Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo-...

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Bradford University Schoo l of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo-Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald

Transcript of Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo-...

Page 1: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo-

Saxon or a Nordic Model?

Frank McDonald

Page 2: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

National Business Systems

Countries have different national business systems determined by their institutional systems and norms of behaviour

National business systems largely determine the rules of the game for business transactions

Page 3: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

National Business Systems

These systems are path determined by history and normally they change slowly.

They however can experience rapid change in periods of crises eg the UK in the 1980s or with radical change in the views of elities eg China in the 1990s

Page 4: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Types of national business systems in the EU

Anglo-Saxon

Nordic

Rhenish

Issue of the emerging national business systems in new member states

Page 5: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Anglo-Saxon Model

National business systems geared towards open economies (active participation in globalisation process), emphasis on extension of internal market of the EU based on social protection at minimal level, and flexible labour markets - UK and to a lesser extent Ireland

Page 6: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Anglo-Saxon Model

Strong market based reforms

Social model conditions

largely determined by

needs of competitiveness

Increased growth and employment

Business friendly policies

Open to globalisation process

Economic stability

Page 7: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Anglo-Saxon Model - Benefits

High growth and low unemployment relative to Rhenish model countries

Conducive to high levels of inward foreign direct investment from outside of the EU

Fast adjustment to process of globalisation

Page 8: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Anglo-Saxon Model - Benefits

High proportion of population economically active

Some internationally competitive sectors eg financial & business services in London, Pharmaceuticals

Page 9: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Anglo-Saxon Model - Problems

Growth and unemployment not better than Nordic model countries

Low level of labour productivity compared to both Rhenish and Nordic model countries

Large income inequalities - regionally and across types of jobs

Page 10: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Anglo-Saxon Model - Challenges

Improve labour productivity

Reduce problems of low income for labour with low or the wrong skills

Reduce regional inequality

Keeping up with fast pace of change caused by technological change and globalisation

Page 11: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Nordic Model

National business systems geared towards globalisation process and development of high employment (with reformed social benefits systems) founded on knowledge-based industries, labour markets geared towards encouraging high productivity with high wages – the Scandinavian countries and the Netherlands

Page 12: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Bradford University School of Management

Nordic Model

Market based reforms

Social model influenced by EU laws and

policies but with national

variations

Increased growth and employment

Policies geared to developing high technology firms

Open approach to globalisation process

Economic Stability

Page 13: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Nordic Model - Benefits

High growth and low unemployment

High labour productivity

High social welfare benefits

Page 14: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Nordic Model - Problems

High proportion of GDP is accounted for by the state

Low proportion of population are economically activity

Not as attractive as the UK and Ireland for non EU based inward foreign direct investment

Page 15: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Nordic Model - Challenges

Maintaining high proportion of GDP accounted for by the state

Dealing with low proportion of population that are economically activity

Creating enough high wage/high productivity jobs in the face of increasing international competition

Page 16: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Rhenish Model

National business systems concerned to protect social benefits system (or to have slow pace of reform of this system) and to protect and encourage national (European) champions in key industries, major concerns about the globalisation process, and strong emphasis on protecting employment conditions – France and to a lesser extent Germany, Italy and Spain

Page 17: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Rhenish Model

Slow market based reforms

Social model conditions

determined by strong EU laws and policies to enhance social

cohesion

Increased growth and employment

Business policies geared towards European champions

Cautious approach to globalisation process

Economic Stability

Page 18: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Rhenish Model - Benefits

High labour productivity – especially France and Germany

High social welfare benefits

Some leading international companies – VW, EADS, Siemens, Thales

Page 19: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Rhenish Model - Problems

Low growth and high unemployment compared to Nordic and Anglo-Saxon models

High proportion of GDP is accounted for by the state

Low proportion of population are economically active

Page 20: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Rhenish Model - Problems

Not as attractive as the UK and Ireland for non-EU based inward foreign direct investment Many of the large internationally competitive companies in France are strongly connected to the StateFor advanced economies have a relatively large share of GDP in basic manufacturing

Page 21: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Rhenish Model - Challenges

Boosting growth and reducing unemployment

Adjusting to the decline in manufacturing jobs

Increasing proportion of the population that are economically active

Page 22: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Rhenish Model - Challenges

Maintaining high proportion of GDP accounted for by the state

Creating enough new jobs in high wage/high productivity work in the face of increasing international competition and technological change

Page 23: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Emerging Models

Emerging national business systems with an evolving orientation towards social benefits systems and the globalisation process

Challenge what kind of national business system will help them to catch up to the labour productivity levels of the richer members of the EU and to maintain international competitiveness

Page 24: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Nirvana Model

High productivity

High growth and

low unemployment

High welfare benefits

Page 25: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Nirvana Model - requirements

Business system which can deliver high productivity in the face of increasing international competition and technological change by overcoming problems of inappropriate characteristics in labour force, eg low economic activity, low or the wrong skills, low adjustment capacity, poor levels of education

Page 26: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Realistic models

Countries with high degree of consensus about social norms and highly educated populations – versions of the Nordic model

Countries with diverse and conflicting views on social norms and high proportion of unskilled or wrong skilled labour with high proportion of poorly educated labour – versions of the Anglo-Saxon model

Page 27: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Realistic models

Countries with diverse and conflicting views on social norms and highly educated populations with appropriate skills – versions of the Rhenish model

However, it is not clear if even France and Germany have the conditions necessary to sustain Rhenish models

Page 28: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Role of the EU

Flexible social and economic policies that permit development of different national business systems that can tackle the different challenges that face the member states

A flexible EU with inner-core members in some areas and peripheral members in many areas

Problems of labour migration within the EU from low to high income countries

Page 29: Bradford University School of Management Stimulating Employment and Growth : Do we need an Anglo- Saxon or a Nordic Model? Frank McDonald.

Bradford University School of Management

Role of the EU

Creation of a nirvana model by strong and uniform social and economic policies with large scale transfer of income to help poorer member states to compete with high social costs

Systems that generate sufficient high wage/high productivity jobs to finance high social welfare benefits

A very difficult project to create, implement and sustain