Bki presentation may2012
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Transcript of Bki presentation may2012
A Compelling Iron Ore Investment Opportunity
Corporate Presentation
May 2012
TSX: BKI
TSX: BKI
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Disclaimer Forward Looking Statement
This Presentation contains ‘‘forward-looking information’’ which may include, but is not limited to, statements with respect to the future financial or operating performance of the
Company and its subsidiaries (collectively, the ‘‘Company’’) and its mineral projects; the future prices of metals; the anticipated results of exploration activities; the estimation of mineral
resources; the realization of mineral resource estimates; capital, development, operating and exploration expenditures; costs and timing of the development of the Company’s mineral
properties; timing of future exploration; requirements for additional capital; government regulation of mining operations; anticipated results of economic and technical studies;
environmental matters; reclamation expenses; title disputes or claims; limitations of insurance coverage and the timing and possible outcome of pending litigation and regulatory matters.
Often, but not always, forward-looking information can be identified by the use of words and phrases such as ‘‘plans’’, ‘‘expects’’, ‘‘is expected’’, ‘‘budget’’, ‘‘scheduled’’, ‘‘estimates’’,
‘‘forecasts’’, ‘‘intends’’, ‘‘anticipates’’, or ‘‘believes’’ or variations (including negative variations) of such words and phrases, or state that certain actions, events or results ‘‘may’’,
‘‘could’’, ‘‘would’’, ‘‘might’’ or ‘‘will’’ be taken, occur or be achieved.
Forward-looking information is based on the opinions and estimates of management as of the date such statements are made and is based on information currently available to management
and upon what management believes to be reasonable assumptions, including, among others, that general business, economic, competitive, political and social uncertainties remain
favorable; that actual results of exploration activities justify further studies and development of the Company’s mineral projects; that the future prices of metals, and iron ore in particular,
remain at levels that justify the exploration and future development and operation of the Company’s mineral projects; that ore body quality and characteristics remain as anticipated; that
there is no failure of plant, equipment or processes to operate as anticipated; that accidents, labour disputes and other risks of the mining industry do not occur; that the jurisdictions in
which the Company operates remain politically stable; that there are no unanticipated delays in obtaining governmental approvals or financing or in the completion of future studies,
development or construction activities; that the actual costs of exploration, and studies remain within budgeted amounts; that regulatory and legal requirements required for exploration or
development activities do not change in any adverse manner, as well as those factors discussed in the section entitled ‘‘Risk Factors’’ in this Final Prospectus of the Company dated March
16, 2011 or as may be identified in the Company’s public disclosure from time to time, as filed under the Company’s profile on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.
Forward-looking information involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be
materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking information. Although the Company has attempted to identify
important factors that could cause actual actions, events or results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking information, there may be other factors that cause such
actions, events or results to differ from those anticipated, estimated or intended. Any inaccuracy in the assumptions identified above may also cause actual actions, events or results to
differ materially from those described in the forward-looking information.
Forward-looking information contained herein is made as of the date of this Presentation and the Company disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking information, whether as a
result of new information, future events or results, except as may be required by applicable securities laws. There can be no assurance that such forward-looking information will prove to
be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such information. Accordingly, potential investors should not place undue
reliance on forward-looking information.
This Presentation does not constitute an offer to sell, or solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities by any person in any jurisdiction in which it is unlawful for such person to make such an
offering or solicitation. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy or completeness of the information set out herein, and nothing contained herein is, or
shall be relied upon, as a promise or representation, whether as to the past or future.
TSX: BKI
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Solid Fundamentals for Success A High-Quality Iron Ore Development Opportunity
Project located in Kryviy Rih, Ukraine; one of the world’s major iron ore districts • Close to target markets: W.Europe, Turkey, Russia, Asia and Middle East • Surrounded by 7 other operating iron ore mines
Close to Target Markets
Large iron ore deposit with NI 43-101 compliant resource*
• Two properties held – Shymanivske & Zelenivske • Shymanivske - 373 Mt Measured & Indicated resource @ 31.4% iron;
additional 480 Mt of Inferred resource @ 30.2% iron, which will be concentrated to ~65% iron
• Potential for resource expansion by further drilling of both deposits
Sizable Resource
Good access to skilled labour, power, rail & ports
• 35km from city of Kryviy Rih (pop. 750k); paved road to site • 2 km from state-owned rail and power lines with surplus capacity & five
deep water ports accessible by rail (140-515km)
Exceptional Infrastructure
Experienced management team with history of creating value for shareholders of Consolidated Thompson, RioTinto and Ferrexpo
Skilled Management
High margins due to close proximity to multiple steel mills, relative labour cost advantage and favourable corporate tax rate of 16% • PEA for 7.3Mt Pellet Plant Feed – NPV of US$3.0 billion and 42.1% IRR • PEA for 7.6Mt Pellet – NPV of US$4.1 billion and IRR of 35.2%
Compelling Economics
* Resource estimate compiled using historic Soviet data by Hugues de Corta, who is an independent qualified person as defined by NI 43-101
TSX: BKI
Sound Capital Structure Attractive Valuation with substantial upside
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• IPO’d on the TSX on March 29, 2011 ($1.40)
Historical Share Price Capital Structure
Shares Outstanding 140.1 million
Warrants (1) 1.7 million
Stock Options (2) 8.2 million
Share Comp Plan (3) 1.5 million
Fully Diluted Shares 151.5 million
Market Cap(4) ~US$37 million
Current Cash Balance ~US$20.0 million
Debt Balance nil
1. 1,653,312 warrants exercisable at $1.40 per share (IPO financing). 2. 5,700,000 options exercisable at $1.40 per share and 2,530,000 options
exercisable at $0.54. 3. 1,500,000 shares reserved for Directors, Executives, Employees and
Consultants. 4. As at May 22, 2012, using a closing price of CAD 0.265 per share.
Analyst Coverage
Maxim Sytchev
Cliff Hale-Sanders
John Hughes
Daniel Greenspan
Robin Kozar
Craig Miller
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Philip Ker Ivan Dzvinka
TSX: BKI
2005 Today
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Project Backed by Forbes & Manhattan Success with Consolidated Thompson’s Bloom Lake Iron Mine
• World class 8Mtpa iron ore concentrate mine in Quebec
• Advanced from exploration stage through development to construction
− 8 mtpa capacity (66% Fe concentrate) expanding to 16 mtpa
− Completed scoping study, 3 feasibility studies, secured off-take with China’s third largest steel producer (WISCO)
• Raised over Cdn$1 bn in capital
• Attracted and put in place a qualified management team
Recently acquired for $4.9 billion
$1 mm market
cap
First F&M involvement
Forb
es
& M
anhatt
an I
nvolv
em
ent
TSX: BKI
A Track Record of Iron Ore Success
Board of Directors
• Management & Board have a history of creating value for shareholders of iron ore projects – Consolidated Thompson Iron Mines, Rio Tinto’s Iron Ore Company of Canada and Ferrexpo
• Respected Ukraine professionals and former Government Advisors
Key Management
• Matt Simpson – President & CEO
• George Mover – COO
• Paul Bozoki – CFO
• Nikolay Bairak – VP Gov. & Community
• Aaron Wolfe – VP Corp Development
• Christine Gallo – Corporate Secretary
• Bruce Humphrey - Chairman
• Jaroslav Kinach
• Chris Westdal
• Pierre Pettigrew
• John Detmold
• Dave Porter
• Matt Simpson – President & CEO
Ukraine Advisory Board
• Daniel Bilak
• Jaroslav Kinach
• Igor Buchatskiy 6
TSX: BKI
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Deposits In Mining Friendly Region Adjacent to existing Iron Ore Producers
• Two mining and exploration permits covering 5.92 km2
− Mining permit at Shymanivske, which has been extensively explored, covering 2.56 km2 valid until 2024
− Exploration permit at Zelenivske covering 3.36 km2 valid until 2014
• Adjacent to ArcelorMittal’s Kryviy Rih iron ore complex and Smart & Evraz’s YuGOK iron ore mine
• Plan to acquire a plot of land from Ukraine Government adjacent to the Shymanivske deposit for project waste dumps, concentrator and tailings
Black Iron’s Shymanivske Project
M&I: 373Mt @ 31.4% Inferred: 480Mt @ 30.2%
Black Iron’s Zelenivske
Project
ArcelorMittal’s Kryviy Rih Iron Ore Complex
Smart & Evraz’s YuGOK Iron Ore Mine
Railway lines
TSX: BKI
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Large Ore Deposit with Growth Potential
• Banded iron formation consisting primarily of magnetite with some hematite
− Iron band thickness ranges from 40-80 m
− Only 9.7-21.2 m of overburden
− Very clean ore body low in phosphorus, manganese and aluminum
• The resource is defined by ~37,000 metres of historical drilling
― Black Iron recently completed 6,042 meters of twin hole drilling
― Total iron grade and band width align very well with historical data
• Potential for total combined resource expansion of 1.1 to 1.8BT
− Additional drilling of Shymanivske at North end of deposit and to depth
− Exploration of the Zelenivske project
Shymanivske
Resource*
Tonnage
(Mt)
Fe Tot
(%)
Fe Mag
(%)
Measured 306.3 31.3 18.9
Indicated 66.4 31.9 20.3
Total Measured and Indicated
372.7 31.4 19.1
Inferred 480.3 30.2 17.4 * Resource estimate compiled using historic Soviet data by Hugues de Corta, who is an independent qualified person as defined by NI 43-101 Tonnage and grade rounded to first decimals. Cut-off grade of 15% Fe Tot
TSX: BKI
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Potential Resource Extension at Shymanivske Ground Gravity Shows Iron Ore Mineralization at North End
• Ground gravity and magnetic surveys show potential extension of iron ore mineralization at North end of property as circled in red
• This area has not been included in the NI 43-101 resource as it has not yet been sufficiently drilled
• The identified area will be a target of a future drill program
Potential resource upside to be drilled
Drill hole
Property boundary
Very likely Iron in ground
Likely just dirt in ground
TSX: BKI
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Excellent Infrastructure Key to a Successful Iron Ore Project
• Paved roads to site, located 35km away from the major city of Kryviy Rih which has a skilled work force
• Surplus electricity readily accessible from high voltage power lines that run beside property
• ~2 km from main state-owned rail line
• Confirmation in July 2010 from Ukrainian Government that there is sufficient capacity to haul at least an additional 10 million tonnes of iron ore per annum
• 5 deep water ports accessible by rail with iron ore facilities available
• Preferred port option is Yuzhny located ~390 km away and providing access to the Black Sea and global seaborne iron ore markets
TSX: BKI
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Strategic Global Location Close Proximity to Target Markets with Abundant Port and Rail Access
• River barge & rail access to Western Europe and port access via Black Sea to global seaborne iron ore markets
− Target markets include Asia, Western Europe, Turkey, and Middle East
• Several dry bulk tonnage ports accessible using railway running beside properties
• Approximately 20% to 25% shorter transport distance to China compared to North and South American producers1
• Power, port and rail access, combined with local highly skilled workforce, provide potential to accelerate development and reduce the amount of capital investment
Major Rail Line Major Rail Line Major Rail Line
Europe
Middle East
India
China
South Korea and Japan
Russia
1 Based on approximate nautical miles distances of Odessa (Ukraine), Vitoria (Brazil) and Montreal (Canada) to Tianjin (China) as disclosed at searates.com
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Ukraine: A Mining Friendly Country Strong Local and National Support
• Politically stable Democratic republic
― Following Presidential elections in 2010, country is currently united with a President and Prime Minister from the same Political Party
― S&P Sovereign Risk of B+
• Economy dominated by commodities
― Steel production is Ukraine’s largest industry
― 60% of Ukraine’s total exports are commodity-related (the majority of which is steel)
• Strong economic growth
− Growth driven by US$15.2B IMF stabilization program and strong commodity prices
− GDP growth of 4.2% in 2010; expected to increase to 4.5% in 2011
• Ongoing negotiations to sign the drafted “Association Agreement” with the European Union
• Potential key member of the Russia proposed Eurasian Trade Union
• Large, highly skilled labour force (pop. 45.4 million)
− GDP per capita only $6700/yr
• Mining friendly jurisdiction with strong local and national support
― ArcelorMittal and Ferrexpo plc have operated in-country for over 5 years
• Legislated corporate tax rate reductions from 21% in 2012 to 16% in 2014
• Favourable mining royalties of $0.40 per tonne of ore mined (~2%) to the Government
TSX: BKI
Russia16%
Australia17%
Ukraine10%
Brazil18%
China8%
India5%
Sweden3%
United States3%
Rest of World20%
900
420370
260
100 72 55 49 35 25
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Chin
a
Aust
ralia
Bra
zil
India
Russ
ia
Ukra
ine
South
Afr
ica
United S
tate
s
Canada
Sw
eden
Iron O
re (
mt)
13
2010E Iron Ore Production
Source: USGS 2011 Iron Ore report and Metal Economics Group
Globally Significant Iron Ore District Ukraine: 6th largest iron ore producer & 4th largest reserve base
Global Distribution of Fe Reserves Kirovograd
Tarnavatskoye
Liponevsky
Yeristovskoye
Safonovskoye
Novokonstantinovsky
Poltavsky GOK
Tsentralny Kryviy Rih Iron Ore Complex
Kuksunurskoye
Ingulestky GOK
Yuzhny GOK Kryviv Rih
Ordzhonikize Gok Shymanivske
Zelenivske
• Black Iron’s projects are located in the heart of
Ukraine’s iron ore belt
– 35km from city of 750,000 people
• Iron ore district trends 300 km with sedimentary rock hosted banded iron formations (Dnenpovskog complex)
• Historically well explored resource base but
substantially under-exploited due to historic Soviet
policy
• 15 iron ore mines in Ukraine produced 72 million
tonnes in 2010
Only 3% of world production
TSX: BKI
Shymanivske PEA Highlights High Value, Low Net Cost Iron Ore Development Project
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Production Case: Pellet Plant Feed Pellet
Annual Production: 7.3 Mt 7.6 Mt
Iron Content: 67.0% 65.0%
Estimated Capital Investment: US$896.0 million US$1,571.3 million
Estimated Operating Expenses:
(life of mine)
(avg ex. leasing costs years 8-20)
US$51.21/t
US$48.22/t
US$63.00/t
US$60.11/t
Net Present Value (8%): US$3.0 billion US$4.1 billion
IRR: 42.1% 35.2%
Annual Average Cash Flow: US$382.8 million US$540.7 million
Projected Payback (8%): 2.2 years 2.9 years
Estimated Mine Life: 28 years 28 years
Proj. Revenue Commencement Q4 2015 Q4 2015
OPPORTUNITIES EXIST TO FURTHER IMPROVE ALREADY FAVOURABLE ECONOMICS
TSX: BKI
Black Iron’s Capital Cost Advantage Shymanivske Relative to Other Iron Ore Projects
15
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London M
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IRC (
K&
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Auila (
Hard
ey)
Xst
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Atl
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ley)
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Gra
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84 87 90 92 109 109
122 123 124 134 135 141 142
157 159 160 167 180 186 188 189 190 192 200
211 217 221 222 236
258
CAPEX Forecast (US$/t of capacity)
Source: Company data; Renaissance Capital estimates
Average = 161
TSX: BKI
Black Iron Compares Favourably Black Iron to Other Iron Ore Developers
16
Maca
rthur
Centa
uru
s
Iron R
oad
Nort
hla
nd
Bla
ck I
ron
Ald
ero
n
Bro
ckm
an
Gin
dalb
ie0.3 0.5 1.1 1.5
3.0 3.1 3.3 3.4
7.3
Pre-Tax & Royalty NPV8
(US$ billions)
Maca
rthur
Centa
uru
s
Iron R
oad
Nort
hla
nd
Bro
ckm
an
Gin
dalb
ie
Ald
ero
n
Bla
ck I
ron
0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.5
4.9
Post-Tax & Royalty NPV8
(US$ billions)
Disclaimer: Post-tax and royalty graphs are for illustrative purposes only using simple math. These numbers have not been reported, nor are they
substantiated by a financial model. 1 Super-Profits tax >A$75 million profit. 2 Includes Brazil mining tax of $4 / tonne of iron ore
Source: Company data; Press Release; Research Estimates
New
Mill
eniu
m
Nort
hla
nd
Gin
dalb
ie
Bro
ckm
an
Ald
ero
n
Bla
ck I
ron
25.0 32.0 35.0 38.0 40.2 42.1
Pre-Tax & Royalty IRR
(%)
New
Mill
eniu
m
Gin
dalb
ie
Bro
ckm
an
Nort
hla
nd
Ald
ero
n
Bla
ck I
ron
16.9 18.9 20.5 22.7 27.1
35.4
Post-Tax & Royalty IRR
(%)
Tax Regime
Royalties
30% +30%1
39%2
29%
26%
16%
5%
2%
5-8%
n/a
2%
New
M
illeniu
m
New
M
illeniu
m
TSX: BKI
Company Stage
Price
(US$)
Market
Cap
(US$ mm)
Enterprise
Value
(US$ mm) Total
Total
Grade
Total
R&R
Africa
Sundance Resources DFS Complete $0.40 1,159.1 1,097.0 1,200 42.2% 0.91
Zanaga Iron Ore PFS Complete $1.34 375.7 327.7 1,432 33.0% 0.23
Cape Lambert Resources FS Underway $0.44 284.7 161.0 207 29.2% 0.78
Bellzone Mining DFS Underway $0.35 253.0 78.0 2,542 23.6% 0.03
Australia
Gindalbie Metals Pre-Production $0.44 550.9 229.0 430 34.1% 0.53
Brockman Resources DFS Complete $2.43 352.4 311.8 708 43.4% 0.44
Iron Road PFS Complete $0.44 61.9 45.9 341 16.2% 0.13
Macarthur Minerals PEA Complete $0.55 50.2 12.8 410 30.5% 0.03
Brazil
Centaurus Metals PFS Complete $0.54 72.1 48.5 60 27.9% 0.81
Canada
New Millennium Iron PFS Complete $1.60 282.0 194.1 1,634 30.4% 0.12
Alderon Iron Ore PEA Complete $2.32 196.5 177.4 329 30.2% 0.54
Century Iron Mines PEA Underway $1.70 157.8 57.6 64 24.5% 0.90
Adriana Resources PEA Complete $0.68 101.5 90.6 752 29.1% 0.12
Champion Minerals PEA Complete $1.01 88.9 65.2 484 26.4% 0.13
Sweden
Northland Resources Construction $0.92 207.5 92.1 147 32.1% 0.63
Adjusted Mean (Excludes Highest and Lowest Data Point) 0.42
Mean 0.42
Black Iron DFS Underway $0.27 37.1 17.1 262 30.7% 0.07
Market Data
as at
22-May-12
Fe Contained
Reserve & Resource
(mm t)
EV / Fe
Reserve & Resource
(C$/t)
Public Comparable Companies Iron Ore Exploration/Development
Sources: Bloomberg, Reuters, Macquarie equity research and company disclosure
83% discount
17
TSX: BKI
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Black Iron Continues to Deliver Shymanivske Project Development Timeline
H1 H2 H1 H2
2011 2012
Scoping Study/PEA
Definitive Feasibility Study
Permitting
Construction
Drill metallurgical holes
Exploration & Definition Drilling
Environmental Studies
Detailed Engineering
Production
Future
TSX: BKI
19
Solid Fundamentals for Success A High-Quality Iron Ore Development Opportunity
Project located in Kryviy Rih, Ukraine; one of the world’s major iron ore districts • Close to target markets: W.Europe, Turkey, Russia, Asia and Middle East • Surrounded by 7 other operating iron ore mines
Close to Target Markets
Large iron ore deposit with NI 43-101 compliant resource*
• Two properties held – Shymanivske & Zelenivske • Shymanivske - 373 Mt Measured & Indicated resource @ 31.3% iron;
additional 480 Mt of Inferred resource @ 30.2% iron, which will be concentrated to ~65% iron
• Potential for resource expansion by further drilling of both deposits
Sizable Resource
Good access to skilled labour, power, rail & ports
• 35km from city of Kryviy Rih (pop. 750k); paved road to site • 2 km from state-owned rail and power lines with surplus capacity & five
deep water ports accessible by rail (140-515km)
Exceptional Infrastructure
Experienced management team with history of creating value for shareholders of Consolidated Thompson, RioTinto and Ferrexpo
Skilled Management
High margins due to close proximity to multiple steel mills, relative labour cost advantage and favourable corporate tax rate of 16% • PEA for 7.3Mt Pellet Plant Feed – NPV of US$3.0 billion and 42.1% IRR • PEA for 7.6Mt Pellet – NPV of US$4.1 billion and IRR of 35.2%
Compelling Economics
* Resource estimate compiled using historic Soviet data by Hugues de Corta, who is an independent qualified person as defined by NI 43-101
CONTACT INFORMATION
65 Queen Street West
Suite 805, P.O. Box 71
Toronto, Ontario, Canada
M5H 2M5
www.blackiron.com
TSX: BKI
Investor Relations
Investor Cubed Inc.
Telephone: +1 (647) 258-3311
Toll-Free: +1 (888) 258-3323
Fax: +1 (416) 363-7977