Blairsville Realty Fall 2010 Newsletter

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    BlairsvilleRealty is a locally ownedand operated company

    located in the heart of theNorth GeorgiaMountains. BlairsvilleGeorgia lies within UnionCounty nestled in the

    Mountains of theChattahoochee NationalForest.

    After three quarters, not much

    has changed with our local real

    estate market since our mid-

    year report.

    Sales are still

    weak, and

    prices are still

    falling.Interestingly

    enough, the

    number of

    homes sold in

    the year to date

    are practically the same as last

    year, and only 14 units ahead

    of 2008. But the median sold

    price has dropped by over

    $40,000, or about 23 percent,

    in just the last two years. The

    median price

    for homes has

    fallen by $3,000

    since our last

    report justthree months

    ago. What

    something in

    worth, or at

    least what it

    would cost to replace it, and

    what it will bring in todays

    market are worlds apart.

    Faling Leaveand

    Faling P#ce

    63 Murphy HighwayBlairsville, GA. 30512

    Toll Free - 800.637.5535Fax - 706.745.8169

    .com

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    The reason for the steep drop in prices is

    very simple: foreclosures. Bank-owned homes

    are still making up over 41 percent of all homes

    sold in Union County through our MLS while only

    accounting for 7 percent of the active inventory.

    Not only are these homes being sold for a cheap

    price, many of the lenders are also offering huge

    incentives to get them off of their books. For

    example, when buying a Fannie Mae owned home

    that will be owner occupied, you can get a 97

    percent loan, no appraisal required, and they will

    pay up to 3.5 percent of the purchase price towards

    the buyers closing cost, plus pay the selling agent a

    bonus of $1,500. How do you compete with that?

    PRICE ACTIVE UNDERCONTRACT CLOSED YTDAVG SALES PER

    MONTH

    MONTHSUPPLY OF

    INVENTORY(MSI)

    Under $100,000 91 (14) 18 (12) 67 (38) 7.4 12

    $100,001 - $150,000 89 (10) 14 (2) 72 (29) 8.0 11

    $150,001 - $200,000 153 (13) 11 (3) 54 (16) 6.0 25

    $200,001 - $250,000 83 (4) 3 (3) 16 (7) 1.8 46

    $250,001 - $300,000 47 (0) 2 (0) 13 (4) 1.4 33

    $300,001 - $400,000 52 (3) 3 (1) 9 (3) 1.0 52

    $400,001 - $500,000 44 (0) 0 (0) 2 (0) 0.2 220

    $500,001 + 56 (1) 0 (0) 5 (1) 0.6 23

    TOTALS 615 (45) 51 (19) 238 (98) 26.4 29

    % Foreclosures 7% 37% 41% *** ( ) Denotes Foreclosures

    How Do You Compete With That?

    I think we will also begin to see some negative effects

    on prices by the loss share agreements made with the

    FDIC and the buyers of the two failed banks. There is

    a large auction in Atlanta of FDIC-owned propertiesat the end of this month with 18 parcels in Union

    County being offered, and many of them are offered

    absolute. There will also be many loans not renewed at

    these banks as a result of the loss share agreements,

    which will lead to more foreclosures. It seems that the

    new banks dont have much incentive to renew some of

    their existing loans that are underwater since the FDIC

    will be absorbing most of the loss on them.

    Of Closed Transactions

    In Union County

    Year-To-Date

    Have Been

    FORECLOSURES!

    Union County Residential Sales January 1 - October 6, 2010

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    According to data in our MLS over a six county area, Union County has the second highest percentage of

    foreclosure sales, second only to Towns where bank-owned homes are making up 49 percent of all residential

    sales so far this year. Cherokee County, NC. had the lowest margin at 25 percent and also the lowest median

    price. You can see sales data for all six counties in the chart in this report.

    Thankfully, there are some encouraging signs to report. Residential inventory levels, or the number of homes

    for sale, continue to fall. There are 615 homes actively listed in the county, which is 71 less than last October,

    and 141 fewer than October 2008. The absorption rate, or months supply of inventory, also continues to

    decline in all price ranges with the average falling by nearly six months in the last quarter. Our average sales

    per month have bumped up by three to 26.4 homes per month. This is contributing to the drop in absorption

    rate.

    Vacant lot and land sales continue to be very slow. The biggest obstacle is simply the lack of demand. As long

    as you can buy a home cheaper than you can build one, I dont see that changing much. However, with fewer

    homes on the market, some folks wont be able to find what they are looking for and will end up building. Thenumber of lots sold per month has bumped up slightly to just under eight sales, and the months supply of

    inventory has fallen, but it would still take over 10 years to sell them all at that low rate. The number of lots

    listed for sale has dropped quite a bit, but I think that is more due to the subdivisions being foreclosed on

    rather than sales. Foreclosed land is making up a much larger part of sales every day. Bank-owned lots have

    made up 30 percent of all closed lot sales in the year to date and are accounting for a whopping 64 percent

    currently under contract. There are currently a couple of foreclosed lots on the market in a good location,

    about an acre in size, with paved road frontage and underground utilities for only $6,000.

    Encouraging Signs To Report

    PRICE ACTIVE UNDERCONTRACT CLOSED YTDAVG SALES PER

    MONTH

    MONTHSUPPLY OF

    INVENTORY(MSI)

    Under $15,000 19 (7) 4 (3) 8 (4) 0.9 21

    $15,001 - $20,000 110 (33) 0 (0) 19 (4) 2.1 52

    $20,001 - $25,000 130 (9) 2 (2) 16 (4) 1.8 72

    $25,001 - $30,000 121 (6) 3 (1) 12 (4) 1.3 91

    $30,001 - $40,000 132 (6) 1 (0) 4 (2) 0.4 300

    $40,001 - $50,000 142 (1) 1 (1) 4 (1) 0.4 323

    $50,001 - $60,000 73 (2) 2 (2) 2 (0) 0.2 365

    $60,001 - $70,000 50 (2) 0 (0) 0 (0) No Change No Change

    $70,001 + 171 (3) 1 (0) 5 (2) 0.6 285

    TOTALS 948 (69) 14 (9) 70 (21) 7.8 121

    %Foreclosures 7% 64% 30% *** ( ) Denotes Foreclosures

    Union County Lot Sales From January 1 - October 6, 2010

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    In closing, where our prices bottom out is anyones guess. The powers that be seem to think the housing

    market and economy will not get better until our countrys lenders get rid of their troubled loans and bad

    assets/foreclosed properties so they can lend money again. I would normally agree if we could ever get to the

    bottom of it, but the foreclosures are feeding on themselves and multiplying exponentially like a highly

    contagious disease wiping out neighborhoods all across our country. Combine that with the fact that most of

    our local jobs are related to real estate and construction, and we have the perfect storm. Im sure that one

    day we will reach the bottom, and the old law of supply and demand, quality and location will once again bethe determining factor for pricing our real estate.

    Thanks for reading, and we truly appreciate your business.

    Robert Rogers

    Broker/Owner

    Blairsville Realty, Inc.

    0

    50,000

    100,000

    150,000

    200,000

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    23,00026,000

    44,50050,00051,000

    140,000

    160,000

    181,650199,000197,500

    Residential Vacant Lots

    As you can imagine, prices are

    still falling. The median price

    for the year to date is $23,000,

    which is down $2,000 in just

    three months. Acreage sales are

    few and far between and arevery difficult to price because of

    that. From sales pulled from

    both theBeasley Reportand our

    MLS, the smaller acreage tracts

    between 5 and 10 acres seem to

    be averaging just under

    $10,000 per acre and the larger

    tracts about $7,400.

    Union County Median Sales Prices

    % FORECLOSURES # SOLD YTD MEDIAN PRICE

    CHEROKEE, NC.

    CLAY, NC.

    GILMER

    FANNIN

    TOWNS

    25% 183 $128,000

    31% 49 $165,000

    39% 233 $142,000

    32% 306 $176,225

    49% 101 $169,000

    UNION 41% 237 $140,000

    ToWrap

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