cd W.

    th wll yu b udd h pl

    d u ch pduc. th uc h ul

    pup ly d dc u

    uu pc. Ud ccuc huld , whl

    p, b cdd c.

    ConCLUsions

    W h pld hu pc lly h pd

    bu hpully h cl h yu d hw h

    pduc c b ud wh d y. Whh yu

    w ply y pl, -dcl w wh sup10,

    yu p u l wh Cd W, h

    d h h yu c l h yu

    wh y h pduc, whch c b c

    uc .

    B yu y dc, h ud ch

    h pduc lbl h sc gl wbwww.ldpduc.c.u d yu huld l

    dpd cl dc.

    imPortant information

    th cl h b dd hlp yu udd h pcpl

    d . nhl, pl b w h sc gl

    d dc. th pduc ubl l d

    pl , wh h d udd h udly

    d pduc chcc.

    i p h yu udd h yu culd l ll yu cpl wh

    h pduc, hy hld ul h d h .sc gl h ly - d h h ly lqudy

    pd sg Cd W, tub d sup10. Lqudy wll ly

    b lbl l cd. th h yu y d

    dcul pbl c ccuc ll h Cd W

    y b d pc l h yu pd .

    Cd W, sup10 d tub ud by sc gl

    accpc n.v., b h soCiete generaLe up

    cp. ay lu sc gl accpc n.v. p

    bl wh du y ul h l ll p .

    i huld h hld h pduc wll b cd

    by h p h fcl sc Cp sch, by

    y l ch Cuc. th cu c b h d

    d h Ud s.

    Building a fixed risk trading strategy Ben thompson

    Ben Thompson

    Director, Marketing &

    Partnerships, ETPs UK

    fly h Hd m

    h Uk sucud Pduc

    bu th ryl B

    scld, B jd h sg

    fbuy 2011 buld

    h d php

    p pl d

    l h Uk.

    th dcu ud h Uk by h Ld Bch sc gl. sc gl fch cd u

    (b) uhd by h au d Cl Pudl (h fch Pudl Cl auhy). sc gl ubjc ld

    ul by h fcl sc auhy h Uk. Dl h u ul by h fcl sc auhy

    lbl u qu. ay pduc, dclu d h l phbd.