BHA Racing Data Pack - British Horseracing...

14
BHA Racing Data Pack February 2019 1 Jan to 28 February 1 © British Horseracing Authority 2019 James Follows ([email protected])

Transcript of BHA Racing Data Pack - British Horseracing...

BHA Racing

Data PackFebruary 2019

1 Jan to 28 February 1© British Horseracing Authority 2019

James Follows ([email protected])

Fixtures (YTD)

1 Jan to 28 February 2

Note: includes Additional, Rescheduled & Partially Abandoned fixtures. Flat includes Mixed.

Note: Flat includes Mixed Meetings.

Note: Flat includes Mixed meetings. Not included are part abandonments.

© British Horseracing Authority 2019James Follows ([email protected])

Fixtures Scheduled

Code 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Flat AWT 77 83 87 83 86

Flat Turf - - - - -

Jump 130 125 125 130 128

Total 207 208 212 213 214

112 95 113 108 101

7985

86 87 83

0

50

100

150

200

250

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Fixtures Run

Flat AWT

Flat Turf

Jump

Abandonments

Code 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Flat AWT 0 0 1 1 8

Flat Turf 0 0 0 0 0

Jump 19 30 13 24 32

Total 19 30 14 25 40

19

30

14

25

40

34

0

10

20

30

40

50

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Total Abandonments

Total 10 year average

1 Jan to 28 February 3

Note: Going taken from last turf race of fixture. Four Jumpers' Bumpers meetings held in 2014, three Jumpers' Bumpers meetings held in 2018

Note: 2018 & 2019 Includes Appearance Money Scheme

Note: 2018 & 2019 Includes Appearance Money Scheme

© British Horseracing Authority 2019James Follows ([email protected])

Turf Fixtures by Going

2014 2015 2016 2017 2019

Firm 0 0 0 0 0

Good to Firm 0 0 0 0 2

Good 9 2 12 2 43

Good to Soft 22 15 22 9 41

Soft 54 36 52 51 15

Heavy 27 42 27 46 0

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2014 2015 2016 2017 2019

Turf Fixtures by Going

Firm

Good to Firm

Good

Good to Soft

Soft

Heavy

Total Race Values (£ 000's)

Code 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Flat AWT 3,374 3,952 3,989 5,050 4,764

Flat Turf - - - - -

Jump 8,136 7,720 8,424 9,894 8,894

Total 11,510 11,672 12,414 14,944 13,658

£0

£4,000

£8,000

£12,000

£16,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Total Race Values (£ 000's)

Jump

Flat Turf

Flat AWT

Average Race Values (£) (by race)

Code 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Flat AWT 6,426 7,007 6,831 8,473 8,372

Flat Turf 0 0 0 0 0

Jump 11,040 12,293 11,323 13,761 13,176

Total 9,120 9,792 9,348 11,365 10,979

1 Jan to 28 February 4

Races (YTD)

© British Horseracing Authority 2019James Follows ([email protected])

Races Run

Code 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Flat AWT 525 564 584 596 569

Flat Turf

Steeple Chase 260 226 271 260 246

Hurdle 395 338 401 383 366

NHF 57 49 50 58 46

Hunter Chase 25 15 22 18 17

Total 1,262 1,192 1,328 1,315 1,244

41.6% 47.3% 44.0% 45.3% 45.7%

0.0%0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

20.6%19.0% 20.4% 19.8% 19.8%

31.3% 28.4% 30.2% 29.1% 29.4%

4.5% 4.1% 3.8% 4.4% 3.7%

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Percentage of Races Run by Type

Flat Turf Flat AW Steeple Chase Hurdle NHF Hunter Chase

Average Field Size

Code 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Flat AWT 8.36 8.12 8.82 8.43 8.87

Flat Turf - - - - -

Jump 8.24 8.33 8.54 8.01 8.51

Total 8.29 8.23 8.66 8.20 8.67

75

.0%

56

.4%

75

.7%

55

.7%

75

.0%

57

.1%

75

.5%

56

.1%

75

.9%

57

.6%

F L A T H C A P J U M P H C A P

R

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

% Races Run as Handicaps

1 Jan to 28 February 5© British Horseracing Authority 2019

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0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Average Field Size by Code

Flat AWT

Flat Turf

Jump

Total

Entries

Code 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Flat AWT 7,461 7,916 8,833 8,656 8,715

Flat Turf - - - - -

Jump 13,872 11,896 14,402 13,003 13,354

Total 21,333 19,812 23,235 21,659 22,069

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

0

3,000

6,000

9,000

12,000

15,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Entries

Flat AWT

Flat Turf

Jump

Total

Declarations

Code 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Flat AWT 4,697 4,876 5,505 5,328 5,352

Flat Turf - - - - -

Jump 6,473 5,528 6,763 6,028 6,052

Total 11,170 10,404 12,268 11,356 11,404

0

3,000

6,000

9,000

12,000

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Declarations

Flat AWT

Flat Turf

Jump

Total

1 Jan to 28 February 6© British Horseracing Authority 2019

James Follows ([email protected])

Eliminations

Code 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Flat AWT 190 99 394 404 792

Flat Turf - - - - -

Jump 69 11 134 85 161

Total 259 110 528 489 953

0

300

600

900

1,200

0

200

400

600

800

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Eliminations

Flat AWT

Flat Turf

Jump

Total

Runners

Code 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Flat AWT 4,390 4,581 5,151 5,022 5,045

Flat Turf 0 0 0 0 0

Jump 6,076 5,232 6,352 5,759 5,744

Total 10,466 9,813 11,503 10,781 10,789

Individual Runners

Code 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Flat 2,066 2,127 2,409 2,361 2,615

Jump 3,664 3,365 3,848 3,585 3,765

Dual 85 52 80 74 76

Total 5,815 5,544 6,337 6,020 6,456

5,815

5,544

6,337

6,020

6,456

5,000

5,500

6,000

6,500

7,000

0

2,500

5,000

7,500

10,000

12,500

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Runners vs. Individual Runners

Runners Individual Runners

1 Jan to 28 February 7© British Horseracing Authority 2019

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Average No. of Runs per Horse

Code 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Flat 2.12 2.15 2.14 2.13 1.93

Jump 1.66 1.55 1.65 1.61 1.53

Total 1.80 1.77 1.82 1.79 1.67

Non-Runners

Code 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Flat AWT 307 295 354 306 307

Flat Turf - - - - -

Jump 397 296 411 269 308

Total 704 591 765 575 615

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Non-Runners

Flat AWT

Flat Turf

Jump

Non-Runners as a % of Declarations

Code 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Flat AWT 6.5% 6.1% 6.4% 5.7% 5.7%

Flat Turf - - - - -

Jump 6.1% 5.4% 6.1% 4.5% 5.1%

Total 6.3% 5.7% 6.2% 5.1% 5.4%

0.56

0.500.58

0.440.49

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Average Non-Runners per Race

1 Jan to 28 February 8© British Horseracing Authority 2019

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Average Field Size (by race type)

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

FLAT 8.36 8.12 8.82 8.43 8.87

Pattern/Listed 9.00 9.75 8.00 9.75 7.50

Handicap 8.72 8.51 9.28 8.84 9.13

WFA Conditions 5.43 5.07 5.83 5.81 8.00

Maiden 8.29 7.78 8.12 8.38 8.88

Novice 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.88 8.18

Sellers/Claimers 6.20 6.04 7.09 6.80 6.88

Auction Races 7.22 6.53 6.92 8.75 8.21

Sales Races 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

STEEPLE CHASE 7.07 7.15 7.48 6.67 6.99

Pattern/Listed 7.54 7.80 7.96 7.30 6.54

Handicap 7.32 7.58 7.87 7.05 7.45

Maiden/Novice 4.84 3.70 4.83 4.00 4.43

WFA Conditions 5.60 5.20 4.60 5.00 5.67

HURDLE 8.97 9.12 9.09 8.86 9.47

Pattern/Listed 7.57 7.63 7.71 7.97 7.52

Handicap 9.22 9.78 9.58 9.19 9.68

Maiden/Novice 8.99 8.79 8.80 8.69 9.64

WFA Conditions 6.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00

Sellers/Claimers 8.00 7.33 8.00 7.83 8.20

NHF RACES 9.21 8.59 10.14 8.91 9.63

HUNTER CHASES 6.84 8.13 7.82 6.33 6.71

Number of Divisions

Code Type 2018 2019 18 - 19 +/-

Flat Hcap 30 7 -76.7%

Flat WFA 5 2 -60.0%

Jump Hcap 2 3 100.0%

Jump WFA 7 2 -71.4%

Horses in Training (YTD Totals)

1 Jan to 28 February 9

Note: Excludes Hunters. All HIT Figures are a count of every individual horse registered as intraining, year to date. Some horses have been reclassified as Dual if running over both codesin the preceding 90 days. * Horses switching codes mid-year only counted once.

© British Horseracing Authority 2019James Follows ([email protected])

All

Code 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Flat 10,244 10,616 10,544 10,836 10,554

Jump 6,168 6,185 6,299 6,477 6,514

Dual 343 395 328 561 598

Total* 16,741 17,078 17,159 17,671 17,517

16,74117,078 17,159

17,671 17,517

12,000

13,000

14,000

15,000

16,000

17,000

18,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Horses in Training (All)

Flat

Age 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

2yo 3,123 3,091 2,967 2,742 2,771

3yo 3,279 3,487 3,470 3,754 3,556

4yo 1,558 1,698 1,703 1,810 1,812

5yo+ 2,284 2,340 2,404 2,530 2,415

Total 10,244 10,616 10,544 10,836 10,554

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Horses in Training (Flat)

2yo 3yo 4yo 5yo+

1 Jan to 28 February 10

Note: Excludes Hunters.

© British Horseracing Authority 2019James Follows ([email protected])

Jump

Age 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

3yo 10 19 13 13 64-5yo 1,820 1,875 1,948 1,939 1,9066-7yo 2,321 2,172 2,135 2,312 2,3758-9yo 1,319 1,361 1,378 1,377 1,33910yo+ 698 758 825 836 888Total 6,168 6,185 6,299 6,477 6,514

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Horses in Training (Jump)

3yo 4-5yo 6-7yo 8-9yo 10yo+

Dual

Age 2015 2016 2017 2018 20193yo 13 3 9 24 204yo 78 112 85 154 188

5yo+ 252 280 234 383 390

Total 343 395 328 561 598

0

100

200

300

400

500

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Horses in Training (Dual)

3yo 4yo 5yo+

February HIT Breakdown

Code 2019

Flat 9,892

Jump 5,997

Dual 460

Total 16,349

Flat60%

Jump37%

Dual3%

© British Horseracing Authority 20191 Jan to 28 February 11James Follows ([email protected])

OTHER KPIs (YTD)

7 Race Cards

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

< 7 Races 45.5% 42.2% 41.2% 34.9% 43.5%

7+ Races 54.5% 57.8% 58.8% 65.1% 56.5%

43.5%

56.5%< 7 Races

7+ Races

Races with fewer than 6 Runners

Code 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Flat AWT 13.3% 13.1% 11.0% 14.1% 11.8%

Flat Turf - - - - -

Jump 17.0% 20.5% 16.7% 22.7% 21.0%

Total 15.5% 17.0% 14.2% 18.8% 16.8%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Races <6 Runners

Races with 8 (or more) Runners

Code 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Flat AWT 60.4% 56.7% 68.5% 62.6% 64.7%

Flat Turf - - - - -

Jump 53.3% 56.2% 57.9% 50.8% 57.2%

Total 56.3% 56.5% 62.6% 56.1% 60.6%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Races 8+ Runners

1 Jan to 28 February 12© British Horseracing Authority 2019

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Races with Odds Against Favourites

Code 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Flat 81.9% 82.3% 83.4% 80.5% 81.4%

Jump 77.6% 73.5% 72.7% 74.4% 72.6%

Total 79.4% 77.7% 77.4% 77.2% 76.7%

55.0%

65.0%

75.0%

85.0%

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Races with Odds Against Favourites

Flat Jump

Races with Odds On and Evens Favourites

Code 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019Flat 18.1% 17.7% 16.6% 19.5% 18.6%

Jump 22.4% 26.5% 27.3% 25.6% 27.4%

Total 20.6% 22.3% 22.6% 22.8% 23.3%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Races with Odds On and Evens Favourites

Flat Jump

Free to Air Televised Races

Code 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019Flat 2 4 2 2 2

Jump 70 64 58 55 52Total 72 68 60 57 54

0

20

40

60

80

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Free to Air Televised Races

Jump

Flat

1 Jan to 28 February 13© British Horseracing Authority 2019

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Horses running from 1lb or 2lb above the rating band in handicaps

YearRace Type

Races Affected AFS

Over Weight wins

Over Weight Runners Strike rate

Over Weight's Percentage of Rivals Beaten IV

2018 AW 241 8.97 57 351 16.2% 58.3% 1.37

2019 AW 184 9.05 33 270 12.2% 53.5% 1.05

2018 Flat Turf - - - - - - -

2019 Flat Turf - - - - - - -

2018 Hurdle 74 9.85 8 95 8.4% 51.9% 0.78

2019 Hurdle 68 10.47 13 98 13.3% 57.6% 1.30

2018 Chase 65 7.69 12 83 14.5% 48.1% 1.05

2019 Chase 70 8.43 17 89 19.1% 54.8% 1.48

3yo+ Novice Stakes Penalty Carriers

Year

No. of Races

AffectedAverage Field Size

Penalty Carriers

Winning Penalty Carriers

Penalty Carrier Strike

RatePenalty Carrier Impact Value Average Fav SP

2017 - - - - - - -

2018 34 6.09 58 19 32.8% 1.67 1.96

2019 18 8.28 21 8 38.1% 2.89 1.97

3yo Novice Stakes Penalty Carriers

Year

No. of Races

AffectedAverage Field Size

Penalty Carriers

Winning Penalty Carriers

Penalty Carrier Strike

RatePenalty Carrier Impact Value Average Fav SP

2017 - - - - - - -

2018 29 7.66 41 13 31.7% 2.12 2.11

2019 12 8.58 15 7 46.7% 3.75 2.27

Mares' and Fillies' Races

Year Code Races Runners AFS % <6 runners Avg. Prize Fund

2018 Flat 40 287 7.18 27.5% £9,028

2019 Flat 28 229 8.18 14.3% £9,118

2018 Jump 69 536 7.77 24.6% £11,253

2019 Jump 74 579 7.82 21.6% £10,924

Flat Conditions Stakes (included within BHA handicapping trial)

Year Races Runners AFS Avg Fav SP % <6 runners

2017 15 81 5.40 2.30 66.7%

2018 15 85 5.67 1.94 53.3%

2019 12 66 5.50 2.58 50.0%

1 Jan to 28 February 14

BHA Racing

Data PackFebruary 2019

© British Horseracing Authority 2019James Follows ([email protected])