BLP Cities

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Ian Trehearne Berwin Leighton Paisner

Transcript of BLP Cities

Page 1: BLP Cities

Ian Trehearne Berwin Leighton Paisner

Page 2: BLP Cities

www.blplaw.com Page 2 © Berwin Leighton Paisner

Cities – by 2050

•  63-90% by region of the global population will be urban

•  93% of total growth will happen in the developing world

•  A large proportion of growth will be in midsize or smaller cities (1.5-5m)

•  590m people will be living in cities in India by 2030 – up from 340m in 2008

•  800m people live in slums now

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3 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation 3 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

Sarah Elliott Jonathan Rose

Westfield Shopping Center

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Global Cities Initiative

336 cities worldwide with more than 1 million residents

Million+ cities today

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Global Cities Initiative

transport + infrastructure

energy + resources

environment sense of place population

2°F average increase in global temperature over the past century.

$1.6 trillion estimated cost to fix aging infrastructure in the US.

40 number of years that the current oil supply can support the world’s energy needs.

7bn

City challenges: a changing landscape

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Global Cities Initiative

Average annual Growth rate 2006-2020 10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80% % of urban population living in slums (2005) National average

+ 0% -1% -2 % 5%

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Global Cities Initiative

Average annual Growth rate 2006-2020 -10% 5%

0% -1%

Las Vegas USA

3.45%

-2 %

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Lodz Poland -0.69%

Austin / Atlanta

USA 2.6%

Liverpool UK

-0.9% Detroit -1.3%

Post Industrial Cities

Growing cities in mature economies

% of urban population living in slums (2005) National average

+

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Global Cities Initiative

Average annual Growth rate 2006-2020 -10% 5%

0% -1%

Beihai, China 10.58%

Delhi India 3.48%

Las Vegas USA

3.45%

Riyadh Saudi Arabia

3.09%

-2 %

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Ghaziabad India 5.2%

Brazilia Brazil 2.99%

Lodz Poland -0.69%

Austin / Atlanta

USA 2.6%

Liverpool UK

-0.9% Detroit -1.3%

Post Industrial Cities

Rapidly urbanising cities in emerging

economies

Growing cities in mature economies

% of urban population living in slums (2005) National average

+

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Global Cities Initiative

Average annual Growth rate 2006-2020 -10% 5%

0% -1%

Beihai, China 10.58%

Sana a Yemen 5.0%

Lagos Nigeria 4.44%

Delhi India 3.48%

Nairobi Kenya 3.78%

Las Vegas USA

3.45%

Riyadh Saudi Arabia

3.09%

-2 %

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Ghaziabad India 5.2%

Brazilia Brazil 2.99%

Addis Ababa Ethiopia

3.40%

Lodz Poland -0.69%

Austin / Atlanta

USA 2.6%

Liverpool UK

-0.9% Detroit -1.3%

Post Industrial Cities

Rapidly urbanising cities in developing countries

Rapidly urbanising cities in emerging

economies

Growing cities in mature economies

% of urban population living in slums (2005) National average

+

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Global Cities Initiative

Right to the City

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Global Cities Initiative

Right to the City

Participatory Rights

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12 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

Sports Infrastructure and long term city making

Jonathan Rose

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13 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

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14 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

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15 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

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16 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

2012 >> 2030

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17 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

2012 Olympic inheritance

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18 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

Open space and parklands

and parklands

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19 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

Water city Water city

and parklands

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Connections

and parklands

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Neighbourhoods

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2011-2012

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23 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

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24 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

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25 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

City connection

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26 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

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27 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

Pedestrian routes

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28 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

Compact masterplan

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29 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

Compact masterplan Programme

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30 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

Singapore National Day Parade Singapore National Day parade

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31 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

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32 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

City connection

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33 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

Lagoon

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34 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

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35 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation 2016

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36 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation 2018

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37 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation 2030

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38 Global DP+E ExCom Presentation

Common domain

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Mukhtiar Tanda Berwin Leighton Paisner

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Global Infrastructure Leadership Conference

Rosemary Feenan Global Research Programmes Director 22nd February 2012

Leadership

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Where is the money going?

Top 10 US$ bill

1.  London 43

2.  Tokyo 32

3.  New York 27

4.  Hong Kong 18

5.  Paris 18

6.  Singapore 15

7.  Washington DC 13

8.  Seoul 12

9.  Toronto 10

10.  Shanghai 10

Top 30 cities for direct commercial real estate investment, 2010 – 2011*

11-20 US$ bill

11.  Los Angeles 10

12.  Beijing 8

13. San Francisco 8

14.  Chicago 7

15.  Taipei 7

16.  Sydney 7

17.  Stockholm 6

18.  Boston 6

19.  Moscow 6

20.  Frankfurt 5

* 2011 – Q1-Q3 Investment volumes in US$ billions Source: Jones Lang LaSalle

Europe Americas Asia Pacific

21-30 US$ bill

21.  Melbourne 5

22.  Berlin 5

23.  Calgary 5

24. Rio de Janeiro 5

25. San Diego 5

26.  Hamburg 4

27.  Munich 4

28.  Miami 4

29. São Paulo 4

30. Manchester 4

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Sources: Jones Lang LaSalle, Siemens

Sustainable Cities and Investment Patterns Green City Index v Investment Volumes

R/E

Inves

tmen

t Volu

mes 2

008-

2011

/ Tota

l GDP

Sources: Jones Lang LaSalle, Siemens Siemens Green City Index

London

Stockholm

Amsterdam

Helsinki

Lisbon

Paris

Rome

Athens

Oslo

Brussels Madrid

Warsaw

Dublin Bucharest

Istanbul

Zurich

Berlin

Budapest Vienna Prague

Copenhagen