Bow-Tie Diagrams in Downstream Hazard...
Transcript of Bow-Tie Diagrams in Downstream Hazard...
Bow-Tie Diagrams in Downstream Hazard
Identification and Risk AssessmentYaneira E Saud Kumar (Chris) Israni and Jeremy GoddardERM Americas Risk Practice 15810 Park Ten Place Suite 300 Houston TX 77084Yaneirasaudermcom (for correspondence)
Published online in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrarycom) DOI 101002prs11576
Bow-tie diagrams are emerging as a very useful tool todepict and maintain an up-to-date real-time working riskmanagement system embedded in daily operations They area proven concept in the worldwide offshore industry Thesediagrams provide a pictorial representation of the risk assess-ment process This article introduces the bow-tie concept tothe downstream and chemical process industries in theUnited States The authors believe that bow-tie diagrams canbe a resourceful method in the safety and risk practitionerrsquostoolkit to improve performance of the hazard identificationand risk assessment process and to demonstrate that majorhazards are identified and managed to as low as reasonablypracticable Because of their graphical nature the biggestadvantage of bow-tie diagrams is the ease to understandingof risk management by upper management and operationsgroups VC 2013 American Institute of Chemical Engineers Process
Saf Prog 000 000ndash000 2013
Keywords bow-tie diagram cause-consequence hazardidentification risk assessment risk management bow-tie
INTRODUCTION
The concept of cause-consequence analysis is a combina-tion of the inductive and deductive reasoning of logic dia-grams (eg event-tree analysis or fault-tree analysis) [1] Themethod has been used to identify the basic causes and con-sequences of potential accidents Likewise bow-tie diagram-ming provides a pictorial representation of the riskassessment process that during the last decade has becomeincreasingly popular especially in the sector of oil and gasoffshore exploration and production Because of their unpar-alleled advantages demonstrating that major hazards areidentified and controlled bow-tie diagrams are widely usedin Europe and Australia to support safety reports and healthsafety and environment (HSE) cases for drilling and green-field major hazard facility onshore projects Other applica-tions have been reported for healthcare nuclear transportand organizational culture [2]
This article discusses the evolution of the risk-basedapproach in the United States and how the bow-tie modelwould fit in the risk management process for downstreamprojects and facilities and it shares a representative bow-tie
case study application in making engineering controlsoperational
REGULATORY REQUIREMENTS VERSUS BEST PRACTICES
US Regulatory BackgroundThe evolution of the process safety approach for the
onshore industry within the United States has been drivenprimarily by the regulatory agencies However it was indus-try who produced one of the earliest process safety referen-ces a brochure published in 1985 by AIChE-CCPS ldquoAChallenge to Commitmentrdquo The article outlines a compre-hensive model characterized by 12 distinct and essential ele-ments to avoid catastrophic events Other publicationsAmerican Petroleum Institute Recommended Practice (APIRP) 750 Management of Process Safety Hazards (1990) fur-ther refined the approach ultimately leading to the USOccupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) pro-mulgation of the Process Safety Management (PSM) standardin February 1992 [3]
In addition the US Environmental Protection Agency(EPA) formulated a Risk Management Plan (RMP) rule [4]related to preventing accidental releases The EPArsquos RMP ruleavoided overlap by integrating the process safety elementsstated in OSHArsquos PSM Standard
Along similar lines but for offshore operations the Safetyand Environmental Management System (SEMS) was intro-duced in 1991 by the Minerals Management Service but thiswas deemed voluntary Eventually in late 2010 the Bureauof Ocean Energy Management Regulation and Enforcementpublished Final Rule 30 CFR Part 250 Subpart S that incorpo-rates by reference and makes mandatory API RP 75 3rd Edi-tion [56] today enforced by the Bureau of Safety andEnvironmental Enforcement
Irrespective of where the site is located within the US orvicinitymdashonshore or offshoremdashthe approach to risk has pre-dominantly been regulatory driven However the 2010Macondo accident manifested evidence that the right path tofollow is a performance-driven approach to risk with opera-tors actively demonstrating that facilities have the appropriatebarriers to place to manage risks to as low as reasonablypracticable (ALARP) [7]
Trends in Global Risk Management StandardizationThe risk management approach has moved in the litera-
ture from the isolated concept (where the different risks aredistinctly administered) to an all-encompassing integrated
This article was originally presented at 8th Global Congress onProcess Safety Houston TX April 1ndash4 2012
VC 2013 American Institute of Chemical Engineers
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Month 2013 1
approach (where risk management is optimized throughoutan organization) Some driving forces for risk integration are
Increased number variety and interaction of risks Accelerated pace of business and globalization Tendency to quantify risks Attitude of organizations toward the value-creating poten-
tial of risk Common risk practices and tools shared across the world
(Figure 1)
The international community has created documentsrelated to the standardization of risk management that covergeneral guidance terminology requirements and toolsAmong them documents worth mentioning are
CCPS latest publications on the evolution of PSM to arisk-based management approach [8] and updated processhazard methods that include bow-tie diagrams [1] International Association of Drilling Contractors Safety
Case guidelines where risk management is the center-piece of a comprehensive major hazards ALARP assess-ment [910] and The International Organization for Standardization (ISO)
and the International Electrotechnical Commissionguidance for selecting and applying systematic techniquesfor risk assessment [11ndash13]
We are moving toward standardized operational riskmanagement emphasizing
The importance of a formal safety assessment roadmapinstead of isolated hazard identification studies A compilation of identification and assessment results
describing critical barriers that avoid major accidents in atangible ALARP demonstration report Bow-tie diagrams appear as the tool of excellence to visu-
alize the risk management process and transmit specificaccountability
HAZARD IDENTIFICATION AND RISK ASSESSMENT (HIRA)
Identify Evaluate Analyze and ManageHIRA includes hazard identification and evaluation risk
assessment and reduction of events that could impact pro-cess safety occupational safety environment and socialresponsibility
The ISO Risk Management Principles and Guidelinesstandardize risk assessment in four parts risk identificationrisk analysis risk evaluation and risk treatment The firststepmdashrisk identificationmdashis achieved by identifying all haz-ards and their subsequent consequences
The risk management process has reached a level of ma-turity where recent and future improvements are focused tobetter manage risk and include review and monitoringchecks to ensure desired performance in order to preventand mitigate major accident events The risk managementprocess is a key factor in the success and sustainability of oiland gas facilities and must be ingrained into the entire pro-cess life cycle
Where Do Bow-Tie Diagrams Fit in HIRATo understand the use and application of bow-tie dia-
grams in downstream risk-based process safety a transitionmust be made from hazard identification to risk assessmentHazard identification is a key provision in the US regula-tory-based safety management systems (eg PSM SEMS)
This process includes the orderly systematic examinationof causes leading to potential releases of hazardous substan-ces and what safeguards must be implemented to preventand mitigate a loss of containment resulting in occupationalexposure injury environmental impact or property loss
Process hazard analysis (PHA) techniques like hazardidentification (HAZID) and hazard and operability (HAZOP)studies are the tabular hazard methods most widely used foroperational hazards identification HAZID studies frequentlyare used in exploration production and mid-stream opera-tions both onshore and offshore However comparing toother worldwide best practices such as HSE cases foronshore and offshore facilities hazard identification by itselffalls short of applying the risk management process [7]
Moving from identifying hazards to qualitative riskassessment is achieved using semiquantitative matriceswhich is essentially an interaction of the two attributes of
Figure 1 Evolution of risk-based process safety [8]
Figure 2 Typical bow-tie diagram [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which is available atwileyonlinelibrarycom]
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)2 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
riskmdashseverity and likelihood The exercise amounts to riskranking these undesired events The hazard evaluation teammust identify ways to reduce the consequence or reduce thelikelihood of high or medium risks through preventive or mit-igation barriers to ensure that the risk level is either accepta-ble or ALARP Although ALARP can be demonstrated for anysystem regardless of design definition or focus level complexand costly decisions often require more accurate informationabout potential consequences and frequency of occurrence
Bow-tie diagrams effectively include the main elements ofthe risk management process identify prevent mitigate andassess (refer to Figure 2) To enhance a risk-based approachany tabular hazard identification can be customized to iden-tify preventive and mitigation safeguards (barriers) that canbe exported to a bow-tie diagram
Risk assessment becomes quantitative when accident sce-narios need more precise numerical analysis to estimate theextent of a potential damage and its yearly frequency of occur-rence Such quantitative risk assessment often involves the useof existing failure and loss-of-integrity data plus computationalmodels to simulate accident events Typical quantitative riskassessments for the oil and gas industry include fire and explo-sion analysis smoke and toxic gas dispersion analysis fire andgas mapping and dynamic events study such as ship collisionhelicopter crash or dropped objects studies (refer to Figure 3)
As illustrated in Figure 3 a bow-tie diagram may be anoptional way to identify hazards and display the risk man-agement process in an illustrative all-inclusive way this
approach has proven particularly useful for risk communica-tion It also allows for extracting critical element systems thateither prevent or mitigate an accidental event Even thoughbow-tie diagrams are considered a qualitative risk assess-ment tool applications where quantitative analysis is neces-sary can also benefit by representing within the riskmanagement process exactly where the results refine theconsequence and frequency of undesired outcomes
BOW-TIE TERMINOLOGY
Essential definitions while conducting bow-tie analysesare provided here for the benefit of the reader to understandthe terminology used and to relate it to the case studies
Hazard Anything inherent to the business that has thepotential to cause harm to safety health the environ-ment property plant products or reputation Threat A direct sufficient and independent possible
cause that can release the hazard by producing the topevent leading to a consequence Top Event The moment in which the hazard is released
the first event in a chain of negative events leading tounwanted consequences Control Any measure taken that acts against some unde-
sirable force or intention in order to maintain a desiredstate Proactive Controls prevent an event (left side ofbow-tie diagram) Reactive Controls minimize conse-quence (right side of bow-tie diagram)
Figure 3 Hazard identification and risk assessment process flow Source ERM North America Risk Practice [Color figure canbe viewed in the online issue which is available at wileyonlinelibrarycom]
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 3
Escalation Factor Condition that leads to increased riskby defeating or reducing the effectiveness of a control Consequence Accident event resulting from the release
of a hazard that results directly in loss or damage per-sons environment assets or reputation ALARP Risk of a business where a hazard is intrinsic
however it has been demonstrated that the cost involved inreducing the risk further would be grossly disproportionateto the benefit gained The ALARP definition is linked withrisk tolerability and thus is different for every organization Risk Matrix Company- or project-defined grid that com-
bines consequence (severity) and frequency (likelihood)to produce a level of risk and defines the risk tolerabilityboundaries for attributes of interest (people environmentassets reputation)
HOW CAN BOW-TIE DIAGRAMS CONTRIBUTE TO HIRA
After significant investment of time and resources in theHIRA process it would be unthinkable to lose access to theresults in thick binders that are seldom opened again Theknowledge and insight gained through the process of identi-fying hazards and assessing risks needs to be extracted andkept operationally current and evolving
Operational excellence includes producing with no harmand no leaks and it is not possible unless the operator man-ages as a critical routine the specific elements or compo-nents that eliminate or minimize risk (ie preventive ormitigation barriers Refer to Figure 4)
Hence the successful documentation of a HIRA for opera-tional excellence includes
Access to the information the right level of detail at theoperatorrsquos fingertips Understanding the information pictorial bow-tie repre-
sentation that can be grasped as a whole or by threats orconsequences Individual accountability for the barriers Systems to ensure barrier integrity assurance actions are
adequate timely and maintained throughout the lifecycle of the process or facility
Identify Major Hazard EventsIn a process facility although a plethora of hazards exists
not all hazards have the potential of materializing to an acci-dent or major hazard event (MHE) Likewise process hazardshave numerous risk control systems but not all controls are
Figure 4 Contribution of Bow-tie Diagrams to HIRA and Operational Excellence Source ERM America Risk Practice
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)4 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
considered safety-critical Bow-tie diagramming helps one tounderstand the top events in a facility the threats that canbe involved in a causation sequence and the final conse-quences that the organization will need to face
The generic definition of MHE involves hazards with thepotential to result in an uncontrolled event with immediateor imminent exposure leading to serious risk to the healthand safety of persons environmental impact or propertyloss [14] A bow-tie session will generate MHE candidatesfrom the HIRA process that will be validated by key disci-pline team members and subject-matter experts A consensusMHE list (10 to 15 items typically) clearly defines the eventscapable of catastrophic losses in your facility and constitutesthe starting point of a bow-tie study
Describe Risk Control Systems and Safety-criticalEquipment
The next step is to identify the key barriers that eitherprevent or mitigate an MHE These barriers are risk controlsystems and within them are vital elements known assafety-critical elements (SCEs) SCEs are any part of the in-stallation plant or computer programs the failure of whichwill either cause or contribute to a major accident or thepurpose of which is to prevent or limit the effect of a major
accident [15] By extracting a list of SCEs access to the con-trols and their perceived effectiveness are easier to under-stand use and monitor A non-exhaustive list of SCEsproposed by the Energy Institute London is reproduced inFigure 5
SCEs can be hardware software or human interventiontasks They can be intrinsic to the design added as riskreduction measures or consist of administrative proceduresThe bottom line is that the set barriers for each threat needto be legitimate to achieve a risk-reduction target by block-ing the threats or providing timely control and mitigationonce top events materializes For a barrier to be valid itmust
Be able to stop a threat Be effective in minimizing a consequence Be independent from other barriers in same threat line
A common finding in accident investigations is the exces-sive reliance on procedures Procedural barriers should beconsidered as complementary and evaluation of escalationfactors due to human error must also be part of the bow-tiestudy Therefore barrier documentation must include anassessment of the number and quality rating of the barriersfor the overall risk control effectiveness
Figure 5 Hazard identification and risk assessment process flow Source Guidelines for the Management of Safety Critical Ele-ments London Energy Institute March 2007
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 5
Elaborate Performance Standards and ProceduresNow that risk control systems (SCEs) have been identi-
fied they will be of no value unless they consistently per-form when needed as expected Performance standards foreach SCE define and document the attributes (eg function-ality availability reliability survivability and interactionswith other systems) The following questions must beanswered by an SCE performance standard
What function must the SCE perform before and after amajor event How will the SCE produce intended outcome on demand
Who is the individual or position accountable for theSCE integrity What are associated interactions with other SCEs When is inspection maintenance and testing required to
ensure a specific SCE attribute
Set Key Performance IndicatorsUnless an SCE is inspected maintained and tested it will
deteriorate over time Most of the accident investigationsconducted in the industry reveal broken or degraded
Figure 6 LNG loss of containmentmdashcollapsed view [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which is available atwileyonlinelibrarycom]
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)6 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
barriers where a complex sequence of unfortunate eventsresulted in a major accident
To ensure that SCEs perform as intended the outcomemust be described along with a lagging indicator to showthat the outcome has been achieved [16] Leading indicatorsmust also be set to monitor the effectiveness of the SCEwithin the risk control system Systems to define tier controllevels tolerance data collection and follow-up outcomedeviations must also be established and kept throughout thefacilityrsquos life cycle [17] Moreover facility modifications mustbe assessed and managed to establish their impact on theSCEs and to ensure that changes are incorporated into theperformance and verification regime
Assure Competence and TrainingHuman factors continue to be recognized as an important
contributor to major hazard events and need to be appropriatelyaddressed Human intervention is pervasive in the processindustries SCEs are invented designed constructed fabricatedinstalled maintained tested and replaced by people Bow-tieanalysis facilitates the assignment of individual roles for risk con-trol systems and SCE by providing clear performance expecta-tions and monitoring outcomes through leading and laggingindicators By incorporating this valuable information the com-petencies are better delineated training programs and
instructions are accurately designed the operational proceduresare better designed and communicated resulting in an operatorbetter equipped to fulfill his duties for safe and clean operationsBow-tie diagrams have been successfully applied in humanorganizational change and optimization [18]
EXAMPLE OF DOWNSTREAM BOW-TIE DIAGRAMMING
A study case developed for a new coal seam LNG facilityin Australia is presented here According to Australian regula-tions the LNG plant is classified as major hazard facility(MHF) and within the scope of engineering procurementand construction a Safety Case Report must be submitted tothe MHF regulator [14]
A condensed list of MHEs (including loss of containmentoccupational exposure and global adverse events) and theirassociated SCEs were extracted from the formal safety studies(ie HAZIDs HAZOPs and project Hazard Register) thatwere completed during front-end engineering and designDuring a bow-tie workshop SCEs such as design hardwareand procedures were validated and classified
The list of identified MHEs included
Loss of containment Most MHEs will be concentrated inthe loss of containment of either hydrocarbons or hazard-ous substances
Figure 7 LNG loss of containmentmdashexpanded view threats [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which is avail-able at wileyonlinelibrarycom]
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 7
Stored energy Sudden release of hydrocarbons or hazard-ous substances due to mechanical or trapped pressurefrom stored energy sources Dynamic energy Involves events of traffic (vessel colli-
sion) or dropped or swung objects Occupational MHE Confined space entry high elevation
energy sources (stored energy energized circuits) Adverse weather events Earthquakes bush fire heavy
rain flash foods
The bow-tie method allowed the team to assess theappropriateness and robustness of the preventive and mitiga-tion controls for each identified MHE Also lessons learnedfrom other LNG projects were applied to challenge the bar-riers proposed in the design Identified action items aimed atconfirming and improving SCEs were incorporated duringthe project execution phase Figures 6ndash8 of this article areprovided as an illustration of the resulting diagrams
ENVIRONMENTAL APPLICATIONS
The bow-tie concept was tested for an environmentalhazard identification (ENVID) study that was in progress foran offshore platform The ENVID was conducted independ-ently of the HAZID To stay consistent the HAZID approachthe authors applied the bow-tie technique to the conven-tional ENVID method
A typical bow-tie originates at the center beginning withthe hazard identified and then is extended to either side forcause and consequence respectively Similarly an environ-mental event was chosen to be the center of the bow-tieThe left-hand side was populated with the causes identifiedand environmental consequences were populated on theright-hand side
Conventionally an ENVID is another brainstorming tech-nique that lists existing barriers or safeguards In this caseusing the bow-tie approach the safeguards identified wereclassified as being either preventive measures that wouldeliminate the cause or mitigation measures that would allevi-ate the undesired environmental consequence The study(brainstorming session) was documented in a tabular spread-sheet format using the bow-tie type of sequential approachfor the thought process For each of the scenarios discussedthe team proposed recommendations where deemednecessary
An advantage for the team members of using thisapproach was that they were able to correlate the precedingHAZID results to the ENVID thereby understanding thecontribution of the various causes and barriers to
environmental risk This assisted in identifying critical envi-ronmental compliance elements for the project In additiona clear mapping of the undesired environmental events facili-tated a robust understanding for the team of the environ-mental hazards This method is amenable to early phaseenvironmental impact assessment development designphases project start up and review of changes and newevents and startup operations
See Table 1 which is an example of the application ofbow-tie diagramming to ENVIDs The example is based oncurrent work for an oil and gas facility where the table fieldswill eventually be exported to bow-tie diagrams and theresults were recently published [19]
LESSONS LEARNED
The ERM Risk Practice has conducted a significant num-ber of bow-tie workshops in a team environment with theparticipation of relevant disciplines The graphical nature ofbow-tie diagrams was a major contributor to the success ofthe studies
This visual approach also enhanced the brainstorming forthe analyses minimizing the confusion that a tabular analysistends to cause Four areas have been identified where thebow-tie model is very useful during workshops
Distinction of the functionality of the controlsUnderstanding each barrierrsquos contribution to either eliminat-ing the causes or mitigating the consequences provided theteam members a better perception of the barrier effective-ness and the requirements to retain its integrity over time Correct use of the risk matrix When ranking consequence
using a risk assessment matrix especially when the teamis reluctant to assign valid likelihood and consequenceresulting in ldquohighrdquo risk the bow-tie diagram illustrates theimportance of using the matrix correctly by assigning real-istic qualitative values and aim at a recommendation toyield the most risk reduction Incident investigation Building upon any investigation
method the team can analyze immediate intermediateand root causes in a holistic approach by comparing thebarriers in place and the ones that were degraded or bro-ken and their connection to the HSE management system Accurate inclusion of human factors Human error must
not be addressed as another generic threat but as a spe-cific escalating factor or vulnerability that can lead to thebarrier failure for example human error triggered byunclear operational instructions or unrealistic emergencyresponse procedures
Figure 8 LNG loss of containmentmdashexpanded view consequences [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which isavailable at wileyonlinelibrarycom]
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)8 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
CONCLUSION
The authors have successfully applied the bow-tie dia-grammatic approach to downstream oil and gas facilitiesboth greenfield and brownfield projects As the process safetypractice continues evolving to a risk-based approach bow-tiediagrams have enormous potential to complement processsafety initiatives [2021] Some advantages of applying thebow-tie approach to the risk management process are
Application and understanding of the risk managementprocess from identification to assessment Focus on MHEs differentiating highly hazardous releases
(eg loss of containment) from other workplace hazardsoccupational health or environmental aspects Synthesis extraction of risk control systems and SCEs to
prevent or mitigate an MHE Provision of stand-alone performance standards to docu-
ment SCE integrity assurance plan Setting leading and lagging performance indicators Unparalleled communication of MHEs and their controls
demonstration of ALARP Assessment of barrier strength to achieve the desired risk
control effectiveness Integration of human and organizational factors by identi-
fying specific barriers to prevent and manage humanerror Fine-tuning competency and training requirements for
individuals accountable for risk-control systems and SCEs
A few disadvantages have also been identified
Requirement to acquire bow-tie software to better docu-ment and visualize the resulting large bow-tie diagrams Need to have a robust risk-assessment matrix to appropri-
ately screen MHEs and arrive at a representative set ofbow-tie diagrams per facility or business unit
The authorsrsquo use of the bow-tie concept points towardthe application of this tool as a complement instead of asubstitute to traditional tabular process hazard analysis (egHAZID) Moreover other semiquantitative applications (egLOPA) are feasible and being used experimentally at thisstage The future of bow-tie diagrams across industry to com-plement enhance and operationalize hazard identificationand assessment with the incorporation of human factors at apractical level does look promising and will rapidly evolve
LITERATURE CITED
1 Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS) Guidelinesfor Hazard Evaluation Procedures 3rd Ed Wiley Hobo-ken New Jersey 2008
2 P Hudson Leiden University of the Netherlands amp DelftUniversity of Technology The Netherlands IntegratingOrganization Culture into Incident Analyses Extendingthe Bow Tie Model SPE International Conference onHealth Safety and Environment Vol 4 2010 2662ndash2674
3 29 CFR 1910119 Process Safety Management of HighlyHazardous Chemicals 1992
4 40 CFR Part 68 Risk Management Program (RMP) Rule2009
5 CFR Part 250 Subpart S Safety and Environmental Man-agement Systems October 2010
6 American Petroleum Institute API Recommended Practice75 Recommended Practice for Development of a Safetyand Environment Management Program for Offshore Oper-ations and Facilities 3rd Ed 2004 reaffirmed May 2008
7 National Commission on the BP Deepwater Horizon TheGulf Oil Disaster and the Future of Offshore DrillingmdashReport to the President January 2011Ta
ble
1EN
VID
work
sheetal
igned
tobow
-tie
appro
ach
Cau
sePre
vention
and
Dete
ctio
nBar
riers
Environm
enta
lEvent
Controls
M
itig
atio
nConse
quence
Ris
kRan
kin
g(r
em
oved
for
this
exam
ple
)Reco
mm
endat
ions
1D
iese
lengin
eexhau
st1Routine
mai
nte
nan
cean
din
spect
ion
1Air
Em
issi
ons
1M
onitoring
for
bla
cksm
oke
1Rele
ase
of
polluta
nts
tosu
rroundin
genvironm
ent
(par
ticu
late
sSO
x
NO
xCO
2)
2Revie
whelico
pte
rexhau
stpar
amete
rsin
late
rst
ages
2Third-p
arty
equip
ment
2Engin
eering
3Revie
wsu
pply
boat
exhau
stpro
pertie
sin
late
rst
ages
3Sp
eci
fic
equip
ment
3Equip
mentse
lect
ion
toco
de
8Verify
that
drillin
gco
ntrac
tor
equip
ment
willnotexce
ed
em
issi
ons
lim
its
4Su
pply
Boat
exhau
st4Sh
utdow
nequip
ment
5H
elico
pte
rexhau
st1Rele
ase
ofgas
from
drillin
gm
ud
1G
asdete
ctio
n1Air
em
issi
ons
1M
onitoring
equip
ment
1Rele
ase
ofpolluta
nts
tosu
rroundin
genvironm
ent
(incr
eas
ed
GH
Gbeca
use
ofunburn
ed
gas
es)
No
reco
mm
endat
ion
pro
pose
d2Le
aks
from
flan
ges
val
ves
tanks
vents
etc
(f
ugitiv
eem
issi
ons)
2M
ud
conditio
nin
g2M
ud
conditio
nin
g
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 9
8 Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS) Guidelinesfor Risk Based Process Safety Wiley Hoboken New Jer-sey 2007
9 International Association of Drilling Contractors (IADC)Health Safety and Environment Case Guideline for Mo-bile Offshore Drilling Units Issue 33 Houston TexasIADC December 1 2010
10 International Association of Drilling Contractors (IADC)Health Safety and Environment Case Guideline for LandDrilling Units Issue 101 Houston Texas IADC July 27 2009
11 International Standard ISO 17776 Petroleum and Gas Nat-ural IndustriesmdashOffshore production installations Guide-lines on tools and techniques for hazard identificationand risk assessment October 15 2000
12 ANSIASSE Z6902-2011 Risk Management Principles andGuidelines National Adoption of ISO 310002009
13 ANSIASSE Z6902-2011 Risk Assessment TechniquesNational Adoption of IECISO 310102009
14 SafeWork Australia Guide for Major Hazard FacilitiesSafety Assessments March 2012
15 Guidelines for the Management of Safety Critical Ele-ments 2nd Ed Energy Institute London UK 2007
16 UK Health and Safety Executive Developing ProcessSafety Indicators HSG254 2006
17 American Petroleum Institute API Recommended Practice754 Process Safety Performance Indicators for the Refin-ing and Petrochemical Industries American PetroleumInstitute Washington DC 2010
18 P Davidson and SD Mooney Key Safety Roles inOrganizational Changes Wiley InterScience 2009
19 F Jones and K Israni Environmental Risk AssessmentUsing Bow-tie Methodology 2012
20 T Whipple and R Pitblado Applied Risk-Based ProcessSafety A Consolidated Risk Register and Focus on RiskCommunication Wiley InterScience 2009
21 P Davidson and SD Mooney Key Safety Roles inOrganizational Changes Wiley InterScience 2009
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)10 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
approach (where risk management is optimized throughoutan organization) Some driving forces for risk integration are
Increased number variety and interaction of risks Accelerated pace of business and globalization Tendency to quantify risks Attitude of organizations toward the value-creating poten-
tial of risk Common risk practices and tools shared across the world
(Figure 1)
The international community has created documentsrelated to the standardization of risk management that covergeneral guidance terminology requirements and toolsAmong them documents worth mentioning are
CCPS latest publications on the evolution of PSM to arisk-based management approach [8] and updated processhazard methods that include bow-tie diagrams [1] International Association of Drilling Contractors Safety
Case guidelines where risk management is the center-piece of a comprehensive major hazards ALARP assess-ment [910] and The International Organization for Standardization (ISO)
and the International Electrotechnical Commissionguidance for selecting and applying systematic techniquesfor risk assessment [11ndash13]
We are moving toward standardized operational riskmanagement emphasizing
The importance of a formal safety assessment roadmapinstead of isolated hazard identification studies A compilation of identification and assessment results
describing critical barriers that avoid major accidents in atangible ALARP demonstration report Bow-tie diagrams appear as the tool of excellence to visu-
alize the risk management process and transmit specificaccountability
HAZARD IDENTIFICATION AND RISK ASSESSMENT (HIRA)
Identify Evaluate Analyze and ManageHIRA includes hazard identification and evaluation risk
assessment and reduction of events that could impact pro-cess safety occupational safety environment and socialresponsibility
The ISO Risk Management Principles and Guidelinesstandardize risk assessment in four parts risk identificationrisk analysis risk evaluation and risk treatment The firststepmdashrisk identificationmdashis achieved by identifying all haz-ards and their subsequent consequences
The risk management process has reached a level of ma-turity where recent and future improvements are focused tobetter manage risk and include review and monitoringchecks to ensure desired performance in order to preventand mitigate major accident events The risk managementprocess is a key factor in the success and sustainability of oiland gas facilities and must be ingrained into the entire pro-cess life cycle
Where Do Bow-Tie Diagrams Fit in HIRATo understand the use and application of bow-tie dia-
grams in downstream risk-based process safety a transitionmust be made from hazard identification to risk assessmentHazard identification is a key provision in the US regula-tory-based safety management systems (eg PSM SEMS)
This process includes the orderly systematic examinationof causes leading to potential releases of hazardous substan-ces and what safeguards must be implemented to preventand mitigate a loss of containment resulting in occupationalexposure injury environmental impact or property loss
Process hazard analysis (PHA) techniques like hazardidentification (HAZID) and hazard and operability (HAZOP)studies are the tabular hazard methods most widely used foroperational hazards identification HAZID studies frequentlyare used in exploration production and mid-stream opera-tions both onshore and offshore However comparing toother worldwide best practices such as HSE cases foronshore and offshore facilities hazard identification by itselffalls short of applying the risk management process [7]
Moving from identifying hazards to qualitative riskassessment is achieved using semiquantitative matriceswhich is essentially an interaction of the two attributes of
Figure 1 Evolution of risk-based process safety [8]
Figure 2 Typical bow-tie diagram [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which is available atwileyonlinelibrarycom]
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)2 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
riskmdashseverity and likelihood The exercise amounts to riskranking these undesired events The hazard evaluation teammust identify ways to reduce the consequence or reduce thelikelihood of high or medium risks through preventive or mit-igation barriers to ensure that the risk level is either accepta-ble or ALARP Although ALARP can be demonstrated for anysystem regardless of design definition or focus level complexand costly decisions often require more accurate informationabout potential consequences and frequency of occurrence
Bow-tie diagrams effectively include the main elements ofthe risk management process identify prevent mitigate andassess (refer to Figure 2) To enhance a risk-based approachany tabular hazard identification can be customized to iden-tify preventive and mitigation safeguards (barriers) that canbe exported to a bow-tie diagram
Risk assessment becomes quantitative when accident sce-narios need more precise numerical analysis to estimate theextent of a potential damage and its yearly frequency of occur-rence Such quantitative risk assessment often involves the useof existing failure and loss-of-integrity data plus computationalmodels to simulate accident events Typical quantitative riskassessments for the oil and gas industry include fire and explo-sion analysis smoke and toxic gas dispersion analysis fire andgas mapping and dynamic events study such as ship collisionhelicopter crash or dropped objects studies (refer to Figure 3)
As illustrated in Figure 3 a bow-tie diagram may be anoptional way to identify hazards and display the risk man-agement process in an illustrative all-inclusive way this
approach has proven particularly useful for risk communica-tion It also allows for extracting critical element systems thateither prevent or mitigate an accidental event Even thoughbow-tie diagrams are considered a qualitative risk assess-ment tool applications where quantitative analysis is neces-sary can also benefit by representing within the riskmanagement process exactly where the results refine theconsequence and frequency of undesired outcomes
BOW-TIE TERMINOLOGY
Essential definitions while conducting bow-tie analysesare provided here for the benefit of the reader to understandthe terminology used and to relate it to the case studies
Hazard Anything inherent to the business that has thepotential to cause harm to safety health the environ-ment property plant products or reputation Threat A direct sufficient and independent possible
cause that can release the hazard by producing the topevent leading to a consequence Top Event The moment in which the hazard is released
the first event in a chain of negative events leading tounwanted consequences Control Any measure taken that acts against some unde-
sirable force or intention in order to maintain a desiredstate Proactive Controls prevent an event (left side ofbow-tie diagram) Reactive Controls minimize conse-quence (right side of bow-tie diagram)
Figure 3 Hazard identification and risk assessment process flow Source ERM North America Risk Practice [Color figure canbe viewed in the online issue which is available at wileyonlinelibrarycom]
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 3
Escalation Factor Condition that leads to increased riskby defeating or reducing the effectiveness of a control Consequence Accident event resulting from the release
of a hazard that results directly in loss or damage per-sons environment assets or reputation ALARP Risk of a business where a hazard is intrinsic
however it has been demonstrated that the cost involved inreducing the risk further would be grossly disproportionateto the benefit gained The ALARP definition is linked withrisk tolerability and thus is different for every organization Risk Matrix Company- or project-defined grid that com-
bines consequence (severity) and frequency (likelihood)to produce a level of risk and defines the risk tolerabilityboundaries for attributes of interest (people environmentassets reputation)
HOW CAN BOW-TIE DIAGRAMS CONTRIBUTE TO HIRA
After significant investment of time and resources in theHIRA process it would be unthinkable to lose access to theresults in thick binders that are seldom opened again Theknowledge and insight gained through the process of identi-fying hazards and assessing risks needs to be extracted andkept operationally current and evolving
Operational excellence includes producing with no harmand no leaks and it is not possible unless the operator man-ages as a critical routine the specific elements or compo-nents that eliminate or minimize risk (ie preventive ormitigation barriers Refer to Figure 4)
Hence the successful documentation of a HIRA for opera-tional excellence includes
Access to the information the right level of detail at theoperatorrsquos fingertips Understanding the information pictorial bow-tie repre-
sentation that can be grasped as a whole or by threats orconsequences Individual accountability for the barriers Systems to ensure barrier integrity assurance actions are
adequate timely and maintained throughout the lifecycle of the process or facility
Identify Major Hazard EventsIn a process facility although a plethora of hazards exists
not all hazards have the potential of materializing to an acci-dent or major hazard event (MHE) Likewise process hazardshave numerous risk control systems but not all controls are
Figure 4 Contribution of Bow-tie Diagrams to HIRA and Operational Excellence Source ERM America Risk Practice
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)4 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
considered safety-critical Bow-tie diagramming helps one tounderstand the top events in a facility the threats that canbe involved in a causation sequence and the final conse-quences that the organization will need to face
The generic definition of MHE involves hazards with thepotential to result in an uncontrolled event with immediateor imminent exposure leading to serious risk to the healthand safety of persons environmental impact or propertyloss [14] A bow-tie session will generate MHE candidatesfrom the HIRA process that will be validated by key disci-pline team members and subject-matter experts A consensusMHE list (10 to 15 items typically) clearly defines the eventscapable of catastrophic losses in your facility and constitutesthe starting point of a bow-tie study
Describe Risk Control Systems and Safety-criticalEquipment
The next step is to identify the key barriers that eitherprevent or mitigate an MHE These barriers are risk controlsystems and within them are vital elements known assafety-critical elements (SCEs) SCEs are any part of the in-stallation plant or computer programs the failure of whichwill either cause or contribute to a major accident or thepurpose of which is to prevent or limit the effect of a major
accident [15] By extracting a list of SCEs access to the con-trols and their perceived effectiveness are easier to under-stand use and monitor A non-exhaustive list of SCEsproposed by the Energy Institute London is reproduced inFigure 5
SCEs can be hardware software or human interventiontasks They can be intrinsic to the design added as riskreduction measures or consist of administrative proceduresThe bottom line is that the set barriers for each threat needto be legitimate to achieve a risk-reduction target by block-ing the threats or providing timely control and mitigationonce top events materializes For a barrier to be valid itmust
Be able to stop a threat Be effective in minimizing a consequence Be independent from other barriers in same threat line
A common finding in accident investigations is the exces-sive reliance on procedures Procedural barriers should beconsidered as complementary and evaluation of escalationfactors due to human error must also be part of the bow-tiestudy Therefore barrier documentation must include anassessment of the number and quality rating of the barriersfor the overall risk control effectiveness
Figure 5 Hazard identification and risk assessment process flow Source Guidelines for the Management of Safety Critical Ele-ments London Energy Institute March 2007
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 5
Elaborate Performance Standards and ProceduresNow that risk control systems (SCEs) have been identi-
fied they will be of no value unless they consistently per-form when needed as expected Performance standards foreach SCE define and document the attributes (eg function-ality availability reliability survivability and interactionswith other systems) The following questions must beanswered by an SCE performance standard
What function must the SCE perform before and after amajor event How will the SCE produce intended outcome on demand
Who is the individual or position accountable for theSCE integrity What are associated interactions with other SCEs When is inspection maintenance and testing required to
ensure a specific SCE attribute
Set Key Performance IndicatorsUnless an SCE is inspected maintained and tested it will
deteriorate over time Most of the accident investigationsconducted in the industry reveal broken or degraded
Figure 6 LNG loss of containmentmdashcollapsed view [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which is available atwileyonlinelibrarycom]
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)6 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
barriers where a complex sequence of unfortunate eventsresulted in a major accident
To ensure that SCEs perform as intended the outcomemust be described along with a lagging indicator to showthat the outcome has been achieved [16] Leading indicatorsmust also be set to monitor the effectiveness of the SCEwithin the risk control system Systems to define tier controllevels tolerance data collection and follow-up outcomedeviations must also be established and kept throughout thefacilityrsquos life cycle [17] Moreover facility modifications mustbe assessed and managed to establish their impact on theSCEs and to ensure that changes are incorporated into theperformance and verification regime
Assure Competence and TrainingHuman factors continue to be recognized as an important
contributor to major hazard events and need to be appropriatelyaddressed Human intervention is pervasive in the processindustries SCEs are invented designed constructed fabricatedinstalled maintained tested and replaced by people Bow-tieanalysis facilitates the assignment of individual roles for risk con-trol systems and SCE by providing clear performance expecta-tions and monitoring outcomes through leading and laggingindicators By incorporating this valuable information the com-petencies are better delineated training programs and
instructions are accurately designed the operational proceduresare better designed and communicated resulting in an operatorbetter equipped to fulfill his duties for safe and clean operationsBow-tie diagrams have been successfully applied in humanorganizational change and optimization [18]
EXAMPLE OF DOWNSTREAM BOW-TIE DIAGRAMMING
A study case developed for a new coal seam LNG facilityin Australia is presented here According to Australian regula-tions the LNG plant is classified as major hazard facility(MHF) and within the scope of engineering procurementand construction a Safety Case Report must be submitted tothe MHF regulator [14]
A condensed list of MHEs (including loss of containmentoccupational exposure and global adverse events) and theirassociated SCEs were extracted from the formal safety studies(ie HAZIDs HAZOPs and project Hazard Register) thatwere completed during front-end engineering and designDuring a bow-tie workshop SCEs such as design hardwareand procedures were validated and classified
The list of identified MHEs included
Loss of containment Most MHEs will be concentrated inthe loss of containment of either hydrocarbons or hazard-ous substances
Figure 7 LNG loss of containmentmdashexpanded view threats [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which is avail-able at wileyonlinelibrarycom]
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 7
Stored energy Sudden release of hydrocarbons or hazard-ous substances due to mechanical or trapped pressurefrom stored energy sources Dynamic energy Involves events of traffic (vessel colli-
sion) or dropped or swung objects Occupational MHE Confined space entry high elevation
energy sources (stored energy energized circuits) Adverse weather events Earthquakes bush fire heavy
rain flash foods
The bow-tie method allowed the team to assess theappropriateness and robustness of the preventive and mitiga-tion controls for each identified MHE Also lessons learnedfrom other LNG projects were applied to challenge the bar-riers proposed in the design Identified action items aimed atconfirming and improving SCEs were incorporated duringthe project execution phase Figures 6ndash8 of this article areprovided as an illustration of the resulting diagrams
ENVIRONMENTAL APPLICATIONS
The bow-tie concept was tested for an environmentalhazard identification (ENVID) study that was in progress foran offshore platform The ENVID was conducted independ-ently of the HAZID To stay consistent the HAZID approachthe authors applied the bow-tie technique to the conven-tional ENVID method
A typical bow-tie originates at the center beginning withthe hazard identified and then is extended to either side forcause and consequence respectively Similarly an environ-mental event was chosen to be the center of the bow-tieThe left-hand side was populated with the causes identifiedand environmental consequences were populated on theright-hand side
Conventionally an ENVID is another brainstorming tech-nique that lists existing barriers or safeguards In this caseusing the bow-tie approach the safeguards identified wereclassified as being either preventive measures that wouldeliminate the cause or mitigation measures that would allevi-ate the undesired environmental consequence The study(brainstorming session) was documented in a tabular spread-sheet format using the bow-tie type of sequential approachfor the thought process For each of the scenarios discussedthe team proposed recommendations where deemednecessary
An advantage for the team members of using thisapproach was that they were able to correlate the precedingHAZID results to the ENVID thereby understanding thecontribution of the various causes and barriers to
environmental risk This assisted in identifying critical envi-ronmental compliance elements for the project In additiona clear mapping of the undesired environmental events facili-tated a robust understanding for the team of the environ-mental hazards This method is amenable to early phaseenvironmental impact assessment development designphases project start up and review of changes and newevents and startup operations
See Table 1 which is an example of the application ofbow-tie diagramming to ENVIDs The example is based oncurrent work for an oil and gas facility where the table fieldswill eventually be exported to bow-tie diagrams and theresults were recently published [19]
LESSONS LEARNED
The ERM Risk Practice has conducted a significant num-ber of bow-tie workshops in a team environment with theparticipation of relevant disciplines The graphical nature ofbow-tie diagrams was a major contributor to the success ofthe studies
This visual approach also enhanced the brainstorming forthe analyses minimizing the confusion that a tabular analysistends to cause Four areas have been identified where thebow-tie model is very useful during workshops
Distinction of the functionality of the controlsUnderstanding each barrierrsquos contribution to either eliminat-ing the causes or mitigating the consequences provided theteam members a better perception of the barrier effective-ness and the requirements to retain its integrity over time Correct use of the risk matrix When ranking consequence
using a risk assessment matrix especially when the teamis reluctant to assign valid likelihood and consequenceresulting in ldquohighrdquo risk the bow-tie diagram illustrates theimportance of using the matrix correctly by assigning real-istic qualitative values and aim at a recommendation toyield the most risk reduction Incident investigation Building upon any investigation
method the team can analyze immediate intermediateand root causes in a holistic approach by comparing thebarriers in place and the ones that were degraded or bro-ken and their connection to the HSE management system Accurate inclusion of human factors Human error must
not be addressed as another generic threat but as a spe-cific escalating factor or vulnerability that can lead to thebarrier failure for example human error triggered byunclear operational instructions or unrealistic emergencyresponse procedures
Figure 8 LNG loss of containmentmdashexpanded view consequences [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which isavailable at wileyonlinelibrarycom]
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)8 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
CONCLUSION
The authors have successfully applied the bow-tie dia-grammatic approach to downstream oil and gas facilitiesboth greenfield and brownfield projects As the process safetypractice continues evolving to a risk-based approach bow-tiediagrams have enormous potential to complement processsafety initiatives [2021] Some advantages of applying thebow-tie approach to the risk management process are
Application and understanding of the risk managementprocess from identification to assessment Focus on MHEs differentiating highly hazardous releases
(eg loss of containment) from other workplace hazardsoccupational health or environmental aspects Synthesis extraction of risk control systems and SCEs to
prevent or mitigate an MHE Provision of stand-alone performance standards to docu-
ment SCE integrity assurance plan Setting leading and lagging performance indicators Unparalleled communication of MHEs and their controls
demonstration of ALARP Assessment of barrier strength to achieve the desired risk
control effectiveness Integration of human and organizational factors by identi-
fying specific barriers to prevent and manage humanerror Fine-tuning competency and training requirements for
individuals accountable for risk-control systems and SCEs
A few disadvantages have also been identified
Requirement to acquire bow-tie software to better docu-ment and visualize the resulting large bow-tie diagrams Need to have a robust risk-assessment matrix to appropri-
ately screen MHEs and arrive at a representative set ofbow-tie diagrams per facility or business unit
The authorsrsquo use of the bow-tie concept points towardthe application of this tool as a complement instead of asubstitute to traditional tabular process hazard analysis (egHAZID) Moreover other semiquantitative applications (egLOPA) are feasible and being used experimentally at thisstage The future of bow-tie diagrams across industry to com-plement enhance and operationalize hazard identificationand assessment with the incorporation of human factors at apractical level does look promising and will rapidly evolve
LITERATURE CITED
1 Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS) Guidelinesfor Hazard Evaluation Procedures 3rd Ed Wiley Hobo-ken New Jersey 2008
2 P Hudson Leiden University of the Netherlands amp DelftUniversity of Technology The Netherlands IntegratingOrganization Culture into Incident Analyses Extendingthe Bow Tie Model SPE International Conference onHealth Safety and Environment Vol 4 2010 2662ndash2674
3 29 CFR 1910119 Process Safety Management of HighlyHazardous Chemicals 1992
4 40 CFR Part 68 Risk Management Program (RMP) Rule2009
5 CFR Part 250 Subpart S Safety and Environmental Man-agement Systems October 2010
6 American Petroleum Institute API Recommended Practice75 Recommended Practice for Development of a Safetyand Environment Management Program for Offshore Oper-ations and Facilities 3rd Ed 2004 reaffirmed May 2008
7 National Commission on the BP Deepwater Horizon TheGulf Oil Disaster and the Future of Offshore DrillingmdashReport to the President January 2011Ta
ble
1EN
VID
work
sheetal
igned
tobow
-tie
appro
ach
Cau
sePre
vention
and
Dete
ctio
nBar
riers
Environm
enta
lEvent
Controls
M
itig
atio
nConse
quence
Ris
kRan
kin
g(r
em
oved
for
this
exam
ple
)Reco
mm
endat
ions
1D
iese
lengin
eexhau
st1Routine
mai
nte
nan
cean
din
spect
ion
1Air
Em
issi
ons
1M
onitoring
for
bla
cksm
oke
1Rele
ase
of
polluta
nts
tosu
rroundin
genvironm
ent
(par
ticu
late
sSO
x
NO
xCO
2)
2Revie
whelico
pte
rexhau
stpar
amete
rsin
late
rst
ages
2Third-p
arty
equip
ment
2Engin
eering
3Revie
wsu
pply
boat
exhau
stpro
pertie
sin
late
rst
ages
3Sp
eci
fic
equip
ment
3Equip
mentse
lect
ion
toco
de
8Verify
that
drillin
gco
ntrac
tor
equip
ment
willnotexce
ed
em
issi
ons
lim
its
4Su
pply
Boat
exhau
st4Sh
utdow
nequip
ment
5H
elico
pte
rexhau
st1Rele
ase
ofgas
from
drillin
gm
ud
1G
asdete
ctio
n1Air
em
issi
ons
1M
onitoring
equip
ment
1Rele
ase
ofpolluta
nts
tosu
rroundin
genvironm
ent
(incr
eas
ed
GH
Gbeca
use
ofunburn
ed
gas
es)
No
reco
mm
endat
ion
pro
pose
d2Le
aks
from
flan
ges
val
ves
tanks
vents
etc
(f
ugitiv
eem
issi
ons)
2M
ud
conditio
nin
g2M
ud
conditio
nin
g
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 9
8 Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS) Guidelinesfor Risk Based Process Safety Wiley Hoboken New Jer-sey 2007
9 International Association of Drilling Contractors (IADC)Health Safety and Environment Case Guideline for Mo-bile Offshore Drilling Units Issue 33 Houston TexasIADC December 1 2010
10 International Association of Drilling Contractors (IADC)Health Safety and Environment Case Guideline for LandDrilling Units Issue 101 Houston Texas IADC July 27 2009
11 International Standard ISO 17776 Petroleum and Gas Nat-ural IndustriesmdashOffshore production installations Guide-lines on tools and techniques for hazard identificationand risk assessment October 15 2000
12 ANSIASSE Z6902-2011 Risk Management Principles andGuidelines National Adoption of ISO 310002009
13 ANSIASSE Z6902-2011 Risk Assessment TechniquesNational Adoption of IECISO 310102009
14 SafeWork Australia Guide for Major Hazard FacilitiesSafety Assessments March 2012
15 Guidelines for the Management of Safety Critical Ele-ments 2nd Ed Energy Institute London UK 2007
16 UK Health and Safety Executive Developing ProcessSafety Indicators HSG254 2006
17 American Petroleum Institute API Recommended Practice754 Process Safety Performance Indicators for the Refin-ing and Petrochemical Industries American PetroleumInstitute Washington DC 2010
18 P Davidson and SD Mooney Key Safety Roles inOrganizational Changes Wiley InterScience 2009
19 F Jones and K Israni Environmental Risk AssessmentUsing Bow-tie Methodology 2012
20 T Whipple and R Pitblado Applied Risk-Based ProcessSafety A Consolidated Risk Register and Focus on RiskCommunication Wiley InterScience 2009
21 P Davidson and SD Mooney Key Safety Roles inOrganizational Changes Wiley InterScience 2009
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)10 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
riskmdashseverity and likelihood The exercise amounts to riskranking these undesired events The hazard evaluation teammust identify ways to reduce the consequence or reduce thelikelihood of high or medium risks through preventive or mit-igation barriers to ensure that the risk level is either accepta-ble or ALARP Although ALARP can be demonstrated for anysystem regardless of design definition or focus level complexand costly decisions often require more accurate informationabout potential consequences and frequency of occurrence
Bow-tie diagrams effectively include the main elements ofthe risk management process identify prevent mitigate andassess (refer to Figure 2) To enhance a risk-based approachany tabular hazard identification can be customized to iden-tify preventive and mitigation safeguards (barriers) that canbe exported to a bow-tie diagram
Risk assessment becomes quantitative when accident sce-narios need more precise numerical analysis to estimate theextent of a potential damage and its yearly frequency of occur-rence Such quantitative risk assessment often involves the useof existing failure and loss-of-integrity data plus computationalmodels to simulate accident events Typical quantitative riskassessments for the oil and gas industry include fire and explo-sion analysis smoke and toxic gas dispersion analysis fire andgas mapping and dynamic events study such as ship collisionhelicopter crash or dropped objects studies (refer to Figure 3)
As illustrated in Figure 3 a bow-tie diagram may be anoptional way to identify hazards and display the risk man-agement process in an illustrative all-inclusive way this
approach has proven particularly useful for risk communica-tion It also allows for extracting critical element systems thateither prevent or mitigate an accidental event Even thoughbow-tie diagrams are considered a qualitative risk assess-ment tool applications where quantitative analysis is neces-sary can also benefit by representing within the riskmanagement process exactly where the results refine theconsequence and frequency of undesired outcomes
BOW-TIE TERMINOLOGY
Essential definitions while conducting bow-tie analysesare provided here for the benefit of the reader to understandthe terminology used and to relate it to the case studies
Hazard Anything inherent to the business that has thepotential to cause harm to safety health the environ-ment property plant products or reputation Threat A direct sufficient and independent possible
cause that can release the hazard by producing the topevent leading to a consequence Top Event The moment in which the hazard is released
the first event in a chain of negative events leading tounwanted consequences Control Any measure taken that acts against some unde-
sirable force or intention in order to maintain a desiredstate Proactive Controls prevent an event (left side ofbow-tie diagram) Reactive Controls minimize conse-quence (right side of bow-tie diagram)
Figure 3 Hazard identification and risk assessment process flow Source ERM North America Risk Practice [Color figure canbe viewed in the online issue which is available at wileyonlinelibrarycom]
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 3
Escalation Factor Condition that leads to increased riskby defeating or reducing the effectiveness of a control Consequence Accident event resulting from the release
of a hazard that results directly in loss or damage per-sons environment assets or reputation ALARP Risk of a business where a hazard is intrinsic
however it has been demonstrated that the cost involved inreducing the risk further would be grossly disproportionateto the benefit gained The ALARP definition is linked withrisk tolerability and thus is different for every organization Risk Matrix Company- or project-defined grid that com-
bines consequence (severity) and frequency (likelihood)to produce a level of risk and defines the risk tolerabilityboundaries for attributes of interest (people environmentassets reputation)
HOW CAN BOW-TIE DIAGRAMS CONTRIBUTE TO HIRA
After significant investment of time and resources in theHIRA process it would be unthinkable to lose access to theresults in thick binders that are seldom opened again Theknowledge and insight gained through the process of identi-fying hazards and assessing risks needs to be extracted andkept operationally current and evolving
Operational excellence includes producing with no harmand no leaks and it is not possible unless the operator man-ages as a critical routine the specific elements or compo-nents that eliminate or minimize risk (ie preventive ormitigation barriers Refer to Figure 4)
Hence the successful documentation of a HIRA for opera-tional excellence includes
Access to the information the right level of detail at theoperatorrsquos fingertips Understanding the information pictorial bow-tie repre-
sentation that can be grasped as a whole or by threats orconsequences Individual accountability for the barriers Systems to ensure barrier integrity assurance actions are
adequate timely and maintained throughout the lifecycle of the process or facility
Identify Major Hazard EventsIn a process facility although a plethora of hazards exists
not all hazards have the potential of materializing to an acci-dent or major hazard event (MHE) Likewise process hazardshave numerous risk control systems but not all controls are
Figure 4 Contribution of Bow-tie Diagrams to HIRA and Operational Excellence Source ERM America Risk Practice
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)4 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
considered safety-critical Bow-tie diagramming helps one tounderstand the top events in a facility the threats that canbe involved in a causation sequence and the final conse-quences that the organization will need to face
The generic definition of MHE involves hazards with thepotential to result in an uncontrolled event with immediateor imminent exposure leading to serious risk to the healthand safety of persons environmental impact or propertyloss [14] A bow-tie session will generate MHE candidatesfrom the HIRA process that will be validated by key disci-pline team members and subject-matter experts A consensusMHE list (10 to 15 items typically) clearly defines the eventscapable of catastrophic losses in your facility and constitutesthe starting point of a bow-tie study
Describe Risk Control Systems and Safety-criticalEquipment
The next step is to identify the key barriers that eitherprevent or mitigate an MHE These barriers are risk controlsystems and within them are vital elements known assafety-critical elements (SCEs) SCEs are any part of the in-stallation plant or computer programs the failure of whichwill either cause or contribute to a major accident or thepurpose of which is to prevent or limit the effect of a major
accident [15] By extracting a list of SCEs access to the con-trols and their perceived effectiveness are easier to under-stand use and monitor A non-exhaustive list of SCEsproposed by the Energy Institute London is reproduced inFigure 5
SCEs can be hardware software or human interventiontasks They can be intrinsic to the design added as riskreduction measures or consist of administrative proceduresThe bottom line is that the set barriers for each threat needto be legitimate to achieve a risk-reduction target by block-ing the threats or providing timely control and mitigationonce top events materializes For a barrier to be valid itmust
Be able to stop a threat Be effective in minimizing a consequence Be independent from other barriers in same threat line
A common finding in accident investigations is the exces-sive reliance on procedures Procedural barriers should beconsidered as complementary and evaluation of escalationfactors due to human error must also be part of the bow-tiestudy Therefore barrier documentation must include anassessment of the number and quality rating of the barriersfor the overall risk control effectiveness
Figure 5 Hazard identification and risk assessment process flow Source Guidelines for the Management of Safety Critical Ele-ments London Energy Institute March 2007
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 5
Elaborate Performance Standards and ProceduresNow that risk control systems (SCEs) have been identi-
fied they will be of no value unless they consistently per-form when needed as expected Performance standards foreach SCE define and document the attributes (eg function-ality availability reliability survivability and interactionswith other systems) The following questions must beanswered by an SCE performance standard
What function must the SCE perform before and after amajor event How will the SCE produce intended outcome on demand
Who is the individual or position accountable for theSCE integrity What are associated interactions with other SCEs When is inspection maintenance and testing required to
ensure a specific SCE attribute
Set Key Performance IndicatorsUnless an SCE is inspected maintained and tested it will
deteriorate over time Most of the accident investigationsconducted in the industry reveal broken or degraded
Figure 6 LNG loss of containmentmdashcollapsed view [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which is available atwileyonlinelibrarycom]
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)6 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
barriers where a complex sequence of unfortunate eventsresulted in a major accident
To ensure that SCEs perform as intended the outcomemust be described along with a lagging indicator to showthat the outcome has been achieved [16] Leading indicatorsmust also be set to monitor the effectiveness of the SCEwithin the risk control system Systems to define tier controllevels tolerance data collection and follow-up outcomedeviations must also be established and kept throughout thefacilityrsquos life cycle [17] Moreover facility modifications mustbe assessed and managed to establish their impact on theSCEs and to ensure that changes are incorporated into theperformance and verification regime
Assure Competence and TrainingHuman factors continue to be recognized as an important
contributor to major hazard events and need to be appropriatelyaddressed Human intervention is pervasive in the processindustries SCEs are invented designed constructed fabricatedinstalled maintained tested and replaced by people Bow-tieanalysis facilitates the assignment of individual roles for risk con-trol systems and SCE by providing clear performance expecta-tions and monitoring outcomes through leading and laggingindicators By incorporating this valuable information the com-petencies are better delineated training programs and
instructions are accurately designed the operational proceduresare better designed and communicated resulting in an operatorbetter equipped to fulfill his duties for safe and clean operationsBow-tie diagrams have been successfully applied in humanorganizational change and optimization [18]
EXAMPLE OF DOWNSTREAM BOW-TIE DIAGRAMMING
A study case developed for a new coal seam LNG facilityin Australia is presented here According to Australian regula-tions the LNG plant is classified as major hazard facility(MHF) and within the scope of engineering procurementand construction a Safety Case Report must be submitted tothe MHF regulator [14]
A condensed list of MHEs (including loss of containmentoccupational exposure and global adverse events) and theirassociated SCEs were extracted from the formal safety studies(ie HAZIDs HAZOPs and project Hazard Register) thatwere completed during front-end engineering and designDuring a bow-tie workshop SCEs such as design hardwareand procedures were validated and classified
The list of identified MHEs included
Loss of containment Most MHEs will be concentrated inthe loss of containment of either hydrocarbons or hazard-ous substances
Figure 7 LNG loss of containmentmdashexpanded view threats [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which is avail-able at wileyonlinelibrarycom]
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 7
Stored energy Sudden release of hydrocarbons or hazard-ous substances due to mechanical or trapped pressurefrom stored energy sources Dynamic energy Involves events of traffic (vessel colli-
sion) or dropped or swung objects Occupational MHE Confined space entry high elevation
energy sources (stored energy energized circuits) Adverse weather events Earthquakes bush fire heavy
rain flash foods
The bow-tie method allowed the team to assess theappropriateness and robustness of the preventive and mitiga-tion controls for each identified MHE Also lessons learnedfrom other LNG projects were applied to challenge the bar-riers proposed in the design Identified action items aimed atconfirming and improving SCEs were incorporated duringthe project execution phase Figures 6ndash8 of this article areprovided as an illustration of the resulting diagrams
ENVIRONMENTAL APPLICATIONS
The bow-tie concept was tested for an environmentalhazard identification (ENVID) study that was in progress foran offshore platform The ENVID was conducted independ-ently of the HAZID To stay consistent the HAZID approachthe authors applied the bow-tie technique to the conven-tional ENVID method
A typical bow-tie originates at the center beginning withthe hazard identified and then is extended to either side forcause and consequence respectively Similarly an environ-mental event was chosen to be the center of the bow-tieThe left-hand side was populated with the causes identifiedand environmental consequences were populated on theright-hand side
Conventionally an ENVID is another brainstorming tech-nique that lists existing barriers or safeguards In this caseusing the bow-tie approach the safeguards identified wereclassified as being either preventive measures that wouldeliminate the cause or mitigation measures that would allevi-ate the undesired environmental consequence The study(brainstorming session) was documented in a tabular spread-sheet format using the bow-tie type of sequential approachfor the thought process For each of the scenarios discussedthe team proposed recommendations where deemednecessary
An advantage for the team members of using thisapproach was that they were able to correlate the precedingHAZID results to the ENVID thereby understanding thecontribution of the various causes and barriers to
environmental risk This assisted in identifying critical envi-ronmental compliance elements for the project In additiona clear mapping of the undesired environmental events facili-tated a robust understanding for the team of the environ-mental hazards This method is amenable to early phaseenvironmental impact assessment development designphases project start up and review of changes and newevents and startup operations
See Table 1 which is an example of the application ofbow-tie diagramming to ENVIDs The example is based oncurrent work for an oil and gas facility where the table fieldswill eventually be exported to bow-tie diagrams and theresults were recently published [19]
LESSONS LEARNED
The ERM Risk Practice has conducted a significant num-ber of bow-tie workshops in a team environment with theparticipation of relevant disciplines The graphical nature ofbow-tie diagrams was a major contributor to the success ofthe studies
This visual approach also enhanced the brainstorming forthe analyses minimizing the confusion that a tabular analysistends to cause Four areas have been identified where thebow-tie model is very useful during workshops
Distinction of the functionality of the controlsUnderstanding each barrierrsquos contribution to either eliminat-ing the causes or mitigating the consequences provided theteam members a better perception of the barrier effective-ness and the requirements to retain its integrity over time Correct use of the risk matrix When ranking consequence
using a risk assessment matrix especially when the teamis reluctant to assign valid likelihood and consequenceresulting in ldquohighrdquo risk the bow-tie diagram illustrates theimportance of using the matrix correctly by assigning real-istic qualitative values and aim at a recommendation toyield the most risk reduction Incident investigation Building upon any investigation
method the team can analyze immediate intermediateand root causes in a holistic approach by comparing thebarriers in place and the ones that were degraded or bro-ken and their connection to the HSE management system Accurate inclusion of human factors Human error must
not be addressed as another generic threat but as a spe-cific escalating factor or vulnerability that can lead to thebarrier failure for example human error triggered byunclear operational instructions or unrealistic emergencyresponse procedures
Figure 8 LNG loss of containmentmdashexpanded view consequences [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which isavailable at wileyonlinelibrarycom]
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)8 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
CONCLUSION
The authors have successfully applied the bow-tie dia-grammatic approach to downstream oil and gas facilitiesboth greenfield and brownfield projects As the process safetypractice continues evolving to a risk-based approach bow-tiediagrams have enormous potential to complement processsafety initiatives [2021] Some advantages of applying thebow-tie approach to the risk management process are
Application and understanding of the risk managementprocess from identification to assessment Focus on MHEs differentiating highly hazardous releases
(eg loss of containment) from other workplace hazardsoccupational health or environmental aspects Synthesis extraction of risk control systems and SCEs to
prevent or mitigate an MHE Provision of stand-alone performance standards to docu-
ment SCE integrity assurance plan Setting leading and lagging performance indicators Unparalleled communication of MHEs and their controls
demonstration of ALARP Assessment of barrier strength to achieve the desired risk
control effectiveness Integration of human and organizational factors by identi-
fying specific barriers to prevent and manage humanerror Fine-tuning competency and training requirements for
individuals accountable for risk-control systems and SCEs
A few disadvantages have also been identified
Requirement to acquire bow-tie software to better docu-ment and visualize the resulting large bow-tie diagrams Need to have a robust risk-assessment matrix to appropri-
ately screen MHEs and arrive at a representative set ofbow-tie diagrams per facility or business unit
The authorsrsquo use of the bow-tie concept points towardthe application of this tool as a complement instead of asubstitute to traditional tabular process hazard analysis (egHAZID) Moreover other semiquantitative applications (egLOPA) are feasible and being used experimentally at thisstage The future of bow-tie diagrams across industry to com-plement enhance and operationalize hazard identificationand assessment with the incorporation of human factors at apractical level does look promising and will rapidly evolve
LITERATURE CITED
1 Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS) Guidelinesfor Hazard Evaluation Procedures 3rd Ed Wiley Hobo-ken New Jersey 2008
2 P Hudson Leiden University of the Netherlands amp DelftUniversity of Technology The Netherlands IntegratingOrganization Culture into Incident Analyses Extendingthe Bow Tie Model SPE International Conference onHealth Safety and Environment Vol 4 2010 2662ndash2674
3 29 CFR 1910119 Process Safety Management of HighlyHazardous Chemicals 1992
4 40 CFR Part 68 Risk Management Program (RMP) Rule2009
5 CFR Part 250 Subpart S Safety and Environmental Man-agement Systems October 2010
6 American Petroleum Institute API Recommended Practice75 Recommended Practice for Development of a Safetyand Environment Management Program for Offshore Oper-ations and Facilities 3rd Ed 2004 reaffirmed May 2008
7 National Commission on the BP Deepwater Horizon TheGulf Oil Disaster and the Future of Offshore DrillingmdashReport to the President January 2011Ta
ble
1EN
VID
work
sheetal
igned
tobow
-tie
appro
ach
Cau
sePre
vention
and
Dete
ctio
nBar
riers
Environm
enta
lEvent
Controls
M
itig
atio
nConse
quence
Ris
kRan
kin
g(r
em
oved
for
this
exam
ple
)Reco
mm
endat
ions
1D
iese
lengin
eexhau
st1Routine
mai
nte
nan
cean
din
spect
ion
1Air
Em
issi
ons
1M
onitoring
for
bla
cksm
oke
1Rele
ase
of
polluta
nts
tosu
rroundin
genvironm
ent
(par
ticu
late
sSO
x
NO
xCO
2)
2Revie
whelico
pte
rexhau
stpar
amete
rsin
late
rst
ages
2Third-p
arty
equip
ment
2Engin
eering
3Revie
wsu
pply
boat
exhau
stpro
pertie
sin
late
rst
ages
3Sp
eci
fic
equip
ment
3Equip
mentse
lect
ion
toco
de
8Verify
that
drillin
gco
ntrac
tor
equip
ment
willnotexce
ed
em
issi
ons
lim
its
4Su
pply
Boat
exhau
st4Sh
utdow
nequip
ment
5H
elico
pte
rexhau
st1Rele
ase
ofgas
from
drillin
gm
ud
1G
asdete
ctio
n1Air
em
issi
ons
1M
onitoring
equip
ment
1Rele
ase
ofpolluta
nts
tosu
rroundin
genvironm
ent
(incr
eas
ed
GH
Gbeca
use
ofunburn
ed
gas
es)
No
reco
mm
endat
ion
pro
pose
d2Le
aks
from
flan
ges
val
ves
tanks
vents
etc
(f
ugitiv
eem
issi
ons)
2M
ud
conditio
nin
g2M
ud
conditio
nin
g
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 9
8 Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS) Guidelinesfor Risk Based Process Safety Wiley Hoboken New Jer-sey 2007
9 International Association of Drilling Contractors (IADC)Health Safety and Environment Case Guideline for Mo-bile Offshore Drilling Units Issue 33 Houston TexasIADC December 1 2010
10 International Association of Drilling Contractors (IADC)Health Safety and Environment Case Guideline for LandDrilling Units Issue 101 Houston Texas IADC July 27 2009
11 International Standard ISO 17776 Petroleum and Gas Nat-ural IndustriesmdashOffshore production installations Guide-lines on tools and techniques for hazard identificationand risk assessment October 15 2000
12 ANSIASSE Z6902-2011 Risk Management Principles andGuidelines National Adoption of ISO 310002009
13 ANSIASSE Z6902-2011 Risk Assessment TechniquesNational Adoption of IECISO 310102009
14 SafeWork Australia Guide for Major Hazard FacilitiesSafety Assessments March 2012
15 Guidelines for the Management of Safety Critical Ele-ments 2nd Ed Energy Institute London UK 2007
16 UK Health and Safety Executive Developing ProcessSafety Indicators HSG254 2006
17 American Petroleum Institute API Recommended Practice754 Process Safety Performance Indicators for the Refin-ing and Petrochemical Industries American PetroleumInstitute Washington DC 2010
18 P Davidson and SD Mooney Key Safety Roles inOrganizational Changes Wiley InterScience 2009
19 F Jones and K Israni Environmental Risk AssessmentUsing Bow-tie Methodology 2012
20 T Whipple and R Pitblado Applied Risk-Based ProcessSafety A Consolidated Risk Register and Focus on RiskCommunication Wiley InterScience 2009
21 P Davidson and SD Mooney Key Safety Roles inOrganizational Changes Wiley InterScience 2009
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)10 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
Escalation Factor Condition that leads to increased riskby defeating or reducing the effectiveness of a control Consequence Accident event resulting from the release
of a hazard that results directly in loss or damage per-sons environment assets or reputation ALARP Risk of a business where a hazard is intrinsic
however it has been demonstrated that the cost involved inreducing the risk further would be grossly disproportionateto the benefit gained The ALARP definition is linked withrisk tolerability and thus is different for every organization Risk Matrix Company- or project-defined grid that com-
bines consequence (severity) and frequency (likelihood)to produce a level of risk and defines the risk tolerabilityboundaries for attributes of interest (people environmentassets reputation)
HOW CAN BOW-TIE DIAGRAMS CONTRIBUTE TO HIRA
After significant investment of time and resources in theHIRA process it would be unthinkable to lose access to theresults in thick binders that are seldom opened again Theknowledge and insight gained through the process of identi-fying hazards and assessing risks needs to be extracted andkept operationally current and evolving
Operational excellence includes producing with no harmand no leaks and it is not possible unless the operator man-ages as a critical routine the specific elements or compo-nents that eliminate or minimize risk (ie preventive ormitigation barriers Refer to Figure 4)
Hence the successful documentation of a HIRA for opera-tional excellence includes
Access to the information the right level of detail at theoperatorrsquos fingertips Understanding the information pictorial bow-tie repre-
sentation that can be grasped as a whole or by threats orconsequences Individual accountability for the barriers Systems to ensure barrier integrity assurance actions are
adequate timely and maintained throughout the lifecycle of the process or facility
Identify Major Hazard EventsIn a process facility although a plethora of hazards exists
not all hazards have the potential of materializing to an acci-dent or major hazard event (MHE) Likewise process hazardshave numerous risk control systems but not all controls are
Figure 4 Contribution of Bow-tie Diagrams to HIRA and Operational Excellence Source ERM America Risk Practice
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)4 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
considered safety-critical Bow-tie diagramming helps one tounderstand the top events in a facility the threats that canbe involved in a causation sequence and the final conse-quences that the organization will need to face
The generic definition of MHE involves hazards with thepotential to result in an uncontrolled event with immediateor imminent exposure leading to serious risk to the healthand safety of persons environmental impact or propertyloss [14] A bow-tie session will generate MHE candidatesfrom the HIRA process that will be validated by key disci-pline team members and subject-matter experts A consensusMHE list (10 to 15 items typically) clearly defines the eventscapable of catastrophic losses in your facility and constitutesthe starting point of a bow-tie study
Describe Risk Control Systems and Safety-criticalEquipment
The next step is to identify the key barriers that eitherprevent or mitigate an MHE These barriers are risk controlsystems and within them are vital elements known assafety-critical elements (SCEs) SCEs are any part of the in-stallation plant or computer programs the failure of whichwill either cause or contribute to a major accident or thepurpose of which is to prevent or limit the effect of a major
accident [15] By extracting a list of SCEs access to the con-trols and their perceived effectiveness are easier to under-stand use and monitor A non-exhaustive list of SCEsproposed by the Energy Institute London is reproduced inFigure 5
SCEs can be hardware software or human interventiontasks They can be intrinsic to the design added as riskreduction measures or consist of administrative proceduresThe bottom line is that the set barriers for each threat needto be legitimate to achieve a risk-reduction target by block-ing the threats or providing timely control and mitigationonce top events materializes For a barrier to be valid itmust
Be able to stop a threat Be effective in minimizing a consequence Be independent from other barriers in same threat line
A common finding in accident investigations is the exces-sive reliance on procedures Procedural barriers should beconsidered as complementary and evaluation of escalationfactors due to human error must also be part of the bow-tiestudy Therefore barrier documentation must include anassessment of the number and quality rating of the barriersfor the overall risk control effectiveness
Figure 5 Hazard identification and risk assessment process flow Source Guidelines for the Management of Safety Critical Ele-ments London Energy Institute March 2007
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 5
Elaborate Performance Standards and ProceduresNow that risk control systems (SCEs) have been identi-
fied they will be of no value unless they consistently per-form when needed as expected Performance standards foreach SCE define and document the attributes (eg function-ality availability reliability survivability and interactionswith other systems) The following questions must beanswered by an SCE performance standard
What function must the SCE perform before and after amajor event How will the SCE produce intended outcome on demand
Who is the individual or position accountable for theSCE integrity What are associated interactions with other SCEs When is inspection maintenance and testing required to
ensure a specific SCE attribute
Set Key Performance IndicatorsUnless an SCE is inspected maintained and tested it will
deteriorate over time Most of the accident investigationsconducted in the industry reveal broken or degraded
Figure 6 LNG loss of containmentmdashcollapsed view [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which is available atwileyonlinelibrarycom]
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)6 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
barriers where a complex sequence of unfortunate eventsresulted in a major accident
To ensure that SCEs perform as intended the outcomemust be described along with a lagging indicator to showthat the outcome has been achieved [16] Leading indicatorsmust also be set to monitor the effectiveness of the SCEwithin the risk control system Systems to define tier controllevels tolerance data collection and follow-up outcomedeviations must also be established and kept throughout thefacilityrsquos life cycle [17] Moreover facility modifications mustbe assessed and managed to establish their impact on theSCEs and to ensure that changes are incorporated into theperformance and verification regime
Assure Competence and TrainingHuman factors continue to be recognized as an important
contributor to major hazard events and need to be appropriatelyaddressed Human intervention is pervasive in the processindustries SCEs are invented designed constructed fabricatedinstalled maintained tested and replaced by people Bow-tieanalysis facilitates the assignment of individual roles for risk con-trol systems and SCE by providing clear performance expecta-tions and monitoring outcomes through leading and laggingindicators By incorporating this valuable information the com-petencies are better delineated training programs and
instructions are accurately designed the operational proceduresare better designed and communicated resulting in an operatorbetter equipped to fulfill his duties for safe and clean operationsBow-tie diagrams have been successfully applied in humanorganizational change and optimization [18]
EXAMPLE OF DOWNSTREAM BOW-TIE DIAGRAMMING
A study case developed for a new coal seam LNG facilityin Australia is presented here According to Australian regula-tions the LNG plant is classified as major hazard facility(MHF) and within the scope of engineering procurementand construction a Safety Case Report must be submitted tothe MHF regulator [14]
A condensed list of MHEs (including loss of containmentoccupational exposure and global adverse events) and theirassociated SCEs were extracted from the formal safety studies(ie HAZIDs HAZOPs and project Hazard Register) thatwere completed during front-end engineering and designDuring a bow-tie workshop SCEs such as design hardwareand procedures were validated and classified
The list of identified MHEs included
Loss of containment Most MHEs will be concentrated inthe loss of containment of either hydrocarbons or hazard-ous substances
Figure 7 LNG loss of containmentmdashexpanded view threats [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which is avail-able at wileyonlinelibrarycom]
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 7
Stored energy Sudden release of hydrocarbons or hazard-ous substances due to mechanical or trapped pressurefrom stored energy sources Dynamic energy Involves events of traffic (vessel colli-
sion) or dropped or swung objects Occupational MHE Confined space entry high elevation
energy sources (stored energy energized circuits) Adverse weather events Earthquakes bush fire heavy
rain flash foods
The bow-tie method allowed the team to assess theappropriateness and robustness of the preventive and mitiga-tion controls for each identified MHE Also lessons learnedfrom other LNG projects were applied to challenge the bar-riers proposed in the design Identified action items aimed atconfirming and improving SCEs were incorporated duringthe project execution phase Figures 6ndash8 of this article areprovided as an illustration of the resulting diagrams
ENVIRONMENTAL APPLICATIONS
The bow-tie concept was tested for an environmentalhazard identification (ENVID) study that was in progress foran offshore platform The ENVID was conducted independ-ently of the HAZID To stay consistent the HAZID approachthe authors applied the bow-tie technique to the conven-tional ENVID method
A typical bow-tie originates at the center beginning withthe hazard identified and then is extended to either side forcause and consequence respectively Similarly an environ-mental event was chosen to be the center of the bow-tieThe left-hand side was populated with the causes identifiedand environmental consequences were populated on theright-hand side
Conventionally an ENVID is another brainstorming tech-nique that lists existing barriers or safeguards In this caseusing the bow-tie approach the safeguards identified wereclassified as being either preventive measures that wouldeliminate the cause or mitigation measures that would allevi-ate the undesired environmental consequence The study(brainstorming session) was documented in a tabular spread-sheet format using the bow-tie type of sequential approachfor the thought process For each of the scenarios discussedthe team proposed recommendations where deemednecessary
An advantage for the team members of using thisapproach was that they were able to correlate the precedingHAZID results to the ENVID thereby understanding thecontribution of the various causes and barriers to
environmental risk This assisted in identifying critical envi-ronmental compliance elements for the project In additiona clear mapping of the undesired environmental events facili-tated a robust understanding for the team of the environ-mental hazards This method is amenable to early phaseenvironmental impact assessment development designphases project start up and review of changes and newevents and startup operations
See Table 1 which is an example of the application ofbow-tie diagramming to ENVIDs The example is based oncurrent work for an oil and gas facility where the table fieldswill eventually be exported to bow-tie diagrams and theresults were recently published [19]
LESSONS LEARNED
The ERM Risk Practice has conducted a significant num-ber of bow-tie workshops in a team environment with theparticipation of relevant disciplines The graphical nature ofbow-tie diagrams was a major contributor to the success ofthe studies
This visual approach also enhanced the brainstorming forthe analyses minimizing the confusion that a tabular analysistends to cause Four areas have been identified where thebow-tie model is very useful during workshops
Distinction of the functionality of the controlsUnderstanding each barrierrsquos contribution to either eliminat-ing the causes or mitigating the consequences provided theteam members a better perception of the barrier effective-ness and the requirements to retain its integrity over time Correct use of the risk matrix When ranking consequence
using a risk assessment matrix especially when the teamis reluctant to assign valid likelihood and consequenceresulting in ldquohighrdquo risk the bow-tie diagram illustrates theimportance of using the matrix correctly by assigning real-istic qualitative values and aim at a recommendation toyield the most risk reduction Incident investigation Building upon any investigation
method the team can analyze immediate intermediateand root causes in a holistic approach by comparing thebarriers in place and the ones that were degraded or bro-ken and their connection to the HSE management system Accurate inclusion of human factors Human error must
not be addressed as another generic threat but as a spe-cific escalating factor or vulnerability that can lead to thebarrier failure for example human error triggered byunclear operational instructions or unrealistic emergencyresponse procedures
Figure 8 LNG loss of containmentmdashexpanded view consequences [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which isavailable at wileyonlinelibrarycom]
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)8 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
CONCLUSION
The authors have successfully applied the bow-tie dia-grammatic approach to downstream oil and gas facilitiesboth greenfield and brownfield projects As the process safetypractice continues evolving to a risk-based approach bow-tiediagrams have enormous potential to complement processsafety initiatives [2021] Some advantages of applying thebow-tie approach to the risk management process are
Application and understanding of the risk managementprocess from identification to assessment Focus on MHEs differentiating highly hazardous releases
(eg loss of containment) from other workplace hazardsoccupational health or environmental aspects Synthesis extraction of risk control systems and SCEs to
prevent or mitigate an MHE Provision of stand-alone performance standards to docu-
ment SCE integrity assurance plan Setting leading and lagging performance indicators Unparalleled communication of MHEs and their controls
demonstration of ALARP Assessment of barrier strength to achieve the desired risk
control effectiveness Integration of human and organizational factors by identi-
fying specific barriers to prevent and manage humanerror Fine-tuning competency and training requirements for
individuals accountable for risk-control systems and SCEs
A few disadvantages have also been identified
Requirement to acquire bow-tie software to better docu-ment and visualize the resulting large bow-tie diagrams Need to have a robust risk-assessment matrix to appropri-
ately screen MHEs and arrive at a representative set ofbow-tie diagrams per facility or business unit
The authorsrsquo use of the bow-tie concept points towardthe application of this tool as a complement instead of asubstitute to traditional tabular process hazard analysis (egHAZID) Moreover other semiquantitative applications (egLOPA) are feasible and being used experimentally at thisstage The future of bow-tie diagrams across industry to com-plement enhance and operationalize hazard identificationand assessment with the incorporation of human factors at apractical level does look promising and will rapidly evolve
LITERATURE CITED
1 Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS) Guidelinesfor Hazard Evaluation Procedures 3rd Ed Wiley Hobo-ken New Jersey 2008
2 P Hudson Leiden University of the Netherlands amp DelftUniversity of Technology The Netherlands IntegratingOrganization Culture into Incident Analyses Extendingthe Bow Tie Model SPE International Conference onHealth Safety and Environment Vol 4 2010 2662ndash2674
3 29 CFR 1910119 Process Safety Management of HighlyHazardous Chemicals 1992
4 40 CFR Part 68 Risk Management Program (RMP) Rule2009
5 CFR Part 250 Subpart S Safety and Environmental Man-agement Systems October 2010
6 American Petroleum Institute API Recommended Practice75 Recommended Practice for Development of a Safetyand Environment Management Program for Offshore Oper-ations and Facilities 3rd Ed 2004 reaffirmed May 2008
7 National Commission on the BP Deepwater Horizon TheGulf Oil Disaster and the Future of Offshore DrillingmdashReport to the President January 2011Ta
ble
1EN
VID
work
sheetal
igned
tobow
-tie
appro
ach
Cau
sePre
vention
and
Dete
ctio
nBar
riers
Environm
enta
lEvent
Controls
M
itig
atio
nConse
quence
Ris
kRan
kin
g(r
em
oved
for
this
exam
ple
)Reco
mm
endat
ions
1D
iese
lengin
eexhau
st1Routine
mai
nte
nan
cean
din
spect
ion
1Air
Em
issi
ons
1M
onitoring
for
bla
cksm
oke
1Rele
ase
of
polluta
nts
tosu
rroundin
genvironm
ent
(par
ticu
late
sSO
x
NO
xCO
2)
2Revie
whelico
pte
rexhau
stpar
amete
rsin
late
rst
ages
2Third-p
arty
equip
ment
2Engin
eering
3Revie
wsu
pply
boat
exhau
stpro
pertie
sin
late
rst
ages
3Sp
eci
fic
equip
ment
3Equip
mentse
lect
ion
toco
de
8Verify
that
drillin
gco
ntrac
tor
equip
ment
willnotexce
ed
em
issi
ons
lim
its
4Su
pply
Boat
exhau
st4Sh
utdow
nequip
ment
5H
elico
pte
rexhau
st1Rele
ase
ofgas
from
drillin
gm
ud
1G
asdete
ctio
n1Air
em
issi
ons
1M
onitoring
equip
ment
1Rele
ase
ofpolluta
nts
tosu
rroundin
genvironm
ent
(incr
eas
ed
GH
Gbeca
use
ofunburn
ed
gas
es)
No
reco
mm
endat
ion
pro
pose
d2Le
aks
from
flan
ges
val
ves
tanks
vents
etc
(f
ugitiv
eem
issi
ons)
2M
ud
conditio
nin
g2M
ud
conditio
nin
g
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 9
8 Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS) Guidelinesfor Risk Based Process Safety Wiley Hoboken New Jer-sey 2007
9 International Association of Drilling Contractors (IADC)Health Safety and Environment Case Guideline for Mo-bile Offshore Drilling Units Issue 33 Houston TexasIADC December 1 2010
10 International Association of Drilling Contractors (IADC)Health Safety and Environment Case Guideline for LandDrilling Units Issue 101 Houston Texas IADC July 27 2009
11 International Standard ISO 17776 Petroleum and Gas Nat-ural IndustriesmdashOffshore production installations Guide-lines on tools and techniques for hazard identificationand risk assessment October 15 2000
12 ANSIASSE Z6902-2011 Risk Management Principles andGuidelines National Adoption of ISO 310002009
13 ANSIASSE Z6902-2011 Risk Assessment TechniquesNational Adoption of IECISO 310102009
14 SafeWork Australia Guide for Major Hazard FacilitiesSafety Assessments March 2012
15 Guidelines for the Management of Safety Critical Ele-ments 2nd Ed Energy Institute London UK 2007
16 UK Health and Safety Executive Developing ProcessSafety Indicators HSG254 2006
17 American Petroleum Institute API Recommended Practice754 Process Safety Performance Indicators for the Refin-ing and Petrochemical Industries American PetroleumInstitute Washington DC 2010
18 P Davidson and SD Mooney Key Safety Roles inOrganizational Changes Wiley InterScience 2009
19 F Jones and K Israni Environmental Risk AssessmentUsing Bow-tie Methodology 2012
20 T Whipple and R Pitblado Applied Risk-Based ProcessSafety A Consolidated Risk Register and Focus on RiskCommunication Wiley InterScience 2009
21 P Davidson and SD Mooney Key Safety Roles inOrganizational Changes Wiley InterScience 2009
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)10 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
considered safety-critical Bow-tie diagramming helps one tounderstand the top events in a facility the threats that canbe involved in a causation sequence and the final conse-quences that the organization will need to face
The generic definition of MHE involves hazards with thepotential to result in an uncontrolled event with immediateor imminent exposure leading to serious risk to the healthand safety of persons environmental impact or propertyloss [14] A bow-tie session will generate MHE candidatesfrom the HIRA process that will be validated by key disci-pline team members and subject-matter experts A consensusMHE list (10 to 15 items typically) clearly defines the eventscapable of catastrophic losses in your facility and constitutesthe starting point of a bow-tie study
Describe Risk Control Systems and Safety-criticalEquipment
The next step is to identify the key barriers that eitherprevent or mitigate an MHE These barriers are risk controlsystems and within them are vital elements known assafety-critical elements (SCEs) SCEs are any part of the in-stallation plant or computer programs the failure of whichwill either cause or contribute to a major accident or thepurpose of which is to prevent or limit the effect of a major
accident [15] By extracting a list of SCEs access to the con-trols and their perceived effectiveness are easier to under-stand use and monitor A non-exhaustive list of SCEsproposed by the Energy Institute London is reproduced inFigure 5
SCEs can be hardware software or human interventiontasks They can be intrinsic to the design added as riskreduction measures or consist of administrative proceduresThe bottom line is that the set barriers for each threat needto be legitimate to achieve a risk-reduction target by block-ing the threats or providing timely control and mitigationonce top events materializes For a barrier to be valid itmust
Be able to stop a threat Be effective in minimizing a consequence Be independent from other barriers in same threat line
A common finding in accident investigations is the exces-sive reliance on procedures Procedural barriers should beconsidered as complementary and evaluation of escalationfactors due to human error must also be part of the bow-tiestudy Therefore barrier documentation must include anassessment of the number and quality rating of the barriersfor the overall risk control effectiveness
Figure 5 Hazard identification and risk assessment process flow Source Guidelines for the Management of Safety Critical Ele-ments London Energy Institute March 2007
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 5
Elaborate Performance Standards and ProceduresNow that risk control systems (SCEs) have been identi-
fied they will be of no value unless they consistently per-form when needed as expected Performance standards foreach SCE define and document the attributes (eg function-ality availability reliability survivability and interactionswith other systems) The following questions must beanswered by an SCE performance standard
What function must the SCE perform before and after amajor event How will the SCE produce intended outcome on demand
Who is the individual or position accountable for theSCE integrity What are associated interactions with other SCEs When is inspection maintenance and testing required to
ensure a specific SCE attribute
Set Key Performance IndicatorsUnless an SCE is inspected maintained and tested it will
deteriorate over time Most of the accident investigationsconducted in the industry reveal broken or degraded
Figure 6 LNG loss of containmentmdashcollapsed view [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which is available atwileyonlinelibrarycom]
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)6 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
barriers where a complex sequence of unfortunate eventsresulted in a major accident
To ensure that SCEs perform as intended the outcomemust be described along with a lagging indicator to showthat the outcome has been achieved [16] Leading indicatorsmust also be set to monitor the effectiveness of the SCEwithin the risk control system Systems to define tier controllevels tolerance data collection and follow-up outcomedeviations must also be established and kept throughout thefacilityrsquos life cycle [17] Moreover facility modifications mustbe assessed and managed to establish their impact on theSCEs and to ensure that changes are incorporated into theperformance and verification regime
Assure Competence and TrainingHuman factors continue to be recognized as an important
contributor to major hazard events and need to be appropriatelyaddressed Human intervention is pervasive in the processindustries SCEs are invented designed constructed fabricatedinstalled maintained tested and replaced by people Bow-tieanalysis facilitates the assignment of individual roles for risk con-trol systems and SCE by providing clear performance expecta-tions and monitoring outcomes through leading and laggingindicators By incorporating this valuable information the com-petencies are better delineated training programs and
instructions are accurately designed the operational proceduresare better designed and communicated resulting in an operatorbetter equipped to fulfill his duties for safe and clean operationsBow-tie diagrams have been successfully applied in humanorganizational change and optimization [18]
EXAMPLE OF DOWNSTREAM BOW-TIE DIAGRAMMING
A study case developed for a new coal seam LNG facilityin Australia is presented here According to Australian regula-tions the LNG plant is classified as major hazard facility(MHF) and within the scope of engineering procurementand construction a Safety Case Report must be submitted tothe MHF regulator [14]
A condensed list of MHEs (including loss of containmentoccupational exposure and global adverse events) and theirassociated SCEs were extracted from the formal safety studies(ie HAZIDs HAZOPs and project Hazard Register) thatwere completed during front-end engineering and designDuring a bow-tie workshop SCEs such as design hardwareand procedures were validated and classified
The list of identified MHEs included
Loss of containment Most MHEs will be concentrated inthe loss of containment of either hydrocarbons or hazard-ous substances
Figure 7 LNG loss of containmentmdashexpanded view threats [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which is avail-able at wileyonlinelibrarycom]
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 7
Stored energy Sudden release of hydrocarbons or hazard-ous substances due to mechanical or trapped pressurefrom stored energy sources Dynamic energy Involves events of traffic (vessel colli-
sion) or dropped or swung objects Occupational MHE Confined space entry high elevation
energy sources (stored energy energized circuits) Adverse weather events Earthquakes bush fire heavy
rain flash foods
The bow-tie method allowed the team to assess theappropriateness and robustness of the preventive and mitiga-tion controls for each identified MHE Also lessons learnedfrom other LNG projects were applied to challenge the bar-riers proposed in the design Identified action items aimed atconfirming and improving SCEs were incorporated duringthe project execution phase Figures 6ndash8 of this article areprovided as an illustration of the resulting diagrams
ENVIRONMENTAL APPLICATIONS
The bow-tie concept was tested for an environmentalhazard identification (ENVID) study that was in progress foran offshore platform The ENVID was conducted independ-ently of the HAZID To stay consistent the HAZID approachthe authors applied the bow-tie technique to the conven-tional ENVID method
A typical bow-tie originates at the center beginning withthe hazard identified and then is extended to either side forcause and consequence respectively Similarly an environ-mental event was chosen to be the center of the bow-tieThe left-hand side was populated with the causes identifiedand environmental consequences were populated on theright-hand side
Conventionally an ENVID is another brainstorming tech-nique that lists existing barriers or safeguards In this caseusing the bow-tie approach the safeguards identified wereclassified as being either preventive measures that wouldeliminate the cause or mitigation measures that would allevi-ate the undesired environmental consequence The study(brainstorming session) was documented in a tabular spread-sheet format using the bow-tie type of sequential approachfor the thought process For each of the scenarios discussedthe team proposed recommendations where deemednecessary
An advantage for the team members of using thisapproach was that they were able to correlate the precedingHAZID results to the ENVID thereby understanding thecontribution of the various causes and barriers to
environmental risk This assisted in identifying critical envi-ronmental compliance elements for the project In additiona clear mapping of the undesired environmental events facili-tated a robust understanding for the team of the environ-mental hazards This method is amenable to early phaseenvironmental impact assessment development designphases project start up and review of changes and newevents and startup operations
See Table 1 which is an example of the application ofbow-tie diagramming to ENVIDs The example is based oncurrent work for an oil and gas facility where the table fieldswill eventually be exported to bow-tie diagrams and theresults were recently published [19]
LESSONS LEARNED
The ERM Risk Practice has conducted a significant num-ber of bow-tie workshops in a team environment with theparticipation of relevant disciplines The graphical nature ofbow-tie diagrams was a major contributor to the success ofthe studies
This visual approach also enhanced the brainstorming forthe analyses minimizing the confusion that a tabular analysistends to cause Four areas have been identified where thebow-tie model is very useful during workshops
Distinction of the functionality of the controlsUnderstanding each barrierrsquos contribution to either eliminat-ing the causes or mitigating the consequences provided theteam members a better perception of the barrier effective-ness and the requirements to retain its integrity over time Correct use of the risk matrix When ranking consequence
using a risk assessment matrix especially when the teamis reluctant to assign valid likelihood and consequenceresulting in ldquohighrdquo risk the bow-tie diagram illustrates theimportance of using the matrix correctly by assigning real-istic qualitative values and aim at a recommendation toyield the most risk reduction Incident investigation Building upon any investigation
method the team can analyze immediate intermediateand root causes in a holistic approach by comparing thebarriers in place and the ones that were degraded or bro-ken and their connection to the HSE management system Accurate inclusion of human factors Human error must
not be addressed as another generic threat but as a spe-cific escalating factor or vulnerability that can lead to thebarrier failure for example human error triggered byunclear operational instructions or unrealistic emergencyresponse procedures
Figure 8 LNG loss of containmentmdashexpanded view consequences [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which isavailable at wileyonlinelibrarycom]
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)8 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
CONCLUSION
The authors have successfully applied the bow-tie dia-grammatic approach to downstream oil and gas facilitiesboth greenfield and brownfield projects As the process safetypractice continues evolving to a risk-based approach bow-tiediagrams have enormous potential to complement processsafety initiatives [2021] Some advantages of applying thebow-tie approach to the risk management process are
Application and understanding of the risk managementprocess from identification to assessment Focus on MHEs differentiating highly hazardous releases
(eg loss of containment) from other workplace hazardsoccupational health or environmental aspects Synthesis extraction of risk control systems and SCEs to
prevent or mitigate an MHE Provision of stand-alone performance standards to docu-
ment SCE integrity assurance plan Setting leading and lagging performance indicators Unparalleled communication of MHEs and their controls
demonstration of ALARP Assessment of barrier strength to achieve the desired risk
control effectiveness Integration of human and organizational factors by identi-
fying specific barriers to prevent and manage humanerror Fine-tuning competency and training requirements for
individuals accountable for risk-control systems and SCEs
A few disadvantages have also been identified
Requirement to acquire bow-tie software to better docu-ment and visualize the resulting large bow-tie diagrams Need to have a robust risk-assessment matrix to appropri-
ately screen MHEs and arrive at a representative set ofbow-tie diagrams per facility or business unit
The authorsrsquo use of the bow-tie concept points towardthe application of this tool as a complement instead of asubstitute to traditional tabular process hazard analysis (egHAZID) Moreover other semiquantitative applications (egLOPA) are feasible and being used experimentally at thisstage The future of bow-tie diagrams across industry to com-plement enhance and operationalize hazard identificationand assessment with the incorporation of human factors at apractical level does look promising and will rapidly evolve
LITERATURE CITED
1 Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS) Guidelinesfor Hazard Evaluation Procedures 3rd Ed Wiley Hobo-ken New Jersey 2008
2 P Hudson Leiden University of the Netherlands amp DelftUniversity of Technology The Netherlands IntegratingOrganization Culture into Incident Analyses Extendingthe Bow Tie Model SPE International Conference onHealth Safety and Environment Vol 4 2010 2662ndash2674
3 29 CFR 1910119 Process Safety Management of HighlyHazardous Chemicals 1992
4 40 CFR Part 68 Risk Management Program (RMP) Rule2009
5 CFR Part 250 Subpart S Safety and Environmental Man-agement Systems October 2010
6 American Petroleum Institute API Recommended Practice75 Recommended Practice for Development of a Safetyand Environment Management Program for Offshore Oper-ations and Facilities 3rd Ed 2004 reaffirmed May 2008
7 National Commission on the BP Deepwater Horizon TheGulf Oil Disaster and the Future of Offshore DrillingmdashReport to the President January 2011Ta
ble
1EN
VID
work
sheetal
igned
tobow
-tie
appro
ach
Cau
sePre
vention
and
Dete
ctio
nBar
riers
Environm
enta
lEvent
Controls
M
itig
atio
nConse
quence
Ris
kRan
kin
g(r
em
oved
for
this
exam
ple
)Reco
mm
endat
ions
1D
iese
lengin
eexhau
st1Routine
mai
nte
nan
cean
din
spect
ion
1Air
Em
issi
ons
1M
onitoring
for
bla
cksm
oke
1Rele
ase
of
polluta
nts
tosu
rroundin
genvironm
ent
(par
ticu
late
sSO
x
NO
xCO
2)
2Revie
whelico
pte
rexhau
stpar
amete
rsin
late
rst
ages
2Third-p
arty
equip
ment
2Engin
eering
3Revie
wsu
pply
boat
exhau
stpro
pertie
sin
late
rst
ages
3Sp
eci
fic
equip
ment
3Equip
mentse
lect
ion
toco
de
8Verify
that
drillin
gco
ntrac
tor
equip
ment
willnotexce
ed
em
issi
ons
lim
its
4Su
pply
Boat
exhau
st4Sh
utdow
nequip
ment
5H
elico
pte
rexhau
st1Rele
ase
ofgas
from
drillin
gm
ud
1G
asdete
ctio
n1Air
em
issi
ons
1M
onitoring
equip
ment
1Rele
ase
ofpolluta
nts
tosu
rroundin
genvironm
ent
(incr
eas
ed
GH
Gbeca
use
ofunburn
ed
gas
es)
No
reco
mm
endat
ion
pro
pose
d2Le
aks
from
flan
ges
val
ves
tanks
vents
etc
(f
ugitiv
eem
issi
ons)
2M
ud
conditio
nin
g2M
ud
conditio
nin
g
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 9
8 Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS) Guidelinesfor Risk Based Process Safety Wiley Hoboken New Jer-sey 2007
9 International Association of Drilling Contractors (IADC)Health Safety and Environment Case Guideline for Mo-bile Offshore Drilling Units Issue 33 Houston TexasIADC December 1 2010
10 International Association of Drilling Contractors (IADC)Health Safety and Environment Case Guideline for LandDrilling Units Issue 101 Houston Texas IADC July 27 2009
11 International Standard ISO 17776 Petroleum and Gas Nat-ural IndustriesmdashOffshore production installations Guide-lines on tools and techniques for hazard identificationand risk assessment October 15 2000
12 ANSIASSE Z6902-2011 Risk Management Principles andGuidelines National Adoption of ISO 310002009
13 ANSIASSE Z6902-2011 Risk Assessment TechniquesNational Adoption of IECISO 310102009
14 SafeWork Australia Guide for Major Hazard FacilitiesSafety Assessments March 2012
15 Guidelines for the Management of Safety Critical Ele-ments 2nd Ed Energy Institute London UK 2007
16 UK Health and Safety Executive Developing ProcessSafety Indicators HSG254 2006
17 American Petroleum Institute API Recommended Practice754 Process Safety Performance Indicators for the Refin-ing and Petrochemical Industries American PetroleumInstitute Washington DC 2010
18 P Davidson and SD Mooney Key Safety Roles inOrganizational Changes Wiley InterScience 2009
19 F Jones and K Israni Environmental Risk AssessmentUsing Bow-tie Methodology 2012
20 T Whipple and R Pitblado Applied Risk-Based ProcessSafety A Consolidated Risk Register and Focus on RiskCommunication Wiley InterScience 2009
21 P Davidson and SD Mooney Key Safety Roles inOrganizational Changes Wiley InterScience 2009
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)10 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
Elaborate Performance Standards and ProceduresNow that risk control systems (SCEs) have been identi-
fied they will be of no value unless they consistently per-form when needed as expected Performance standards foreach SCE define and document the attributes (eg function-ality availability reliability survivability and interactionswith other systems) The following questions must beanswered by an SCE performance standard
What function must the SCE perform before and after amajor event How will the SCE produce intended outcome on demand
Who is the individual or position accountable for theSCE integrity What are associated interactions with other SCEs When is inspection maintenance and testing required to
ensure a specific SCE attribute
Set Key Performance IndicatorsUnless an SCE is inspected maintained and tested it will
deteriorate over time Most of the accident investigationsconducted in the industry reveal broken or degraded
Figure 6 LNG loss of containmentmdashcollapsed view [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which is available atwileyonlinelibrarycom]
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)6 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
barriers where a complex sequence of unfortunate eventsresulted in a major accident
To ensure that SCEs perform as intended the outcomemust be described along with a lagging indicator to showthat the outcome has been achieved [16] Leading indicatorsmust also be set to monitor the effectiveness of the SCEwithin the risk control system Systems to define tier controllevels tolerance data collection and follow-up outcomedeviations must also be established and kept throughout thefacilityrsquos life cycle [17] Moreover facility modifications mustbe assessed and managed to establish their impact on theSCEs and to ensure that changes are incorporated into theperformance and verification regime
Assure Competence and TrainingHuman factors continue to be recognized as an important
contributor to major hazard events and need to be appropriatelyaddressed Human intervention is pervasive in the processindustries SCEs are invented designed constructed fabricatedinstalled maintained tested and replaced by people Bow-tieanalysis facilitates the assignment of individual roles for risk con-trol systems and SCE by providing clear performance expecta-tions and monitoring outcomes through leading and laggingindicators By incorporating this valuable information the com-petencies are better delineated training programs and
instructions are accurately designed the operational proceduresare better designed and communicated resulting in an operatorbetter equipped to fulfill his duties for safe and clean operationsBow-tie diagrams have been successfully applied in humanorganizational change and optimization [18]
EXAMPLE OF DOWNSTREAM BOW-TIE DIAGRAMMING
A study case developed for a new coal seam LNG facilityin Australia is presented here According to Australian regula-tions the LNG plant is classified as major hazard facility(MHF) and within the scope of engineering procurementand construction a Safety Case Report must be submitted tothe MHF regulator [14]
A condensed list of MHEs (including loss of containmentoccupational exposure and global adverse events) and theirassociated SCEs were extracted from the formal safety studies(ie HAZIDs HAZOPs and project Hazard Register) thatwere completed during front-end engineering and designDuring a bow-tie workshop SCEs such as design hardwareand procedures were validated and classified
The list of identified MHEs included
Loss of containment Most MHEs will be concentrated inthe loss of containment of either hydrocarbons or hazard-ous substances
Figure 7 LNG loss of containmentmdashexpanded view threats [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which is avail-able at wileyonlinelibrarycom]
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 7
Stored energy Sudden release of hydrocarbons or hazard-ous substances due to mechanical or trapped pressurefrom stored energy sources Dynamic energy Involves events of traffic (vessel colli-
sion) or dropped or swung objects Occupational MHE Confined space entry high elevation
energy sources (stored energy energized circuits) Adverse weather events Earthquakes bush fire heavy
rain flash foods
The bow-tie method allowed the team to assess theappropriateness and robustness of the preventive and mitiga-tion controls for each identified MHE Also lessons learnedfrom other LNG projects were applied to challenge the bar-riers proposed in the design Identified action items aimed atconfirming and improving SCEs were incorporated duringthe project execution phase Figures 6ndash8 of this article areprovided as an illustration of the resulting diagrams
ENVIRONMENTAL APPLICATIONS
The bow-tie concept was tested for an environmentalhazard identification (ENVID) study that was in progress foran offshore platform The ENVID was conducted independ-ently of the HAZID To stay consistent the HAZID approachthe authors applied the bow-tie technique to the conven-tional ENVID method
A typical bow-tie originates at the center beginning withthe hazard identified and then is extended to either side forcause and consequence respectively Similarly an environ-mental event was chosen to be the center of the bow-tieThe left-hand side was populated with the causes identifiedand environmental consequences were populated on theright-hand side
Conventionally an ENVID is another brainstorming tech-nique that lists existing barriers or safeguards In this caseusing the bow-tie approach the safeguards identified wereclassified as being either preventive measures that wouldeliminate the cause or mitigation measures that would allevi-ate the undesired environmental consequence The study(brainstorming session) was documented in a tabular spread-sheet format using the bow-tie type of sequential approachfor the thought process For each of the scenarios discussedthe team proposed recommendations where deemednecessary
An advantage for the team members of using thisapproach was that they were able to correlate the precedingHAZID results to the ENVID thereby understanding thecontribution of the various causes and barriers to
environmental risk This assisted in identifying critical envi-ronmental compliance elements for the project In additiona clear mapping of the undesired environmental events facili-tated a robust understanding for the team of the environ-mental hazards This method is amenable to early phaseenvironmental impact assessment development designphases project start up and review of changes and newevents and startup operations
See Table 1 which is an example of the application ofbow-tie diagramming to ENVIDs The example is based oncurrent work for an oil and gas facility where the table fieldswill eventually be exported to bow-tie diagrams and theresults were recently published [19]
LESSONS LEARNED
The ERM Risk Practice has conducted a significant num-ber of bow-tie workshops in a team environment with theparticipation of relevant disciplines The graphical nature ofbow-tie diagrams was a major contributor to the success ofthe studies
This visual approach also enhanced the brainstorming forthe analyses minimizing the confusion that a tabular analysistends to cause Four areas have been identified where thebow-tie model is very useful during workshops
Distinction of the functionality of the controlsUnderstanding each barrierrsquos contribution to either eliminat-ing the causes or mitigating the consequences provided theteam members a better perception of the barrier effective-ness and the requirements to retain its integrity over time Correct use of the risk matrix When ranking consequence
using a risk assessment matrix especially when the teamis reluctant to assign valid likelihood and consequenceresulting in ldquohighrdquo risk the bow-tie diagram illustrates theimportance of using the matrix correctly by assigning real-istic qualitative values and aim at a recommendation toyield the most risk reduction Incident investigation Building upon any investigation
method the team can analyze immediate intermediateand root causes in a holistic approach by comparing thebarriers in place and the ones that were degraded or bro-ken and their connection to the HSE management system Accurate inclusion of human factors Human error must
not be addressed as another generic threat but as a spe-cific escalating factor or vulnerability that can lead to thebarrier failure for example human error triggered byunclear operational instructions or unrealistic emergencyresponse procedures
Figure 8 LNG loss of containmentmdashexpanded view consequences [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which isavailable at wileyonlinelibrarycom]
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)8 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
CONCLUSION
The authors have successfully applied the bow-tie dia-grammatic approach to downstream oil and gas facilitiesboth greenfield and brownfield projects As the process safetypractice continues evolving to a risk-based approach bow-tiediagrams have enormous potential to complement processsafety initiatives [2021] Some advantages of applying thebow-tie approach to the risk management process are
Application and understanding of the risk managementprocess from identification to assessment Focus on MHEs differentiating highly hazardous releases
(eg loss of containment) from other workplace hazardsoccupational health or environmental aspects Synthesis extraction of risk control systems and SCEs to
prevent or mitigate an MHE Provision of stand-alone performance standards to docu-
ment SCE integrity assurance plan Setting leading and lagging performance indicators Unparalleled communication of MHEs and their controls
demonstration of ALARP Assessment of barrier strength to achieve the desired risk
control effectiveness Integration of human and organizational factors by identi-
fying specific barriers to prevent and manage humanerror Fine-tuning competency and training requirements for
individuals accountable for risk-control systems and SCEs
A few disadvantages have also been identified
Requirement to acquire bow-tie software to better docu-ment and visualize the resulting large bow-tie diagrams Need to have a robust risk-assessment matrix to appropri-
ately screen MHEs and arrive at a representative set ofbow-tie diagrams per facility or business unit
The authorsrsquo use of the bow-tie concept points towardthe application of this tool as a complement instead of asubstitute to traditional tabular process hazard analysis (egHAZID) Moreover other semiquantitative applications (egLOPA) are feasible and being used experimentally at thisstage The future of bow-tie diagrams across industry to com-plement enhance and operationalize hazard identificationand assessment with the incorporation of human factors at apractical level does look promising and will rapidly evolve
LITERATURE CITED
1 Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS) Guidelinesfor Hazard Evaluation Procedures 3rd Ed Wiley Hobo-ken New Jersey 2008
2 P Hudson Leiden University of the Netherlands amp DelftUniversity of Technology The Netherlands IntegratingOrganization Culture into Incident Analyses Extendingthe Bow Tie Model SPE International Conference onHealth Safety and Environment Vol 4 2010 2662ndash2674
3 29 CFR 1910119 Process Safety Management of HighlyHazardous Chemicals 1992
4 40 CFR Part 68 Risk Management Program (RMP) Rule2009
5 CFR Part 250 Subpart S Safety and Environmental Man-agement Systems October 2010
6 American Petroleum Institute API Recommended Practice75 Recommended Practice for Development of a Safetyand Environment Management Program for Offshore Oper-ations and Facilities 3rd Ed 2004 reaffirmed May 2008
7 National Commission on the BP Deepwater Horizon TheGulf Oil Disaster and the Future of Offshore DrillingmdashReport to the President January 2011Ta
ble
1EN
VID
work
sheetal
igned
tobow
-tie
appro
ach
Cau
sePre
vention
and
Dete
ctio
nBar
riers
Environm
enta
lEvent
Controls
M
itig
atio
nConse
quence
Ris
kRan
kin
g(r
em
oved
for
this
exam
ple
)Reco
mm
endat
ions
1D
iese
lengin
eexhau
st1Routine
mai
nte
nan
cean
din
spect
ion
1Air
Em
issi
ons
1M
onitoring
for
bla
cksm
oke
1Rele
ase
of
polluta
nts
tosu
rroundin
genvironm
ent
(par
ticu
late
sSO
x
NO
xCO
2)
2Revie
whelico
pte
rexhau
stpar
amete
rsin
late
rst
ages
2Third-p
arty
equip
ment
2Engin
eering
3Revie
wsu
pply
boat
exhau
stpro
pertie
sin
late
rst
ages
3Sp
eci
fic
equip
ment
3Equip
mentse
lect
ion
toco
de
8Verify
that
drillin
gco
ntrac
tor
equip
ment
willnotexce
ed
em
issi
ons
lim
its
4Su
pply
Boat
exhau
st4Sh
utdow
nequip
ment
5H
elico
pte
rexhau
st1Rele
ase
ofgas
from
drillin
gm
ud
1G
asdete
ctio
n1Air
em
issi
ons
1M
onitoring
equip
ment
1Rele
ase
ofpolluta
nts
tosu
rroundin
genvironm
ent
(incr
eas
ed
GH
Gbeca
use
ofunburn
ed
gas
es)
No
reco
mm
endat
ion
pro
pose
d2Le
aks
from
flan
ges
val
ves
tanks
vents
etc
(f
ugitiv
eem
issi
ons)
2M
ud
conditio
nin
g2M
ud
conditio
nin
g
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 9
8 Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS) Guidelinesfor Risk Based Process Safety Wiley Hoboken New Jer-sey 2007
9 International Association of Drilling Contractors (IADC)Health Safety and Environment Case Guideline for Mo-bile Offshore Drilling Units Issue 33 Houston TexasIADC December 1 2010
10 International Association of Drilling Contractors (IADC)Health Safety and Environment Case Guideline for LandDrilling Units Issue 101 Houston Texas IADC July 27 2009
11 International Standard ISO 17776 Petroleum and Gas Nat-ural IndustriesmdashOffshore production installations Guide-lines on tools and techniques for hazard identificationand risk assessment October 15 2000
12 ANSIASSE Z6902-2011 Risk Management Principles andGuidelines National Adoption of ISO 310002009
13 ANSIASSE Z6902-2011 Risk Assessment TechniquesNational Adoption of IECISO 310102009
14 SafeWork Australia Guide for Major Hazard FacilitiesSafety Assessments March 2012
15 Guidelines for the Management of Safety Critical Ele-ments 2nd Ed Energy Institute London UK 2007
16 UK Health and Safety Executive Developing ProcessSafety Indicators HSG254 2006
17 American Petroleum Institute API Recommended Practice754 Process Safety Performance Indicators for the Refin-ing and Petrochemical Industries American PetroleumInstitute Washington DC 2010
18 P Davidson and SD Mooney Key Safety Roles inOrganizational Changes Wiley InterScience 2009
19 F Jones and K Israni Environmental Risk AssessmentUsing Bow-tie Methodology 2012
20 T Whipple and R Pitblado Applied Risk-Based ProcessSafety A Consolidated Risk Register and Focus on RiskCommunication Wiley InterScience 2009
21 P Davidson and SD Mooney Key Safety Roles inOrganizational Changes Wiley InterScience 2009
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)10 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
barriers where a complex sequence of unfortunate eventsresulted in a major accident
To ensure that SCEs perform as intended the outcomemust be described along with a lagging indicator to showthat the outcome has been achieved [16] Leading indicatorsmust also be set to monitor the effectiveness of the SCEwithin the risk control system Systems to define tier controllevels tolerance data collection and follow-up outcomedeviations must also be established and kept throughout thefacilityrsquos life cycle [17] Moreover facility modifications mustbe assessed and managed to establish their impact on theSCEs and to ensure that changes are incorporated into theperformance and verification regime
Assure Competence and TrainingHuman factors continue to be recognized as an important
contributor to major hazard events and need to be appropriatelyaddressed Human intervention is pervasive in the processindustries SCEs are invented designed constructed fabricatedinstalled maintained tested and replaced by people Bow-tieanalysis facilitates the assignment of individual roles for risk con-trol systems and SCE by providing clear performance expecta-tions and monitoring outcomes through leading and laggingindicators By incorporating this valuable information the com-petencies are better delineated training programs and
instructions are accurately designed the operational proceduresare better designed and communicated resulting in an operatorbetter equipped to fulfill his duties for safe and clean operationsBow-tie diagrams have been successfully applied in humanorganizational change and optimization [18]
EXAMPLE OF DOWNSTREAM BOW-TIE DIAGRAMMING
A study case developed for a new coal seam LNG facilityin Australia is presented here According to Australian regula-tions the LNG plant is classified as major hazard facility(MHF) and within the scope of engineering procurementand construction a Safety Case Report must be submitted tothe MHF regulator [14]
A condensed list of MHEs (including loss of containmentoccupational exposure and global adverse events) and theirassociated SCEs were extracted from the formal safety studies(ie HAZIDs HAZOPs and project Hazard Register) thatwere completed during front-end engineering and designDuring a bow-tie workshop SCEs such as design hardwareand procedures were validated and classified
The list of identified MHEs included
Loss of containment Most MHEs will be concentrated inthe loss of containment of either hydrocarbons or hazard-ous substances
Figure 7 LNG loss of containmentmdashexpanded view threats [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which is avail-able at wileyonlinelibrarycom]
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 7
Stored energy Sudden release of hydrocarbons or hazard-ous substances due to mechanical or trapped pressurefrom stored energy sources Dynamic energy Involves events of traffic (vessel colli-
sion) or dropped or swung objects Occupational MHE Confined space entry high elevation
energy sources (stored energy energized circuits) Adverse weather events Earthquakes bush fire heavy
rain flash foods
The bow-tie method allowed the team to assess theappropriateness and robustness of the preventive and mitiga-tion controls for each identified MHE Also lessons learnedfrom other LNG projects were applied to challenge the bar-riers proposed in the design Identified action items aimed atconfirming and improving SCEs were incorporated duringthe project execution phase Figures 6ndash8 of this article areprovided as an illustration of the resulting diagrams
ENVIRONMENTAL APPLICATIONS
The bow-tie concept was tested for an environmentalhazard identification (ENVID) study that was in progress foran offshore platform The ENVID was conducted independ-ently of the HAZID To stay consistent the HAZID approachthe authors applied the bow-tie technique to the conven-tional ENVID method
A typical bow-tie originates at the center beginning withthe hazard identified and then is extended to either side forcause and consequence respectively Similarly an environ-mental event was chosen to be the center of the bow-tieThe left-hand side was populated with the causes identifiedand environmental consequences were populated on theright-hand side
Conventionally an ENVID is another brainstorming tech-nique that lists existing barriers or safeguards In this caseusing the bow-tie approach the safeguards identified wereclassified as being either preventive measures that wouldeliminate the cause or mitigation measures that would allevi-ate the undesired environmental consequence The study(brainstorming session) was documented in a tabular spread-sheet format using the bow-tie type of sequential approachfor the thought process For each of the scenarios discussedthe team proposed recommendations where deemednecessary
An advantage for the team members of using thisapproach was that they were able to correlate the precedingHAZID results to the ENVID thereby understanding thecontribution of the various causes and barriers to
environmental risk This assisted in identifying critical envi-ronmental compliance elements for the project In additiona clear mapping of the undesired environmental events facili-tated a robust understanding for the team of the environ-mental hazards This method is amenable to early phaseenvironmental impact assessment development designphases project start up and review of changes and newevents and startup operations
See Table 1 which is an example of the application ofbow-tie diagramming to ENVIDs The example is based oncurrent work for an oil and gas facility where the table fieldswill eventually be exported to bow-tie diagrams and theresults were recently published [19]
LESSONS LEARNED
The ERM Risk Practice has conducted a significant num-ber of bow-tie workshops in a team environment with theparticipation of relevant disciplines The graphical nature ofbow-tie diagrams was a major contributor to the success ofthe studies
This visual approach also enhanced the brainstorming forthe analyses minimizing the confusion that a tabular analysistends to cause Four areas have been identified where thebow-tie model is very useful during workshops
Distinction of the functionality of the controlsUnderstanding each barrierrsquos contribution to either eliminat-ing the causes or mitigating the consequences provided theteam members a better perception of the barrier effective-ness and the requirements to retain its integrity over time Correct use of the risk matrix When ranking consequence
using a risk assessment matrix especially when the teamis reluctant to assign valid likelihood and consequenceresulting in ldquohighrdquo risk the bow-tie diagram illustrates theimportance of using the matrix correctly by assigning real-istic qualitative values and aim at a recommendation toyield the most risk reduction Incident investigation Building upon any investigation
method the team can analyze immediate intermediateand root causes in a holistic approach by comparing thebarriers in place and the ones that were degraded or bro-ken and their connection to the HSE management system Accurate inclusion of human factors Human error must
not be addressed as another generic threat but as a spe-cific escalating factor or vulnerability that can lead to thebarrier failure for example human error triggered byunclear operational instructions or unrealistic emergencyresponse procedures
Figure 8 LNG loss of containmentmdashexpanded view consequences [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which isavailable at wileyonlinelibrarycom]
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)8 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
CONCLUSION
The authors have successfully applied the bow-tie dia-grammatic approach to downstream oil and gas facilitiesboth greenfield and brownfield projects As the process safetypractice continues evolving to a risk-based approach bow-tiediagrams have enormous potential to complement processsafety initiatives [2021] Some advantages of applying thebow-tie approach to the risk management process are
Application and understanding of the risk managementprocess from identification to assessment Focus on MHEs differentiating highly hazardous releases
(eg loss of containment) from other workplace hazardsoccupational health or environmental aspects Synthesis extraction of risk control systems and SCEs to
prevent or mitigate an MHE Provision of stand-alone performance standards to docu-
ment SCE integrity assurance plan Setting leading and lagging performance indicators Unparalleled communication of MHEs and their controls
demonstration of ALARP Assessment of barrier strength to achieve the desired risk
control effectiveness Integration of human and organizational factors by identi-
fying specific barriers to prevent and manage humanerror Fine-tuning competency and training requirements for
individuals accountable for risk-control systems and SCEs
A few disadvantages have also been identified
Requirement to acquire bow-tie software to better docu-ment and visualize the resulting large bow-tie diagrams Need to have a robust risk-assessment matrix to appropri-
ately screen MHEs and arrive at a representative set ofbow-tie diagrams per facility or business unit
The authorsrsquo use of the bow-tie concept points towardthe application of this tool as a complement instead of asubstitute to traditional tabular process hazard analysis (egHAZID) Moreover other semiquantitative applications (egLOPA) are feasible and being used experimentally at thisstage The future of bow-tie diagrams across industry to com-plement enhance and operationalize hazard identificationand assessment with the incorporation of human factors at apractical level does look promising and will rapidly evolve
LITERATURE CITED
1 Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS) Guidelinesfor Hazard Evaluation Procedures 3rd Ed Wiley Hobo-ken New Jersey 2008
2 P Hudson Leiden University of the Netherlands amp DelftUniversity of Technology The Netherlands IntegratingOrganization Culture into Incident Analyses Extendingthe Bow Tie Model SPE International Conference onHealth Safety and Environment Vol 4 2010 2662ndash2674
3 29 CFR 1910119 Process Safety Management of HighlyHazardous Chemicals 1992
4 40 CFR Part 68 Risk Management Program (RMP) Rule2009
5 CFR Part 250 Subpart S Safety and Environmental Man-agement Systems October 2010
6 American Petroleum Institute API Recommended Practice75 Recommended Practice for Development of a Safetyand Environment Management Program for Offshore Oper-ations and Facilities 3rd Ed 2004 reaffirmed May 2008
7 National Commission on the BP Deepwater Horizon TheGulf Oil Disaster and the Future of Offshore DrillingmdashReport to the President January 2011Ta
ble
1EN
VID
work
sheetal
igned
tobow
-tie
appro
ach
Cau
sePre
vention
and
Dete
ctio
nBar
riers
Environm
enta
lEvent
Controls
M
itig
atio
nConse
quence
Ris
kRan
kin
g(r
em
oved
for
this
exam
ple
)Reco
mm
endat
ions
1D
iese
lengin
eexhau
st1Routine
mai
nte
nan
cean
din
spect
ion
1Air
Em
issi
ons
1M
onitoring
for
bla
cksm
oke
1Rele
ase
of
polluta
nts
tosu
rroundin
genvironm
ent
(par
ticu
late
sSO
x
NO
xCO
2)
2Revie
whelico
pte
rexhau
stpar
amete
rsin
late
rst
ages
2Third-p
arty
equip
ment
2Engin
eering
3Revie
wsu
pply
boat
exhau
stpro
pertie
sin
late
rst
ages
3Sp
eci
fic
equip
ment
3Equip
mentse
lect
ion
toco
de
8Verify
that
drillin
gco
ntrac
tor
equip
ment
willnotexce
ed
em
issi
ons
lim
its
4Su
pply
Boat
exhau
st4Sh
utdow
nequip
ment
5H
elico
pte
rexhau
st1Rele
ase
ofgas
from
drillin
gm
ud
1G
asdete
ctio
n1Air
em
issi
ons
1M
onitoring
equip
ment
1Rele
ase
ofpolluta
nts
tosu
rroundin
genvironm
ent
(incr
eas
ed
GH
Gbeca
use
ofunburn
ed
gas
es)
No
reco
mm
endat
ion
pro
pose
d2Le
aks
from
flan
ges
val
ves
tanks
vents
etc
(f
ugitiv
eem
issi
ons)
2M
ud
conditio
nin
g2M
ud
conditio
nin
g
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 9
8 Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS) Guidelinesfor Risk Based Process Safety Wiley Hoboken New Jer-sey 2007
9 International Association of Drilling Contractors (IADC)Health Safety and Environment Case Guideline for Mo-bile Offshore Drilling Units Issue 33 Houston TexasIADC December 1 2010
10 International Association of Drilling Contractors (IADC)Health Safety and Environment Case Guideline for LandDrilling Units Issue 101 Houston Texas IADC July 27 2009
11 International Standard ISO 17776 Petroleum and Gas Nat-ural IndustriesmdashOffshore production installations Guide-lines on tools and techniques for hazard identificationand risk assessment October 15 2000
12 ANSIASSE Z6902-2011 Risk Management Principles andGuidelines National Adoption of ISO 310002009
13 ANSIASSE Z6902-2011 Risk Assessment TechniquesNational Adoption of IECISO 310102009
14 SafeWork Australia Guide for Major Hazard FacilitiesSafety Assessments March 2012
15 Guidelines for the Management of Safety Critical Ele-ments 2nd Ed Energy Institute London UK 2007
16 UK Health and Safety Executive Developing ProcessSafety Indicators HSG254 2006
17 American Petroleum Institute API Recommended Practice754 Process Safety Performance Indicators for the Refin-ing and Petrochemical Industries American PetroleumInstitute Washington DC 2010
18 P Davidson and SD Mooney Key Safety Roles inOrganizational Changes Wiley InterScience 2009
19 F Jones and K Israni Environmental Risk AssessmentUsing Bow-tie Methodology 2012
20 T Whipple and R Pitblado Applied Risk-Based ProcessSafety A Consolidated Risk Register and Focus on RiskCommunication Wiley InterScience 2009
21 P Davidson and SD Mooney Key Safety Roles inOrganizational Changes Wiley InterScience 2009
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)10 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
Stored energy Sudden release of hydrocarbons or hazard-ous substances due to mechanical or trapped pressurefrom stored energy sources Dynamic energy Involves events of traffic (vessel colli-
sion) or dropped or swung objects Occupational MHE Confined space entry high elevation
energy sources (stored energy energized circuits) Adverse weather events Earthquakes bush fire heavy
rain flash foods
The bow-tie method allowed the team to assess theappropriateness and robustness of the preventive and mitiga-tion controls for each identified MHE Also lessons learnedfrom other LNG projects were applied to challenge the bar-riers proposed in the design Identified action items aimed atconfirming and improving SCEs were incorporated duringthe project execution phase Figures 6ndash8 of this article areprovided as an illustration of the resulting diagrams
ENVIRONMENTAL APPLICATIONS
The bow-tie concept was tested for an environmentalhazard identification (ENVID) study that was in progress foran offshore platform The ENVID was conducted independ-ently of the HAZID To stay consistent the HAZID approachthe authors applied the bow-tie technique to the conven-tional ENVID method
A typical bow-tie originates at the center beginning withthe hazard identified and then is extended to either side forcause and consequence respectively Similarly an environ-mental event was chosen to be the center of the bow-tieThe left-hand side was populated with the causes identifiedand environmental consequences were populated on theright-hand side
Conventionally an ENVID is another brainstorming tech-nique that lists existing barriers or safeguards In this caseusing the bow-tie approach the safeguards identified wereclassified as being either preventive measures that wouldeliminate the cause or mitigation measures that would allevi-ate the undesired environmental consequence The study(brainstorming session) was documented in a tabular spread-sheet format using the bow-tie type of sequential approachfor the thought process For each of the scenarios discussedthe team proposed recommendations where deemednecessary
An advantage for the team members of using thisapproach was that they were able to correlate the precedingHAZID results to the ENVID thereby understanding thecontribution of the various causes and barriers to
environmental risk This assisted in identifying critical envi-ronmental compliance elements for the project In additiona clear mapping of the undesired environmental events facili-tated a robust understanding for the team of the environ-mental hazards This method is amenable to early phaseenvironmental impact assessment development designphases project start up and review of changes and newevents and startup operations
See Table 1 which is an example of the application ofbow-tie diagramming to ENVIDs The example is based oncurrent work for an oil and gas facility where the table fieldswill eventually be exported to bow-tie diagrams and theresults were recently published [19]
LESSONS LEARNED
The ERM Risk Practice has conducted a significant num-ber of bow-tie workshops in a team environment with theparticipation of relevant disciplines The graphical nature ofbow-tie diagrams was a major contributor to the success ofthe studies
This visual approach also enhanced the brainstorming forthe analyses minimizing the confusion that a tabular analysistends to cause Four areas have been identified where thebow-tie model is very useful during workshops
Distinction of the functionality of the controlsUnderstanding each barrierrsquos contribution to either eliminat-ing the causes or mitigating the consequences provided theteam members a better perception of the barrier effective-ness and the requirements to retain its integrity over time Correct use of the risk matrix When ranking consequence
using a risk assessment matrix especially when the teamis reluctant to assign valid likelihood and consequenceresulting in ldquohighrdquo risk the bow-tie diagram illustrates theimportance of using the matrix correctly by assigning real-istic qualitative values and aim at a recommendation toyield the most risk reduction Incident investigation Building upon any investigation
method the team can analyze immediate intermediateand root causes in a holistic approach by comparing thebarriers in place and the ones that were degraded or bro-ken and their connection to the HSE management system Accurate inclusion of human factors Human error must
not be addressed as another generic threat but as a spe-cific escalating factor or vulnerability that can lead to thebarrier failure for example human error triggered byunclear operational instructions or unrealistic emergencyresponse procedures
Figure 8 LNG loss of containmentmdashexpanded view consequences [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue which isavailable at wileyonlinelibrarycom]
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)8 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
CONCLUSION
The authors have successfully applied the bow-tie dia-grammatic approach to downstream oil and gas facilitiesboth greenfield and brownfield projects As the process safetypractice continues evolving to a risk-based approach bow-tiediagrams have enormous potential to complement processsafety initiatives [2021] Some advantages of applying thebow-tie approach to the risk management process are
Application and understanding of the risk managementprocess from identification to assessment Focus on MHEs differentiating highly hazardous releases
(eg loss of containment) from other workplace hazardsoccupational health or environmental aspects Synthesis extraction of risk control systems and SCEs to
prevent or mitigate an MHE Provision of stand-alone performance standards to docu-
ment SCE integrity assurance plan Setting leading and lagging performance indicators Unparalleled communication of MHEs and their controls
demonstration of ALARP Assessment of barrier strength to achieve the desired risk
control effectiveness Integration of human and organizational factors by identi-
fying specific barriers to prevent and manage humanerror Fine-tuning competency and training requirements for
individuals accountable for risk-control systems and SCEs
A few disadvantages have also been identified
Requirement to acquire bow-tie software to better docu-ment and visualize the resulting large bow-tie diagrams Need to have a robust risk-assessment matrix to appropri-
ately screen MHEs and arrive at a representative set ofbow-tie diagrams per facility or business unit
The authorsrsquo use of the bow-tie concept points towardthe application of this tool as a complement instead of asubstitute to traditional tabular process hazard analysis (egHAZID) Moreover other semiquantitative applications (egLOPA) are feasible and being used experimentally at thisstage The future of bow-tie diagrams across industry to com-plement enhance and operationalize hazard identificationand assessment with the incorporation of human factors at apractical level does look promising and will rapidly evolve
LITERATURE CITED
1 Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS) Guidelinesfor Hazard Evaluation Procedures 3rd Ed Wiley Hobo-ken New Jersey 2008
2 P Hudson Leiden University of the Netherlands amp DelftUniversity of Technology The Netherlands IntegratingOrganization Culture into Incident Analyses Extendingthe Bow Tie Model SPE International Conference onHealth Safety and Environment Vol 4 2010 2662ndash2674
3 29 CFR 1910119 Process Safety Management of HighlyHazardous Chemicals 1992
4 40 CFR Part 68 Risk Management Program (RMP) Rule2009
5 CFR Part 250 Subpart S Safety and Environmental Man-agement Systems October 2010
6 American Petroleum Institute API Recommended Practice75 Recommended Practice for Development of a Safetyand Environment Management Program for Offshore Oper-ations and Facilities 3rd Ed 2004 reaffirmed May 2008
7 National Commission on the BP Deepwater Horizon TheGulf Oil Disaster and the Future of Offshore DrillingmdashReport to the President January 2011Ta
ble
1EN
VID
work
sheetal
igned
tobow
-tie
appro
ach
Cau
sePre
vention
and
Dete
ctio
nBar
riers
Environm
enta
lEvent
Controls
M
itig
atio
nConse
quence
Ris
kRan
kin
g(r
em
oved
for
this
exam
ple
)Reco
mm
endat
ions
1D
iese
lengin
eexhau
st1Routine
mai
nte
nan
cean
din
spect
ion
1Air
Em
issi
ons
1M
onitoring
for
bla
cksm
oke
1Rele
ase
of
polluta
nts
tosu
rroundin
genvironm
ent
(par
ticu
late
sSO
x
NO
xCO
2)
2Revie
whelico
pte
rexhau
stpar
amete
rsin
late
rst
ages
2Third-p
arty
equip
ment
2Engin
eering
3Revie
wsu
pply
boat
exhau
stpro
pertie
sin
late
rst
ages
3Sp
eci
fic
equip
ment
3Equip
mentse
lect
ion
toco
de
8Verify
that
drillin
gco
ntrac
tor
equip
ment
willnotexce
ed
em
issi
ons
lim
its
4Su
pply
Boat
exhau
st4Sh
utdow
nequip
ment
5H
elico
pte
rexhau
st1Rele
ase
ofgas
from
drillin
gm
ud
1G
asdete
ctio
n1Air
em
issi
ons
1M
onitoring
equip
ment
1Rele
ase
ofpolluta
nts
tosu
rroundin
genvironm
ent
(incr
eas
ed
GH
Gbeca
use
ofunburn
ed
gas
es)
No
reco
mm
endat
ion
pro
pose
d2Le
aks
from
flan
ges
val
ves
tanks
vents
etc
(f
ugitiv
eem
issi
ons)
2M
ud
conditio
nin
g2M
ud
conditio
nin
g
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 9
8 Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS) Guidelinesfor Risk Based Process Safety Wiley Hoboken New Jer-sey 2007
9 International Association of Drilling Contractors (IADC)Health Safety and Environment Case Guideline for Mo-bile Offshore Drilling Units Issue 33 Houston TexasIADC December 1 2010
10 International Association of Drilling Contractors (IADC)Health Safety and Environment Case Guideline for LandDrilling Units Issue 101 Houston Texas IADC July 27 2009
11 International Standard ISO 17776 Petroleum and Gas Nat-ural IndustriesmdashOffshore production installations Guide-lines on tools and techniques for hazard identificationand risk assessment October 15 2000
12 ANSIASSE Z6902-2011 Risk Management Principles andGuidelines National Adoption of ISO 310002009
13 ANSIASSE Z6902-2011 Risk Assessment TechniquesNational Adoption of IECISO 310102009
14 SafeWork Australia Guide for Major Hazard FacilitiesSafety Assessments March 2012
15 Guidelines for the Management of Safety Critical Ele-ments 2nd Ed Energy Institute London UK 2007
16 UK Health and Safety Executive Developing ProcessSafety Indicators HSG254 2006
17 American Petroleum Institute API Recommended Practice754 Process Safety Performance Indicators for the Refin-ing and Petrochemical Industries American PetroleumInstitute Washington DC 2010
18 P Davidson and SD Mooney Key Safety Roles inOrganizational Changes Wiley InterScience 2009
19 F Jones and K Israni Environmental Risk AssessmentUsing Bow-tie Methodology 2012
20 T Whipple and R Pitblado Applied Risk-Based ProcessSafety A Consolidated Risk Register and Focus on RiskCommunication Wiley InterScience 2009
21 P Davidson and SD Mooney Key Safety Roles inOrganizational Changes Wiley InterScience 2009
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)10 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
CONCLUSION
The authors have successfully applied the bow-tie dia-grammatic approach to downstream oil and gas facilitiesboth greenfield and brownfield projects As the process safetypractice continues evolving to a risk-based approach bow-tiediagrams have enormous potential to complement processsafety initiatives [2021] Some advantages of applying thebow-tie approach to the risk management process are
Application and understanding of the risk managementprocess from identification to assessment Focus on MHEs differentiating highly hazardous releases
(eg loss of containment) from other workplace hazardsoccupational health or environmental aspects Synthesis extraction of risk control systems and SCEs to
prevent or mitigate an MHE Provision of stand-alone performance standards to docu-
ment SCE integrity assurance plan Setting leading and lagging performance indicators Unparalleled communication of MHEs and their controls
demonstration of ALARP Assessment of barrier strength to achieve the desired risk
control effectiveness Integration of human and organizational factors by identi-
fying specific barriers to prevent and manage humanerror Fine-tuning competency and training requirements for
individuals accountable for risk-control systems and SCEs
A few disadvantages have also been identified
Requirement to acquire bow-tie software to better docu-ment and visualize the resulting large bow-tie diagrams Need to have a robust risk-assessment matrix to appropri-
ately screen MHEs and arrive at a representative set ofbow-tie diagrams per facility or business unit
The authorsrsquo use of the bow-tie concept points towardthe application of this tool as a complement instead of asubstitute to traditional tabular process hazard analysis (egHAZID) Moreover other semiquantitative applications (egLOPA) are feasible and being used experimentally at thisstage The future of bow-tie diagrams across industry to com-plement enhance and operationalize hazard identificationand assessment with the incorporation of human factors at apractical level does look promising and will rapidly evolve
LITERATURE CITED
1 Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS) Guidelinesfor Hazard Evaluation Procedures 3rd Ed Wiley Hobo-ken New Jersey 2008
2 P Hudson Leiden University of the Netherlands amp DelftUniversity of Technology The Netherlands IntegratingOrganization Culture into Incident Analyses Extendingthe Bow Tie Model SPE International Conference onHealth Safety and Environment Vol 4 2010 2662ndash2674
3 29 CFR 1910119 Process Safety Management of HighlyHazardous Chemicals 1992
4 40 CFR Part 68 Risk Management Program (RMP) Rule2009
5 CFR Part 250 Subpart S Safety and Environmental Man-agement Systems October 2010
6 American Petroleum Institute API Recommended Practice75 Recommended Practice for Development of a Safetyand Environment Management Program for Offshore Oper-ations and Facilities 3rd Ed 2004 reaffirmed May 2008
7 National Commission on the BP Deepwater Horizon TheGulf Oil Disaster and the Future of Offshore DrillingmdashReport to the President January 2011Ta
ble
1EN
VID
work
sheetal
igned
tobow
-tie
appro
ach
Cau
sePre
vention
and
Dete
ctio
nBar
riers
Environm
enta
lEvent
Controls
M
itig
atio
nConse
quence
Ris
kRan
kin
g(r
em
oved
for
this
exam
ple
)Reco
mm
endat
ions
1D
iese
lengin
eexhau
st1Routine
mai
nte
nan
cean
din
spect
ion
1Air
Em
issi
ons
1M
onitoring
for
bla
cksm
oke
1Rele
ase
of
polluta
nts
tosu
rroundin
genvironm
ent
(par
ticu
late
sSO
x
NO
xCO
2)
2Revie
whelico
pte
rexhau
stpar
amete
rsin
late
rst
ages
2Third-p
arty
equip
ment
2Engin
eering
3Revie
wsu
pply
boat
exhau
stpro
pertie
sin
late
rst
ages
3Sp
eci
fic
equip
ment
3Equip
mentse
lect
ion
toco
de
8Verify
that
drillin
gco
ntrac
tor
equip
ment
willnotexce
ed
em
issi
ons
lim
its
4Su
pply
Boat
exhau
st4Sh
utdow
nequip
ment
5H
elico
pte
rexhau
st1Rele
ase
ofgas
from
drillin
gm
ud
1G
asdete
ctio
n1Air
em
issi
ons
1M
onitoring
equip
ment
1Rele
ase
ofpolluta
nts
tosu
rroundin
genvironm
ent
(incr
eas
ed
GH
Gbeca
use
ofunburn
ed
gas
es)
No
reco
mm
endat
ion
pro
pose
d2Le
aks
from
flan
ges
val
ves
tanks
vents
etc
(f
ugitiv
eem
issi
ons)
2M
ud
conditio
nin
g2M
ud
conditio
nin
g
Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00) Published on behalf of the AIChE DOI 101002prs Month 2013 9
8 Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS) Guidelinesfor Risk Based Process Safety Wiley Hoboken New Jer-sey 2007
9 International Association of Drilling Contractors (IADC)Health Safety and Environment Case Guideline for Mo-bile Offshore Drilling Units Issue 33 Houston TexasIADC December 1 2010
10 International Association of Drilling Contractors (IADC)Health Safety and Environment Case Guideline for LandDrilling Units Issue 101 Houston Texas IADC July 27 2009
11 International Standard ISO 17776 Petroleum and Gas Nat-ural IndustriesmdashOffshore production installations Guide-lines on tools and techniques for hazard identificationand risk assessment October 15 2000
12 ANSIASSE Z6902-2011 Risk Management Principles andGuidelines National Adoption of ISO 310002009
13 ANSIASSE Z6902-2011 Risk Assessment TechniquesNational Adoption of IECISO 310102009
14 SafeWork Australia Guide for Major Hazard FacilitiesSafety Assessments March 2012
15 Guidelines for the Management of Safety Critical Ele-ments 2nd Ed Energy Institute London UK 2007
16 UK Health and Safety Executive Developing ProcessSafety Indicators HSG254 2006
17 American Petroleum Institute API Recommended Practice754 Process Safety Performance Indicators for the Refin-ing and Petrochemical Industries American PetroleumInstitute Washington DC 2010
18 P Davidson and SD Mooney Key Safety Roles inOrganizational Changes Wiley InterScience 2009
19 F Jones and K Israni Environmental Risk AssessmentUsing Bow-tie Methodology 2012
20 T Whipple and R Pitblado Applied Risk-Based ProcessSafety A Consolidated Risk Register and Focus on RiskCommunication Wiley InterScience 2009
21 P Davidson and SD Mooney Key Safety Roles inOrganizational Changes Wiley InterScience 2009
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)10 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE
8 Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS) Guidelinesfor Risk Based Process Safety Wiley Hoboken New Jer-sey 2007
9 International Association of Drilling Contractors (IADC)Health Safety and Environment Case Guideline for Mo-bile Offshore Drilling Units Issue 33 Houston TexasIADC December 1 2010
10 International Association of Drilling Contractors (IADC)Health Safety and Environment Case Guideline for LandDrilling Units Issue 101 Houston Texas IADC July 27 2009
11 International Standard ISO 17776 Petroleum and Gas Nat-ural IndustriesmdashOffshore production installations Guide-lines on tools and techniques for hazard identificationand risk assessment October 15 2000
12 ANSIASSE Z6902-2011 Risk Management Principles andGuidelines National Adoption of ISO 310002009
13 ANSIASSE Z6902-2011 Risk Assessment TechniquesNational Adoption of IECISO 310102009
14 SafeWork Australia Guide for Major Hazard FacilitiesSafety Assessments March 2012
15 Guidelines for the Management of Safety Critical Ele-ments 2nd Ed Energy Institute London UK 2007
16 UK Health and Safety Executive Developing ProcessSafety Indicators HSG254 2006
17 American Petroleum Institute API Recommended Practice754 Process Safety Performance Indicators for the Refin-ing and Petrochemical Industries American PetroleumInstitute Washington DC 2010
18 P Davidson and SD Mooney Key Safety Roles inOrganizational Changes Wiley InterScience 2009
19 F Jones and K Israni Environmental Risk AssessmentUsing Bow-tie Methodology 2012
20 T Whipple and R Pitblado Applied Risk-Based ProcessSafety A Consolidated Risk Register and Focus on RiskCommunication Wiley InterScience 2009
21 P Davidson and SD Mooney Key Safety Roles inOrganizational Changes Wiley InterScience 2009
DOI 101002prs Process Safety Progress (Vol00 No00)10 Month 2013 Published on behalf of the AIChE