Borrower Lender

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    THE BORROWER-LENDER

    RELATIONSHIP

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    AGENDA

    THE RISK SHARING APPROACH

    COSTLY STATE VERIFICATION

    INCENTIVES TO REPAY

    INCOMPLETE CONTRACTS

    DISCRIMINATING AMONG

    BORROWERS

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    THE STANDARD DEBT

    CONTRACTdefinition:

    repayment is independent of cash flows

    If the cash flows are insufficient, all assetsgo to the lenders

    If cash flows are insufficient, lenders get

    control of the firm

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    THE RISK SHARING

    APPROACHAssume cash flows are risky butthere is no asymmetric information

    How is the optimal contract

    characterised?

    For every cash flow, borrower and

    lender marginal utilities have to

    maintain a fixed ratio

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    COSTLY STATE

    VERIFICATIONObservation of the borrowers cash flows is

    costly (auditing cost)

    The contract can be designed so thatdepending on the repayment the borrower is

    audited or not.

    Minimisation of the auditing costs leads tothe Standard Debt Contract.

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    CASH FLOWS

    REPAYMENTS

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    DRAWBACKS

    Is the audit threat credible? Should not

    renegotiation be introduced?

    Random auditing with high penalties maybe more efficient

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    Legal enforcement

    yyyyyyPRy =+ )()(2

    ),( cp

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    Legal enforcement

    Recovery rates

    No strategic default

    Equilibrium:

    ),( cp

    CyR cp +

    ),min()2(2 CRppR c+=

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    Implications

    Inefficient investment

    Notice that a lower recovery rate on cash flows

    will lead to collateral based lendingLow legal enforcement (high borrower

    protection?) lead to lower levels of finance.

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    INCENTIVES TO REPAY

    Cash flows observation is infinitely costly

    The incentives to repay may come from the

    benefits of receiving funding in the future.

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    INCENTIVES TO REPAY:

    BOLTON-SHARFSTEIN

    SOVEREIGN DEBT

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    BOLTON-SHARFSTEIN(I)

    Zero interest rates, risk neutral agents

    A project may have a high or low non

    verifiable cash flowIn a one period contract, the borrower will

    pretend the low cash flow has obtained

    As a consequence credit market would notexist

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    BOLTON-SHARFSTEIN(II)

    In the two period case the lender may

    promise additional funding to the borrowers

    that have repaid and no funding to thedefaulting ones

    The incentives to repay for a successful firm

    are now :

    yyyyyyPRy =+ )()(2

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    BOLTON-SHARFSTEIN(III)

    In the dynamic case, a market for loans may

    develop because the threat of termination

    may provide the right incentivesThe bank promise to provide additional

    funding has to be credible

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    SOVEREIGN DEBT(I)

    A simple model (Allen 1983)

    The countrys profit are:

    )2()(':

    )2()(

    rLfimplying

    LrLf

    +=

    +=

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    SOVEREIGN DEBT(II)

    In an infinite horizon the present value of

    being denied credit by the borrower is:

    )()2(

    ))2()(()(2

    LVLr

    incentives

    LrLfLVt

    t

    t

    +

    +==

    =

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    SOVEREIGN DEBT(III)

    Credit rationing?

    Bullow Rogoff argument

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    INCOMPLETE CONTRACTS

    EX ANTE DESIGN AND EX POST

    RENEGOTIATION

    CASH FLOWS VS. PLEDGEABLE CASH FLOWS

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    DISCRIMINATING AMONG

    BORROWERSASYMMETRIC INFORMATION AND

    MECHANISM DESIGN

    COLLATERAL AND REPAYMENTLOAN SIZE AND REPAYMENT