Beneficial Electrification and EVs€¦ · +802 498 0708 [email protected] raponline.org...
Transcript of Beneficial Electrification and EVs€¦ · +802 498 0708 [email protected] raponline.org...
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David Farnsworth
Principal
The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®
50 State Street, Suite 3
Montpelier, Vermont
United States
+802 498 0708
raponline.org
Beneficial Electrification and EVs“Virtual Alaska EV Workshop”Hosted by Alaska Center for Energy and Power and United States Arctic Research Commission
June 16 & 17, 2020
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Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®
• Electrification vs. Beneficial Electrification
• Some Examples and Takeaways
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Outline: Beneficial Electrification in 10 minutes
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Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®
• Brattle: “Utility sales could nearly double by 2050”!
• Isn’t it all about load growth?
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Isn’t all electrification created equal?
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Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 4
Beneficial Electrification (BE) -Three Conditions
1. Saves Customers Money Over Long-Term
2. Reduces Environmental Impacts
3. Enables Better Grid Management
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1. Saves Customers Money
Long-Term
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Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®
Source: JJ MCoy, ”Building “good load” to reduce carbon emissions”, 2016. http://nwenergy.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/Transpo-Electrification-TE-Workpaper-1-25-2016-FINAL.pdf.zip; https://www.chargevc.org/ev-calculator/
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Efficiency Across Fuel Types
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2. Reduces Environmental
Impacts
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Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 8
Power sector fuel mix is changing:MISO example
http://www.misomatters.org/2017/03/3-electricity-industry-issues-we-are-watching-in-2017/
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Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 9
AK utility-scale net generation According to Fay, Villalobos Meléndez, and West, in 2011:
58% -- natural gas20% -- hydro 16% -- petroleum liquids6% -- coal0.3% -- wind
According to US Department of Energy, in 2018;
47% -- natural gas 27% -- hydro13% -- petroleum liquids 10% -- coal 3% -- wind power and biomass
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3. Enables Better Grid
Management
GTM, How California Can Shape, Shift and Shimmy to Demand Response Nirvana, January 26, 2017.
LBNL, California 2025 Demand Response Potential Study, 3/1/17.
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Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 11
EVs have Low Capacity UtilizationIn other words: “they sit around a lot,
doing nothing”
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Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 12
Electric vehicles are a lot like water heaters
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Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 13
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Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 14
Electrification Load is Flexible, i.e, Movable
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Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 15
Avoid High-Cost Hours
• Top 1% of hours = 9% of total spending
• Top 10% of hours = 26% of total spending
Source: Rhode Island Power Sector Transformation, Phase One Report to Governor Gina M. Raimondo (November 2017)
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Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®
Value of Flexibility for IntegratingRenewable Energy
Avoid EV charging
during these hours
Move the EV load here
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Source: California ISO
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Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®
Electrification or Beneficial Electrification?• Does it save consumers money over the long run; • Does it reduce environmental impacts; and• Enable better grid management?
Expect to balance different priorities, e.g.:• Increasing EV adoption;• Managing load;• Ensuring benefits for all;• Environmental/public health improvements;• Ratepayer fairness; and • Promoting competition
Continue stakeholder processes (like this one) – very important• Electrification is new so, involve the public;• Produce better data and analyses, and • Develop broadly acceptable goals and policy outcomes.
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The Public Good -- Takeaways
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Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 18
Thank you for your attention
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Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®
äTaking First Steps: Insights for States Preparing for Electric Transportation
äBeneficial Electrification: Ensuring Electrification in the Public Interest
äBeneficial Electrification of Space Heating
äBeneficial Electrification of Water Heating
äBeneficial Electrification of Transportation
äGetting From Here to There: Regulatory Considerations for Transportation Electrification
äBlog post: We All Wish We Were More Flexible: Electrification Load as a Grid Flexibility Resource
RAP Resources
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Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®
About RAPThe Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® is an independent, non-partisan, non-governmental organization dedicated to accelerating the transition to a clean, reliable, and efficient energy future.
Learn more about our work at raponline.org
David Farnsworth, Esq.PrincipalThe Regulatory Assistance Project®
+1 802 [email protected]
50 State Street, Suite 3Montpelier, VTUnited States