BRIEFING ON THE PROGRESS

OF THE

HIGH-LEVEL TASKFORCE

Jan Egeland

(Co-chair of the HLT)

9 June 2010

Objectives of the Global Framework for Climate Services?

The WCC-3 decided to establish GFCS to improve the quality of climate information,

make improved services accessible to all, especially the most vulnerable to adverse impacts of climate variability and change and who have least access to climate services.

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The Workplan of the Taskforce

(1) Information gathering through consultation with governments, users and providers, scientists, and operational observing and information systems; and,

(2) Preparation of a report, including, options for implementing the GFCS, how it might be governed and the cost of doing this. This report to be considered by your 16th Congress next year and by the UN Secretary-General for appropriate follow-up.

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Consultative Meetings held and planned

• Nairobi, Kenya 12–16 April African Ministerial• Bali, Indonesia 30 April/6May WMO RA V• Geneva, Switzerland 18 May UN Interagency meeting• Geneva, Switzerland 25 May Club Diplomatic• Geneva, Switzerland 2 June Geneva missions briefing • Oslo, Norway 8-12 June IPY Conference  • Geneva, Switzerland 9 June WMO Exec Council  • Beijing, China 17-18 June Consultation• Delhi, India 21 June Consultation• Mexico City, Mexico 5-7 July CODIA• Belo Horizonte, Brazil 1 4 July CAgM• Bogata, Columbia 22-29 Sept WMO RA III• Marrakech, Morocco 28 Oct/4 Nov RA I• Windhoek, Namibia 15-21 Nov CBS (Ext)• Cayman Is, Caribbean 9-10 Nov Heads of NMSs• Cancun, Mexico 29 Nov/10 Dec CoP16

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Questionnaire:

http://www.wmo.int/hlt-gfcs/index_en.html

55

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Climate data Seasonalpredictions

Climateoutlooks

Scenarios ofpossibleregionalimpacts

from climatechange overthe next 10to 50 years

Training forclimateservice

providers

Training ofclimateserviceusers

Climateresearch

Other

Which Which climate climate services services do you do you need but need but are are currently currently unable unable to obtain to obtain ??

HLT Meeting Dates/Places Reports on the web:

• HLT-1 25 and 26 February / Geneva

• HLT-2 24 and 25 May / Geneva

Meetings yet to be held:

• HLT-3 2, 3 and 4 August / Beijing

• HLT-4 25, 26 and 27 October / Bonn

• HLT-5 13, 14 and 15 December / Geneva

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Report Structure

• Part I: What climate services are available from all sources around the world that are proving to be useful – The Supply side

• Part II: What is likely to be required in short, medium and long-term – The Demand side

• Part III: Options for bridging gaps and implementing mechanisms to meet current and future climate services requirements with an emphasis on not duplicating what is now available - The implementation strategy.

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Key dates for Report• Finish Part I Thursday 20 May

• Finish Part II Wednesday, 28 July

• Finish Part IIIFriday, 24 September then to HLT members for review by 8 October Secretariat to revise by15 October and back to the HLT for 11 days before HLT-4

• Completed, ready January 12, 2011

for publication

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99

HLT Finances – entirely funded from HLT Finances – entirely funded from

extra-budgetary sourcesextra-budgetary sourcesContribution to HLT Trust

Fund  CHF

Canada 52,388

Denmark 16,565

France 33,130

India 16,501

Japan 218,778

Pakistan 367

Russian Federation 32,227

Switzerland 563,819

TOTAL 933,775

Contributions to the HLT Trust Fund and expenses and commitments to 26 May 2010, and an estimate of expenses to completion of the HLT’s Report.

Expenses and Commitments to 26

May 2010

CHF Estimated future costs

CHF

Sitting Fees / Honoraria

148,000 Writers 180,000

Writers and secretariat support

677,123 Editing/Graphics 60,000

Consultation 10,075 Media relations 30,000

Travel (HLT meets) 158,577 Translation 150,000

Print and publish

30,000

Consultations 122,500

Travel (HLT meets)

300,000

TOTAL 993,775 TOTAL 872,500

GFCS What is it?

 

1010

Research & Research & Modeling Modeling

and Predictionand Prediction

HealthHealthHealthHealth

AgricultureAgricultureAgricultureAgriculture

TransportTransportTransportTransport

TourismTourismTourismTourism

WaterWater EnergyEnergyEnergyEnergy

EcosystemEcosystemEcosystemEcosystemSectoralSectoral UsersUsers

Climate Services Information SystemClimate Services Information System

User User InterfaceInterface

ProgrammeProgramme

Research & Modelling Research & Modelling and Predictionand Prediction

Observations and Observations and Monitoring Monitoring

HealthHealth

AgricultureAgriculture

TransportTransport

TourismTourismWaterWater

EnergyEnergy

EcosystemEcosystemUsersUsers

Climate Services Information SystemClimate Services Information System

User Interface User Interface ProgrammeProgramme

GovernmentGovernment

Private Private sectorsector

Unmet Unmet needs needs

The new The new piecepiece

WMO’s WMO’s existing existing strengthstrengthss

Blue dots – more than 90% of data receivedBlue dots – more than 90% of data received

Red and yellow dots – less than 5% of data Red and yellow dots – less than 5% of data receivedreceived

Why a FRAMEWORK for Climate Services?Why a FRAMEWORK for Climate Services?

Because Because there are there are gaps in gaps in the data the data networks networks supportinsupporting the g the servicesservices

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Why a FRAMEWORK for Climate Services?Why a FRAMEWORK for Climate Services?

And because And because there are there are gaps in the gaps in the global global distribution of distribution of scientists, scientists, engineers and engineers and other tertiary other tertiary educated educated people who people who create create information-information-based based servicesservices http://www.nsf.gov/statistics/seind02/c3/http://www.nsf.gov/statistics/seind02/c3/

c3s5.htmc3s5.htm1212

What will the Contribution of the Global What will the Contribution of the Global Framework for Climate Services be?Framework for Climate Services be?

http://maps.grida.no/go/graphic/trends-in-natural-http://maps.grida.no/go/graphic/trends-in-natural-disastersdisasters

The possibility The possibility of a range of of a range of science-based science-based disaster risk disaster risk response response strategies strategies everywhere.everywhere.

1313

Human SafetyHuman Safety

Disaster risk reduction is an effective climate Disaster risk reduction is an effective climate change adaptation strategychange adaptation strategy

1414

According to the World Bank, it would take only a three-foot rise in sea level submerge parts of the 20 or so other rice-growing river deltas in Asia and the World at large including Africa.

Food Availability.Food Availability.

Climate services would assist in adapting to Climate services would assist in adapting to climate change impacts on food availabilityclimate change impacts on food availability

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The “Meningitis Belt” in West Africa

Weekly means of the Harmattan wind index over the 1994–2002 period and mean seasonal pattern of the number of cases of MCM (in standardized anomalies).

Human HealthHuman Health

Climate services would assist in better Climate services would assist in better managing climate change impacts on human managing climate change impacts on human healthhealth

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

JAN_95 JAN_96 JAN_97 JAN_98 JAN_99 JAN_00 JAN_01 JAN_02 JAN_03 JAN_04

Ep

idem

ic r

isk

%

Per

cen

t dep

artu

re

Time (Year)

Nandi malaria epidemic model

NANDI MALARIA CASES DEPARTURE FROM MEAN % MODEL

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THE WMO ROLE

• Translate the report of the Taskforce into a sustainable, operational system;

• Develop partnerships across the UN system so that user groups can gain access to climate services;

• Focus observations, research and information systems to support GFCS;

• Promote and support capacity building that contributes to the GFCS; and,

• Give high priority and sufficient resources to implement those elements of the GFCS which the UN system agrees are the WMO’s responsibility.

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Thank you Thank you for for listeninglistening

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