Behavioral economics and financial decision making
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Transcript of Behavioral economics and financial decision making
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Behavioral Economics and Financial Decision-making
Deborah [email protected]
Http://stavros.coedu.usf.edu
Generously funded by State Farm and the Coca Cola Foundation
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Cass Sunstein: NudgeWhat do people notice and what do they miss?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vJG698U2Mvo
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And did you see the gorilla?
http://theinvisiblegorilla.com/gorilla_experiment.htmhttps://newrepublic.com/article/108153/show-me-the-moneyhttp://www.economist.com/node/21551032
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Nudge
Contrary to the prediction of standard economic theory (that people act rationally) behavioral economists have found that outcomes are much affected by whether people are automatically enrolled in a program (for savings,) and asked if they want to opt out, or instead, not automatically enrolled and asked whether they want to opt in.
If people are automatically enrolled in a program, many of them tend to stay in; if they are not automatically enrolled, many of them tend to stay out.
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Fast and Slow Thinking
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https://www.ssa.gov/policy/docs/ssb/v70n4/v70n4p1.html
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Informational Issues
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Herd Behavior
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Informational Issues and Teaching About Financial Literacy
• Jump Start Survey: no correlation between financial education and test performance.
• Math is a key: science and engineering students score better than business and economics students.
• Knowledge-based programs are not effective in changing behavior.
• Financial literacy may correlate with problem solving ability.
https://www.newamerica.org/asset-building/policy-papers/the-effectiveness-of-youth-financial-education/
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Decisionomics
• Evidence-based decisions
• Criteria
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Financial Literacy Quiz
http://www.usfinancialcapability.org/quizzes.php
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Financial Knowledge + Decision-making
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Heuristics and Biases
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Over confidence +Heuristics and Biases
• From home/background knowledge: My dad said that . . .
• From limited reading of evidence: But it says that natural gas is the cleanest . . .
• From evidence outside of the text: We use the most X so that is the one we should choose.
• More information-based, but when emotion gets involved . . .
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Intertemporal Choice: Emotions, Procrastination, Self-control,
Hyperbolic Discounting
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Your Favorite Book or Movie Character for President
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Anchoring
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Confirmation Bias
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Decision Context: Framing
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Framing
• Alternatives + Criteria
• What did the company say?
• What do they want?
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Loss Aversion
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http://neilbendle.com/books/BehaviouralEconomicsForKidsWeb.pdf